It’s a country that rarely troubles the top end of the Eurovision scoreboard. But in the days following The Roop’s Pabandom iš naujo! victory, Lithuania has skyrocketed up the bookies’ rankings.
In our last odds update, the Baltic nation didn’t even feature inside the top 20. Now, Oddschecker’s odds comparison table has the country at second. Only perennial favourite Italy is attracting higher ratings.
Eurovision 2020 Odds: Lithuania second favourite to win — 18 February
Lithuania is riding a wave of hype that surpasses even that which surrounded Donny Montell in 2016. Then he achieved one of the country’s best-ever results. Could The Roop beat that? The group attracted a gigantic televote in the national final, and have occupied the number one slot on Spotify ever since.
The market is responding positively, and odds of 8.0 are available across the board.
Italy’s status as favourite stays steady. Its odds remain virtually unchanged at 6.0 in most outlets. Like The Roop, Diodato is enjoying immense levels of local success. He’s number one in a singles chart dominated by Sanremo acts.
Other Eurovision 2020 betting favourites
Despite an ever deafening silence, Russia remains third in the odds. It can be backed from 8.0.
Sweden falls two places to four. A series of lacklustre Melodifestivalen semis has seen the song contest powerhouse drift ever so slightly. It’s also available at odds of 8.0
The top five is rounded out by Norway. The Nordic nation selected Ulrikke’s “Attention” over the weekend. It’s trading at 10.0.
The top ten is completed by Malta, former favourites Australia, Bulgaria, Iceland and Denmark.
Eurovision 2020 Betting Odds — 18 February
- Italy — 6.0
- Lithuania — 8.0
- Russia — 8.0
- Sweden — 8.0
- Norway — 10.0
- Malta — 10.0
- Australia — 8.0
- Bulgaria — 12.0
- Iceland — 16.0
- Denmark — 11.0
Odds correct as of 20:00 CET 18 February.
Do you agree with the odds? Are the betting community getting a bit too excited a bit too soon? Let us know in the comments.
Follow all of our Eurovision 2020 odds here.
They definitely are winerrs very catchy song. Good homework?
wait, I had to check if they meant the same Italian song which I know. I loved Soldi but this is sooooo boring and unoriginal. My last place.
Now Lithuania is first in the odds!
‘On Fire’ is the best song so far and it could give Lithuania their best result or win, but it’s too early to tell because almost 30 songs haven’t been released yet.
Lithuania has especially bright personality, i mean main vocalist! Great charisma, very unique voice, super specific style, so strong feeling on a stage and support all over the world! This cool song spread soooo fast cause it deserves really the best! This year Lithuania really gonna rock!!!!
Lithuania is insanely good this year. I can’t stop listening to them. Everything about that performance screams awesome!
I want The roop to win Eurovision
I hope they win Eurovision 2020
I am waiting for Poland and Bulgarien song!
Good luck Lithuania
Lithuania will do very well, but I’m not sure about the win.. Still early to tell.
Since the very beginning I was against this song but now once I’ve been reminded about the surprising luck of Hey Mamma a few years back, I gotta admit this deserves so much better.
I like Lithuania this year but I don’t think it will win. We aren’t even halfway through the song reveals. I wish Lithuania success though this year, they deserve it. Definitely their most interesting entry ever. But I don’t think it will resonate with the viewers at home. They MIGHT just get their best result ever though which is a little win for them of course. Italy is a surprise number 1, especially seeing as they have had better years, but we’ll see. It’s not a bad song. As for Australia, Russia and Sweden in the top 10, that’s predicted… Read more »
Italy is very frequently number 1 and let’s admit, few times it has scored very high at Eurovision for no reason. Although I really liked Soldi last year.
Ah I quite enjoyed them 2017, 2018, 2019 and I could see their appeal in 2015. In fact Italy has been one of my fav countries since their return in 2011, (2012, 2013, 2014 where also some of my favorites) I can understand the hype usually because they enter strong songs of different genres while still staying true to who they are, Italy. A lot of the times I think they deserved their high score and at at times probably should have won the whole thing when they didn’t. If a Big 5 country is to win again soon, it’s… Read more »
For us Lithuanians 2nd or even 3rd place would be the most devastating thing ever because then the victory would have been so close, closer than any other time in ESC history and that time might never come again.
I would rather be happy to get a 20th place or even not get to the final at all instead of ending up 2nd or 3rd.
Surely I’m dreaming right now, does my country really have a chance of winning????!!!!!!!
