The second semi final of Eurovision 2015 may have a clear favourite — Hej, Måns Zelmerlöw! — but the complete list of potential qualifiers remains unclear and divisive. Following last night’s jury show, the bookies have adjusted their odds ever-so-slightly, and there are a handful of acts — including Poland’s Monika Kuszynska, Iceland’s Maria Olafs, Montenegro’s Knez, Malta’s Amber, and Switzerland’s Mélanie René — who are fighting for the final few spots in the final. It’s gonna be a bloodbath, y’all.

Semi final 2 odds: Who will win?

Following last night’s jury show, Sweden remains the red hot favourite. Måns’ odds were already hovering around 4/11 at a number of agencies, and overnight he narrowed, dropping to 1/3 at Bet365 and Coral. Despite the hype, the “Heroes” singer is playing it cool. As he told me on the red carpet, he’s actually growing less confident as expectations rise.

The next four favourites remain the same as the night before — Norway’s Mørland & Debrah Scarlett sit in second, followed by Slovenia’s Maraaya, Azerbaijan’s Elnur Huseynov and Latvia’s Aminata Savadogo. But further down the table we see that Iceland has plunged from sixth favourite ahead of the jury final to ninth this morning. She now sits behind Cyprus’ John Kariyannis, Israel’s Nadav Guedj, and Lithuania’s Monika & Vaidas. Poland’s Monika is currently listed as the 10th most likely to win tonight’s show.

Semi final 2 odds: Who will qualify?

The jury show did not change the bookies’ overall opinion of who will qualify for the final. The ten countries, in order of liklihood, are: Sweden, Norway, Slovenia, Azerbaijan, Latvia, Cyprus, Lithuania, Israel, Poland, and Iceland.

That means Montenegro, Malta, Switzerland, the Czech Republic, Ireland, Portugal and San Marino are likely out.

semi final 2 odds to qualify eurovision

This list only had two small changes. After the jury show, some betting agencies are more confident that Latvia will advance. For instance, at betting agency Boylesports, Aminata’s odds have narrowed slightly from 1/3 to 1/4. That’s helped push her ahead of both Cyprus and Lithuania to become fifth most likely to advance. Elsewhere Poland — which was the bookies’ tenth most likely to qualify — has edged past Iceland to move into ninth.

You can follow the latest Eurovision odds here

Photo: Eurovision.tv (EBU)

31 Comments
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Briekimchi
Briekimchi
6 years ago

The bookies were surprisingly accurate.

per
per
6 years ago

Latvia is a copy of Euphoria. ????

Chris
Chris
6 years ago

My top10 (random order): Malta, Norway, Azerbaijan, Slovenia, Iceland, Sweden, Ireland, Poland, Cyprus, Montenegro – however I dont like Azerbaijan, Slovenia and Iceland much.
The countries which probably will qualify: Norway, Azerbaijan, Slovenia, Sweden, Poland, Cyprus, Latvia, Israel, Lithuania, Iceland

Steve Gray
Steve Gray
6 years ago

Ireland is amazing its such a shame it looks set to exit 🙁

bavarson
bavarson
6 years ago

Poland will go very much up, especially on itunes and youtube.

EF0912
EF0912
6 years ago

My top 17 (before show – it always changes)
1: Malta
2: Norway
3: Latvia
4: Azerbaijan
5: Israel
6: Slovenia
7: Iceland
8: Sweden
9: Ireland
10: Poland
11: Portugal
12: Lithuania
13: Switzerland
14: Czech Republic
15: Montenegro
16: San Marino
17: Cyprus

Prediction (Before Performances without ranking):
Norway
Sweden
Azerbaijan
Slovenia
Iceland
Israel
Latvia
Portugal (I don’t know why but I just have a feeling…)
Ireland
Malta

Poland, Lithuania and Switzerland could all qualify instead of Ireland, Malta and Portugal.
To be fair, the only dead certain NQ is San Marino.

Racal
Racal
6 years ago

My only wish for tonight is that the cheaters from Azerbaijan are sent back home. After years of bribing, cheating, manipulating jury votes, etc., it’s time that everybody realize what they truly are and boycott them. They will get enough votes with the ones they bought, don’t give them more than that! 😉

anonymous
anonymous
6 years ago

What i think will happen:

1. Sweden
2. Azerbaijan
3. Norway
4. Slovenia
5. Latvia
6. Iceland
7. Malta
8. Switzerland
9. Ireland
10. Poland
11. Israel (unfortunately)
12. Lithuania
13. Montenegro
14. Czech Republic
15. Cyprus
16. Portugal
17. San Marino

This i smy opinion (TIMO)
This i smy opinion (TIMO)
6 years ago

sorry for those who are betting on sweden to win, this will be another year the number one favourite will have your money saved for bookies, remmember in 2006 anna vissi, 2010 Safura an 2011 amaury and so on, oh well better luck next time 😀

William Cahill
6 years ago

We were in the Nordics too long! 2010, 2013 and 2014. Of course many many MANY years ago xD

Oostenrijk
Oostenrijk
6 years ago

Wow, cant wait for Eurovision to finally return to a Nordic country after so many, many, many, many, many year. It feels like ESC was never there.

Vladimir
Vladimir
6 years ago

The entries I would really like to qualify are Sweden, Iceland, Israel, Azerbaijan, Slovenia and maybe Switzerland. Other songs leave me cold.

Greetings from Serbia!

