In recent weeks a French revolution has been brewing in the betting odds for Eurovision 2018. And France‘s Eurovision duo Madame Monsieur appear to have momentum on their side. They’ve now closed to second place in the odds to win the Eurovision Song Contest 2018.

They entered the top five three days ago and are now narrowing on Israel. Bet365 has slashed Madame Monsieur’s odds from 9/1 to 13/2.

Israel on the other hand is headed in the opposite direction. There’s a red alert out for Netta across the board, meaning her odds to win are widening. Marathon Bet has adjusted her odds from 15/11 a few days ago to 28/17. The market movement is a response to first rehearsals today. Netta’s Japanese Kimono-she-better-don’t-inspired performance has not impressed everyone.

Another act adversely affected by rehearsal reaction is Bulgaria‘s Equinox. They’ve fallen back into fourth place. SportingBet has them as high as 10/1. That’s opened the door for Australia to push through into third. BoyleSports has Jessica Mauboy as low as 15/2. She of course has yet to rehearse and will be in action on Tuesday.

If Israel and Bulgaria are in trouble, Estonia has turned things around. Estonia‘s Elina Nechayeva is back in the top five after a warm reception for her first rehearsal in Lisbon. William Hill has cut Estonia’s odds from 12/1 to 9/1.

That means Czech Republic has fallen out of the top five. Mikolas Josef injured himself during rehearsals, which could explain market reaction. Czech Republic’s widest odds are 12/1 at SportingBet.

Today’s biggest casualty is Belgium. Sennek has slipped out of the Top Ten altogether, falling to fourteenth place. SportingBet has Sennek as high as 66/1. Vocal problems during preparty season had already seen Belgium drifting downward. That has allowed Spain to sneak in to the Top 10. Ladbrokes have Almaia as low as 25/1.

FULL EUROVISION 2018 ODDS, ACCURATE 23:05 CET

YOU CAN SEE MORE EUROVISION ODDS UPDATES HERE

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Billkmc
Billkmc
5 years ago

France has been one of my favourites from first hearing it but I didn’t hold out much hope for it actually winning. Now though as the big event gets closer I’m starting to feel more and more confident it will.
I’ll be in Paris this week so I may look at my hotels prices for next year just incase ?

Mei
Mei
5 years ago

Why are people crossing out Sweden as a potential winner? They are always overrated by jury and almost always are in televoting Top 5. The song may not be winning worthy but Sweden won with even worse songs (Heroes)

Denis
Denis
5 years ago
Reply to  Mei

Read down below.
Sweden is Always underrated in ESC. Never underestimate Sweden in ESC, that is a lesson!
With that performance he won’t be forgotten in first place. Casual first time Viewers will be mind-blown.
Speaking of bad Swedish Winners: Herreys..

AurelianTamisan
AurelianTamisan
5 years ago
Reply to  Mei

The moment you say ‘Heroes’ was worse than this year’s entry, you have the answer. WTF, ‘Heroes’ was standing out at the time, this one is a cliche modern song that will be loved by radio people and that’s it.

alsomike
alsomike
5 years ago
Reply to  Mei

come on… Heroes and Euphoria are the only 2 songs you still hear on the radio

I never ever heard the Ucranian neither the Portuguese song

rima
rima
5 years ago

I’m sorry, but how the hell is Albania ranked 6th last??? He’s been receiving an increasing amount of support since FiK, and especially since the pre-parties. The guy has amazing charisma, a good song, and an incredible voice. I hope this is a tactic by the bookies, and not them actually underrating Albania.

AurelianTamisan
AurelianTamisan
5 years ago
Reply to  rima

I wanted to ask the same thing, Albania should be increasing in the betting odds. However, let’s not get confused, these are the odds for a win, Albania has absolutely no chance to win Eurovision, they should be now favourites to qualify, which is a total different thing. Some entries could be seen as more possible winners, without being favourites to qualify, than some countries that are favourites to reach the final. Usually the all or nothing songs, like, I’d say Hungary, they have something unique that could get them either very high, either not in the final. I don’t… Read more »

hermi
hermi
5 years ago

The funny thing is that no matter who wins, most likely still Florian Wieder will create the stage, so it will be again a German show.

