Cyprus Israel Ireland Eurovision 2018

Slow and steady wins the race. And no other Eurovision 2018 act has risen up the odds quite as slowly and steadily as Ireland.

Before Tuesday’s first semi-final, Ryan O’Shaughnessy and “Together” weren’t even expected to qualify. But now, after breaking into the bookies’ top ten following semi-final two, Ireland now sits at three in the overall odds table.

Ryan’s odds have been slashed by many bookmakers. Marathon Bet has reduced his chances of winning from 70/1 to 8/1.

Is the hype real? It’s worth remembering that most of the bookmakers listed by Oddschecker.com are based in either Ireland or the UK. Therefore, much of their odds could be driven by over eager local punters. However, at the same time, the British representative SuRie languishes at 23rd in the odds.

Another act on the move is Italy. They were virtually crowned victors of Eurovision 2017 before their arrival in Kyiv, only to miss out on the top five. This year the buzz has been much more low-key. But following last night’s jury show, Ermal Meta & Fabrizio Moro have risen from 11th to sixth.

However, in order for some to rise others must fall. Lithuania tumbles from fourth to seventh, while Norway’s slide continues. Alexander Rybak now sits at tenth after previously being as high as second.

Eleni Foureira from Cyprus retains the lead she established during rehearsals. How low her odds can go is anyone’s guess as we head into the Grand Final. After dipping slightly throughout the past two weeks, Israel’s Netta sits at two.

 

Balkan neighbours Serbia and Slovenia look like potential last place contenders. Lea Sirk and Sanja Ilic & Balkanika are both 750/1 at Boyle Sports.

We can expect odds to shift further as commentators react to tonight’s live grand final.

Full Eurovision 2018 Odds — Accurate: 14:40 CEST

Photo: EBU

 

YOU CAN GET MORE ODDS UPDATES HERE

 

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124 Comments on "Eurovision 2018 odds: Cyprus and Israel remain in the lead as Ireland climbs to third"

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Euphoric
Guest

7 minutes and I already fall asleep.

@EugeneESCUK
Guest

MY PREDICTIONS :-

So I have done the number crunching and this is it :-
.
My scoring says that 1 of these 3 will be the winner tonight :-
.
ISRAEL, FRANCE and CYPRUS
.
My “Dark Horse” is ESTONIA and I think ESTONIA deserves to win.
.
My Top 10 (in alphabetical order) is :-
.
BULGARIA
CYPRUS
ESTONIA
FRANCE
FINLAND
ISRAEL
IRELAND
ITALY
LITHUANIA
SWEDEN
.
Any of these 3 could are alternatives :-
.
Germany, Norway, Moldova
.

John Walsh
Guest

God it’s so bad
How did Slovenia qualify?

John Walsh
Guest

I hope it’s raining in Oz when the Aussie vote comes in lol

Mary Ellen Burke
Guest

Ok the bookies might be in Ireland and the uk so what ? They also drive the frenzie with Cyprus and Israel but google searches tell another story – these countries are not tops at all..

WhiteSox17
Guest

Impossible to predict anything this year. We just can share our hopes. I would be happy if the winner is a song with minimum of soul, depth and meaning, and not pure commercial crap just here to grab easy votes, that’s my only concern! So -apart from my own country- I’m gonna be with Italy, Albania, Germany, Bulgaria and Lithuania. With all my respect for countries who decided to sing in their own language, wich is a +++ for me. Kisses from Paris, France! Have a nice evening guys (and girls)!

ted
Guest

This is going to be one very exciting final. So many good songs and the votes are going to go everywhere!
The results part of the show will be compulsive viewing. SO EXITED!!!!
Eurovision 2018 – LET’S DO THIS!!!

pluto
Guest

or perhaps promise to buy votes from each other.. thats hows corrupt the eastern block countries are in all of this.
the song contest was so much better in the 1990s without these states coming into it with their negative draconian suppressed views, lack of freedom and lack of civil rights.
yuk