There is something really weird about the way this guy dances, I want to laugh, but at the same time I can’t look away.
My two favourite songs are 1st and 2nd in the odds. Well, guess I’ll enjoy it while it lasts.
If Lithuania will win esc, that will completely win of baltics, first Estonia 2001, then Latvia 2002, and this year Lithuania 2020.
And all 3 will have forgettible and pretty trashy winners if that’s the case
I won’t hear a bad word said about Everybody, that song is perfect.
Poland also is baltics
They’re not lol
no
Lithuania is amazing – energy, dance, vibe, most views on YouTube, THIS is a song! Hope they will be winners, really something different and positive!
Lithuania – number 1. On fire!
Why worry at all? Do you have another favorite? Are you afraid your favorite song may not win because of Lithuania? It seems like all you care about is making people believe “On Fire ” will sink. But you cant deny a huge amount of people like this song. Why dont you just let them be happy about the country that usually doesnt do very well? Personally you may not be fond of this particular song, but why all this negativity?
So many songs left.. jeez.
On Fire is 2020 Hey Mamma. I believe they can be top 3 like Sunstroke project
The Hey Mamma song was hideous. Can’t believe it got so high and although I’m not a fan of this song of the Roop, I really hope it at least has some class and shouldn’t be compared to that tasteless madness.
A quirky song by a skinny man with a funny dance that racks up millions of views on YouTube and Spotify and euro fans quickly declare the winner incapable of being toppled without knowing more than half the songs and then the novelty wears off as the rehearsals start. Two words: occidentallis karma.
So? Italy came 7th that year so….
The 7th place would be very good for the Roop. The highest Lithuania has ever been is 6th place.
Italy placed 6th, Romania placed 7th
Let me tell you something. Better to have quirky song and to be a skinny man with a funny dance that racks up millions of views on YouTube and Spotify than to be such as weak human as you are. Disrespectful, rude and weak! Do you know why weak?? Because all weak people trying to get attention by insulting others! By the way karma is a bi… so keep insulting other and you gonna see.
And here coming people who are respectful to each other so please, go and try to find your peace!
I doubt Lithuania will drop even bellow top5 when all the songs are known.
I want The Roop to win. They have everything. Televote will love this crazy dance and funny vibe, and jury will appreciate the aesthetic, artistic side of the song.
The official music video for On Fire just hit one million views, the Eurovision video has 800K and their semi-final performance has almost 780K. Holy crap.
Not surprising in this time of meme culture.
Could you do me a favor? Listen to the lyrics again, especially the first, entering part of the song? It’s minimal, but powerful.
Once Russia will be published it will stay at the top until the final. This year is cool because the songs are so bad that Russia will win with 200 points margin.
Wow another troll woke up from under his rock. Hi, how are ya
The world got enough Russians to throw money for Russia every year. No surprises.
Even if you send I Won’t Break v2?
Italy is so overrated this year. I don t see Italy in TOP 5 even TOP 10 this year. For me only song from 2014 and 2020 is not good ( from 2011 to 2020 my TOP from Italy 2019,2015,2018,2013,2012 then 2017,2016,2011,2014,2020)
Wish everyone would calm down. Eleven songs so far….it’s catchy and fun and has funny dance moves, but winner? Give me a break. The juries will see to that. Once we’ve heard Russia, Bulgaria, Azerbaijan and seen which of “Rebellion” or “Passe-Partout” wins FDC in Portugal, we’ll know a lot more. Who knows? Even the UK may surprise us!!!!
The day UK surprise us must come eventually!
UK will not be winning one anytime soon, due to the political aspect of voting, sadly. No matter who they send or how good the artist they always finish near the bottom. It’s gotten that bad if I were them I’d just send a Sylvia Night style troll entry for the laugh.
Still, the reason why the UK get bad results is that their songs are way below the average when they are one of the biggest music industries in the World so it looks as if they couldn’t care less. The current global image of the UK doesn’t help, that’s true but that’s not the main reason. Azerbaijan, Russia, Israel… All are facing image problems in many places and yet they are able to win.
“La La La” – ESC Winner in 1968. Case and point.
Yes juries, yes Franco, yes suspicions, but it is still a song with a lot of La.
“Su cancion” (Spain 1979, 2nd place) holds the record with 152 “la”‘s.
“La La Love” anyone?
These betting odds always make me laugh, they are always wrong, almost every year. Sweden always in top 10 and no chance for winning. Same for Iceland or Denmark…. Oh, and the cherry on top…Australia, with that awful, weak song…. It’s hilarious :))))
Lol If any of them ends up in top 5, you’re the one who will be a joke.
