Over the past six weeks the Wiwi Jury—our in-house panel of musical unprofessionals—has been busy writing reviews and coming up with our preferred rankings. But now it’s time for us to predict who we think will qualify, rather than who we want to qualify. We polled our 19 jurors, who hail from the UK, US, Croatia, Romania, Hungary, Finland, Austria, Australia and beyond. After hours of cat-fighting we can now present our predictions. The percentage represents the percentage of our jurors who think the act will qualify for the final. 0% means none of us think they’re going through…Please note that in instances where countries received the same percentages we have listed them in running order, not preference.

You can see the percentages below along with a few of our collective thoughts. You can click on the song title to see read our entire review.

Predicted to qualify…

1. Armenia: Aram Mp3 – Not Alone 100%

Aram Mp3 brings a good dub-step number packed full of emotion. It ignores politics and instead calls on people in difficult situations to remember that they are not alone. It’s a powerful statement, and one that deserves a spot in the final.

2. Sweden: Sanna Nielsen – Undo 100%

The bookies are going wild over this, but some have suggested that there are parallels with 2010 when Anna Bergendahl failed to make the final. Yes, Sweden does not have a lot of Scandinavian friends to count on besides Iceland in its semi-final. Fortunately Sanna Nielsen has one of the strongest Swedish songs of the decade and probably comes second only to Loreen in terms of song quality. ‘Undo’ should appeal to a broad spectrum of voters. Stylists have re-worked Sanna’s look and she no longer looks 40.

3. Russia: Tolmachevy Sisters – Shine 100%

Given the escalating violence and bloodshed in Ukraine, Europeans may want to punish Russia for its annexation of Crimea, especially in former Soviet Republics who may worry that they will be the next to fall prey to Putin. That said, we are still confidant that Russia will reach the final, but they do have an uphill battle to crack the top 10. The performance is so unique that people might vote for the song just because of its staging.

4. Azerbaijan: Dilara Kazimova – Start a fire 100%

Azerbaijan is another “qualify by name” country. However, like Ukraine they always bring a quality entry. While their rumored methods aren’t as crystal clear as other nations, that doesn’t negate the fact that Azerbaijan tries very hard each year, and reaps the benefits. Dilara can sing all day long, the song has a beautiful instrumental, and don’t let all the “top 37” lists fool you, Dilara will do well in televoting too.

5. Ukraine: Mariya Yaremchuk – Tick Tock 100%

While Ukraine could be considered a “qualify by name” nation, that shouldn’t distract you from the fact that they bring quality in one form or another each year, and deserve their constant presence in the final. Mariya is a great vocalist, her show oozes a guilty pleasure quality, and it’s just a complete package. We also love her dress, which is made of curtains.

6. Hungary: András Kállay-Saunders – Running 100%

Unique theme with danceable backing. András has a perfect voice and a powerful and sensual personality. His dancers tell the story perfectly. Hungary has choosen wisely again.

7. Moldova: Cristina Scarlat – Wild Soul 80%

Moldova tend to qualify quietly and under the radar. Cristina is completely underrated and she’ll easily slip through the net and into the Grand Final. ‘Wild Soul’ is nothing but memorable and Cristina has a great voice – both key ingredients that should lock her into the psyche of televoters and juries alike.

8. Estonia: Tanja – Amazing 80%

There must be at least one true euro dance song in the grand final and this is a very good one. Tanja sings amazingly and the choreography looks great. We are sure that it will get enough votes from juries and televote to get to the final, and maybe place well there.

9. Belgium: Axel Hirsoux – Mother 70%

This is 2014’s ‘Suus’. Destined to divide critics and split them down the middle. Axel’s vocals will win over the juries with ease, even if the televote may not be that strong. The Netherlands are also voting in this semi-final, which never hurts Belgium’s chances of qualification.

10. Montenegro: Sergej Cetkovic – Moj Svijet 60%

Beautiful ballad from Montenegro. Finally they send something without madness and we think voters will be grateful for that.

Predicted to go home…

11. The Netherlands: The Common Linnets – Calm after the storm 40%

There’s people who will vote for Montenegro and there’s people who will vote for The Netherlands. They are both beautiful ballads, but still very different. We think that Montenegro has better chances to get to the final as people might forget The Netherlands more easily and their performance is quite forgettable compared to Montenegro’s.

12. San Marino: Valentina Monetta – Maybe (Forse) 30%

We really wish Valentina the best but if Crisalide wasn’t good enough for the final, Maybe probably won’t be either.

13. Portugal: Suzy – Quero Ser Tua 30%

This song is good for a summer party but not for Eurovision. After the first verse it becomes a bit too repetitive. We are glad they’re back but they need a better song than this.

14. Albania: Hersi – One Night’s Anger 10%

Hersi is great singer, but the song is just way too forgettable. Juries might appreciate it a bit, but it doesn’t have a chance to get that many televotes.

15. Latvia: Aarzemnieki – Cake to bake 0%

It’s a cute song but can’t compete with Armenia, Sweden or Hungary. They don’t take the competition seriously enough. It might get some sympathy votes, but not enough to reach the grand final.

16. Iceland: Pollapönk – No Prejudice 0%

The message is very important, but their performance is messy and there’s not enough kids to get them to the final. Juries won’t appreciate the song at all, so this would need lots of televotes to get to the grand final.

You can also keep up with the latest Eurovision news and gossip by following wiwibloggs.com on Twitter and Facebook.

28 Comments
Newest
Oldest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Patrick
Patrick
9 years ago

Fun to see how wrong the polls/predictions can be!!

Iceland 0%, San Marino 30% and Netherland 40% are in!