Vladimir
Vladimir
6 years ago

I wish the reporters would stop using that “y’all” in every freakin’ article. We’re in Europe and they’re not Ellen Degeneres (it’s funny only when she says it).

cheesecake
cheesecake
6 years ago

I think tonight anything can happen. This is much more open than SF1.
To me only Sweden, Norway and Azerbaijan are sure to qualify, everybody else will have to fight it out.
I just hope that Iceland and Cyprus won’t advance.

Ah
Ah
6 years ago

Hopefully Ireland does well they are really good and so is Switzerland. What do people like about Latvia? I think the vocals arent great.
My Top 5
1) Ireland
2) Norway
3) Sweden
4) Switzerland
5) Iceland

Darren
Darren
6 years ago

@PlayingWithBoredom
We all have our own personal opinions about music, I personally think she does deserve a place in the final. And you are one to talk about something or someone being cringe worthy and pathetic because your Wiwi name here is playing with boredom, the fact that you had to reference the song title in your name to also reference your hatred for it is very very very sad. You need to get a life, you are a joke..and not a good one either.

Playing With Boredom
Playing With Boredom
6 years ago

Ireland certainly don’t deserve to go through. It’s a terrible song that would be great to treat people suffering from insomnia, and the assertion that “vote for Molly, she really deserves it” is both pathetic and cringeworthy to hear from an apparently grown man.

mad-professor
mad-professor
6 years ago

What is it that people like about Latvia? The song is bad, the vocals are abysmal and the staging is dire. I’d rather San Marino qualified over that song.

Calvin
Calvin
6 years ago

I still think Marta/Václav hang on, especially after the masterful work they did at the jury semi.

Darren
Darren
6 years ago

The bookies get it wrong alot of the time (because they would be loosing money if they didn’t)
So I’m remaining hopeful for Ireland. Poland will definitely qualify, its so obvious that it is going to. I dont think Cyprus will however, even if the staging does look pleasant. I just really want Ireland to make the final again, please vote Molly , all you guys that can.

Mario My Vision of Gay Love
Mario My Vision of Gay Love
6 years ago

Here is my personal actual ranking on the SF.. 1) My winner — *MALTA* 7/10 —————————————– 2) Norway 6,5/10 3) Sweden 6,5/10 4) Switzerland 6,5/10 5) Slovenia 6/10 6) Czech 6/10 7) Montenegro 6/10 8) Iceland 6/10 9) Azerbaijan 6/10 10) Israel 6/10 ——————————————- 11) San Marino 5/10 12) Lithuania 4,5/10 13) Latvia 4,5/10 14) Cyprus 4,5/10 15) Poland 4/10 16) Ireland 4/10 17) Portugal 3/10 Here are my personal prediction about the actual ranking tonight.. 1) Winner –SWEDEN ————————————— 2) Slovenia 3) Norway 4) Azerbaijan 5) Latvia 6) Lithuania 7) Israel 8) Iceland 9) Malta 10) Poland ————————————————— 11)… Read more »

2015
2015
6 years ago

Does somebody know how those odds work? 1/3? 1/4? i don’t understand xD

1. Norway 2. Ireland 3. Poland

Portugal, san marino and cyprus won’t make the final.
I think that Israel and Lithuania are not so sure about a final place either.
I just hope Ireland and Poland will qualify

Mark Dowd
Mark Dowd
6 years ago

Sweden, Norway, Azerbaijan and Slovenia are certain qualifiers… Then Lativa and Lithuania likely with Iceland, leaving three more spots…. I think Israel might be SF2’s “Serbia” as a bit of up-beat fun and then, even though it is rather dull and low-ley, Cyprus….and final slot to Poland. San Marino and Portugal are CERTAIN NQs and I really see Ireland and Czech Republic struggling along with Malta. But these three still have a small chance of pushing out Poland for the tenth slot. Sweden to win the televote and Norway to win the jury vote. Expect a MAJOR drop in Norway’s… Read more »

BIONDA
BIONDA
6 years ago

SEMI 1 MY TOP 3
1.GREECE
2.ESTONIA
3.RUSSIA

AND MY TOP 3 FOR TONIGHT IS
1.SWEDEN
2.NORWAY
3.SLOVENIA

I GUESS ALL THESE SONGS WILL BE IN THE FINAL ROUND TOP 6,7

Phoenix
Phoenix
6 years ago

This time Czech Republic must qualify for the final.Their song is amazing!

Jerome
Jerome
6 years ago

As I’ve said before, I only want Norway, Latvia, Sweden and Azerbaijan in the final. As long as it’s not Cyprus or San Marino, I don’t care who takes the other six spots. But if I had to predict who would go through, I’d pick Norway, Latvia, Sweden, Azerbaijan, Slovenia, Malta, Switzerland, Poland, Israel (it grew on me, so here’s hoping that they’ll break their non-qualification curse) and Lithuania.

Otna
Otna
6 years ago

My three favourites here are Ireland, Malta and Czech Republic and I would be devastated if all three crashed out… I’m hoping they’re seriously wrong about SF2 tbh.

Ozzy
Ozzy
6 years ago

As a Cypriot I can tell you, Cyprus aint gonna qualify

Leo
Leo
6 years ago

I’m predicting Sweden, Norway, Latvia, Israel, Slovenia, Azerbaijan, Iceland, Ireland, Czech Republic and Poland. Montenegro and/or Cyprus could sneak through. If there is going to be a shock exit, it could be Azerbaijan

Maltish
Maltish
6 years ago

You mean semi final 2 odds Wiwibloggs.

Fatima
Fatima
6 years ago

I might put money on Montenegro qualifying. And if everyone knew Marta and Vaclav as well as we do, the Czechs would also sail through.