Producers at DR have released the running order for the grand final of Eurovision 2014. Ukraine’s Mariya Yaremchuk will open the show, and the UK’s Molly will close it out. Pre-contest favourite Aram Mp3 from Armenia is performing seventh, while current favourite Sanna Nielsen from Sweden is singing 13th. Our analysis of the running order follows below. But for now here is the start order.

Running order for the Eurovision final

  1. Ukraine
  2. Belarus
  3. Azerbaijan
  4. Iceland
  5. Norway
  6. Romania
  7. Armenia
  8. Montenegro
  9. Poland
  10. Greece
  11. Austria
  12. Germany
  13. Sweden
  14. France
  15. Russia
  16. Italy
  17. Slovenia
  18. Finland
  19. Spain
  20. Switzerland
  21. Hungary
  22. Malta
  23. Denmark
  24. The Netherlands
  25. San Marino
  26. United Kingdom

So, what do we make of this order? Here are some of our key thoughts:

First Half

1) Ukraine is being used to get people’s attention at the beginning of the show, but it’s a serious shame for Mariya, who has a stellar act. She must not have placed top in her semi, though, or else she would not have been seen as ‘sacrificeable’.

2) Sweden clearly won her Semi as she has been placed as late as possible in her half of the draw. If you look at the next songs after her, none of them is a serious contender (France, Russia, Italy, Slovenia, Finland), showing that the EBU wants her to stand out even more.

3) Armenia must not have the chances people once thought Aram MP3 had. Otherwise he wouldn’t have been sandwiched in between Norway, Romania, and Montenegro, which are all quality acts. Our theory is that all four of these acts were 3rd/4th/5th qualifiers from their semi and so putting them back-to-back will build attention without harming the final results too much.

4) Greece and Austria likely placed top in their semi tonight, because they have been sandwiched between less contending acts Poland and Germany toward the end of the first half.

5) Not a surprise, but Belarus and Iceland clearly didn’t do that well in their semi qualifications as they have been allotted 2nd and 4th.

6) The first half of the show is stacked. It reminds us of 2011 when all of the best acts were also in the front…

Second Half

7) Hungary and the Netherlands have been given magic spots – Hungary in particular, with no huge threats in Kallay-Saunders’ immediate vicinity.

8) The UK has been placed last, signifying that the EBU thinks the same of them as they do of Ukraine. A great way to end the show, but not a real winner. The same cannot be said for Spain, which has been given a magical 19th spot, sandwiched by a whole lot of mediocre acts.

9) Russia, Italy, Slovenia, and Finland are all being used to build up suspense for the better acts in the second half, implying that the semi-final qualifiers must not have done that well.

10) San Marino is being used as an amuse-bouche in between the Netherlands and the UK.

Vebooboo Nadella contributed this report from Copenhagen. For more Eurovision news follow the Team on Twitter @wiwibloggs and like our Facebook page.

Photo: Andreas Putting (EBU)

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Deven O'Kearney
Guest

Hi Leon

” I can see Undo flop like Hero did in 2008”

I disagree. If Macedonia got the jury vote in 2008, Sweden would definitely have failed to qualify with ”Hero”. ”Undo” probably qualified comfortably. I’m Swedish (Really I’m Irish. I’m Swedish according to my sister) and I’m not sure if Sanna will win even if the bookies predict a 6th win. Maybe I am wrong but I think that Britain or Austria will win tonight.

Please get back to me ASAP. 😀

Margaret
Guest
Margaret

I want UK or Armenia to win! Not Austria (although i like that song)!

CookyMonzta
Guest
CookyMonzta

@EugeneUK: Molly has a steep uphill to climb because of one thing you may have overlooked: The last time a contender won this contest from the pimp spot (singing last) was in 1989 (Yugoslavia). The uphill is just as steep for Mariya from Ukraine, because the last time a winner came from the death spot (singing first) was in 1984 (Sweden).