Sweden will be in the top5 if they select Dotter 🙂
Denmark is there for a reason. Ben&Tan’s Yes is a great song
Except the odds correctly predicted two recent ESC winners WEEKS before the show. And also Australia’s song is awesome. So it’s both your points that are actually weak.
I proved my love for this song this w-e but perhaps 2nd is a bit too much^^ Still, and I don’t know why, I want to see Lithuania winning the contest! And the singer of The Roop seems to be a really nice guy, very humble 🙂
He’s a Krishnaite lol
He’s not. He’s a vegan though. Ieva Zasimauskaite is a Krishnaite.
This comment is highly speculative but I feel that there will be no clear number one favourite going into the first rehearsals (where everything is going to change). An open year which hasn’t been the case for some time. I mean none of the selected acts so far has “the winning aura” around them and the national selections seem to have the same case. Melfest semi 4 has potential but then again it’s still hard to win the final in Sweden so they might not send the clear Eurovision favourite even if there was one. Dotter could be a contender… Read more »
Ok from the ridiculous to the sublime lol
There’s only 11 songs so far and you’re already predicting no clear number one? It’s not even 1/3 of songs released. Lol
U can’t be weird in Eurovision unless you are gay or have me too issues. That’s what u all think. But. Go Lithuania.
Russia #3 without a song!
Last year was worse being #1 without the song at that time.
Sweden an Russia don’t need a song to be in top 3 LOL
Yes it’s a scandal, should be #1
Why not just crown Russia the winner and spare them the work in putting out a song?
Spare us from hearing their usual Kirkorov and Greek guy sh^t
I want Lithuania to win, but not with this song. And I don’t think the Jury would even allow that to happen.
Not the jury, but the televote.
Both, when more songs will be known, nobody will even remember that weirdo with his dancing
Sweetie, you’re back?? Found a new platform to unfold?
Just to let everyone know, ana is so bitter over Lithuania’s Eurovision entry, that (s)he feels the need to comment on everything that is released about them. Something tells me you’re obsessed with the Roop! Is the heat getting higher? Cheers, babe!
Something tells me you can’t stand other peoples opinions, I can’t stand their entry as well. And it’s being hyped like it won the contest, so people speak their mind about it. You might shut up and do their !diotic dance as you leave the chat.
Don’t tell me what to do and I won’t tell you where to go, babe! 😀 and has anyone told you that opinions are like aholes? Especially when you have nothing constructive to say. So yeah, I might very well do their dance, if I feel like it, would definitely make me happier than your sad and salty a$$! ON FIRE, baby!
:))) said the biggest specialist of Eurovision 😀 I bet you cant repeat this or any other dance :))
Cluck cluck, Netta’s calling. Third with the jury, first with the televote. And guess what, she won
Sweden, Italy, Russia and Norway based on their reputation and previous efforts have been in the top5 since January, and they’re pretty much in the top5 every year, even without the songs. Lithuania however climbed all the way from the bottom to 6th, and it keeps rising gradually, now being 2nd.
I am waiting for Poland song
I don’t usually like Lithuanian entries but the roop scored the most televotes ever in Lithuania and that says a lot. They will do so well with televoting but I worry that juries will ignore this amazing perfomance.
They didn’t ignore Netta. The way this song has built hype and the specific way it’s being appreciated by the fans/dividing opinions give me major Netta vibes. I’m being careful, but I can’t not think about it.
Also: it’s apparently getting radio play in the Netherlands and is nearing the top 20 of the Greek iTunes charts.
As a Greek I can tell you when everyone hears about the song in May it would go even higher, we love this kind of music
That’s been an interesting pattern. At least a couple of Greeks and Cypriots on the YouTube video have said that they usually don’t pay Lithuania much attention, but they really dig this particular song. (And, indeed, Greece and Cyprus both have the song scaling the iTunes charts – the only other countries with concrete data about how it’s charting are Latvia and – surprise – Lithuania. Somebody on the YouTube video said the song was all the way at #4 on Cyprus’ iTunes charts, but I can’t see anything to back that up).
It was 4th on cypriot itunes, last weekend
Indeed it’s interesting, Lithuania is not one of the countries that Greece/Cyprus tend to vote or even care about its song as with Russia/armenia/Italy that many times chart in Greek market. The fact that even us care about the roop shows the appeal that this entry has. I would love to see them winning for the first time even if we don’t vote each other 😛
Juries are very famous in not liking daring and experimental entries. I asked Santa Claus to show me those people from juries, so I can see them faces, but my dream has never came true.
