Denmark’s Emmelie de Forest

Well, folks, we all know this year will likely be closer than last year’s Swedish landslide.  With no Balkan nations in the Final, who knows where those votes will swing. And with so many solid northern European countries this year, will that make it hard for a Scandinavian repeat?

As you know, William and I take predictions, polls and betting very seriously.  So we up’ed our game this afternoon and combined all of the polls and predictions we have to make one combined final ranking ahead of tonight’s Final.

That’s right, y’all, we combined the Fan Poll results, the Wiwi Jury rankings, the Press Poll predictions, and the betting agencies’ odds into one final prediction.

And here it is — Denmark is the number one favourite when all is said and done.  But it ain’t a landslide, folks. Azerbaijan is a pretty close second, followed very tightly by the Netherlands and Ukraine. Norway takes 5th, and Germany, Sweden, Georgia, Ireland and Romania round out the Top 10.

And yes, as discussed all this time, Spain, Estonia and Armenia are predicted to be the biggest losers of the night.

What do you think?  Do we finally have a scientific way of predicting the results? Or did someone put weed in our smoothies this morning?

Aggregate Ranking Country Average Ranking Across Polls Fan Poll Wiwi Jury Press Poll Bookies
1 Denmark 2 3 2 3 1
2 Azerbaijan 4 1 5 5 5
3 Netherlands 5 4 1 6 8
4 Ukraine 5 5 3 9 3
5 Norway 7 8 6 12 2
6 Germany 9 9 7 7 11
7 Sweden 9 12 8 1 13
8 Georgia 10 24 4 2 9
9 Ireland 11 13 10 8 12
10 Romania 12 2 16 14 14
11 Malta 12 6 14 13 16
12 Russia 13 16 11 19 4
13 Finland 13 15 16 10 10
14 Italy 14 14 19 15 6
15 United Kingdom 15 11 21 11 15
16 France 15 23 9 4 22
17 Greece 15 7 23 23 7
18 Belarus 15 10 13 18 19
19 Moldova 18 17 15 20 18
20 Iceland 18 18 18 17 20
21 Lithuania 19 20 12 21 23
22 Hungary 20 21 20 22 17
23 Belgium 21 22 26 16 21
24 Spain 24 19 25 26 25
25 Estonia 24 25 22 24 26
26 Armenia 25 26 24 25 24

Photo: Sander Hesterman (EBU)

You can read our song reviews on the Wiwi Jury page. Then read the lyrics to this year’s entries on our contestants page. And then vote for your favourite contestants in our various polls.

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MOON-FLOWER
Guest

A
Z
E
R
B
A
I
J
A
N

Fikri
Guest
Fikri

damn, good job wiwibloggs! you guys are right!

SAVALAN
Guest
SAVALAN

Well, it’s not about press poll, bookies’s vote etc.. Everything will be clear at night. I know that Azerbaijan, Russia and Denmark will be in top 5 and maybe Ukraine – Norway/Germany too.

nikki
Guest

yeah Azerbaijan will be winner inshallah good luck

Anaconda
Guest
Anaconda

This looks very realistic and reflects my own predictions. I think this is pretty much how it will look like, of course with some +/-3 for everyone (including for top) and a couple of major unpredictable surprises.

scarlish
Guest

yeah i think someone put weed this morning for you malta should be at top three at least .

David
Guest
David

Georgia is the best by jury’s results. That means this song deserves to win. Just go for it Georgia!

Steff
Guest
Steff

Romania will be higher! And so the UK, I hope!