For a little while last night, between the announcement of the Second Semi-final results and that of the running order as decided by the show producers, Eurovision odds shifted like there was no tomorrow. Israel shortened and advanced to the edge of Top 10, while Cyprus jumped to 14th. Russia edged out Italy (again) and Ireland, who failed to qualify for the final, was still ahead of Armenia half an hour after the 10 qualifiers werre announced. You could feel the confusion and panic buying just by looking at the odds table.
But that was last night and today things have quieted down. As of 10:00 CET this morning, this is how the Eurovision odds scoreboard looked like.
Let’s break it down, shall we?
Måns Zelmerlöw doesn’t budge from the top
Sweden’s Måns Zelmerlöw looks set to win tomorrow night with “Heroes”. After an amazing performance and a great response from the crowd in Wiener Stadthalle, he sailed through to the final and remains the most solid candidate for the title of Eurovision 2015 winner. Love it or hate it, looks like we’re back to Scandinavia next year.
Il Volo fights it out with Polina Gagarina for second place
Italy’s Il Volo have not yet performed, but they are still second favourites to win. For now at least. In the days since the First Semi-final, Polina Gagarina has been giving them a run for their money, edging them out a couple of times. It remains to be seen who will top whom on Saturday night! If you’re asking us, our money is on the Italians. Despite the fact that they will perform dead last on the night, it’s not over till the popera trio sings — quite literally!
Belgium’s Loïc Nottet is the biggest mover
As you can see on the chart, there is a blue line for Belgium, which can only mean one thing: Loïc Nottet’s “Rhythm Inside” is moving up-up-up! Now he sits on fifth place in the odds, but we wouldn’t be surprised if the Belgian singer passed Australia’s Guy Sebastian by the end of the day. Loïc’s modern performance and sound, which have brought him almost 1 million views on the official Youtube video, are likely to surprise us all.
Update: As we predicted, Belgium is now (at 1:00 PM) fourth in the odds!
Aminata injected Latvia into Top 10, set to soar even more
While Estonia, Serbia, Norway and Azerbaijan are all in the red, Latvia’s Aminata has more blue than red, which means that her song “Love Injected” is more than likely to advance even further on the scorebard, also thanks to a great spot in the final: 19. Expect the small Baltic country to shorten even more as we get close to Saturday night.
As for the rest of the table, we notice that Slovenia’s running order has hurt its chances and is now likely to be passed by Spain. After the initial enthousiasm for “Golden Boy”‘s qualification quieted down, Israel fell to 13th. Romania was 20th last night but it advanced to 17th after the producers gave it the 20th prime spot. While Cyprus was the cool kid after the semi-final, the running order put him in its place, now standing the 18th chance to win the contest. After receiving the dreaded 2nd running position, France fell out of Top 20, but Germany is the Big 5 biggest loser according to the bookies, who currently placed Ann Sophie 25th. Rounding up the chart, Poland looks very underrated on last place, but we have a feeling that this will not be the case on the actual scoreboard tomorrow night. Her inspiring message of hope has impressed a lot of people, y’all, including our very own David Thielen, who teared up while talking to Monika at the press conference last night.
What do you think about the Eurovision odds ahead of the Grand Final tomorrow? Have you placed any bets? Who is the most likely to beat Måns? Who is overrated and who do you think is underrated by the bookies? Sound off below!
Photo: Thomas Hanses (EBU)