The first semi final may have just come to a close, but the Eurovision odds have already changed dramatically – with Russia and Serbia surging up to become some of the favourites for the win according to Oddschecker.

betting odds changes

Russia’s Polina Gagarina is now the second favourite to win Eurovision 2015 following her breathtaking performance in semi final one. The momentum had been picking up for Polina during the rehearsals and coupled with a very handy place in the second half of Saturday night’s final, could we be heading to Russia for Eurovision for the second time?

Also rising in the odds is Bojana Stamenov for Serbia. It’s fair to say that “Beauty Never Lies” nearly lifted the roof off the Wiener Stadthalle this evening and that clearly came across on TV screens as well, with Bojana now the sixth favourite to win.This puts her just behind Estonia, with Elina & Stig shortening with some markets, yet lengthening in others, perhaps showing some uncertainty still about “Goodbye to Yesterday”. Belgium’s odds have also been cut, but Loïc Nottet still remains at 33/1 to one at his lowest.

The pressure has therefore been put on Sweden, Italy and Australia, who have all seen their odds drift as a result of Polina’s momentum. That could still all change on Thursday after Mans Zelmerlow’s performance in the second semi final, but right now the market is filled with “A Million Voices”!

Photo: Elena Volotova (EBU)

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Neeka
Guest
Neeka

1.Sweden
2. Israel
3. UK
4. Russia
5. Italy
6. Serbia
7.Estonia

per
Guest

Sebia! WHAT WAS THAT. I dont understand it! was it a song , or …
I hope Russia dont win. If they do, i hope al Europe dont go to Russia next year. Albania it sounds AWFUL.
See you in Sweden next year

jam
Guest
jam

My top 5:

1) Serbia
2) Spain
3) Israel
4) Montenegro
5) Russia

sean
Guest
sean

My prediction: 1 Sweden 2 Italy 3 Australia 4 Estonia 5 Belgium 6 Cyprus 7 Slovenia 8 Azerbaijan 9 Norway 10 Serbia I don’t think the power ballads will do well. There are too many, so the votes of those who love the ballads will be split. Especially Russia is hugely overrated in the predictions. They will probably get a decent number of votes of the countries in their power sphere, but I don’t think many European citizens will vote for such a lot of hypocrisy from Moscow. “Love and peace”, while the Russians are killing Georgians and Ukrainians as… Read more »

ESCaddict
Guest
ESCaddict

I found there were three WOW performances – Russia, Estonia & Belgium. Serbia was fourth but didn’t score a WOW.
The worst was The Netherlands. It was a train wreck.
Georgia did turn out to be the toilet break song. It was conveniently placed before the voting. I watched a minute of it but the staging was predictable and a big yawn, just like the song.

joni
Guest
joni

Albania was amazing song i think she will go long way even though they are a lot of salavic countries which they hate Albanian. .as it is all about politics even eurovision.

aggy
Guest
aggy

Cant you guys just close your eyes and listen to their voice?The winner is definitely ALBANIA.Elhaida is such an enourmously great singer with a magic voice.

cheesecake
Guest
cheesecake

I love Russia’s song but I don’t think they should win. The security of the fans couldn’t be guaranteed and a lot of countries maybe would withdraw because of Russia’s politics.
Now to Serbia. I really don’t like the song, the show was good though. But in the end it’s a song contest and I can’t imagine them winning. Overrated!

gagah!
Guest
gagah!

I’ m realy sorry but Serbia got the biggest applause and reaction….so i will be realy surprised that Serbia didnt qualifye.I belive that is gonna be in top5 in final but who knows…. 😉
At the other side,Georgia is fine.Realy.Deserve to be in final but georgian people are realy boring with spaming coments.Ok,i understand that you like your country but that what you doing is not ok.You beggin to be just annoying…

Mario
Guest
Mario

To all the people pointing out how the surge of Serbia is ridiculous and the betting odds don’t hold any value – because, hey, “they had Finland up there until recently” – your premise is weak, because Finland fell out of top 10 in the odds *after* people saw their performance last night.
And Serbia climbed to the top after they performed, left a good impression and got the biggest cheer of the night. It really hit the spot, in all its silliness and campiness. It felt honest and spontaneous, Bojana was charismatic and she brought that essence of Eurovision.

MM
Guest
MM

Okay, was I the only one who listened to Russian entry and heard breathy singing, not very good vocals and well….fairly stupid mumbo-jumbo about peace, love and freedom – which is exactly the opposite in Russia? Lets not also forget how they choose their songs – no national contest, they pick a singer, who then chooses a song.

Nevertheless, let the best (wo)man win!

OS MAN
Guest
OS MAN

Moscow, St. Petersburg, Sochi 2016, will be amazing! Russia is still the biggest economic giant in Europe, so they will organise an unforgettable Eurovision show, with really BIG stage!I really hope Polina to win! She deserve the victory! Great song, beautiful and talented singer, and amazing staging! GO POLINA, GO RUSSIA!

zoolander
Guest
zoolander

No matter how I dislike the hypocrysy behind the the Russian song, I must admit that Polina Gagarina totally owned the semi-final 1. Catchy song, powerful voice and visuals. Glad that my favorite Belgium got through. I am surprised that Albania and Serbia qualified, but there were 10 slots to fill and I dont miss any of the non-qualifiers either. And I am honestly happy for not seeing Finland in the final.

