Earlier in the spring the bookies had Eurovision 2016 down as a two-horse race between Russia’s Sergey Lazarev and Sweden’s Frans. But following the whirlwind Eurovision pre-party season, which featured stops in Amsterdam, London, Moscow, Riga and Tel Aviv, the bookies have had second thoughts. And, dare we say, third, and fourth, and fifth thoughts too.
Since our last breakdown on April 7 France has consistently climbed to the odd stable. During that time Amir has seen his odds of winning fall from a respectable 10/1 to as low as 2/1 at some agencies. With those odds he’s now clipping the heels of Russia’s Sergey Lazarev, who is maintaining odds of 2/1 to win the contest.
The rest of the top five has not changed much since our last review. Both Frans from Sweden and Dami Im from Australia both share similar odds, hovering around the 10/1 mark and are consistently swapping between third and fourth placings in the bookies rankings.
EUROVISION 2016 ODDS: WHO WILL WIN THE GRAND FINAL (APRIL 30 AT 17:00 CET)
One of the largest climbers since our last review of the odds is Poli Genova from Bulgaria. Sitting at a mere 11th place with the bookies last time with odds of 20/1, she’s now squeezed herself into the top five with odds as low as 12/1.
It’s clear that the fans and the bookies loved Poli’s performances at the Eurovision preview parties. Her vocals were on point, she oozed confidence, and the crowds always responded enthusiastically. That combined with her mainstream sound is helping her cause.
Some other countries have also climbed in recent days. Included in that lucky group are Francesca Michielin from Italy, who’s odds have gone from as low as 25/1 to 18/1, now placing Italy inside the top ten. The Czech Republic and The Netherlands have also cracked the Top 15.
Croatia has not fared as well. Still a favourite with fans and with us at wiwibloggs, her performances at the Eurovision pre-parties were stellar. The bookies seem to think otherwise. Nina Kraljic has watched her odds drift from around 15/1 out to 25/1 and she is now ranked outside of the top 15. Ouch!
As we move closer to Eurovision 2016, do you think France will catch Russia in the odds? Let us know in the comments below!