Jamala, Netta, Dihaj, Aminata, and Mahmood would all like a word with you…
I’m talking about VERY daring, experimental and unique performaces. Hatari. I know this music is not for everyone, but juries voting was simply ridiculous. You can vote me down, but my point will remain the same.
Aminata was practically avant-garde by Eurovision standards.
And at the end North Macedonias song from vibes of 1995 was a juries winner??? God, help me.
Because there was nothing else wothy to win. The rest was bull. No wonder they won with such a margin. However, winning a national selection with huge margins doesn’t mean a secure win in Eurovision. Sweden knows 😀
Say Na Na Na qualified easily but this doesnt deserve? Stop the hating on lithuania because it doesnt suit your cheap pop taste.
The hype is well deserved. It’s their best entry and probably It would be their best ever result in May
As a greek I wouldn’t mind Lithuania winning. Their song is a bop, the staging is bomb, the voice is really good and just everything about this entry is amazing. I’ve never supported a eurovision entry so much before. Vilnius 2021!
You keep people forgetting that The Roop is something Eurovision never had. My slowanie was a cheap pop song with big boobs. That’s it. Telemoveis did a crap performance and messed it up. THE ROOP ISNT GOING TO CHANGE ANYTHING THAT HAS WON THE FINAL FOR THEM. and btw, this is not cheap pop. The instrumental has alternative vibes. You just have to be brainless to compare it to my slowanie, sorry.
Btw keep disliking, but that wont help your song in may.
You just cant compare the quality of the sound to any cheap pop. Prove me wrong, cmon.
Weird dancing/ performances is nothing new on eurovision. And the lyrics is not written by a genius.
Lithuania deserves this so much!!! With Latvia and Estonia both already having won i think it is time for another baltic country to SHINE!!!
I know people will disagree but I cannot see this song placing high. Separating personal taste, I find the song slightly too intense and a casual viewer is not going to be inclined to vote for it and Eurofans need to learn they have absolutely zero voting power – the general public are the one’s with the power. The song is just a bit much at this stage, if they stage it the same way I wouldn’t be shocked to see it NQ, it’s rather unserious but attempts to be serious (at least with My Slowanie it was clear what… Read more »
Well I think u know this song from GENERAL PUBLIC received 50k votes in lithuania and had the all time record in televoting. People who have listened for the first time in the final, loved it. Cant see it happening other way round mate. Song is too intense – not too strong of an argument.
You also need to remember that the Lithuanian public voted for the song. The same way Germany voted for Sister and the UK voted for Bigger Than Us – what they hear is not what Europe hears 🙂
Well yes but the difference is we had so many decent songs that would reach final if they were selected. Germany and UK chose the least bad option. Stop hating on Lithuania.
Variations in taste does not automatically mean I am hating on them. They were in my top 20 every year since 2015… (except 2017 but we don’t talk about that)
Should I say it?
I heard the greek song
Greece is gonna be a fan favourite this year
PS: I can give out some details for the ones who will doubt this 😛 <3
Wow I trust you. I have heard New Zealand’s song. Gonna do well with the juries.
Lol I was sure. Ok, come back here when you hear Stefania’s high note in the bridge… xD ( 1st thing revealed )
You didnt know!
You know anything else? Because I can reveal more elements but I dont want you to just repeat them after me… So go ahead
New Zealand are always overrated with the jury’s whereas Djibouti send quality every year and don’t get appreciated 🙁
I genuinely listened to it. If you downvote my comments because you dont wanna know more, I can respect this. But I did listen to it and I can describe it to whoever wants to learn.
I am not. Say you want to learn more and you’ll have another element, but I want you to ask for it now.
You can save them somewhere and come back when the song is revealed to see if I was telling the truth or not 🙂
This is so dumb to even check the betting odds when about 30 songs are yet to be revealed. Many of them are not even been chosen yet! How is this a useful information? How are people getting exited over that?
C u in Lithuania 2021!
Sorry but look at other national selections this year. Songs are crap, even worse than last year. Selected songs are bad too, apart from the Top 2. This year I can only see Italy, Lithuania, or anyone with a private selection win. Bulgaria, Russia, Azerbaijan, who knows maybe Germany?
What hype? Iva has a Top 20 song, all I can say about. Nothing special.
Super cool song, I enjoy it a lot. Not a winner, but hopefully this gets Lithuania their first top 5 placing!