Semi-Final 1 of the Eurovision Song Contest 2015 is only twenty-four days away and all sixteen contestants are still jostling for position ahead of their performances in Vienna. The Eurovision Semi Final 1 odds are changing all the time so let’s check out where all the acts are as of 10:20 GMT on 29 April. These are the odds that the acts will qualify from the semi, not win the semi.

Eurovision Semi-Final 1 Odds to Qualify

Estonia’s Elina Born & Stig Rästa and Russia’s Polina Gagarina have been strong contenders amongst fans and remain firm favourites to advance from Semi-Final 1. Elina & Stig for Estonia can be found as low as 1/50 and Polina follows closely on 1/20.

Finland’s Pertti Kurikan Nimipäivät, Belgium’s Loïc Nottet and Albania’s Elhaida Dani round out the top five qualifiers. Finland are sitting at 1/10, Belgium at 1/6 and Albania on 2/9.

https://youtu.be/xV2b3L1K6_c

Armenia, Belarus, F.Y.R Macedonia, Georgia and Romania round out the Top 10 who look set to qualify for the final. Genealogy are in sixth at 1/4,  Uzari & Maimuna in seventh on 2/7, Daniel Kajmakoski in eighth on 1/3, Nina Sublatti in ninth on 4/11 and scraping through in tenth Voltaj on 2/5.

The field widens significantly thereafter, with Greece, Denmark, Serbia, Hungary, Moldova and lastly the Netherlands all adrift of the ten qualifying spots from the final.

That means that as it stands Maria Elena KyriakouAnti-Social Media,  Bojana Stamenov,  BoggieEduard Romanyuta and  Trijntje Oosterhuis will all fail to advance to the Grand Final on May 23.

Odds aren’t everything

It is votes that count and you can change the result!

What do you think of the Eurovision Semi Final 1 odds? Is Estonia really a lock-in to qualify? Will the Netherlands and Serbia fail to advance? Comment below!

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ANTHONY
ANTHONY
7 years ago

And now my qualifiers : GREECE(1),ESTONIA(2),ALBANIA, SERBIA, GEORGIA, BELARUS, HOLLAND, BELGIUM, ARMENIA, ROMANIA. I DON’T LIKE HOLLAND ARMENIA ROMANIA AND THE NETHERLANDS BUT THE QUALUFIERS ARE TEN AND NOT 6 SO…. I GAVE THEM WITH OUT WANTING IT A PLACE TO THE FINAL….

ANTHONY
ANTHONY
7 years ago

I am sure that GREECE will qualify top 3-5 in the SF because all the dislikes in the youtube are by inhabitants of Skopje. And of course they aren’t Macedonian because their name is Form YUGOSLAVIC. How can they belong to YUGOSLAVIA and being Macedonians and greek?? Also if they were Macedonians they would speak the Greek language and not this awful language they speak. And a question to all the skopjians: tell us some things about the Macedonian and the Greek language. Of course you cant tell us because you dont know!!! So the answer is very simple. You… Read more »

ANTHONY
ANTHONY
7 years ago

Hello to everyone. I would like to beg you to vote for Greece in the SF. The ESC is a song contest only. It is not a contest for the best economy. Of course GREECE’s economy and political conditions are awful but ESC is the only event in which The GREEK can forget the crisis. Please vote for greece because Maria Elena Kyriakou has an awesome vouce (the best in yhe the ESC) and this ballad is amazing.

kostas
kostas
7 years ago

i am greek i am 80% sure that my country will qualify….ok it’s a ballad but how many times Greece have sent a ballad….no one since 2006…always we sent ethic/pop songs or cheap pop songs and some of these were really teribble like “this is our night” “aphrodisiac” and “rise up”! for first time we make the diffrence…also i can find more than 6 songs which should stay at the semi-final instead of “one last breath” 🙂 i will predict this 10 countries will maybe reach the final(no order): estonia armenia russia greece georgia belarus belgium albania romania and hungary!… Read more »

Steve Gray
Steve Gray
7 years ago

The Netherlands is fantastic be such a shame if they didnt make it out of this semi final which i dont think is half as good as Semi final 2in my opinion.