P!nk Forever
P!nk Forever
5 years ago

Guys, will you make a post about Mélovins released music video?:D

hermi
hermi
5 years ago

I can’t believe anybody wants France to win, you just want to go to Paris next year. Fine, but I wish they’ve had a more deserving song.

Yaa
Yaa
5 years ago
Reply to  hermi

France is just horrible this year, no way they are winning! This is just whishful thinking! They were 3rd for the France jury! And they are so not going to receive public support due to the current political climate and also due to the Eurovision political non adherence! The song in itself is not at all winner material, there were much better french songs that still did not got good results. For me it’s just fan wank , nothing more.

Edgar
Edgar
5 years ago

This situation is very similar to last year’s situation, when Portugal started to rise and won in the end. And as long as I beleive that Netta is not going to win (even the televote), I am not sure that the winner is gonna be France. We need to wait for her rehearsal as well. Of course I will be glad if France wins, I beleive that we will see a spectecular show in Paris. But maybe we can have a surprise winner. Who knows. One thing is clear. This year is gonna be exciting! (Both in terms of semi… Read more »

BoriS
BoriS
5 years ago

Fear of the Balkans.
For the second consecutive year the West unites and wins a song that is not worth it.
Bulgaria with its immigrants will be the first to be a televised ,but jury maybe flop Bulgaria at the expense of boring for Madam Monseur – for Israel I do not give a chance to politically purely dislike Europe, so the battle will be between France and Bulgaria or the West against the East. But for me Bulgaria will win because it deserves it!

BoriS
BoriS
5 years ago
Reply to  BoriS

From here I turn to the former USSR and the Balkans.
Do not let Europe make a boring and not worthwhile song winner. You have to win Bulgaria because it has the biggest work in the last 3 years it is!

Pera
Pera
5 years ago

It is very funny. France duo, sing about refugees and when they sing about them, they will wear expensive clothes from famoush high fashiong designer from their country.

CyxCy
CyxCy
5 years ago
Reply to  Pera

Clothes loaned gracefully and will not cost a penny to anyone, unlike other that put sums huge in a dress while many of their inhabitants are in trouble.

Jordan
Jordan
5 years ago

France is overrated . They will flop like they did in 2011. After I rehearsal , Israel, Czech Republic and Bulgaria is out of game to win. We will have surprise winnner like we did in 2001,2002,2003,2006,2011

Konstantinos
Konstantinos
5 years ago

Odds have fall out for many countries. Israel remains first after this circus and Czech Republic after this amazing staging fall down. Bookmakers will take a lot of money after the final! LOL Australia is 3rd with this awful song! Unfortunately remains the pet of EBU.

Daniel
Daniel
5 years ago
Reply to  Konstantinos

Pet my axx! Many people like this song and it’s a fact. Deal with it!

Konstantinos
Konstantinos
5 years ago
Reply to  Daniel

I don’t see the many people dear. I haven’t to deal with something fake.

Pera
Pera
5 years ago
Reply to  Konstantinos

Australia is EBU baby and so much overrated in juries points. Juries beside them, like Sweden, Malta, Azerbaijan, Ukraine, many times like Israel and in that club from 2013 and 2015 joint The Netheralands and Belgium.

Bori
Bori
5 years ago
Reply to  Pera

Yeah, right! These countries just know how to produce a song that juries love. You guys can also ask your own countries to produce a radio friendly song; however, I don’t think you guys will. Stick with your one-time artsy entry that can only succeed on the Eurovision stage with only one chance. Bye Felicia.

Ari
Ari
5 years ago

Queen Foureira burn the stage today! #Fuego

CAT eurofan
CAT eurofan
5 years ago

Well…. As things are developing, I think any entry in the top 15 could win!

Roelof Meesters
Roelof Meesters
5 years ago

Sweden is so underrated in the betting odds, they will do way better than the odds say.

Denis
Denis
5 years ago

Never underestimate Sweden in ESC, that is something people should have learned by now.
With that performance casual first time viwers will be mind-blown

Alex
Alex
5 years ago

Israel still in the lead? Haven’t they seen her rehearsal?

omri
omri
5 years ago
Reply to  Alex

her rehersal was preety good… yet people like you judge her performance to much… you ltrly saw 30 seconds and not camera shots you have no idea how is it gonna look like in may 8th… still even tho she has the most dislikes she has the most likes…

Rasmus
Rasmus
5 years ago

Today im very exited for the Macedonian,finnish,irish,swiss,greek,austrian,armenian rehearsels. So intresting to see if they are in or out. Right now i think Albania are in and Azerbaijan are out but it can change :).

