On March 21 Bulgaria’s Poli Genova became the final act to reveal her Eurovision 2016 song. Our readers were generally quite enthusiastic about her bi-lingual number “If Love Was A Crime”. As wiwireader Hex wrote on our announcement post: “I must say I’m positively surprised. I wasn’t expecting much from Bulgaria but they have outdone themselves. I think this is going direct to the finals.” The bookies have responded with similar warmth. On March 8 SkyBET gave Poli odds of 100/1 to win the grand final. Today they have her down at 28/1. Bet365 narrowed her odds in a similarly dramatic fashion, moving her from 66/1 last week to 25/1 today. That puts her down as 13th favourite to win.
When we last checked in on the odds on March 15, the top five consisted of Russia, Sweden, Croatia, Australia and Latvia — and in that order. Russia’s Sergey Lazarev maintains his position at the top of the table, with his odds at Bet365 narrowing from 2/1 to 7/4, suggesting they have even more faith in his victory now that all 43 songs have been revealed. In fact, the bookies have extended Sergey’s lead over second favourite Frans from Sweden. Bet 365 has widened Sweden from 7/2 to 5/1, while Betfred has moved Sweden from 4/1 to 6/1.
Australia and Croatia battle it out
Australia and Croatia remain locked in a close battle to be third favourite, with betting agencies disagreeing on who deserves that third spot. Bet365, BoyleSports and Ladbrokes give the edge to Croatia’s Nina, while SkyBET, ToteSport and BetFred lean toward Australia’s Dami Im.
Malta: Ira Losco’s odds to win narrow
Malta’s Ira Losco is one of this week’s biggest movers and shakers. Prior to the release of her song “Walk on Water”, Bet365 had her down at 33/1 and Ladrbokes at 20/1, putting her down as 10th favourite overall. Following her video reveal she has narrowed to 12/1 at the former and 10/1 at the latter, putting her solidly in as fifth favourite and pushing Latvia’s Justs to sixth position.