Jim
Guest

netta has a very original song with an important message. cyprus is just five chicks shaking their asses

sabine Monrosi
Guest

its a pity azerbaijan arent not in the final to give 12 votes to russia and vice versa

Kappes
Guest

Not that it’s important but I have nothing better to do before our party starts: what will your reaction be like when Greece gives its 12 points to Cyprus? The usual booing or a ‘hooray’ this time? 😀

digitalcrow
Guest
Cyprus song has only a nice show and a sexy singer but she doesn’t perform this song good not the greatest voice of the contest. I like Israel ,and if we vote for the song and not appearance then Cyprus’s best position should be 3rd or 4rd not better. Also Cyprus will be voted by Greece and maybe Albany too as always and it will have a boost. I think cyprious singer is nice but on this song she couldn’t show her voice skills and it was worse than the original/prerecorded song. Anyway if you want to vote for show… Read more »
Galit
Guest

No one looked at Cyprus song till now. That’s because it’s a shalow song..

Mask
Guest

This just confirms how terribly unreliable those betting odds are. From being last for six months, Ireland has got third overnight thanks to that one second censorship in China. Albania’s performance went completely OFF-AIR due to Chinese Government fearing a youth revolution from it, but it is Ireland the one which is generating buzz and getting sympathy votes from the Eurovision fan community. While Albania doesn’t need sympathy votes, it is shameful how Irish feel proud about them! That’s terribly disgraceful, really!

Ching Ming
Guest

Eugene is a typical international rockstar, surrounded by scandals, Chinese censorship and crazy controversies! He causes revolution wherever he goes and he is the only reason why American and Japanese press mentioned Eurovision this year. The Asahi Shimbun (Japan) had Eugene on the front cover, while Ryan was mentioned just as a footnote.

HAILSTORM
Guest

I know Eugene since 2007 but who is Ryan?

John Walsh
Guest

No Ireland’s odds shortened
before the Chinese censorship report

Anna
Guest

Ireland is the best song followed by UK, Germany, Denmark and Estonia. So, good reasons to be poud of themselves.

@EugeneESCUK
Guest

So any Top 10 predictions and winner prediction then?

Anita
Guest

unpredictable
Maybe top 10 : Israel, Cyprus, Schweden, Hungary, Moldova, Bulgaria, Italy, Estonia, Ireland, Norway

Winner I don’t know – i guess it will be Cyprus – because all of you say so.

Nate
Guest

I won’t complain if Ireland wins, tbh. It might be a surprise. I’m hoping for Ireland, Bulgaria or maybe Cyprus to win

@EugeneESCUK
Guest

It’s a very weird year, now 17:24, Cyprus is shortening again and Israel is drifting again, so typical of this year yo yo y’all. Ireland, Italy and Estonia are also shortening now (blue) all the rest in the top 10 are drifting (pink). Who are the “false” Favourites? And who are the real favourites? It’s crazy crazy.

Denise
Guest

#Fuego the best #Wegotlove the worst

POOL75
Guest

your “#” shoud be #welovetheworst

Boo
Guest

Good luck to all participants this evening, it’s feels like a very strange ESC with no Russia, Greece, Azerbaijan, Armenia and Romania – have we finally seen an end to diaspora voting? It looks like Cyprus year but I’ll be rooting for Albania, Italy and Portugal

Tuvddtgccj57g
Guest

We still have all bot-generated-generic-pop-songs from nordic countries thanks to block voting. After all, isn’t it what the esc is all about – promoting only certain countries?

Nikos
Guest

Cyprus is the winner and haters must calm down

Galit
Guest

See you in JERUSALEM, buddy

Sam
Guest

2018 became the biggest chance for Cyprus to win a contest in which small countries have little to say in the last few years. I’ll vote for Eleni and hope it makes Nicosia 2019 possible. The country deserves it.
Go Cyprus!!