Frensiti
Frensiti
5 years ago

Am I the only one who wants Italy or Albania winning?? Those guys are amazing singers! Goosebumps everywhere! Odds are absolutely deaf…

alessio
alessio
5 years ago
Reply to  Frensiti

no me2 thing that albania is dark horse of this esc

SW99
SW99
5 years ago
Reply to  Frensiti

Yes, Italy is my favourite as well!
I fear they are not going to win, but they stay in my Spotify playlist for sure after esc!

allen
allen
5 years ago

I think France is going to win, this now looks like the momentum Portugal had last year.

hermi
hermi
5 years ago

Suzanne take care, Fabrizio from Italian duo has a wife and a child. You don’t want to mess with an Italian angry wife.

Roman
Roman
5 years ago

France is in my top10 but i don’t want it to win cause it is a political song…..

Denis
Denis
5 years ago

France always disappoints in tele voting. Even when they are favourites they don´t even reach top 5 with televote. Juries usually helps them. So I would be a bit cautious..
And I don’t Think they have closed in because they won something. it is rather that the other favourites slipped down which has lead them to rise.

Denis
Denis
5 years ago
Reply to  Denis

based on what?

Denis
Denis
5 years ago
Reply to  Denis

That is as useless as OGAE. That is nothing to go on. They won the televote there in 2016 too and look what happened there. Italy won televote there last year and look what happened. That isn´t an indication at all

SW99
SW99
5 years ago
Reply to  Denis

But they did really well in the 2017 televote!

Marcelo
Marcelo
5 years ago
Reply to  SW99

And in 2016, they got 9th in televote. Since tides have turned for France, who knows if this could be the winner. It’s very possible.

Michael
Michael
5 years ago

If France wins, it will be due to the fact that it’s about a refugee. The song has almost nothing else going for it, other than good vocals (though not spectacular). Although it would give France its first win since 1977, it feels awkward that it could happen with a song like this (even though it’s not, people are going to recognize it as being about migrants with a false picture of them). Sort of like how Austria only won because they sent a drag queen. Rooting for Estonia and Bulgaria.

Michael
Michael
5 years ago
Reply to  Michael

Jamala’s voice was extremely powerful and she could sell the emotion like no other. Plus, the only people who claimed it was an attack on Russia were Stalinists. Sergey never had a problem with it. Madame Monseiur’s song is too restrained to have a vocal performance like her’s. Not to mention, it doesn’t even have a unique instrumental like 1944.

joe
joe
5 years ago
Reply to  Michael

I actually genuinely disagree. I loved the song and the chorus and how different almost synth pop it sounded, before I knew what the lyrics meant

Roy Moreno
Roy Moreno
5 years ago

I understand the downfall of Israel, but I don’t understand why France is going so high
They will not win, nor do so well on Saturday
The winner should be either Bulgaria, or Estonia, or Hungary for me right now
So far, the Israeli staging disappointed me a bit so….
Good luck to everyone <3
(From Israel)

Roy Moreno
Roy Moreno
5 years ago
Reply to  Roy Moreno

Conchita and Jamala had MUCH better songs, MUCH better vocals and staging

KuhKatz
KuhKatz
5 years ago

I really can‘t see France doing this well, they will fall through one vote completely, but I‘m unsure, which one..

Also why no mention that Lithuania is climbing as well? Could be sneaking into the flnal if Ieva continues like that.

NickC
NickC
5 years ago

Also, I do not want to brag, but my algorithm had this top 4 (ISR, FRA, AUS, BUL) for the last 2 weeks, please check my older posts. I am few steps ahead, because I am using all available information, like youtube and spotify. So, I am telling you now: France will soon take over Israel in the odds. The other country that is massively overrated is Switzerland. It is doing very well with former ESC contestants, which is a sign that it will ace the jury voting, at least.

NickC
NickC
5 years ago
Reply to  NickC

sorry, I meant SUI is underrated, not overrated.

NickC
NickC
5 years ago
Reply to  NickC

I do not substitute as I do not use subjective judgement. I just interpret data.

