With the Eurovision 2016 field now nearly complete, the odds have once again shifted as the bookmakers weigh up their options. As always, we’ve been analysing the field for y’all to see just who they think is looking good as we gear up for the preview season. With oddschecker.com as a guide, here are what the Eurovision 2016 odds look like as of March 15 at 22:30 GMT:
Eurovision 2016 Odds: March 15, 2016
Russia overtakes Sweden after Melodifestivalen
Frans helped make Sweden the favourites prior to Melodifestivalen, but the response to his victory has seen Sweden’s odds drift. Whereas last week the best odds for a back-to-back win was 5-2, they now stand at 11-2. One reason for this may have been Frans’ less-than-convincing victory in the Melfest final: whilst he won the televote, he only placed second with the international jury. Loreen and Mans Zelmerlow both topped the televote and jury vote at home prior to winning Eurovision, so is there a fear that this might be an issue down the line for Frans?
As Sweden falters, Sergey Lazarev has finally risen to the top of the odds. After being consistently stuck as second favourite for much of the past month, Russia’s odds have now shortened to 9-4 to make them the favourite. With nearly all songs revealed, Russia may be untouched at the top for some time still.
Croatia and Australia fighting behind
The biggest mover in the past week has been Croatia. “Lighthouse” has certainly charmed many people (including some of our bloggers) and Nina Kraljic’s song has sent Croatia in to the top three. Her best odds are currently 10-1, which could change further depending on the presentation of Nina’s music video. If there’s a definite style, it might hint to what we can expect in Stockholm — and whether Croatia are pushing for victory.
It’s not just Nina doing it for the women in the odds, though. Australia’s Dami Im revealed “Sound of Silence” during the week, again to a good reaction from the bookmakers. Whilst her odds have slightly drifted since, her odds of 12-1 still show the bookmakers give her a shot of victory. Expect the two countries to trade places over the next few weeks as we build up to the event itself.
Faith in Malta’s “Walk on Water”
Whilst a number of other countries have continued to drift further and further from the top four, Malta have reversed that trend. With “Walk on Water” announced as the replacement for “Chameleon” — and the likes of Molly Pettersson-Hammar on the writing team — there’s clearly a belief that this might give Ira Losco a better chance at Eurovision glory again. The same cannot be said for one-time favourites Poland, who have now fallen as far as 50-1 with Michal Szpak not exciting the bookies.
Have you placed your bets yet on an act? Are you surprised to see Russia topping the Eurovision 2016 odds? Let us know in the comments section below or via our Twitter page.