We have less than 72 hours to go before the first rehearsals take place inside the Wiener Stadthalle, so it’s time to check in on the Eurovision betting odds, as compiled by Oddschecker on 8 May.

Australia closes in on second, Sweden still leads

Australia’s Guy Sebastian continues his meteoric rise in the odds and shows no signs of stopping. In our previous update on 21 April, Guy had climbed to third place and, though he remains there, his odds have continued to shorten. He now sits just behind Italy’s Il Volo. Some bookmakers are even offering odds as low as 3-1 on both Il Volo and Guy, though you can still get a 9-2 on an Australia debut victory.

Sweden’s Måns Zelmerlöw remains the favourite, and whilst his odds have drifted slightly, they remain as low as 6-4 with some bookmakers. Will going in as favourite help or hinder “Heroes” – we’ll find out soon enough!

Slovenia continue to drift

It’s not looking so good for Slovenia’s Maraaya. The “Here For You” duo, having been fifth favourites, are now as low as 9th place. Some bookmakers have widened their odds to 33-1, though there’s some disparity, with odds available as low as 14-1, which they were two weeks ago. Still, the lack of confidence in the betting market does not look good for them.

Estonia and Finland remain in fourth and fifth, whilst Norway’s Morland & Debrah Scarlett have jumped in to sixth place. Perhaps bookies were inspired by their wonderful closing performance in London? Even so, everyone’s odds outside of the top three have drifted and it seems the market does not believe we will have a winner outside of Sweden, Italy or Australia. Could the rehearsals change all that?

EUROVISION ODDS (8th May 2015, Oddschecker):

eurovision odds 8th may top 15

eurovision odds 8th may 16 on

eurovision odds 8th may 33 to 40

What do you think of the Eurovision odds? Do you think that anyone can catch the top three now and will the rehearsals change things up? Let us know in the comments, on Twitter or on Facebook.

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CookyMonzta
Guest
CookyMonzta

l spent nearly 3 hours looking at all the odds that I gathered at midnight, E.S.T. (6:00 C.E.T.), May 18, compiled them all into a composite, and this is how it all came out: 1. Sweden 2. Italy 3. Australia 4. Estonia 5. Russia 6. Finland 7. Azerbaijan 8. Norway 9. Slovenia 10. Iceland 11. United Kingdom 12. Cyprus 13. Spain 14. Latvia 15. Belgium 16. France 17. Albania 18. Georgia 19. Israel 20. Armenia 21. Greece 22. Belarus 23. Romania 24. Austria 25. Lithuania 26. Hungary (NQ) 27. Macedonia (NQ) 28. Ireland 29. Germany 30. Poland (NQ) 31. Denmark… Read more »

Aurelian Tamisan
Guest
Aurelian Tamisan

I think the title will be decided between Italy and Norway, the most powerful songs in this year. I don’t expect Sweden to finish as high as everybody thinks, maybe we will see Sweden even out of the top 5, while I see Greece finishing in top 10. Of course Russia and Azerbaijan are guaranteed the top 10, especially Russia, even though I think they both are far away of their best entries in Eurovision.

gitte
Guest
gitte

Denmark 🙁

Alex
Guest
Alex

If Slovenia doesn’t do as well as 5th, it’s because it’s Slovenia and not some other popular country…

Mathias (From Sweden
Guest
Mathias (From Sweden

Belgium is a really big Dark Horse!
If it doesn’t end up top 3 in the finale i’m shocked, it’s one of my favorite songs this year.
I’m also happy if Belgium would end up winning since i’m 1/4 Belgian xD

Pavel
Guest

@[email protected] Belarus as dark horse. No one knows the place the duo will occupy. As many votes against, as many and obvious fans. But in the ranking of bookies Belarus rises.

BunnyC
Guest
BunnyC

Everyone is hating on my country Australia’s entry!!! It’s okay, I doubt we will win, personally I want Estonia to win, its is such an amazing song and it stands out so much <3 <3 <3 For some reason I doubt Italy will win, if you look at the winners recently, they've been ones that more appeal to a modern audience, don't get me wrong, I looovvveee Italy's song, but I think Sweden is more likely to win, or even Estonia.

Cor Morand
Guest
Cor Morand

Iberian, don’t worry, I have an IQ of 147 and I don’t get it either…

Eurovision 2015 winner Greece
Guest
Eurovision 2015 winner Greece

TOP 10 in final
1 Greece Maria Elena Kyriakou-One Last Breath and winner Greece
2 Australia
3 Italy
4 Estonia
5 Sweden
6 Finland
7 Norway
8 Belgium
9 Slovenia
10 Albania

escfan702
Guest
escfan702

Malta is definitely way much better than some of the countries who are high up in the betting odds. Ii can’t wait to see the rehearsals and then we will see the surprises..