NickC
NickC
5 years ago

For me, Mercy represents all of us trying a get a better life despite circumstances. Mercy is not only a refugee, she represents gays being prosecuted , women being sexually assaulted, people being discriminated for their race, or religion. Mercy is about being human during our turbulent, seemingly cold, connected but disconnected times. And that’s why it desrves to win. It is a musical masterpiece, a cry for humanity. Comme ses paroles, je pense que cette chanson vivrai 100000 ans.

Mr Gold
Mr Gold
5 years ago

SWEDEN is easy winner. Bulgaria ruined it COMPLETELY…

Mr Gold
Mr Gold
5 years ago

Please don’t joke.
Israel 1st, France 2nd, Australia 3rd. In which world? Not in normal world for normal people…

Mr Gold
Mr Gold
5 years ago
Reply to  Mr Gold

Israel and France are bad for sure. And Australia also is very bad. They all completely lost their souls…

Mr Gold
Mr Gold
5 years ago
Reply to  Mr Gold

Dead countries with dead entries on dead stage in Lisboa…

Mr Gold
Mr Gold
5 years ago
Reply to  Mr Gold

Killed minds…

Elmo
Elmo
5 years ago

Wiwibloggs are you serious? I don’t understand why my comment is “awaiting moderation” when I have done nothing but share my opinion that “Mercy” is boring. This is ridiculous and the guy I responded to who was rude to me is able to continue posting with no problem? Favoritism on this site I swear. Because he supports France his ip doesn’t get blocked.

Marcelo
Marcelo
5 years ago
Reply to  Elmo

I can see your post and comment very clearly. And how was I being rude? Is saying bs offensive now? And you called me butthurt, I responded with a joke. You’re entitled to your opinion, I’m not trying to change it.

Anti-Marcelo
Anti-Marcelo
5 years ago
Reply to  Marcelo

@Elmo, I with you. Marcelo is a nasty SOB. Wish someone can run him over with a bus.

Elmo
Elmo
5 years ago
Reply to  Marcelo

Sigh. Marcelo my latest comment is not showing because it is under moderation. I was not referring to the comment that you already replied to… smh.

Marcelo
Marcelo
5 years ago
Reply to  Elmo

And how was I rude to you? Cate to elaborate?

Polegend Godgarina
Polegend Godgarina
5 years ago

I can see a 2016 situation for France where they get disapponting votes from the public. While their song is great, it’s in no ways outstanding enough to win.

Briekimchi
Briekimchi
5 years ago

The odds are sorting themselves out slowly. That’s what rehearsals will do!
Can’t imagine the Czech Rep coming back up any time soon but seriously, when will the bookies start reacting properly to Albania?

Marcelo
Marcelo
5 years ago
Reply to  Briekimchi

I don’t know. Eugent rocked the Eurovision pre-parties and odds didn’t change either. Now with an amazing first rehearsal, bookmakers still don’t seem to recognize the quality and good package of the Albanian entry. At least, France and Estonia are crawling up the leaderboard.

Anti-Marcelo
Anti-Marcelo
5 years ago
Reply to  Marcelo

F u you Latin American sub-species! You are not even European! Your family are slaves got shipped there most likely. We don’t want your opinion! Cheap Spanish speaking sub-species from Latin America.

Marcelo
Marcelo
5 years ago
Reply to  Anti-Marcelo

I got my own personal troll. I feel so special.
If you wanna be a troll, I can be one too, bi*ch.

Anita
Anita
5 years ago
Reply to  Briekimchi

has it something to do with that country voting?

Kenn
Kenn
5 years ago

I also think France will win this year without even being a top 5 song quality wise. Eurovision goes back into politics :S

Salvador gave us a sabbatical year of this intrusism into art and music. Some day every country will send songs with political issues and this contest will look like a parliament soon.

Özlen
Özlen
5 years ago
Reply to  Kenn

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O8qwfJiWK3g

When you take away the PC message…this song doesn’t cut it to me. Repetitive beats and doesn’t go nowhere musically wise.

