With half of the Eurovision 2016 field now filled out, we’ve seen some significant with the odds to win. That’s because Super Saturday took place, a new Supernova winner was crowned and the big powers of Germany, the UK and France all made their choices. With oddschecker.com as our guide once again, here’s what the bookmakers are saying right now about the Eurovision 2016 odds.
How to bet on Eurovision 2016
You can see a table of the current betting odds to win the Eurovision 2016 grand final below. The odds are likely to shift significantly during the upcoming preview party season — when we hear many of the acts live for the first time. If you have an inkling someone is underrated you may want to jump on it and bet now while you can still get decent returns. You may find it useful to read this guide on how and where to bet on Eurovision 2016 before proceeding.
Eurovision 2016 Odds: February 29, 2016
Poland remain on top
There’s no change at the very top of the pile, with Poland holding tight to the number one spot. The bookmakers still clearly have a lot of faith in Margaret, despite her “questionable” live performance last week. In fact, Poland’s odds have lowered a little more since last week. They are now 3-1 favourites, compared with 7-2 last week. If Margaret can overcome the cold that reportedly held her back — and Edyta Górniak — then expect those odds to go down even more after Krajowe Eliminacje.
Latvia and Sweden catching Russia
As we continue to wait for Sergey Lazarev’s song reveal, the momentum seems to be shifting away from Russia in the betting market. Latvia’s odds tumbled during Supernova and Justs is now tied with Sergey at 5-1 in most markets as second favourite. We’ll see whether that remains the same come the 5th of March, when Russia show their hand in full.
With knowledge of all 16 remaining songs at Melodifestivalen, the bookmakers also have had the confidence to lower Sweden’s odds. This mainly seems to have come off the back of Frans’ breakout performance on Saturday night. He’s already become the favourite to win Melfest and that has seen Sweden’s odds change slightly, from 8-1 to 7-1.
Mixed fortunes for the Big Five
There’s already been considerable changes in the market, with France shooting up in to 7th place with the bookmakers. Amir’s “J’ai cherché” hasn’t even been released in its ultimate three minute form, but this is already the best response to a French song since “Sognu” dominated the odds in 2011. The best odds on France are still 16-1, but this could get much lower still.
Not so much luck for the four other members of the “Big Five”. Germany’s odds have slipped since Jamie-Lee Kriewitz’s victory with “Ghost”, though they remain in the top ten. Italy, however, has drastically slipped in the odds, perhaps off the back of Francesca saying that she might still change her song. They have gone from best odds of 20-1 to now being as high as 40-1, tied with Spain’s Barei. As for the UK, Joe and Jake’s triumph at Eurovision: You Decide has seen practically no change for the country’s odds. They remain outsiders at 25-1.
A few other notable changes in the market include Armenia moving to just outside the top five as anticipation builds for Iveta Mukuchyan’s “Love Wave”. Cyprus also find themselves just outside the top ten with odds of 25-1 available, following the positive reaction to “Alter Ego”. That’s all at the expense of Norway, despite Agnete’s convincing victory at MGP this weekend. They’ve moved from 16-1 to 25-1 also, joining a whole host of other countries in the same position.
What do you think of the odds this week? Should Poland still be at the top and do you think any of the other songs could move higher as the week goes on? Let us know in the comments section or via our Twitter page.
malta all the way …
Poland: MARGARET is the best!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
MARGARET is the best!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Hi! Polish people, if you don’t choose this track you’re going to make a huge mistake.. let’s go Margaret!?
I think Polish song is the best. I don’t want Russia to win again. Poland deserves the highest notes this year.
Roelof Meesters- First wait and listen to the czech song and THEN, only then you can judge, not befeore 😉 Do not be so prejudiced.
Soz, but France is clearly the best entry so far.
Right now, I’m only saying that Russia and Armenia have good chances of winning, because I really don’t know what people see in “Heartbeat” and unless Margaret can pick up from her bad performance, she’s got no chance at all.
MARGARET FOR THE WIN!
I think qualifiers in SF1 would be (in random order) : -Russia (it’s Russia) -Armenia (they are trying to make the top ten so hard: the teaser, artist, special cloth-designer and amazing title <3) -Bosnia&Herzegovina (it's Bosnia, they have Montenegro, Croatia, Greece etc.) -Hungary (everybody loves their song, everybody) -Cyprus (everybody likes their song+Greece) -Estonia (great national selection) -Iceland (everybody likes their song+Finland) -The Netherlands (everybody's exited, Douwe is also a great performer) -Malta (Ira Losco is a promising performer) -Azerbaijan (people are voting less and less for Azerbaijan, but they might just geth trough with a good song) This… Read more »
My points (1-100):
Georgia 2
Switzerland 3
Finland 3
Slovenia 4
Bosnia & Herzegovina 4
Spain 5
United Kingdom 5
Ukraine 5
Albania 5
Ireland 5
Belarus 6
Austria 6
Iceland 6
Belgium 6
Denmark 6
Italy 7
Moldova 7
Norway 7
Latvia 7
Cyprus 7
France 7
Hungary 8
Malta 8
Germany 8
The pattern of how these votes are made is through youtube views, buzz on social media and recent voting patterns.
