Eurovision isn’t just intrguing for its intoxicating mix of music and mayhem. It’s also interesting because of the inevitible controversies (real or imagined) over bloc voting and allegations of fraud and corruption. If we look into our crystall ball we know we’ll see one thing next year: dram-uh, honey!

But this morning I spied something else in my crystall ball. Let’s rewind to the second semi-final of Eurovision 2012. The running order went as follows:

09. Slovenia

10. Croatia

11. Sweden

Both Slovenia and Croatia failed to make it through, and Sweden’s Loreen wound up winning.

Now, fast forward to the first semi-final at Eurovision 2013. The running order went as follows:

03. Slovenia

04. Croatia

05. Denmark

Once again Slovenia and Croatia crashed out, and Denmark’s Emmelie de Forest went on to win it all.

As every real Eurovision knows, the running order wasn’t decided by the drawing of numbers this year, but instead by producers. Were they trying to recreate 2012 in 2013? The new formula for success appears to be follow two Balkan failures, and win…

If it’s not a coincidence, Croatia should be proud of the fact that it is the only country that has the ability to  predict  the winner. At least for the past two years, anyway.

Mario Saucedo contributed this report from Croatia. Follow the team from on Twitter @wiwibloggs. And while you’re at it, like our Facebook page to stay up-to-date with the latest Eurovision news and gossip.

Photo: (EBU)

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8 years ago

Next time they’ll have to put Slovenia and Croatia last in their semifinal and in the final, just to be fair to all the other entrants.

8 years ago

In the previous 3 years or so, the strongest predictor for winner was Romania. For the last 3 years before 2013, the winner was always the song that performed in the final in the position Romania had performed the previous final.

This year the cycle only broke because Romania repeated its position in the running order, so let’s watch next year.

Stephen Colville
Stephen Colville
8 years ago

You can tell It’s Eurovision off-season.

Mario Saucedo
Mario Saucedo
8 years ago

Thank you very much and cheers to Wiwi for revamping my article and being the best ‘coach’ since my first article <3

Martin Palmer
8 years ago

Only us Eurovision fans could be SO obsessive to spot something like this…