Leo
Guest
Leo

Eugene ESC UK:. Well, well Eugene, you are really telling our friends at WIWI as always 100% the truth ….these (sorry dammed) betting odds are right now not moving even a tic or two & that’s happening already for over 5 days, it seems to me like stoned or like in “Stonehenge” UK. Nevermind neither the big punters from Italy – I was reporting about that crazy story this afternoon- could intend the bookies to move from their current price standings. Eugene thoughts are absolutely correct starting with the very first 5 -6 rehearsals on Monday midday the odds from… Read more »

per
Guest

Norway, Albania and Azerbajdzjan are so BOOOOOOORING. Place 25,26,27

Steve Gray
Guest
Steve Gray

Ireland and The Netherlands are so underatted .

Huh
Guest
Huh

Vote for Slovenia!!!

This is my opinion (TIMO)
Guest
This is my opinion (TIMO)

ITALY boring song nothing special can’t worm up to it, its just strong vocal THAT’S ALL…..SWEDEN oh please, one flashy fake can be favourite……Australia, too much of that tonight is good tonight is good lol, none of these will win, descent songs are coming from AZERBAIJAN, ALBANIA and NORWAY

Eugene ESC UK
Guest

Both Robyn and Leo are correct. 13/8 = 1.62 + 1 = 2.62 in Decimal odds A £1 bet gives you a £1.62 profit plus your stake back = £2.62 On the Oddschecker site, each betting company along the top has their own odds for each country. The order of the countries on the left hand side is based on the average of the odds for all betting companies for each country. The numbers which are underlined indicate the highest odds for that country. Therefore you can get 500/1 for Moldova, Malta and Portugal. Once the rehearsals start on Monday,… Read more »

Antranig Shokayan
Editor

I really hate that Top 3 so much… I truly hope someone like Albania, Belgium, Slovenia, Spain or Estonia can defeat them.

Leo
Guest
Leo

Robyn Gallagher:.- Will:. Iberian:. YES, that’s correct dear Robyn …..for each bet you have to calculate the divendends betweeen the two figures, i.e. 5/2 means that if you bet 2 EUROS you are going to receive back 7 EUROS in total, but your bet tip must be a winner. If your selection/country is not the winner, let me say 2nd or 3rd or 12th then you lost lost your 2 EUROS. In other words a decimal figure for 5/2 is 3,50 which means for 1.– euro bet you can receive back euros 3,50. A 20/1 or 15/2 chance means you… Read more »

Maltish
Guest
Maltish

Malta just above Portugal. What the F… Good lord I hope the better have a shock when Malta sails to the final.

Darren
Guest
Darren

Ehh……Ireland, Switzerland and Malta should be much higher! How can somebody like Norway, Azerbaijan, or even Cyprus and rank them so high, when songs of a similar quality, genre and production are rated so low? For god sake people! Listen to some decent music for once and stop looking at the gimmicks! All these “fan favorites” dont stand a chance in the music industry outside of Eurovision, really think someone like Aminata or Uzari or that lady-child from Iceland will be global superstars? Doubtful! No wonder the rest of the world and the music industry in general laughs at us… Read more »

Robyn Gallagher
Admin

I can’t understand the fractional odds numbers either, but if you go to Oddschecker you can switch to seeing the odds in decimal mode. 13/8 turns into 2.62. And if my understanding is correct, this means that for every £1 you bet, you get £2.62 return if that country wins.

PP
Guest
PP

My prediction for TOP 10 in final
1.Australia
2.Sweden
3.Azerbaijan
4.Italy
5.Estonia
6.Russia
7.Norway
8.Greece
9.Armenia
10.Iceland

My TOP 10
1.Norway
2.Italy
3.Slovenia
4.Spain
5.Iceland
6.Serbia
7.Greece
8.Israel
9.Poland
10.Sweden

PP
Guest
PP

We all know that winner wili be Australia or Sweden, thank to huge points from juries (like Sweden 2012 when Loreen gots 296 points from jures , Zeljko only 173, Rona from Albania and Nina Italy only 157, Pastora from Spain 154 almost half point of swedish votes with juries, and we knew who Loreen sing to juries, when she spit fake snow on stage and stop singing, Russia had only chance to defeat Sweden that year and they got only 11 place and 84 points from juries , 212 points less than Sweden, in televote Sweden defeat Russia with… Read more »

Daniel
Guest
Daniel

I still think Norway will win this year. But I hope Italy and Sweden won’t do so well because their songs are awful for me. Unfortunately I have a very unpopular opinion.

eeuuaann
Guest
eeuuaann

COME ON SLOVENIA <3

Will
Guest
Will

@Eugine
Would it be like having one ticket that says win and two/66 tickets that all say no, and picking them out of a hat?