Kit Kat
Kit Kat
5 years ago
Reply to  Kenn

I think that’s the 1st time I totally agree with you (both comments)…

ieva
ieva
5 years ago

I remember right about Albania! Check out this link from 2012 when the bookies ranked her #37th but she came #5th in the final, #2nd in the semifinal.! http://wiwibloggs.com/2012/05/06/bookies-italys-nina-zilli-challenging-swedens-loreen-as-favorite/17021/

Jo.
Jo.
5 years ago
Reply to  ieva

Thanks for the link!
UK 5th place?????? Also FYR Macedonia very underrated.

Polegend Godgarina
Polegend Godgarina
5 years ago
Reply to  ieva

That only happened once… this year it clearly isn’t the case.

Marcelo
Marcelo
5 years ago
Reply to  ieva

Amazing how bookmakers’ favorites such as the UK, Denmark, Ireland and Iceland all flopped badly. Italy, Spain and Romania did make it to the left side of the scoreboard, so they weren’t that wrong. And how Malta, Lithuania, Albania and FYR Macedonia surprised everyone. You could say Albania 2012 did a Moldova 2017 way before them.

Iain
Iain
5 years ago
Reply to  ieva

I just checed that article – HOW was the UK 5th favourite? ?

Stephanie
5 years ago

I think you’re right in saying that Netta’s momentum peaked too early, while Madame Monsieur’s momentum has been growing steadily. Their consistency of their performances in the pre-parties and the huge receptions they’ve been getting have really helped, now all they have to do is keep that momentum going into their rehearsals on Friday and next Sunday – the first French win in over 4 decades could potentially become reality if all falls into place!

Ric
Ric
5 years ago

So happy for Estonia…totally deserved…I struggle to imagine France winning though I would love it…Israel ‘s staging is not bad but it definitely doesn’t live up to the previous expectations…in the end at least we can expect an exciting first semi

Partenaire
Partenaire
5 years ago

After watching Israel plummeting on stage, France 2019 is a done deal! Allez

Polegend Godgarina
Polegend Godgarina
5 years ago
Reply to  Partenaire

Israel hasn’t plummeted at all in the odds, though.

Jo.
Jo.
5 years ago

Sofia 2019 isn’t happening.

Anti-Jo
Anti-Jo
5 years ago
Reply to  Jo.

F u! Your life is not happening – going around and dissing other entries! First Israel and now Bulgaria!! Your piece of Italian trashhh! Now go bury yourself you S.O.B!

Jo.
Jo.
5 years ago
Reply to  Anti-Jo

Seriously? Are you going to follow me in every single post here? I think it’s your life that is not happening. Jesus, go get one.

Marcelo
Marcelo
5 years ago
Reply to  Jo.

Let the troll think he has won. He’ll go away.

Marcelo
Marcelo
5 years ago
Reply to  Jo.

I agree it’s between Israel or France at this point and who knows who might end up crawling up the leaderboard. Just like Lucie Jones did days before the final.

Elmo
Elmo
5 years ago

France is the most overrated and underwhelming song this year… This will be the second year in a row that a painfully boring song wins and I will not be shocked at all.

Marcelo
Marcelo
5 years ago
Reply to  Elmo

Most overrated? That’s either Israel or Bulgaria.
Most underwhelming? That’s either Belgium, Spain or Norway.

So, stop with the bs.

Elmo
Elmo
5 years ago
Reply to  Marcelo

Marcelo, this is my opinion and I don’t care if you are butthurt about it. So you should stop the bs. Thanks.

Marcelo
Marcelo
5 years ago
Reply to  Elmo

Butthurt? Bish, I’m no way butthurt at all. I’m just reflecting what people might think. I’m not try to change your opinion at all. And bish, I’m the biggest “hater” you’ll ever seen, I make people go butthurt, not the other way. LOL xD

Polegend Godgarina
Polegend Godgarina
5 years ago
Reply to  Marcelo

Wow at the TEA in this post.

Rasmus
Rasmus
5 years ago

Do you think this stage is high tech? There is now LED.

Hada
Hada
5 years ago
Reply to  Rasmus

LED screens are not the only form of technology

Mira
Mira
5 years ago

Allez les Bleus!

Rasmus
Rasmus
5 years ago

Estonia deserves it. France song about refugees when France is having so much problem in their country right now with them so i dont understand the song. Should every country take in unlimited amount of refugees? is that the message. Maybe a stupid question but i dont get the message. Israels message is easy to understand..