2015
Guest
2015

Belarus and the Netherlands are 11th and 12th i guess. Hungary and Greece placed 10th 9th. Serbia won’t be much of a deal in the final on the right side of the score board. Russia, Estonia, Belgium, Sweden and Spain are fighting for victory! Hot favorite Albania dissapointed me :/ Armenia has to get their act together, Hungary a little bit nervous, but beautifull. I think their are alot of surprises yet to come. I would place my money on Spain or Russia.

G. Costanza
Guest
G. Costanza

I really was suprised by Serbia.

Wow.. that woman has a powerfull voice and its a really catchy song. It has Eurovision written all over it. But i don’t think they are going to win.

My prediction:

1. Sweden
2. Italy
3. Serbia
4. Australia
5. Russia
6. Estonia
7. Norway
8. Belgium
9. Azerbaijan
10. Slovenia

GK HELLAS
Guest
GK HELLAS

It’s a big shame for eurovision that serbia is too high.But you will see as every year the betting odds are a complete joke.For example my country greece last year was 6th in the odds and came 20th.The same is gonna happen to serbia on saturday.

Racal
Guest
Racal

I’m sick of hearing about these stupid betting odds. For the last 4 months they had Finland on top, and they didn’t even qualify. Year after year, they get it wrong. Seriously, does anybody give credit to these so called odds, except the betters themselves?

mad-professor
Guest
mad-professor

It’s unlikely that the contest will be hosted in Russia given that conditions for the LGBT community have gotten worse since the EBU sent them that warning.

Sigma
Guest
Sigma

I believe that the dark horse will be Georgia, just wait and you will see. Bookies proved many times that they are not trustful anymore and yet they are not putting Georgia in the top 10 list

Megi
Guest
Megi

Russia with a military invasion in the heart of Europe is going to win European Song Contest with a peace message…..??? Are you crazy, guys……??? Please, wake up….. !!!!! This is a mockery of Europe…….!!!! Open your eyes and see the reality…..!!!!

I’m disappointed….!!!

conor
Guest
conor

georgia is the winner for me she’ll defiently have my vote after that performance it was amazing

Deniz
Guest
Deniz

Lacrymea

Definitely! If Serbia is going to win, all the quality of the other songs wil get lost.
Serbia”s performance was circus and I don”t want that to win because everyone Who said it is a circus will be proven right.

On top of that, we don”t need a coming out song again.

Thiefo
Guest

So happy to see Bojana getting up there! Her performance was amazing.
About Russia, I guess I can see why so many people liked it, but personally I liked the estonian performance more than the russian for instance, but to each their own.

Antranig Shokayan
Editor

Bojana was amazing! Absolutely flawless <3

Polina would make a great winner but we'll have to wait and see… xd

Mario My Vision of Gay Love
Guest
Mario My Vision of Gay Love

I was so happy that Serbia & my dear Bojana managed to qualify to the final! <3 😀
As i was glad about Hungary too! <3 😀
Well i really expected Russia to qualify so it was no surprise at all.. 🙂

manz
Guest
manz

Anna Vissi the absolute G-O-D-D-E-S-S

Fara
Guest
Fara

I my dear! Greece is a huge positive surprise. However don’t get crazy. I’ve seen a lot of people to compare Maria-Elena with the incomparable Anna Vissi. Maria- Elena is very good but this comparison is like blasphemy!!

Jean
Guest
Jean

Final results:

Sweden: 2
Italy: 1(winner)
Russia: 3
Australia: 11
Estonia: 7
Greece: 4
Serbia:15
Spain: 9
Norway: 12
Azerbaijan: 5
Belgium: 6
Georgia: 13
UK: 14
Albania: 10
Cyprus: 8

manz
Guest
manz

Come on guys…be serious and fair.
1st semi

12p for Greece
10p for Russia
8p for Estonia
7p for Georgia
6p for Belgium
5p for Albania
4p for Serbia
3p to the Nederland (…so unfair that they didn’t pass)
2p for Hungary
1p for Belarus (also unfair result)

As for the final Italy, Russia, Sweden, Greece, Spain will be in top 5 in no particular order.

As regard the… so called black horse, is Cyprus! Mans from Sweden 20/5/2015

Lucas
Guest
Lucas

Briekimchi @ I’m glad you’re in Nina’s Team because if there is someone who REALLY deserve to win this years it’s gotta be N I N A ! I really want you guys to think for a minute and you will realise what I am trying to say here , you might not like that type of music but just LOOK at herperformance and then compare that to another contestants you just C A N N OT because she’s too good , she’s Got the whole package ! The looks , the voice , the right attitude and she does… Read more »

lacrymea
Guest
lacrymea

@Lucas – I’m blind and deaf then. Georgia was among the only 5 proper acts this evening, but on the overall picture… not my favourite at all.