Alex
Alex
7 years ago

My least favorite 6 here are Greece, Serbia, Denmark, Russia, Armenia, and the Netherlands. Of course there’s no chance in hell that Russia will miss, thanks to region voting… sigh. I’m crossing my fingers that one of the underdog countries makes it over Greece, though. Such a forgettable song. I’m also hoping Hungary makes it instead of FYR Macedonia, even though the latter is in my top 10 for this final. Also, to be honest I think Belgium is overrated in the odds for yet another year, but maybe I’m wrong. I won’t really know how well it’ll do until… Read more »

sophiaamsterdam
sophiaamsterdam
7 years ago

MY SMS SEMI FINAL 1 GO TO NINA SUBLATTTTTIIII NINA IS SO FASHION GIRL SO AMAZING STYLE AMAZING STRONG VOICE ARTIST SO PERFECT. UH THE BEST NINA SUBLATTI SEMI FINAL 1. MY SMS GO TO GEORGIA

Andrew
Andrew
7 years ago

the bookies still think that Finland can get in with their gimmick but in reality I don’t think they will make it past the semi final this year

mocosuburbian
mocosuburbian
7 years ago

please, not finland
Oosterhuis deserves that spot

JakeUK
JakeUK
7 years ago

I hope Finland will be in the Final, it stads out and I kinda like it? I know punk isn’t my fave music style, but it has a bit of a rock song feeling in it.

George
7 years ago

Greece won’t qualify? Yeah, wright.!!!

Leo
Leo
7 years ago

My personal top ten would be ( in a random order):

Belgium, The Netherlands, Estonia, Albania, Denmark, Romania, Belarus, Russia, Macedonia and Georgia

The top ten that I think will reach the final:

Belgium, Estonia, Russia, Armenia, Georgia, Serbia, Albania, Greece, Romania and Belarus

PP
PP
7 years ago

My predicition
1.Estonia
2.Greece
3.Russia
4.Armenia
5.Romania
6.Georgia
7.Belarus
8.Belgium
9.Albania
10.Serbia
11.Moldova
12.Denmark
13.The Netherlands
14.Finland
15.F.Y.R. Macedonia
16.Hungary

My TOP 16
1.Estonia
2.Greece
3.Serbia
4.Romania
5.Belarus
6.Georgia
7.Belgium
8.The Netherlands
9.Albania
10.Moldova
11.Denmark
12.F.Y.R Macedonia
13.Russia
14.Armenia
15.Hungary
16.Finland

marinek
marinek
7 years ago

YOU KNOW WHAT I THINK.GREECE IS GOING TO PASS FOR SURE!MARIA ELENA IS INCREDIBLE.AMONG MY FAVOURITES AND WE KNOW WHAT GREECE CAN DO ON STAGE.
THE THING IS THAT EVERYONE WANTS TO BET FOR HIS COUNTRY IN ORDER TO HELP IT GETTING POSITIVE OPINIONS BUT PEOPLE IN GREECE ARE IN CRISIS TO BET FOR THEIR COUNTRY.AND THAT’S WHAT WE FINALLY SEE.NO MONEY,NO BET.SO,DON’T COUNT ON BETS.REMEMBER AUSTRIA AND NETHERLANDS FROM LAST YEAR.

Yaz
Yaz
7 years ago

Finland qualifies and Greece doesn’t? C’mon bookies, this is ridiculous.

Romania should stay in the semi final, really. Voltaj’s behaviour is just unacceptable.

I want Albania, Russia, Greece and Georgia to qualify. Estonia is a sure qualifier. And the rest… I don’t care, as long as Finland doesn’t take someone else’s place. Eleven songs are my candidates to fail, but some of them will come through.

WTF
WTF
7 years ago

@day one: So you want atrocities like San Marino or Moldova qualifying instead of decent entries just because of shock value? Get out…

day one
day one
7 years ago

Does anyone else feel like this year is going to be a shocker?

Wouldn’t it be interesting if Russia, Romania, Greece, Sweden or Azerbaijan don’t qualify for the finals?

I feel like this year needs to be a shocker because it is quite boring compared to other years.