Marcelo
Marcelo
5 years ago
Reply to  Rasmus

I think it’s about the humanitarian message and how this situations can happen to anyone rather than “Europe should open their borders” message which is obviously dumb.

123
123
5 years ago
Reply to  Rasmus

Israeli’s message is easy to understand yes, only problem is that the message shown through the lyrics and the message that Netta talks about are 2 totally opposite messages…
and i don’t think France’s song is really that political…i mean, it talks about individual case of a mother and a child and not about refugees in general which would make it more politically driven….on the other hand, does it play on the sob story card? yes it does

Jo.
Jo.
5 years ago

The road is completely open for France. They can snatch it.
But why is Albania at 38th? I mean, even if you don’t like the song, you can’t rank him that low.

Lourdes
Lourdes
5 years ago
Reply to  Jo.

It doesn’t make any sense at all. It was 1 of the best and not only based on my personal opinion. Maybe it won’t win, but no way it has less chances to win than Romania, Latvia, Serbia and so on. I’m speechless!

Anti-Jo
Anti-Jo
5 years ago
Reply to  Lourdes

F off @Jo you piece of sh*t!
Hi @Lourdes, I think it is to do with the running order. Albania’s placing isn’t as good and also historically they haven’t been a sure qualifier. In this tough semi, his vocals are great but the song is not really a big hit like others.

Anita
Anita
5 years ago
Reply to  Anti-Jo

. I hope someone from wiwibloggs is going to delete rude comments like this one.

Marcelo
Marcelo
5 years ago
Reply to  Lourdes

According to bookmakers, Ireland, Croatia and Malta have more chances of winning than Switzerland, Poland and Albania. That’s the most clear sign that odds should be taken with a pinch of salt. Plus, we are heading towards a ESC 2011 dejavu, so maybe surprise random winner?

123
123
5 years ago
Reply to  Marcelo

Croatia has a better song then all of those mentiond…what are you smoking?

Marcelo
Marcelo
5 years ago
Reply to  123

Croatia? HAHAHAHAHAHA. Go Craaaayyyyyyyzzyyyyyy foooor youuuur loooove! Seriously, dude?

123
123
5 years ago
Reply to  Marcelo

“light me up light me up now babyyyyy”,
so whats your point? at least she wrote her own lyrics unlike most of the contestants who were given songs written by well known songwriters and they got lyrics that are cringely trash like Malta’s lyrics…animals criminals and sticks and stones….come on please…And Albania’s song is saved by the language but the melody is still old fashioned and unmemorable which is covered up by some amazing vocals…so yes i’m serious

Marcelo
Marcelo
5 years ago
Reply to  123

I never said Poland had amazing lyrics but the beat and the entire package saves the song. Sadly, Croatia has nothing: weird beat, dumb lyrics, awful pronunciation, pretentious concept. Just look at Croatia’s qualification odds and then we’ll talk.

123
123
5 years ago
Reply to  Marcelo

look, at the end of the day, its pointless to argue about our opinions cause everyone has different taste so we could argue till tomorrow….but you are acting like your taste is a criteria for quality, so get a reality check

Jamala
Jamala
5 years ago
Reply to  Jo.

Albania is out. The song is not good. Get over it.

Uria
Uria
5 years ago

Madame monsieur <3

Y tho?
Y tho?
5 years ago

Sorry but how possibly Albania lost ground after the rehearsals?

ieva
ieva
5 years ago
Reply to  Y tho?

It is actually the same, #38. They were #38 even before the song was actually announced. I remember Albania was in bottom in 2012 but she finished 5th.

Marcelo
Marcelo
5 years ago
Reply to  Y tho?

According to another page of odds, Albania just went from #36 to #35 in the winning odds, but no big move in the table. It’s sad considering no matter how superb Eugent’s performances are, bookmakers don’t seem to give him justice.

blondboybc
blondboybc
5 years ago
Reply to  Marcelo

The bookies are sleeping on Albania…no surprise there. He totally warrants the final. Hopefully the juries and public takes notice of this in the semi!

Nickfan
Nickfan
5 years ago

The victory could be ours this year ! France 2019 please !!!
I hope Madame Monsieur’s rehearsal will be classy, moving and an example of poetry in order to stay in the top 3 !