Do Spotify streams predict Eurovision 2017 victory for Sweden’s Robin Bengtsson?

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Italy’s Francesco Gabbani might be dominating both the bookies’ odds and YouTube views (97 million and counting), but Sweden’s Robin Bengtsson is out on top when it comes to Spotify streams.

The official audio for “I Can’t Go On” has racked up an impressive 11,186,347 streams. However, Robin lags a long way behind his predecessor Frans, who had amassed a whopping 28,942,698 streams at the same stage last year.

The Swede isn’t even the most popular Melodifestivalen 2017 contestant on the streaming service, with Wiktoria’s “As I Lay Me Down” picking up 12,382,960 plays to date.

But what of his all important Eurovision 2017 rivals? How does he compare?

Robin Bengtsson “I Can’t Go On” Spotify Audio

Unsurprisingly, Italy’s Francesco Gabbani is right behind him. With 10,715,855 streams “Occidentali’s Karma” sits comfortably in second place.

The remaining entries have much catching up to do. Of the chasing pack, Norway’s JOWST and Spain’s Manel Navarro occupy third and fourth spots, each with streams in excess of 2 million.

Including the top four, only seven entries have managed to surpass one million streams. Germany’s Levina, Australia’s Isaiah and the Netherlands’ OG3NE also form part of the six digit plus streaming club.

At the other end of the rankings we find Slovenia. Omar Naber has only managed to get a measly 14,860 streams for “On My Way”. In his defence, it was the last of the 42 entries to appear on Spotify.

Eurovision 2017 SPOTIFY RANKINGS: THE Limitations

As with YouTube, ranking Eurovision entries by Spotify streams is not an exact science. There are several limiting factors which we need to keep in mind.

Firstly, in some cases there are multiple versions of the same entry. For the purpose of our ranking, we’ve pulled out the single most streamed version of each song. In some cases that’s the final mix, in other instances it’s the national selection edition.

Even when we apply this ranking method we still have to remember that some songs have been on the site for longer, therefore giving them more time to amass listens.

We also have to consider geographical bias. Spotify is a Swedish company, and therefore is very popular in the country and the Nordic region as a whole. The service is also widely used across western Europe. However, it has yet to arrive in several eastern countries.

This discrepancy is reflected in the rankings — the top ten most streamed entries are all from western Europe and Australia.

You can take a look at the full rankings below.

EUROVISION 2017 Spotify streams

Eurovision 2017 entries ranked by Spotify streams.

Information correct as of 22.00 CEST 20 April.

  1. Sweden: Robin Bengtsson “I Can’t Go On” 11,186,347
  2. Italy: Francesco Gabbani “Occidentali’s Karma” 10,715,855
  3. Norway: JOWST “Grab The Moment” 2,845,582
  4. Spain: Manel Navarro “Do It For Your Lover” 2,607,684
  5. Germany: Levina “Perfect Life” 1,220,583
  6. Australia: Isaiah “Don’t Come Easy” 1,099,379
  7. Netherlands: OG3NE “Lights And Shadows” 1,068,363
  8. France: Alma “Requiem” 891,256
  9. Belgium: Blanche “City Lights” 761,996
  10. Denmark: Anja Nissen “Where I Am” 595,769
  11. Latvia: Triana Park “Line” 394,379
  12. Estonia: Koit Toome & Laura “Verona” 381,137
  13. United Kingdom: Lucie Jones “Never Give Up On You” 351,849
  14. Iceland: Svala “Paper” 338,079
  15. Portugal: Salvador Sobral “Amar Pelos Dois” 310,269
  16. Austria: Nathan Trent “Running On Air” 302,843
  17. Bulgaria: Kristian Kostov “Beautiful Mess” 301,197
  18. Moldova: Sunstroke Project “Hey Mama” 288,273
  19. Hungary: Pápai Joci “Origo” 284,818
  20. Finland: Norma John “Blackbird” 282,427
  21. Romania: Ilinca & Alex Florea “Yodel It!” 235,649
  22. Israel: Imri “I Feel Alive” 226,305
  23. Cyprus: Hovig “Gravity” 217,861
  24. Azerbaijan: Dihaj “Skeletons” 213,193
  25. Switzerland: Timebelle “Apollo” 202,958
  26. Greece: Demy “This Is Love” 201,480
  27. Poland: Kasia Mos “Flashlight” 157,168
  28. Montenegro: Slavko Kalezic “Space” 141,002
  29. Ukraine: O.Torvald “Time” 134,136
  30. Croatia: Jacques Houdek “My Friend” 114,255
  31. Belarus: NAVIBAND “Story Of My Life” 112,326
  32. FYR Macedonia: Jana Burcheska “Dance Alone” 91,712
  33. Ireland: Brendan Murray “Dying To Try” 85,365
  34. San Marino: Valentina Monetta & Jimmie Wilson “Spirit Of The Night” 84,434
  35. Armenia: Artsvik “Fly With Me” 82,122
  36. Albania: Lindita “World” 60,916
  37. Serbia: Tijana Bogicevic “In Too Deep” 58,285
  38. Czech Republic: Martina Bárta “My Turn” 50,778
  39. Malta: Claudia Faniello “Breathlessly” 49,419
  40. Georgia: Tamara Gachechiladze “Keep The Faith” 47,428
  41. Lithuania: Fusedmarc “Rain Of Revolution” 45,894
  42. Slovenia: Omar Naber “On My Way” 14,860

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