We’ve had a full week of Eurovision rehearsals, with intentional and accidental falls alongside plenty of holograms. Every country has now had both their first and second rehearsals, giving the bookmakers lots of opportunity to look at what’s on offer and adjust the Eurovision 2016 odds market accordingly. Unsurprisingly, given the overwhelmingly positive response to her rehearsals so far, it’s Ukraine’s Jamala who has come off the best. She’s now second favourite, displacing France in the odds.
The favourite, however, is still Russia. Sergey Lazarev recovered from his early setback last week to nail his second rehearsal and he’s moved back from 9/4 to being the 6/4 favourite to win Eurovision 2016. Jamala, now his closest competition, still has odds of 4/1 available â but that’s a far cry from last Monday, when the best odds on a Ukraine victory were 25/1!
Eurovision 2016 Odds: Overall Winner
As of 09:30 CET, 9th May 2016
Place your bet with Betfair now
It’s not been working out for France so far and Amir now looks like he’s got a lot of work to do. With a first half draw unlikely to help, France have dropped from around 3/1 odds last week to not being 7/1 third favourite. It’s still not bad, but a fall in the odds at the moment is not a good sign for any country.
Ukraine’s surge has mostly just knocked other songs back a slight amount. Sweden had their odds shorten slightly in the aftermath of the rehearsals, with most bookmakers taking Frans from odds of about 14/1 to 10/1 on average. Australia and Malta have also mostly held firm in their positions and look set to finish strongly in the Saturday night final.
Of course, it’s not just Jamala who has benefitted in the odds after her rehearsal. There’s been significant positive movement for Italy, Serbia, Israel, the Netherlands and perhaps most surprisingly, the United Kingdom. Joe and Jake have moved to 12th place in the odds and whilst 66/1 still hardly puts them in contention, it shows that in terms of rehearsals and staging, the boys and the BBC have done a good job. Could they do much better than many had predicted?
What do you think of the odds and how they’re now looking? Did you back Ukraine before the odds started to fall? Let us know in the comments section below.
Sincerity and sentiment vs chewing gum.
After viewing the rehearsals UKRAINE is my big favorite.
Lasha tumbay đ
malta should win and you know it .
UK enters top 10, Russia goes to 13/10
Brk The non sense you write is so funny. Cyril and Method are actually macedonians. Whether they are hellenic or slav is up to debate, because obviously they knew both languages. What they created and spread was the alphabet, not the language you dummie. Slavic language and people are said to originate in the area between south east Poland, western Ukraine and modern day slovakia. Then the slavs spread, and languages evolved with three main groups. Western (then polish, czech…) southern (then serb, Croatian, bulgarian…) and east slavic (then ukrainian, russian, belarussian…). Bulgarians originate, like hungarians, from Asia. At that… Read more »
@Oxana, dear, I lived till I turned 6. I even forgot Ukrainian. And although I made a mistake saying that ”you have the same origin” I meant that you lived together in peace for long years. I’m not that stupid to call Russians and Ukrainians the same. And it’s only now, after Crimea you started hating each other. It is your conflict and it shouldn’t be part of this contest))))
Alexanderized, Laura, you’re bunch of provocateurs. Laura, if you “lived in Ukraine” than you must be mentally disabled or something similar, if you haven’t noticed what’s going on in our country. or you’re a troll. none of Ukrainians will say “we’re the same with Russians”, it is insult for any Ukrainian and most bitter words one can hear. it’s worse than hearing any rude words. You had to know how it hurts to hear it! You’re rather a Russian troll who wants to create a big mess by using mist hateful tactics or mentally disabled person with zero intelligence and… Read more »
@brk “Then the Bulgarians spread the language in Ukraine and Russia” – when? and what language? if you’re saying that you gave us our language, then you understand it, right? why don’t you show me on this page about history of Ukrainian language where it said that our language comes from Bulgarian? https://uk.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%86%D1%81%D1%82%D0%BE%D1%80%D1%96%D1%8F_%D1%83%D0%BA%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%97%D0%BD%D1%81%D1%8C%D0%BA%D0%BE%D1%97_%D0%BC%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B8 if for any reason you fail to understand Ukrainian, then show me English or any other language page where it said that Ukrainian has been created from Bulgarian. Let’s see, maybe our whole history is lying? ok, if you “spread that language to our land”, then why… Read more »
I really am disappointed with how underrated Iceland is here, I hope they rise tomorrow. As for Britain, I’m overjoyed at the fact the bookies actually somewhat like us xD
To be honest Francesca from Italy should win. One of the best performer and great touching song. She is my no 1 and i think it will play bananas with Jury, but unlike Ukraine’s song (so divisive and rightfully so, its bad), public will vote for it too. Staging is ok, not geat but ok. But i dont think staging matters that much anyway.
