Italy, Francesco Gabbani, 3

Ten countries are still to reveal their votes in the OGAE Poll 2017, but the point of no return has been reached. With the points revealed from OGAE Serbia, it is now no longer possible for any other country to beat Italy’s current total of 383 points. This means that Francesco Gabbani‘s song “Occidentali’s karma” is the winner of the OGAE poll 2017!

OGAE Serbia was next to reveal their votes. It was business as usual, with the top votes going to fan favourites — 12 points to Italy, ten points to Sweden and eight points to France. Serbia also had five points for Hungary.

On the overall scoreboard, Italy now has a total of 383 points. This puts it well ahead of Belgium, in second place with 264 points. With only 10 clubs left to vote, this means it’s now impossible for Belgium — or any other country — to earn enough points to overtake Italy in first place.

But the rest of the positions are still unconfirmed. Sweden is still closely following in third place with 253 points and could easily slip into second place. France is in fourth place with 213 points and Estonia still rounds out the top five on 175 points.

The OGAE Poll

The OGAE poll has been running since 2007 and is based on voting from the member groups of the Eurovision fan organisation OGAE — Organisation Générale des Amateurs de l’Eurovision.

Sometimes the winner of the OGAE poll goes on to win Eurovision. Previous winners have included “Molitva”, “Fairytale”, “Euphoria” and “Only Teardrops”.

But in other years, the big OGAE winner has less success at Eurovision. In 2014 “Undo” was the winner, the following year “Grande amore”, and last year OGAE favoured “J’ai cherché”.

OGAE Poll 2017: Serbia votes

  1. Italy – 12 points
  2. Sweden – 10 points
  3. France – 8 points
  4. Belgium – 7 points
  5. FYR Macedonia – 6 points
  6. Hungary – 5 points
  7. Israel – 4 points
  8. Portugal – 3 points
  9. Denmark – 2 points
  10. Azerbaijan – 1 points

OGAE Poll 2017: Totals so far

  1. Italy – 383 points
  2. Belgium – 264 points
  3. Sweden – 253 points
  4. France – 213 points
  5. Estonia – 175 points
  6. Bulgaria – 99 points
  7. Portugal – 89 points
  8. Israel – 78 points
  9. FYR Macedonia – 71 points
  10. Finland – 49 points
  11. Denmark – 34 points
  12. Hungary – 34 points
  13. Switzerland – 34 points
  14. Australia – 28 points
  15. Norway – 25 points
  16. Azerbaijan – 24 points
  17. Romania – 15 points
  18. Belarus – 15 points
  19. Austria – 14 points
  20. United Kingdom – 12 points
  21. Cyprus – 11 points
  22. Latvia – 10 points
  23. Armenia – 7 points
  24. Iceland – 7 points
  25. Montenegro – 6 points
  26. Croatia – 6 points
  27. Greece – 6 points
  28. Ireland – 4 points
  29. Poland – 4 points
  30. Georgia – 1 point
  31. Netherlands – 1 point

These countries are yet to receive any points: Albania, Czech Republic, Germany, Lithuania, Malta, Moldova, Russia, San Marino, Serbia, Slovenia, Spain and Ukraine.

What do you think? Does this predict a win for Italy in Kyiv? Share your thoughts below!

READ FULL COVERAGE OF THE OGAE 2017 POLL RESULTS

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Zaffina
Guest
Zaffina

Srsly??? I can’t stop laughing….
When Italy sent Il Volo to ESC with a great song they didn’t win
and now you tell me that this will win?
Music industries are falling so low every year….
Over the years we’ve seen other countries on polls being 1st
and at the end they were in last spots.
Don’t have high hopes …
and w8 for all the countries to represent their songs on the stage.
Kisses <3

Karen Tariutriyeva
Guest
Karen Tariutriyeva

I want Albania,Azerbaijan, Bulgaria,Hungary or Switzerland to win for a change and their songs are so much better than Italy! Italy is the worse song this year! 🙂

Tuyk
Guest
Tuyk

Cloned pop in English all the same.

Briekimchi
Guest
Briekimchi

Serbia and Albania do not deserve to be at the bottom with the others.

Karen Tariutriyeva
Guest
Karen Tariutriyeva

No they defiantly didn’t

Nadia
Guest
Nadia

Go francesco,im sure u will win

CookyMonzta
Guest
CookyMonzta

Interesting. Two of my top 10 (as of my 2nd evaluation)didn’t make the OGAE top 10: Hungary (12th) and Norway (15th). Belgium (my #12) and Israel (my #21) made the OGAE top 10.

As for those who have yet to receive a single point, I can see only 2 countries capable of defying the OGAE outcome: Malta and Moldova. Will they finish anywhere near Latvia’s final outcome in 2015? Not likely. On my scorecard, I have Claudia and Sunstroke riding the razor’s edge in qualifying.

Napaw
Guest
Napaw

He’s not the most talented singer. But still, the song is such a tune and congrats on that YouTube views record. WOW!

Hi
Guest

Italy gonna be like France 2011, big favorit to Winn. They Didnt. France in ogae poll 2016, and Russia WHO was big favorit 2016, non of them Winn. Italy is not gonna Winn this year. They must have a better Song for IT.

Nika
Guest
Nika

But the other songs are horrible.

wim
Guest
wim

Belgium for example.

Briekimchi
Guest
Briekimchi

A lot of people say it won’t win but don’t say what can beat it. It’s not my favourite song but at the same time, realistically, nothing I prefer is going to get enough points.