Jacqueline Bouclier
Guest

First half/second half” – should they just introduce “warm-up/headliner” draw for next year`s final?

cheesecake
Guest
cheesecake

I was so upset when I saw that they placed Sweden #13. First half is 1-13 so the producers definitely want her to be as late as possible to win the show. They should change this system – the positions should be drawn!
Unfortunately I got a feeling that Sweden will win – I don’t like the song very much, I don’t get on with Sanna (sorry) and I don’t want Sweden as a host next year… so please Europe, let it be UK, ARMENIA, HUNGARY or THE NETHERLANDS

Margaret
Guest
Margaret

Azerbaijan won’t be in top 5, since when Dilara has an early slot, also i think EBU punished them for buying votes.
I love Armenian song, but i have a feeling that Aram won’t win. He will be in my heart anyway <3
I think Hungary, Austria or Spain will be a winner. The Netherlands could be a dark horse. We will see the results tomorrow.

Celioski
Guest

I think this year leaves me convinced that the system of leaving the producers to decide the running order is just plain unfair. There’s no way that everybody will feel satisfied with the order they decide. In hopes of more transparency and fairness, the lucky draw should come back. And I do agree that it’d be healthier to have all the draws made on, for example, the Friday previous to the Grand Final. I can’t help the feeling that some acts were hurt by the running order on the semi finals. That will always happen, but it’d be better if… Read more »

R
Guest
R

I think a lot of you are forgetting Denmark… Crazy I know! But I do think they have a great chance of keeping the contest in Copenhagen. Who knows?

Right now I see Denmark, Sweden, Austria and UK. These are definitely the only countries capable of winning. The Eastern states are clearly disadvantaged, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Ukraine have been sent to their death beds.

Leon
Guest
Leon

If there is one thing that is factually clear from this order is that DR ABSOLUTELY DOESN’T WANT EUROVISION TO GO EAST. Look at this #1, #2, #3, #7 and Russia who drew in the second half is pretty much (#1 of the second half). Pathetic and biased. Sweden – I totally saw this coming, I have no idea how EBU gets away with sh*t like this and how other delegations are playing along. Armenia – Wiwi actually according to unconfirmed sources Armenia won the first semi-final. In fact, they received 12 points from Sweden as well. I can’t confirm… Read more »

Hayk
Guest
Hayk

Goo Armenia !!!!!

Ryanireland
Guest
Ryanireland

Sweden and the Netherlands have dream draws in my opinions, and Austria.
I still feel that Austria could win this whole thing now by a very very large margin! ORF get ready for Vienna 2015 I reckon 🙂

Eugene UK
Guest
Eugene UK

I wrote an article recently on this subject and this is my definitive guide to singing position in the ESC final :- In the last 20 years, 15 of the 20 winning songs were sung in the second half of the final (75%:25%) In the last 15 years, THIRTEEN of the 15 winning songs were sung in the second half of the final (87%:13%) In the last 15 years, this is how the singing positions of winners breaks down :- 1 to 5 – One (4th) 6 to 10 – One (10th) 11 to 15 – TWO (14th and 15th)… Read more »

mikaela
Guest
mikaela

My prediction is that the winner is either Austria, Hungary or Sweden. With Armenia and Ukraine rounding up the top 5. For # 6-10 Netherlands, UK, Greece, Romania and Norway.

David
Guest
David

It doesnt matter I think. The break is short and it will give viewers time to relax and have fresh ears after the break…

Gooo sweden

Julian
Guest
Julian

Before a break is good because the songs before build up the moment and the lasting impression is hers. After a break is bad because people in front of TV, when the show is back, may miss her performance and not miss it.

Wood
Guest

Sanna (sweden) sings after a break. Is that good or bad ??

David
Guest
David

Sweden was given an excellent draw between two non contender songs!!!

Goooo Sanna Nielsen!

David
Guest
David

Boo, obviously u care darling!! Jealousy is Ok!!! I understand u!!!

Gooo Sweden

GVF
Guest
GVF

Something’s very fishy this year…still can’t believe Israel didn’t go through…anyone but Sweden for the win – I’m sick and tired of the hype and the brainwashing of that mediocre, boring, depressing song.

