Norway: Alexander Rybak’s odds of winning Eurovision narrow…as MGP reveals lopsided televoting results


He’s the Eurovision 2009 winner who stormed to victory in Norway’s Melodi Grand Prix on Saturday evening.

And today Alexander Rybak is riding a wave of momentum with the betting agencies, who have slashed his odds and pushed him all the way from 20th favourite last Friday to 12th favourite today.

The “That’s How You Write a Song” singer has given many Norwegian fans hope that he could surprise in Lisbon this May, and the sea of blue on Eurovision Oddschecker at the time of writing this post suggests there could be an outside chance of that happening.

Alexander’s odds are currently as low as 12/1 at Bet 365, which puts Norway well ahead of fan favourites from Finland (25/1), France (28/1) and Italy (33/1).

The same betting agency has him level with Australia’s Jessica Mauboy (12/1), and ahead of The Netherlands’ Waylon and Sweden’s Benjamin Ingrosso (both at 16/1).

@rybakofficial reprises his entry in the super final ?? #nrkmgp #eurovision

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Melodi Grand Prix  2018: Voting Results

Alexander’s rise with the bookies comes as NRK has revealed that he won the Norwegian competition in a landslide.

After all 10 acts performed, the top four advanced to a so-called “silver final”. This was based on the combination of televoting and scores from 10 international juries. Interestingly, jurors only shared their 12 points — though they assigned points from 12, 10 and 8 all the way down to 1. By concealing the overall results the public only got a hint of the international jury’s perspective.

Silver final voting (sølvfinalen)

During the silver final voting was reset to zero. The televote determined which two acts would advance to a so-called “gold duel”.

Alexander won by a huge margin, accumulating more votes than all of his competitors combined.

  1. Alexander Rybak, “That’s How You Write a Song” | 133,164 votes
  2. Rebecca, “Who We Are” |  46,260 votes
  3. Stella & Alexandra, “You Got Me” | 29, 784 votes
  4. Alexander Walmann, “Talk to the Hand” | 7,927 votes

Gold final voting (gullduell)

Alexander and Rebecca then had a sing-off, and their vote tallies continued to climb.

  1. Alexander Rybak, “That’s How You Write a Song” | 306,393 votes
  2. Rebecca, “Who We Are” | 123,504 votes

The full jury votes will not be revealed

Stig Karlsen, Director-General of Melodi Grand Prix, says that the breakdown of the international jury votes and the televotes for those who did not advance will not be revealed publicly. The idea is to keep the spotlight on the positive.

“We want MGP to be a good experience, even for those artists coming further down the results list,” he told NRK. “I think that this way of doing it can contribute positively to the recruitment of artists to MGP.”

Each jury consisted of a chairperson, who watched the dress rehearsal in Oslo and delivered the points live during the show.

This chairperson selected four additional jurors in his or her home country who also watched the dress rehearsal via a live link. Among those on the various juries were Alma, France’s Eurovision 2017 singer; Getter Jaani, Estonia’s Eurovision 2011 singer; and Sacha Jean-Baptiste, Sweden’s acclaimed choreographer. You can see the full list of international jurors and demographic information here.

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