Spain, Armenia, France, Russia, Australia, Bulgaria, Norway, Azerbaijan, Sweden should be in TOP10
@Oxana,
You are totally wrong.Actually Cyril and Methodius first went to Bulgaria and spread the so called Slavic language in Bulgaria.Then the Bulgarians spread the language in Ukraine and Russia which are slightly new countries much younger than Bulgaria.I checked it so stop telling lies to all the people that don’t know the history of Eastern Europe.
As for your Jamala I usually love screaming but she overscreams in a song that I wouldn’t call a song because it doesn’t have any specific rhythm and she sings awful.
Lets accept it! There are a lot of ups and downs in the polls this year, and this is due to the lack of a clear winner. Any from the 1st to the 20th on that list may win. I have the impression Russia will not win, he doesnt transmit and all has already been seen in its staging. Ukraine had an excellent performance, but it should not win. The song is too dramatic for a winner and has some political connotations. Armenia has a great beginning, then the songs is nothing but her bitchy movements. Sweden and Australia are… Read more »
Forgot @ Oxana đ
I do remember this event in Moscow back in 2009, so lovely! Had a chance to meet gorgeous Yohanna from Iceland.
@Oxana come on… I don’t live in Russia and I don’t watch Russian television at all. Besides, I lived in Ukraine and I know the situation. So talk about music, alright? Peace!
Oxana 1:30 PM: “why donât you all advertisers and haters have a break before the real show”
Oxana 4:01 PM: “We always hated Russians.”
Oxana 6:32 PM: “I’m not hating Russians, I’m mocking them”
Are you pregnant, by any chance?
Alex,
prove the opposite. show me documented history facts about “love” between Russians and Ukrainians. No matter what I want, fact is fact, documented and well known. What’s the news? no one suspected that Ukrainians hate Russians? really? do you think we send them xoxo when they kill our soldiers every day? are you OK?
power b, yes, they had this song to perform when Russia hosted the event. nice funky song, too bad Russians got over paranoid about it. if name of their leader interfere with English words, why don’t they change his name? it’s easier than changing English vocabulary to fit their expectations. Laura, you perceive things just like Russians. when I speak about folk song about mister Pu, I’m not hating Russians, I’m mocking them. do you know the difference between hate and humorous teasing of your enemy? Who told you I’m supporting right wing? I’m not that stupid or fanatical. If… Read more »
I dont get this Ukraine song. its awful. I just hope it will not win ;/
@Oxana,
You’re pretty much the only one, who brings so much hatred and negativity into this blog. Do you even realize what kind of opinion people might get of Ukrainians ’cause of you? “We always hated Russians.” You’re in no position to claim something like that.
Back to the odds: Russia goes from 6/4 to 7/5
rotten russophobia
Oxana – bad, very bad. Boooooooo!
@Oxana, ???????, no one interested in your history at the moment. It’s a song contest. Don’t bring your hate to this blog, we’re just discussing. We’ve already sick about Russian- Ukrainian, Armenia- Azerbaijani conflicts. Keep politics away as possible! )))
Lmao…Armenia at #8. When First Semi-Final Takes place these bookies won’t know what hit them…it will be Iveta’s Love Tsunami ya’ll.
@Oxana
Why don’t you establish a political far right forum elsewhere and continue your conversations, along with readers interested in these, there? This is a Eurovision blog.
I’m not from Russia, but I definitely wouldn’t mind if Russia won, because Sergey is great.
Douwe Bob is slowly becoming overrated. I’m not sure how it deserved such an improvement in the odds, because neither the song, nor the staging turned out to be anything special.
Lol Oxana
I thought Georgia had something like we don’t want PUT IT IN
power b,
I prefer Ukrainian folk song “Putin huilo”. too bad it’s not allowed by EBU đ
Oxana
It’s a perfect title for Ukraine’s next Eurovision entry, oh Bohdan, Bohdan!
Laura, There’s no reasons to call us the same even if you don’t want to look into history much. today, now (as all the time except USSR occupation), we’re grave enemies. It reflected even in our old anthem (published on 1863) Oh Bohdan, Bohdan Our great hetman What for did you give Ukraine To wretched muscovites?! (*Russians) To return her honor, We lay our heads We shall call ourselves Ukraine’s Faithful sons! it’s been long before USSR and Lenin. we always hated Russians and our goal was to return our lands they stole from us. Nothing changed since then. And… Read more »
Ukraine and France are drifting massively while Sweden’s odds are shortening
http://www.oddschecker.com/tv/eurovision/winner
@oxana sorry if I failed with history. It doesn’t matter at all.(it is normal that you responded ‘couse your name is Slavic) I just wanted to say that these countries have a lot of things in common and they were “together” for a long time. Yes, I’m fluent in Russian, but it just kind of hobby.)) History is not mine maybe and I don’t have to know other countries histories, I think.
@Alexanderized that’s really a good idea.Watching semi finals and listening songs for the first time help to “find” good songs and the winner. Hope you will enjoy the show as well. Also I can’t wait to see Armenia’s performance in SF1 ’cause according to wiwiblogs it is way better than Russia and she uses holograms for the first time. #ThunderAndLightningIt’sGettingExciting)) ????????????????)