Paul
Guest
Paul

I don’t buy the whole viewer fatigue argument. Are we really saying that viewers are fine during acts 19-24, but 10-20 minutes later, they are too tired/drunk to care about a good song? I don’t agree. Out of the past ten years, in eight of them the last spot was filled by a country that was never going to win. Only in 2010 (Denmark) and 2008 (Norway) were genuine contenders singing last. And on both occassions, they came top 5. So we know that juries/viewers are willing to reward good songs that sing in last place. So Molly is definitely… Read more »

Sam
Guest
Sam

The draw doesn’t show who did well in their semi, it shows who DR want to win or don’t want to win! Come on, it’s obvious. Ukraine and Azerbaijan placed early in their half with Sweden the last in the first half of the semi. Then Russia #14 and The Netherlands and U.K at the end. This draw isn’t even about making the performing part of the show better! It’s such a boring draw!! AND this along with Israel’s non-qualification and Jon Ola Sand’s need for extra minutes is all very suspicious. This year’s turning out to be a bit… Read more »

Raul
Guest
Raul

Hi people. First of all, I can’t understand how didn’t Israel passed. Was a top 5, fur sure. Buta the staging was poor: no fire, no smoke, no wind and too empty with only 2 dancers… I think that Hungary, Sweden, the UK and The Netherlands, are in the best places to win, and maybe it’s all set for London 2015. Really, The 60th ESC at BBC. Maybe for that the juries didn’t voted so much for Israel tha was a direct contender. Plus: Idon’t like so much sweden. It’s plastic. Greece as done a bad work. They start baddly… Read more »

1eurovisio
Guest
1eurovisio

You can perform anywhere in the final, but if your rememberable and people will talk about you, you will find yourself doing well wherever you perform

Woz
Guest
Woz

People, Wiwi has proved to make horrible predictions. Don’t take any of this so seriously. Good luck to everybody.

Alex
Guest
Alex

On a random note – if you guys want to get pumped up for the final or get into the Eurovision spirit, y’all should check out ESCRadio (the official Eurovision online radio station) – they’re playing a pretty good selection of songs right now, punctuated by interviews with the contestants. And this year’s competing songs are being frequently played, as well as songs from the national finals like Madeline Juno’s “Like Lovers Do” and Helena Paparizou’s “Survivor”… along with older Eurovision songs for the old-school eurofan. It’s really enjoyable.

LEAPerce
Guest
LEAPerce

Genuinely devastated that Molly is last – she deserved better. Thought she was going to bring eurovision to the uk but i guess London will have to wait. I think Hungary will win now, dont like the song but he is a great performer live.

redarrow
Guest

welldone firelight welldone malta great song 12 points for you for sure …

Dhani
Guest

It is so clear that DR wants Sweden to win when they give her the absolute best starting position in the first half.

Martin
Guest
Martin

“Eurovision” Priority performances of artists show producers was determined after completion of the second semifinal. This is a direct interference in fair fight! Each participant must “pull” your room. begins politics, business, friendship, neighbors and much more ….. Where Song Contest? thing of the past ….. a real winner has already been determined ARAM MP3! Video for the song “Not alone” has 3.5 million hits, live performances, rehearsals biggest quantity view Aram mp3! Who like it, and watch it! And what begins now, it would not love this contest …… It’s time to decide the winner by voting only listeners… Read more »

T.N.
Guest

ARAM MP3 the name of winner eurovision 2014.GOOOOOOOO ARAAAAAAM!YOU ARE NOT ALONE!

Boo
Guest
Boo

Davve, David, Davy, Darling… we DON’T give a shit about your depressed country. 🙂 now, please, cry.

Tom
Guest
Tom

Last night I predicted Ukraine would be given the opening spot and the UK would close the show. I can’t believe I was right! I also correctly guessed Netherlands would be given position no. 24 and Switzerland no. 20.

I’m a bit concerned that Switzerland, Malta and Netherlands are so close together in the running order.