That is why countries that don’t have an entry again top these random polls.
Azerbaijan in 2014 is the clear example, the buzz was created by the points they previously received and the Turkish diaspora in Europe…. But they still failed to make an impression.
This year is an opened field, it is literally which horse’s nose sticks out more….. Live vocals, staging and charisma will determine the winner these odds are BS.
A first live performance for France !
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6BX5uT8wPE
Margaret just can’t outstrip some average level. She always will be average. This is her destiny.
Do you remember 2002 when Germany was favorite to won on betting odds , on 2nd was Sweden and Spain on 3 , Germany finished on 21 place of 24 countries.
Do you remember 2010 when Azerbaijan was favorite, they finish only on 5 th place.
Do you remember 2011 when favorite for win, was France. They finished on 15 place in final, France was favorite in 2001 and they finished on 4 th place.
Poland don t get chance and because politics, they don t want to take refruges from Syria…
After live performance of Margaret from Poland, and news that Justs from Latvia didn t won televote, I think chance for both win the contest is gone.
You all do not know anything about Eurovision Song Contest.
I don’t think Sergei will go to the ESC with a soft pop. It is understood in Russia and abroad.
Probably, they focus on the team for each artist. Sergey really is a dream team. It is therefore logical that they rate his chances very highly. In addition he has a unique voice. He can sing anything. Check out the clip below – “cure the thunder” and you’ll see it.
If I were sorry is leading in Sweden and Sweden is 4th is the ESC odds, that’s a clear sign that his song is adequate for the contest (despite what has been said here many times 😉 )
This week’s important: Netherlands and Australia will go to the top!
I’m not a betting expert, but Sweden, Armenia and Australia don’t have a song yet… What are they doing at the top of the list?! Preposterous.
Margaret is winner Eurovision 2016
For the year in May, will be in the capital Warsaw in 2017
I love Margaret 🙂 🙂 Take care 🙂
I’m sorry but I don’t believe that much in Russia, it’s all hype and we haven’t even heard the song. Poland’s Margaret may be among the best songs this year, but IF she’s winning. And Latvia.. I think it’s quite boring and I think he’s not that good live. His accent is pretty bad too. I’m not sure if Frans is the reason for lowered odds for Sweden. In my opinion the final field so far is strong with songs that are better than most entries chosen so far for ESC. Many have top 5 potential. If Frans gets chosen… Read more »
Latvia and France will do very, very god this year. Possibly, even win.
IT’S OFFICIAL…BOOKED MY TICKETS TO EUROVISION. SO EXCITED. ANYONE ELSE HERE TRAVELING FROM UNITED STATES?!! WHO’S GOING WE SHOULD ALL HANG OUT!
So there are people willing to bet that Latvia may win, but Ukraine will come 9th and Hungary 14th?
Talking about blowing your money away…
I really don’t see the appeal in Latvia’s song.
It just stays the same and sounds dull and repetitive.
I have a feeling we’re definitely going east this year. It’s either Russia, Poland or Armenia – either one will do it for me.
So many EDM Power Ballads this year. They’ll have to cancel each other right? Anyway I feel it’s far too early for the bookies to have any correct predictions… Poland is the favorite and they haven’t even chosen their song.
Still don’t get the Latvian appeal. This act is a 2016 ESC cliche and he is quite a mediocre singer.
Poland hasn’t even chosen yet! What is even the point of including countries without a song? Seams like amateurish blind guessing no different than reading a palm at a county fair.
Armenia, Russia, The Netherlands, Australia….all songs coming this week with high production value I’m certain, all most likely aiming at top 10 this year. I’d say place your money on Armenia at 14-1 now, because it’s a good risk before it goes to 3-1 next week
Malta? I love Ira Losco’s song, but how did they suddenly get so high on these odds?
Netherlands will surprise us.
Poland don’t have a chance.. Margaret is awful live …
Sergey song will be cheap like the rest of his music …
Justs is top 10 material ..
Watch out for the following this week
NETHERLANDS
AUSTRALIA
i love this top 10. it’s pretty justified. all except for poland that is… that live performance was such a trainwreck i can’t even- looking forward for all my favourites to reveal their songs this week! armenia, australia, russia i have great hopes on all of you!!
POLAND <3 WARSAW