Efi
Guest

The odds are very right. I really trust them. Cyprus is the ultimate Winner. Israel is 2nd by far. We are looking for the 3rd now…
Nicosia 2019

Shanfa Chai
Guest

.

@EugeneESCUK
Guest
You may remember a post I made here in mid-March saying I thought the betting Top 10 did not feel right to me and that some songs may be really overrated? Here’s what happened to those 7 countries. The first position is where the country was in the betting, the second is the current position in the betting:- (1st) Israel…………….………. (2nd)* (3rd) Czech Republic……(12th) (4th) Belgium……………….(DNQ) (5th) Australia……..……….(16th) (6th) Sweden………………….(6th)* (8th) Norway……………….(10th)* (10th) Netherlands………..(21st) The other 3 countries in the betting Top 10 at the time were :- (2nd) Estonia…………………(9th) (7th) Bulgaria…………..…(13th) (9th) France……….…………(4th) *Of the 7 only 3 remain… Read more »
Perrs
Guest

It will be very funny if Ireland wins (thanks to draw in final and before in semi, made by Bjorkam and Jon Ola) . EBU allow masive CGI for Norway, good draw for Sweden in semi and final . Bjorkam said and we read that before he quite Eurovision want to see Sweden break Ireland record of 7 th wins in Eurovision. Maybe he made mistake, and fix with draw not 7 th vicotry for Sweden but fix 8 th victory for Ireland.

Nicolas
Guest

The big 5 entries Uk, Germany, France running order 9/11/13 have been decided before even the SFs started. All is about money. Just put spain @2 so it ain’t not so suspicious.
The favorites who unfortunatly draw 1st half were doomedd since the beginning.

Wrong reply sorry, it was for Jonas message above.

Jonas
Guest

From the runingorder I would say that Ukraine was 3 or 4 in secondsemi. And if I understand the pattern right. Sweden, Moldova or Hungary was between 1-4 in their Semi. But Norway start as 7th so Norway should NOTbe top 4 in the semi.

TOP 4 SEMI 2
Ukraine, Sweden, Hungary, Moldavia

So the odds sholuld change in my opinion. Hungary and Moldova should have a better position than Norway.

Pure guessing. Am I totaly wrong?

@EugeneESCUK
Guest

Ukraine is 19th in the betting, I’d be very surprised if it came in the Top 4 in the Semi, let alone win it?

Leo M
Guest

I’m from Ireland and while I would love to see him win, I don’t think it is gonna happen. Anyway, RTE are in a bad financial situation they probably couldn’t host it and we don’t have a big enough venue either. Would like to see him get top ten though, that would be a great result

Alexx
Guest

If they teamed up with Aiken Promotions it would be no problem.

Denis
Guest

Ireland was far off worse during the 90s and managed to host 3 years in a row. And one of the arenas was a small one in the middle of nowhere

Luke A
Guest

Still Backing SuRie here, but would love France, Ireland, Germany or Estonia to win

@EugeneESCUK
Guest

UK is 23rd in the betting, the punters/bookies think it is going to be bottom 5!!

Pera
Guest

My prediciton TOP 26
1.Ireland
2.Cyprus
3.Norway
4.Sweden
5.Germany
6.Lithuania
7.Israel
8.Moldova
9.Italy
10.Bulgaria
11.Estonia
12.France
13.Australia
14.The Netherlands
15.Hungary
16.Serbia
17.Austria
18.Denmark
19.Ukraine
20.Albania
21.Czech Republic
22.Finland
23.Portugal
24.Slovenia
25.Spain
26.United Kingdom