Briekimchi
Guest
Briekimchi

@Lucas – Who is arguing with you? Nina was fantastic and I hope she wins!

Lucas
Guest
Lucas

C’mon PEOPLE !!! You have to be blind and deaf to not appreciate this YOUNG GEORGIAN girl who came out of stage alone and absolutely blew our minds ! Anyone with a bit of understanding in music industry will agree that she was the outstanding leader of Tonight’s show ! And by the way she wrote that song! Russia’s Polinina or whatever her name is so fake I don’t even have to comment anything about her , her country is well hated for invading its neighbours and discriminating Gay people , nothing special about her song ! Sweden and Australia… Read more »

lacrymea
Guest
lacrymea

I can’t get over all the hype for Serbia. I’m sorry for all the fans out there and it’s nothing against Serbia or their representants: but this is the sort of song that still gives ESC a bad name 🙁

To see this just comming after a classy performance such as Estonia… I mean, seriously?

eurana
Guest
eurana

Serbia took the place of Finland as dark horse. I personally believe that Serbia will be at 25 – 20 on final ranking on Saturday.

George
Guest

@ Romeo 2015

Just make sure to give Denmark lots of points !

D
Guest
D

Deven – Despite their economic troubles, Russia is still a large wealthy country and would no doubt be able to afford Eurovision. My biggest fear with Russia winning would be mass boycotts from Western/Northern Europe. But otherwise, I’d love Eurovision to come to Saint Petersburg should they win, truly a beautiful city I’m happy to have been able to visit.

Mar
Guest
Mar

Sure Polina was good, but I wasn’t really that impressed by her vocals or staging. I thought Estonia were superior, specially because their staging is clever and really tells a story without falling into cliches. I expect Italy’s odds to shorten after their second rehersal.
The whole Serbia thing has just been blown out of proportion.

D
Guest
D

How on Earth is Serbia in the Top 10. Don’t think Russia will win either, but I do feel Top 3. I’m pretty sure the winner will either be Estonia/Georgia/Belgium or come from semi-final 2, can’t see any of the automatic qualifiers winning.

Romeo2015
Guest
Romeo2015

I am from Greece and very proud about Cypriot Helena ,was perfect. I will vote many times for United Kingdom .Few votes for Russia and Estonia.And who knows, maybe a vote for France, Spain, Denmark, Iceland or Malta. It depends on their performance at the final.I don’t like Cyprus’s song , so sorry my Cypriots friends even if Cyprus be in final, this time zero points. But my prediction is that Sweden will win.My favorite song is this from UK but it is difficult to see it in Top 10. My prediction now. 1) Estonia 2) Russia 3) Italy 4)… Read more »

Fatima
Guest
Fatima

Get some perspective Deven. Regardless of Gagarina (who I also think is super), Russia’s ‘bad treatment’ last year didn’t come out of nothing. Watch Channel Four’s ‘Hunted’. Then you’ll see some truly bad treatment and people going through hard times. They aren’t victims of politics, they’re victims of hate.

Maltish
Guest
Maltish

Honestly the rise in odds for Serbia is surprising. It wouldn’t surprise me noe if they made the top 10 in the grand final.

Deven O'Kearney
Guest
Deven O'Kearney

I’ll be happy for Russia to win Eurovision 2015. Hence bringing the contest to Moscow or St. Petersburg next year. They were very badly treated last year. Give them a break. They’ve a hard time of it already. I think if you really want a fair contest, let Russia win. Not boo them because of their political beliefs. You also need to consider that Russia is going through a very tough time at the moment as far as money is concerned. The ruble has collapsed and there is going to be a lot of people struggling and unable to put… Read more »

Adam
Guest
Adam

Obviously enough people liked Serbia for it to go through the final and to get the loudest cheer of the night. Maybe its just a wiwibloggs thing to not like her, but I just can’t get over how impressed and living Bojana was tonight!!

Eris
Guest
Eris

Lol just lol

JimM
Guest
JimM

It’s the same people that a couple of hours ago were placing Finland near the top 5 that are now placing Serbia in the same position. Odds silly games…

Briekimchi
Guest
Briekimchi

Serbia 6th favourite to win? Ridiculous.
Having said that, the bookies have had Finland up there and still have Cyprus up there.

blondboybc
Guest
blondboybc

For me the standout acts tonight were: 1) Belgium 2) Russia 3) Greece and 4) Serbia. So, they all deserved the final. Georgia was impressive for its staging, so also deserved to move on to Saturday’s final. Anyway, congrats to all the finalists! Looking forward to the second semi on Thursday! 😀

Deven O'Kearney
Guest
Deven O'Kearney

Here’s my prediction for the top 10: 1. AUSTRALIA 299 2. SWEDEN 257 3. ITALY 212 4. RUSSIA 195 5. ESTONIA 177 6. GEORGIA 130 7. BELGIUM 113 8. NORWAY 97 9. SPAIN 88 10. ARMENIA 79

Iberian
Guest
Iberian

I think I’ll never watch Eurovision again if Russia wins.