The second semi final of Eurovision 2015 may have a clear favourite — Hej, Måns Zelmerlöw! — but the complete list of potential qualifiers remains unclear and divisive. Following last night’s jury show, the bookies have adjusted their odds ever-so-slightly, and there are a handful of acts — including Poland’s Monika Kuszynska, Iceland’s Maria Olafs, Montenegro’s Knez, Malta’s Amber, and Switzerland’s Mélanie René — who are fighting for the final few spots in the final. It’s gonna be a bloodbath, y’all.
Semi final 2 odds: Who will win?
Following last night’s jury show, Sweden remains the red hot favourite. Måns’ odds were already hovering around 4/11 at a number of agencies, and overnight he narrowed, dropping to 1/3 at Bet365 and Coral. Despite the hype, the “Heroes” singer is playing it cool. As he told me on the red carpet, he’s actually growing less confident as expectations rise.
The next four favourites remain the same as the night before — Norway’s Mørland & Debrah Scarlett sit in second, followed by Slovenia’s Maraaya, Azerbaijan’s Elnur Huseynov and Latvia’s Aminata Savadogo. But further down the table we see that Iceland has plunged from sixth favourite ahead of the jury final to ninth this morning. She now sits behind Cyprus’ John Kariyannis, Israel’s Nadav Guedj, and Lithuania’s Monika & Vaidas. Poland’s Monika is currently listed as the 10th most likely to win tonight’s show.
Semi final 2 odds: Who will qualify?
The jury show did not change the bookies’ overall opinion of who will qualify for the final. The ten countries, in order of liklihood, are: Sweden, Norway, Slovenia, Azerbaijan, Latvia, Cyprus, Lithuania, Israel, Poland, and Iceland.
That means Montenegro, Malta, Switzerland, the Czech Republic, Ireland, Portugal and San Marino are likely out.
This list only had two small changes. After the jury show, some betting agencies are more confident that Latvia will advance. For instance, at betting agency Boylesports, Aminata’s odds have narrowed slightly from 1/3 to 1/4. That’s helped push her ahead of both Cyprus and Lithuania to become fifth most likely to advance. Elsewhere Poland — which was the bookies’ tenth most likely to qualify — has edged past Iceland to move into ninth.
You can follow the latest Eurovision odds here
Photo: Eurovision.tv (EBU)