@EugeneESCUK
Guest

Current Top 10 in the betting 16:47

1ST CYPRUS
2ND ISRAEL
3RD IRELAND
4TH FRANCE
5TH LITHUANIA
6TH SWEDEN
7TH ITALY
8TH GERMANY
9TH ESTONIA
10TH NORWAY

@EugeneESCUK
Guest
BETTING UPDATE AND MY GRAND FINAL ASSESSMENT . WHO HAS THE COMPLETE “WOW” PACKAGE TO WIN? . . Well the big day and who on this planet would have predicted this Top 10 back in mid-March? . This is the Top 10 in the betting this morning, (not my prediction, prediction to come later) :- . 1ST CYPRUS 2ND ISRAEL 3RD IRELAND 4TH FRANCE 5TH SWEDEN 6TH GERMANY 7TH ITALY 8TH LITHUANIA 9TH NORWAY 10TH ESTONIA . I said this year more than any of the last 5 years, staging will make a huge difference because there are no LED… Read more »
Stoped
Guest

Estonia

Anita
Guest

Eugene – the complete wow package depends on the competing songs – you need the comparison to stand out – but with a lot of good songs this is not really possible.
To me it is kind of wow that a post-metal band has won over so many people with their performance – and especially also people that usually don’t like thie genre. I think Hungary will do very well with the televotes and end up top 10 at least.

@EugeneESCUK
Guest
Anita – In my view there aren’t ANY WOW songs this year, ie 9/10s and 10/10s. They are so many songs with about the same score around 8/10. That is why it will come down to the vocals and the staging for the juries to decide and whoever is a WOW for the televoters and that is up to each voter to decide. For me ESTONIA and CYPRUS present the best complete WOW packages. It may not happen, but I think ESTONIA deserves to win but others have their own opinions of course. . I also hope HUNGARY do well,… Read more »
Ric
Guest

Great to see so many big 5 at the top…i think this is the first time in a long time

Edgar
Guest

I really want Ireland to win ?

Anita
Guest

Can somebody please explain to me, why Irelands is better in the odds than Germany?

James
Guest

I suppose Ireland is shining a light on a topic that is not very often discussed in some countries however though germany’s Song is good it’s just another song about the death of a relative.

Well well
Guest

Bookmakers are biggest in UK and Ireland, they tease to make more money. Happens everytime there’s a half-decent UK and Irish entry, although it’s never been as high as top 3.

Alexx
Guest

Oh dear. Eastern European?

Well well
Guest

You just had to throw in your racist poison, didn’t you?

Jo.
Guest

He’s actually right. Any little hype and both Ireland and UK are top 10 at the bookies.

defne
Guest

I believe this is because Ireland was in the semifinal, it was voted, it passed a test. This is why is not good to be big5.

Alexx
Guest

Exactly. It passed fair and square.

Alexx
Guest

Because you’re a bitter Bertha who doesn’t like gays.

@EugeneESCUK
Guest

It’s very simple Anita, more punters are betting on Ireland winning than Germany, just that. The Irish are very patriotic and like a good gamble. They could be wrong but just patriotic.

Anita
Guest

interesting – that might be the reason – and by doing so they might create votes, people who hope Ireland could win vote for it now.

sabine Monrosi
Guest

there are other factors
huge australian support huge support scandinavia
statistics
the positioning of the song
the last to be announced in semi final one
the song itself a beautiful ballad

Denis
Guest

Could be the later draw. Germany is in the first part where there are two similar ballads already. Ireland being late between up tempo songs. Plus Germany is big 5 so harder to win.
And then of course rehersals could be a factor. According to press Ryan did an amazing job.

sabine Monrosi
Guest

because irelands song is about love -it identifies with any form of love
whats germanys message?

ted
Guest

better staging by ireland possibly? It’s a song that people are talking about? It qualified from a strong semi final, beating some strong eurovision big guns?

I personally prefer the irish song over germany, but today bbc radio 2 played “you let me walk alone” and given a very nice introduction by the dj, Graham Norton. During the song, I almost cried. The introduction and the lyrics hit me on a personal level.
Best of luck to both songs.