80% (2x) and 70% for Moldova, Estonia and Belgium seemed like good odds but that got them nowhere. At least all the 100% options on the list qualified 😉

Angela
Angela
9 years ago

See comment below, that is the position in Itunes in each country for the Dutch song.

I am happy that quality is rewarded.

Hup Holland!

Angela
Angela
9 years ago

The Dutch entry is going to the finals and their song “Calm after the storm ” from the Common Linnets has exploded on Itunes.

1-Netherlands
2-Latvia
3-Sweden
5-Denmark
15-Finland
19-Norway
22-Ireland
24-Hungary
26-Belgium
41-Poland
50-Switzerland
86-Russia
87-Spain
88-Lithuania
95-UK
110-Germany
195-Slovenia

Elmi
Elmi
9 years ago

NETHERLANDS WON THIS!!!

take THAT WiWi 😀

Milan DR
Milan DR
9 years ago

ICELAND!!! 😀

leglaude69
leglaude69
9 years ago

I definitely want the Netherlands to qualify ! This is the best song this year and will get all my votes tonight.

Tha
Tha
9 years ago

Hope to see The Netherlands, Montenegro, Hungary, Armenia, Estonia, Sweden, San Marino, Albania and Portugal on the Final 😀

Nicky
Nicky
9 years ago

Hi everyone! After the long wait it is finally here: the first semi-final of the Eurovision Song Contest Copenhagen 2014! I think this is a much stronger semi-final in contrast to the second semi-final on Thursday which is weaker imo. This is my top 16 of the first semi-final tonight: 01. Sweden 02. Russia 03. Portugal 04. Belgium 05. San Marino 06. Montenegro 07. Moldova 08. Ukraine 09. Netherlands 10. Estonia 11. Latvia 12. Hungary 13. Azerbaijan 14. Albania 15. Armenia 16. Iceland In this semi-final I’ll vote for: Sweden, Russia, Portugal, San Marino and Montenegro. Of course I hope… Read more »

Emmanuel UK-RO
Emmanuel UK-RO
9 years ago

Sweden is too generic. i hope they go home so soo badly.
I think that montenegro is 100% because it’s the only balkan-ballad this year, so it’s probably going to get a much higher place than expected, much like serbia in 2012.

Aleksi
Aleksi
9 years ago

Russia go home and The Netherlands stay.

Rashad
Rashad
9 years ago

I agree with the list. I’m actually looking forward to the final. Semi finals are usually predictable.

Nebi
Nebi
9 years ago

I hope that you are very wrong. I want the most entertaining final possible and it has to include Portugal, Iceland and Latvia Take out Moldova, Belgium and Estonia and I’m happy. I would actually like Armenia removed since it’s not really a song but rather a Gregorian Chant repeating the same phrase over and over with interesting backing tracks.

1eurovision Video
1eurovision Video
9 years ago
Dhani
9 years ago

i think that Iceland will qualify sure 100%. Latvia has a chance i think, because everything about it reminds me of Malta last year.

And i think The Netherlands will qualify, because i think the juries will love it.

Clara
Clara
9 years ago

Moldova wont go into the final BC NO neighbours competing in this semi final.I dont know why you just don’t base ur prediction on these stats..

Youre gonna be like no in esc theres no political voting but sadly yes.But however good songs never get underrated so Moldova is not that good sorryyy

Sofie
Sofie
9 years ago

I don’t think Moldova will qualify this year. It looks so silly when she pulls her fake hair off, and I think people will laugh about that!

Dan RO
Dan RO
9 years ago

I really hope you are wrong! I want The Netherlands in the final, and Axel home to Bruxelles by the end of the show!!!

WishmeLuck
WishmeLuck
9 years ago

The Netherlands will Qualify 100% for sure and Moldova will Not Qualify this year, mark my words.

Julian
Julian
9 years ago

🙂 don’t know about Koza Mostra (they represented Greece which is a brand in itself) but Zdob si Zdub is a well established and very popular band that has/had concerts on all the big stages (10-20 countries) in Central and Eastern Europe from Germany to Moscow.

Julian
Julian
9 years ago

Very impressive prediction. I would put Moldova at 50-60% but the rest is spot on in my opinion.

Thiefo
9 years ago

About Iceland, don’t underestimate these fun acts, just remember acts like Koza Mostra or Zdob ?i Zdub, many people didn’t think they would qualify before their semi finals, but at the end people remember them and vote for them.

suzy will win
suzy will win
9 years ago

I wanna know what drugs you’re high on

adriana_gabriela
adriana_gabriela
9 years ago

Russia and Moldova i guess will go home and Albania will qualify in the final

Vlad
Vlad
9 years ago
Fatima
Fatima
9 years ago

I have SMR / POR / NED instead of your HUN / BEL / MNE.
I think you’ve all underestimated the sympathy vote which will be received by San Marino, because the one thing the national presenter is going to say about her is that this is her third attempt to get to the final. Like Sanna at Melodifestivalen, she’ll benefit from a “it’s her turn” sentiment.

R
R
9 years ago

Poor Valentina. She can never catch a break. 🙁

Timselvision
Timselvision
9 years ago

I´m not sure about Russia and Moldova. Moldova failed to qualify in 2008, why not now? And Russia was 9th in the semis in 2011 when they had also a bad song but without political issues. Of course Azerbaijan and Armenia will throw some points at it, but the west countries are not amused by Putin´s actions, nor Ukraine is, so they won´t get high points from them. I would say 60% sure for qualifying.

MoOn-FLoWeR
9 years ago

A
Z
E
R
B
A
I
J
A
N