Laura,
if you speak Russian (if you can watch Kirkorov’s interview in Russian), why you’re failing to know simple basics about origin of Ukrainians and Russians?
Russians are ugro finns mixed with tatars, who invented Bulgarian language to be able to read and write, and mixed it with old Ukrainian language in border areas. Ukrainians are from Ruthenian family, one with Belarus, Poles. their language also from the same Ruthenian family.
you’re confusing Russian occupation or Ruthenian lands with their native land. Russians visually, culturally, in language are strangers to any Ukrainian, Pole or Belarus.
@Laura,
I agree completely, media will hit things up like crazy but in the end I’m sure everything will run smoothly. đ But I must admit I don’t know most of the songs this year (including your favorites) ’cause I wanna be taken by surprised. Have fun watching the show tomorrow! đ
@Oxana,
whatever you say.
I’m a bit surprised to see Switzerland on the very bottom in the betting odds. It’s a bit weird, but surely not the worst entry this year, right?
Israel is 8th favourite right now.
@Alexanderized actually I have friends from Ukraine and relations btw people are the same cause this two nations have the same origin. I meant if one of this countries will win, there, of course, will be some political talks and gossips around it. Also, it is obvious that Russian delegation’s goal was winning this year’s ecs that’s why they decided to choose Sergey( if you watched Kirkorov’s interview yesterday on red carpet by esckaz). Anyway it’s just a TV show and I want to see the real winner with good song and performance.))) My favorites are Spain, Armenia, Israel, Ukraine… Read more »
Alexanderized, if Russia will win Ukraine will withdraw 100%. we’re not sending our precious artists to Russia. it’s wont happen until Russia return Crimea, get their mercenaries from Donbass and release all POW ans civilian captives they hold and torture. We’re not going to risk our people under such circumstances. or if to put it straight, we’re not going to Russia toll it’s still Russia. but if it will collapse like USSR ans split to multiple “republics” who will be friendly towards Ukraine – then we’ll reconsider. and yeah, if Ukraine will win, teach your delegation how to answer Ukrainian… Read more »
@Laura,
it sure seems political, but skipping one year ’cause of it would mean…so many things. đ For starters: that Russia is taking politics higher then competition itself and it won’t happen. And I also hope that if Lazarev wins, Ukraine won’t withdraw ’cause I’m certain that Ukrainian performer will be welcomed very well in Russia. May I ask who your favorites are?
@Charles,
yeah, whatever.
Yes Bella they will surely steal the thunder đ
Loo we will see the reactions of people tomorrow when Amir and Frans will perform…They will love them!
pointless babble, wait for semis
@Alexanderized maybe. But I think it seems too “political” for Russia. Personally, I don’t want any of this two countries to win. I will vote for real music and performance without any political hype around it.
P.S. I love Ukraine’s song and it gives me goosebumps every time I listen to it. It will do well but it won’t win. ))
@Alexanderized: Russia would never lose the opportunity to put itself on the spotlight and gain everybody’s attention to fill its ego no matter what .. including going to the country where tensions have unfold. It’s like Kim Kardashian going to a Paris Hilton hot party .. everything would be a perfect excuse to be talked about no matter what leaving Paris in such a state of jealousy worthy of a scripted reality TV show episode.
Ukraine and their politcal song wili win Eurovision. They will be overrated in juries points , same points like Sweden 2012 or 2015. Then in televote they have supports from 6 countries from ex Soviet Union 10 or 12 points , I don t expect high points for Ukraine in televote from Russia,Belarus and Armenia, plus they wili get high points from televote where Ukraine and Turkey have big diasspora Germany,Austria,Belgium,Netherlands,Switzerland plus Spain and high points from nordic and uk becuase antisoviet feeling in that countries.
I’m just happy to see Ukraine considered for a top position. For a while she seemed to be drifting in public opinion to about 10th or so, but I’m glad she’s getting so much hype again.
@Laura
Let me assure you: if Ukraine wins, Russia will not withdrawn. đ
Let’s see what the public (and the jury) says on tuesday and thursday. I’d surprised if the final Top 15 would be the same.
Russia will most likely remain favourite until the final, except if Sergey somehow does not win Semi 1.
one thing is certain, no matter what do we expect today, tomorrow eve we’ll have absolutely different topics to discuss. what’s the point to advertise your country act today? pointless I’d say. What’s the point to share your negativity? pointless at this stage. why don’t you all advertisers and haters have a break before the real show that will start tomorrow? let’s just accept what we have and let’s turn this page.
Latvia seems to be underrated for the last few days.
We shall see on Saturday!
Lots of funny speculations here đ I hope Europe knows better and don’t vote for Russia’s dated song with that plastic copycat performance. Real music lovers will see Ukraine, Australia or Israel in the top. Notably the best singers and fantastic songs.