Outlaw
Guest

“It’s a fine, fine line
Between whiskey, and water, and to wine
It’s a long way home
When you’re down and out and out here on your own” YAH

Paul Eurofan
Guest

I mean from the begin

Paul Eurofan
Guest

From the betún i was with Spain and stil i go for Spain

Reals
Guest

LOL remember when yall were super supportive of spain in the beginning

jonbs
Guest

France, Germany, Estonia, The Netherlands, Lithuania, Hungary. Would all be amazing winners.

George
Guest

When delusion turns persistent, it becomes a clinic mental illness.

Anita
Guest

It’s a pitty that the ethnic song in Greek didn’t qualify and the Swedish production for Cyprus is going to win.
Eurovision Cyprus 1997 – a really good song for that time (5th place).
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fw6pHabuXzM

Anita
Guest

But I must ad that the vocals and the staging were the reason for Greece not qualifying.

Roxy
Guest

Sad to see Greece go but they deserve this non-qualification. It had a great potential but they chose to mess it up with that staging.

ted
Guest

I loved the studio version of Greece. I had it tipped as a potential winning song. But then after stage version, it slipped due to bad staging. . This was a powerful song and needed to wow the audience. Something that a solo person on stage with a blue hand could not do. Better luck next year.

bbc radio 2 played the cyprus song today and it felt like a radio hit. The sun was shining and this feel good song that we could all sing along to

Blah
Guest
As much as i would love it i dont think ireland will do it…. i reckon its a top 10 finish though and hey who would have thought that starting out? The bookies odds are definately not a result of irish punters…. these odds are across the board with bookies right across Europe and while there is hype around the irish song now, the irish public never cared enough about eurovision to start hype! Plus the stat revealed yesterday that 34% of all bets to win were placed on Ireland yesterday makes me think he will have a very strong… Read more »
Emily
Guest

Why Cyprus ?
Why is wiwibloggs reporting so much about it ?
Why is it number 1 in the betting odds ?
What makes it so special ?

I really don’t get it …

Edgar
Guest

Me too. Of course it’s a good song/performance, but it’s not a winner. I am more than sure that bookies are highly mistaken.

@EugeneESCUK
Guest

They all have a big bet on it, and will lose big if it does not win!!!!!!

Stoped
Guest

For me its just club song nothing especially just again some hype.

James
Guest

All going well it’ll be Dublin 2019! It’s certainly a song that has a deep meaning! I’ll be happy as long as a good quality song wins! Good luck to all 🙂

Alexx
Guest

I would love to see a Eurovision in Dublin omg can you imagine how fun!!

Jonathan (UK)
Guest

LOL, you Irish micks are totally deluded!

s&s
Guest

Slovenia and Serbia aren’t neighbours (Croatia is between them).

Larn
Guest

Why is wiwi blocking people that dont want cyprus to win?

@EugeneESCUK
Guest

Because they have a big bet on it and will lose big if it does not win.

Jo.
Guest

Lol, I just wrote that I think Ermal will get 12 points from Albania instead of Eleni, and my comment went to the limbo.

AUS
Guest

I can’t see Slovenia, Serbia or the UK finishing Last.

Slovenia (israel 2015 dance song early, so potentially good finish)
Serbia (all the balkan votes)
UK (strong jury votes, plus Ireland, Malta, Australia public

Ron
Guest

There was a similar big late gamble on Lucie Jones last year, but she was nowhere near third favourite, so it can’t just be Irish punters who are betting on Ryan

EVITA
Guest
TOP 5 : 1 . ITALY ( nr #26 ) 2. HUNGARY ( nr #21 ) 3. FRANCE ( nr #13 ) 4. ALBANIA ( nr #12 ) 5. CYPRUS ( nr #25 ) TOP 10 : 6. ESTONIA ( nr #4 ) 7. IRLAND ( nr #24 ) 8. BULGARIA ( nr #18 ) 9. ISRAEL ( nr #22 ) 10. SWEDEN ( nr #20 ) TOP 15 : 11. NORWAY ( nr #7 ) 12. GERMANY ( nr #11 ) 13. FINLAND ( nr #20 ) 14. UKRAINE ( nr #1 ) 15. PORTUGAL ( nr # 8… Read more »
LydV
Guest

Nah, not Dublin. I mean, juries won’t really like him I think due to the rather weak vocals

Darren
Guest

To be fair, Ryan’s vocals are not weak. In fact I think he does nail them. Live sounds almost the exact same as the studio version. Falsetto is also a hard vocal to hit.