The fact that so many of the strongest contenders are in the first half of the final is fascinating. I wonder how the EBU’s doubtable claims that the running order has no effect on the eventual winner will stand to scrutiny this year.

Davve
Guest
Davve

Sweden can kiss its lucky star… 13th is the best number it could have started from in first half… hallelujah!

Jack
Guest
Jack

Correction: I meant Moldova 2013

Davve
Guest
Davve

Sweden is the most lucky country in the draw. stuck between two non-contender performances… Sweden will probably win now 🙂

Jack
Guest
Jack

OMG Azerbaijan third?? Maybe it still had a decent score in the semi as Moldova was especially popular in 2013 with the juries. If Safura can be 5th in the televote in 2010 performing first and a dull ballad like Moldova 2011 can be top 5 with the juries I still think that Azerbaijan will be in the top 10 again this year, despite the terrible draw.

ingo
Guest
ingo

Winning Alert for Spain, Hungary and The Netherlands!!!

David
Guest
David

Sweden will win now. Trust me!

Timselvision
Guest
Timselvision

OMG Ukraine and Azerbaijan are screwed! XD

Happy with my country’s placing! :3 I think Calm after the Storm will be a relief after Bruno Mars xD

Julian
Guest
Julian

Virtually all the great songs are in first half. Overall if you have a choice you can miss second half but definitely don’t wanna miss first half.

DeeDee
Guest
DeeDee

Doe anybody else think this ‘analysis’ is miles off point? None of the favourites are placed 17-20. I think EBU purposely placed Hungary, Netherlands and UK at the end slots, because other favourites (Sweden, Armenia & Ukraine) were performing early and they needed to keep the show interesting and close. If UK, Hungary or Netherlands got 17-20, it would have been game over. This draw keeps it wide open, none of the favourites are in the ‘ideal’ area (17-20)… Last place isn’t a bad place to perform. Pasha Parfeny, Natalia Barbu and Eldrine placed 9th, 10th and 11th from the… Read more »

Digi
Guest
Digi

So what? San Marino will make a surprise if my statement is true because Russia has give surprise in 2008 Eurovision Song Contest with Winning this. Russia in 2008 Eurovision Song Contest isn’t favorite winner (fact)

Digi
Guest
Digi

No 25 is not mention in Comment. But this is no Dark Horse and Secret Number. I hope this number broke myth that No 17-23 always winner ESC because Russia in 2008 is 2 last from 25 contestant in Grand Final 2008. If Russia in 2014 with this song in 2008 in 2014 & in 2 last from 25/26 contestant. Russia will win 2014 too. Who knows?

Robyn
Guest
Robyn

@Eugene UK Thanks! I had that in my rough notes, but I overlooked it in favour of the glut of songs in earlier slots. Here’s my theory. While the 17-20 slots will give an advantage to a good song, a really really great song can win from almost anywhere.

Something else to consider when looking back – prior to 2013, the positions were randomly decided, which sometimes meant good songs suffered in lousy slots. Eg, in 2011, Denmark was a serious contender to win, but it languished the third position in the line-up, eventually coming in fifth place.

laura
Guest
laura

UK has no chance to win competing last, when all people have already choose their favorite.

JAN
Guest
JAN

..HOPE AINT RAINING IN LONDON NEXT YEAR…GO MOLLY!!!!!!

LOVE FROM GREECE!!!

JAN
Guest
JAN

//HOPE LONDON AINT RAINING NEXT YEAR…GO MOLLY!!!!

Maybezz
Guest
Maybezz

Spain is a “DARK HORSE”…..Barcelona 2015? or Madrid 2015?

Melissa J
Guest

I don’t like to think running order means everything. Did you hear how people cheered for Conchita while she was being interviewed? I think she has a good chance. As many others have said, a great song can win from anywhere.

Paige
Guest
Paige

Ukraine does not deserve to go first with such a good act, hoping they’ll still get top 10!
Sweden didn’t have to win their semi to get 13th, Anouk was 13th last year and was 6th in her semi. I now think that the winner will either be, Spain, Hungary, the Netherlands or United Kingdom.