I so miss Ukraine 🙁

Daniel
Daniel
7 years ago

1) Estonia (10/10)
2) Albania (10/10)
3) Russia (8.5/10)
4) Belgium (8/10)
5) Georgia (7/10)
6) Belarus (6.5/10)
7) FYR Macedonia (6/10)
8) Finland (6/10)
9) Serbia (5/10)
10) Hungary (5/10)
———————————————–
11) The Netherlands (4.5/10)
12) Romania (4/10)
13) Greece (4/10)
14) Denmark (2/10)
15) Moldova (0.5/10)
16) Armenia (0.5/10)

WTF
WTF
7 years ago

Swap Armenia for Greece and those are my exact qualifiers…

Luis Fuster
Editor
7 years ago

I’d like Armenia, Belgium, Finland, Estonia, Macedonia, Hungary, Belarus, Albania, Romania and Georgia to qualify, but that’d left Greece and Russia out and that’s impossible. Sadly, Hungary and Macedonia will fail on their places 🙁

europa
europa
7 years ago

i’m skeptical that Russia really have that much support. I mean, bookies have a particular way of working this out that isn’t a reflection on actual chances, or the current mood.

Otna
Otna
7 years ago

Albania is now my #1 for this Semi, Belgium at #2!

Louis Smitovik
Louis Smitovik
7 years ago

1 . Russia
2 . Estonia
3 . Albania
4 . Belarus
5 . Greece
6 . Georgia
7 . Belgium
8 . Armenia
9 . Romania
10 . Denmark
==============
11 . Serbia
12 . The Netherlands
13 . Finland
14 . F.Y.R. Macedonia
15 . Hungary
16 . Moldova

EuroGod
EuroGod
7 years ago

Finland? LOOOOOOOOOOOOL! Not even close! Greece is going to pass, unfortunately…

Alex
Alex
7 years ago

I think Greece is seriously in trouble this time. It might get the support of a few juries but there aren’t a lot of countries that traditionally support Greece every year (apart from Albania and Armenia). Denmark and Hungary will definitely fail. One of them will come last. Moldova is unsure, it depends on the live performance. I guess it has chances because of all the ex soviet countries voting + diaspora + catchy trashy song. Serbia will definitely qualify. The Netherlands ia a big mystery. I love the song but i fear that Trijntje’s presence will not boost the… Read more »

Deven O'Kearney
Deven O'Kearney
7 years ago

@BE Don’t be so certain that Greece is completely safe from failure. Remember what happened to Sweden and Turkey in 2010 and 2011 respectively.

Leaf
Leaf
7 years ago

Overall I do believe that Romania and Serbia really don’t deserve to qualify, I could not listen to the entire Greek song since It is quite boring I just couldn’t force myself …. But I do believe it is for a very particular crowd which is present in Eurovision so I do think they have a shot to qualify …..

Briekimchi
Briekimchi
7 years ago

I do not think that the bookies are too far wrong on this one. I would take Armenia out and replace it with Greece personally. I wish that Russia would not qualify but that seems unlikely.

Giorgos
Giorgos
7 years ago

FOR SEMI FINAL 1~ I think that Greece deserves to qualify this year and will indeed!!(not the best one…but a really strong one) ??Other countries that i think deserve to qualify and will qualify are: Estonia Albania Belgium Russia Georgia. ??Countries that I think don’t deserve to qualify are: Finland Hungary Moldova Armenia ??Countries that I think don’t deserve to qualify but will: Finland Armenia ??Mixed emotions for : Belarus The Netherlands FYROM Serbia and Denmark So…??what I want: Estonia Albania Greece Russia Georgia Belgium The Netherlands and three more…;) ??My prediction: Estonia Russia Belgium Georgia Finland Armenia Greece Belarus… Read more »

SpirK
SpirK
7 years ago

I really think that the bookmakers are going to get it wrong this year. My prediction of the result: 1. Estonia 2. Greece 3. Albania 4. Armenia 5. Russia 6. Belgium 7. Belarus 8. Romania 9. The Netherlands 10. Serbia 11. Georgia 12. Hungary 13. F.Y.R.O.M 14. Denmark 15. Finland 16. Moldova Places from 9-13 are really close, but I think Serbia and the Netherlands are going to make the cut. If someone upsets my prediction, I think it’ll be Georgia. It is a really close semi but I do think that Greece won’t be as low ranked as the… Read more »

T
T
7 years ago

If it’s one thing I learned from the past 10 years, it is that you should never underestimate Greece in this contest. Netherlands and Denmark both have catchy and simple songs who definitely can qualify, they’re just not fan favorites.