Kent
Guest

I think Eleni’s voice is even weaker. At least Ryan mostly hits his notes. The music and her backup singers drown Eleni’s voice. Her dancing makes up for her lack of voice though. We’ll see if juries play into her act.

James
Guest

Your right Eleni just kinda shouts!

Anita
Guest

Cyprus has weaker vokals.

Anita
Guest

Francesco Gabbani released a new song: Selfie Del Selfie
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M7QCGuznLMY

bsk
Guest

Actually is not a new single, but the ghost track of his latest album released a year ago. He just made a video using images from his live tour (some of them recorded by fans) as a way to thank the support of the 140,000 fans who attended his Magellano Tour. It´s a kind of a video-selfie of his live tour. This year even if he is still working in his new album, he will be making a mini-tour in some historic locations throughout Italy.

Anita
Guest

Thank you for the information!

Darren
Guest

I’m genuinely nervous about getting involved in The momentum that’s built up, and is actually continuing to build behind Ireland. I want to run with it, but I don’t know.
This voting will be so tight, so exciting and so so messy.
I don’t think Israel deserve to win. The song is great but the performance really definitely isn’t. It’s very awkward watching Netta spend the first few seconds of the song making chicken noises as she records her voice for that machine thing she has.
Prediction:
1. Cyprus
2. Ireland/France with other country takin get 3rd.

Anita
Guest

She isn’T using a vocal looper because it wasn’t allowed. They are doing it a-capella at the beginning. The thing infront of her is a visual kind of looper she – have you seen the “HEY”? So no voice recorded.

Darren
Guest

It’s still awkward watching her do it anyway. The staging is too 2008 too. I think it’s safe to say that Israel isn’t going to win. I predict 4-8 I need the final.
But again, this year has no clear favourite so who knows?

Well well
Guest

It’s a bit silly to ban Netta’s looper but allow Benjamin’s vocoder. Yes, the first is a recording, but it uses live vocals. I summon the vocoder is live, not a recording, but it’s practically autotune. Disclaimer: I’m not Cher so I don ‘t know everything about vocoders.

Aisling
Guest

I would be over the moon if we came second, it would be a dream come true…I’m so nervous I had a nightmare about Ryan singing the song too fast, then dropping the guitar and being like “I wanna play with the piano instead” – there must be a reason why I’m called Aisling

Karolina
Guest

Lets vote for LITHUANIA! Enough of fireworks, lets get real music, with a soul to win. Even if the running order sucks, lets prove them wrong! #04 #WhenWeAreOld ??

Emily
Guest

Love this song so much!

Alexander
Guest

Vote for Spain then, which is 100x times better than Lithuania

Asci
Guest

Cyprus isn’t winning. Why are people (mostly gays) so easily impressed by hairflips? It’s literally all she does in the performance. Some people are about to get a reality check tonight…

Kent
Guest

Hey…I consider myself gay but am not impressed by Eleni’s hair clips…I don’t think she deserves to win.

Dan
Guest

Me too! Baffled by Cyprus but I am ok if she wins cos it’ll make a whole lot of gays happy 🙂

somebody
Guest

wow someone is being presumptuous. how do you know “mostly gays” like this? did you do an survey amongst all gay people?

Roxy
Guest

Well, I don’t like Fuego at all but I started to accept it has a great chance of winning the whole thing. Now that Greece is out, all diaspora votes will go to her just like all Turkish votes went to Azerbaijan and they won in 2011.
(Though I should say Fuego is better than Running Scared)