Per
Guest

Jag tror inte att Australien kommer topp 3. Dom får vara glad om dom kommer topp 10. Det kommer att stå mellan Sverige, Italien och Estland. Där jag tror att Sverige och Italien gör upp om vinsten. Huvudsaken att inte Australien vinner

Chris
Guest
Chris

Many fans forget that a winnings song has to please not only the viewers but also the jury. Among the countries in TOP5 these two factors will be fulfiled definately by Italy and Estonia. Finland has no chance to win due to jury. Australia and Sweden have chances but fewer.

Mark
Guest
Mark

Always the same picture of Mans……. I’m tired of Sweden sorry not sorry.

Leo
Guest
Leo

Eugene ESC UK:.

Hi there Eugene and all other friends of WIWI…
Breaking News from Vienna:
Big Italian ESC punters (with a douzen of bundles in 100’s Euro banknotes) have arrived in Vienna & produced them all together at once in one shop at bookies desk in Vienna. Wow, it’s really getting hot here …
These ESC fans are really crazy, but it seems for me at least that the Italians could doing quiet well this year. more to come a bit later …..so long !

Eugene ESC UK
Guest

Iberian/Mitchelvaneijk :- Basically the smaller the number the better the chance of winning. So 2/1 is a hot favourite, 66/1 or 100/1 is an outsider and according to the Bookies has little or no chance of winning.

I prefer to use decimal odds, (it just adds one to the number.)

So the Top 5 would be (using Bet365,) :-

Sweden 2.62
Italy 4.33
Australia 4.5
Estonia 9
Finland 15

As you can see Sweden, Italy and Australia are the clear favourites and all very close and no clear favourite at this stage.

DEBBIE
Guest

the winner for me – Italy 🙂
second\third place – estonia\slovenia 🙂
firth place – Israel. 🙂

Mitchelvaneijk
Guest

@will i absolutely loved Mälmo. The Stage was great. It was not to big and not to small. I loved the size of it. The arena was great to. I get a great feeling when they zoom in on the stage and you see all the public with light bravelet. Petra was a great host. She was not fake (like Azerbaijan’s hosts)

Mitchelvaneijk
Guest

@Iberian i dont get it either

Will
Guest
Will

I think the Netherlands and Germany will blow us away in rehearsals and creep up this list (Germany is my dark horse!), Sweden is very slick but I think the song is lacking in substance. I get the feeling most people want Sweden to win every year.
Bit off topic, but what is the general opinion of the 2013 show? I thought it was great but it seems most were disappointed. Do people expect more from a Swedish production?

Iberian
Guest
Iberian

Guys, I feel so stupid, but honestly I’m unable to understand the numbers in those odds lists. What the hell does 7/2 mean? And then all of a sudden simply a 66? Gosh, I sorry to be so stupid, but I don’t get it. 🙁

Milla
Guest
Milla

I have a feeling that Italy is an entry that will appeal the juries more than Sweden and Australia. It has the ingredients of a winning entry. Perhaps also Estonia will be liked. I’m actually not quite sure where Sweden will end up. The performance will change slightly, I’m afraid that the part that will change is the one I like the most. The beginning, before the first chorus. I hope it will be just as good as in Melodifestivalen. Then I think it will appeal the televoters the most. What I don’t think is good for Italy is the… Read more »

LAWL
Guest
LAWL

Albania for the win

Deniz@TurkNL
Guest

Why is Belarus so high up??

Mario
Guest
Mario

Well i personally have Australia’s song as 36th in my top40 even…In the bottom 5 least liked songs of mine..
Even if Guy Sebastian finishes really high as 2nd/runner up with possibly even only a single 1 point gap from the eventual winner{Italy,Sweden or another country..} will still make me feel satisfied that Australia won’t be the winner..
PLEASE do not let Australia win the EuroVision with such mediocre weak bland song..

astrit
Guest

WTF albania is the winner for sure keep voting amazing Elhaida guyss

jr esc nl
Guest
jr esc nl

I think that latvia and macedonia will rise in the odds after their rehearsels. Aminata is the dark horese of the year and a good staging could really lift her up but i hope she doesn’t have that guy from the video with her. And daniel could be a big surprise with merj