MK
MK
7 years ago

I think Greece and The Netherlands will qualify. Finland and Belarus won’t. Even Armenia will get a tough job to qualify, mark my words. For Belgium it will be: just in or out.

GianlucaTomoe
GianlucaTomoe
7 years ago

I hope Belarus, Belgium, Finland and Macedonia won’t qualify…those songs are extremely weak and they won’t do anything in the final… So, I hope someone more deserving will qualify instead of them… like Greece, Netherlands and Hungary!

R
R
7 years ago

Russia will qualify even if they conquer the whole world. They should just automatically qualify every year. It’s pretty pathetic.

Amerivision
Amerivision
7 years ago

It would be interesting if both Greece and Romania doesn’t qualify. I don’t think either country never missed the Finals. Most likely one of them will though.

danielesc
danielesc
7 years ago

im from italy. and semi final 1 most leader is GEORGIA. one singer amazing live voice. and semi final 1 16 number and show the closed georgia. Georgia my predictions 100% final

Mario ~ My Vision of Gay Love
Mario ~ My Vision of Gay Love
7 years ago

Here are my grades as well 4 the big7 of the final..
1) France 6,5/10
2) Italy 6/10
3) Spain 5,5/10
4) Germany 3,5/10
5) Australia 3,5/10
6) UK 3/10
7) Austria 2,5/10

Mario ~ My Vision of Gay Love
Mario ~ My Vision of Gay Love
7 years ago

Here is my personal top ranking on the SFs currently so far …{as it changes all the time..} 1st SF 1) Georgia 9/10 ~ 15 points 2) Holland 7/10 ~14 points 3) Hungary 6/10 ~13 points 4) Serbia 6/10 ~ 12 points 5) Armenia 6/10 ~ 11 points 6) Estonia 5,5/10 ~ 10 points 7) Albania 5,5/10 ~9 points 8) Russia 5,5/10 ~ 8 points 9) Belarus 5/10 ~ 7 points 10) Denmark 5/10 ~ 6 points ————————————————- 11) Greece 5/10 ~ 5 points 12) FYR 4/10 ~ 4 points 13) Belgium 3,5/10 ~ 3 points 14) Romania 3,5/10 ~… Read more »

LE
LE
7 years ago

I want to say that everything can happen in Eurovision.I don’t mind what bookies say.

Deniz@TurkNL
7 years ago

I think Georgia is a sure quallifier too.

Sopon
Sopon
7 years ago

I’m crossing my fingers for Serbia. I love Bojana!

david
david
7 years ago

these are betting odds. just revisit last year’s odds and you will see the differences between the bets and the outcomes. i will say that semi-final 1 is a tight squeeze. lot’s of good songs in that one.

WhyNot
WhyNot
7 years ago
Mario ~ My Vision of Gay Love
Mario ~ My Vision of Gay Love
7 years ago

From the 6 countries that are considered non qualifiers in the betting odds i have 4 of them inside my top10 qualifiers..
I expect Greece to manage qualifying too although i have the greek song just 11th on my top 4 the 1st SF..
The only song that i think that most likely will not qualify indeed is the Moldovan…But even on that one i don’t hold it..
Anything just can happen with these 15 countries other than Estonia that is considered sure qualifier finalist..

Mario ~ My Vision of Gay Love
Mario ~ My Vision of Gay Love
7 years ago

The only country on the 1st SF that i would put my hand on the fire betting that gonna qualify 100% to the final is ESTONIA… About SWEDEN on the 2nd SF too.. About Italy & Australia too if were competing on the SF…{about Australia because of all this hype only as i do not really like *Tonight Again..*} So that makes it 4 countries that considered 100% qualifiers.. My prediction about which countries will gonna finish winners on each SF.. *Estonia* in the 1st SF & *Slovenia* on the 2nd SF {with Sweden coming 2nd-3rd} Estonia is predicted to… Read more »

BE
BE
7 years ago

Yeah, Greece won’t qualify. When pigs fly.

davve
davve
7 years ago

I hope Russia and their awful fake song does not make it to the final. dont preach about peace and love when you dont act that way what so ever.