Marc
Guest
Marc

Cause you say so XD
“They must have a better song for it”.. hilarious.
You should put your personal taste aside 🙂

Franco
Guest
Franco

France didn’t win the OGAE poll in 2011.
Instead, it’s more likely going to be like Denmark 2013: early favourite, top of the odds from February to May, OGAE winner and, eventually, ESC winner too.

Tuyk
Guest
Tuyk

And Eurojury winner.

Karen Tariutriyeva
Guest
Karen Tariutriyeva

I agree @hi I want a surprise winner like Albania or Switzerland!

DyGh
Guest
DyGh

Well, I guess we have to admit Italy is going to win. I feel like OGAE predict the winner if the predicted second is behind. Loreen was favourite, Alexander Rybak was favourite… in 2015 it wasn’t clear Måns would win and Il Volo was fan favourite.
You can see where this is going.

I only hope Italy has a curse on them when being fan favourite. #BlancheFTW

Jon Smith
Guest
Jon Smith

ITALY: 110,000,000 views on youtube …. Now we are talking about world record …. The Italian will write history …. !!!!!!!!!

Nadia
Guest
Nadia

Im sure he will win

neil bidon
Guest
neil bidon

cant remember either the tune of this song, what it is about or anything else about it- so it must be a eurovision winner- the guy cannot sing a note –

Nika
Guest
Nika

The problem is not in him but in you- you are deaf or jealous or both

Nadia
Guest
Nadia

Hahaha he will win

Aaron GR
Guest
Aaron GR

Always entertaining. OGAE is half right. The question is – which half?

Jon Smith
Guest
Jon Smith

We have the winner….

ROME 2018

Grete Paia
Guest
Grete Paia

Ridiculous assertion. Last yr Ogaye made France no.1

Legend Godga
Guest
Legend Godga

Not to mention the winner was number nine in the polls.

Rhaella
Guest
Rhaella

and so what? France last year won OGAE polls but he wasn’t the favourite, Russia was! This year the big favourite and OGAE poll winner is the same artist (as happened in 2009, 2012, 2013)

wim
Guest
wim

The price will be giving the 13th of may dear John Smith.

Karen Tariutriyeva
Guest
Karen Tariutriyeva

No we don’t have a winner!

Aline van Rossem
Member

I’m so excited about the real result! Will it be similar to this one or completely different? It would be nice to see Belgium doing so well again!

CookyMonzta
Guest
CookyMonzta

Because Belgium saw the benefits of sending those young lions (after the flop of Axel Hirsoux, the year after Roberto Bellarosa got them to the top-half of the board), and decided to continue with it.

Mar
Guest
Mar

Great taste Serbia, that’s the set of points I most agree with so far.

Does anybody know what’s the record number of points in OGAE?

Padim
Guest
Padim

OGAE Belgium voted too.
12pts Italy
10pts Sweeden
8pts France
7pts Estonia
6pts Macedonia
5pts Finland
4pts Israel
3pts Bulgaria
2pts Cyprus
1pt Australia

Rhaenys
Guest
Rhaenys

Does somebody know how voting will be like this year? The same as last year (first jury votes per country and then televote) or the same as previous year (jury and televote together)?

Joe
Guest
Joe

It will be like last year.

Rhaella
Guest
Rhaella

Ok thank you! 😉

Yossarian
Guest
Yossarian

OGAE UK has voted!

12 pts: Italy
10 pts: Estonia
8 pts: Belgium
7 pts: Sweden
6 pts: France
5 pts: FYR Macedonia
4 pts: Portugal
3 pts: Finland
2 pts: The Netherlands
1 pt: Israel

Justitia
Guest
Justitia

Calm down. Italy is not going to win.

nudiecrudi
Guest
nudiecrudi

If you are so sure, go and bet some money
You will be very very rich.

Grete Paia
Guest
Grete Paia

This blowout win just makes his flop in Kyiv even funnier

Nadia
Guest
Nadia

In ur dreams. He will win

nudiecrudi
Guest
nudiecrudi

Another 12 points from OGAE GB to Italy
Is he going to break any record if he gets all the rest of 12 points?

Stan
Guest
Stan

Just for the fun of the show, I hope the actual contest will have a few countries competing for the victory untill the last moment 🙂

pluma
Guest
pluma

me too, is obvius that Italy gonna be the winner(no from the ogae results) put hope that couple bit about that

Karl
Guest
Karl

Overrated.

Freiheit
Guest
Freiheit

Not one single point for Serbia , Albania , Germany …….. ? Huuuge LOL for these votes

Grete Paia
Guest
Grete Paia

Even the giant diaspora cant with Serbia this time. Hilare

bubble dubble
Guest
bubble dubble

Italy is the only song that is listenable this year. The rest is boring sleeping pills. Worst contest ever

Avstriya
Guest
Avstriya

The article come mathematically one point to early, as Belgium is lagging 119 points behind, one point shy of an insurmountable lead.

Quintiliano
Guest
Quintiliano

Belgium is one of the OGAEs that still have to vote so they couldn’t have their own 12 points

Penguin
Guest
Penguin

Did Latvia even vote?

Rhaenys
Guest
Rhaenys

Yes they did! 🙂

cheesecake
Guest
cheesecake

“Italy now has a total of 383 points […] ahead of Belgium, in second place with 264 points. With only 10 clubs left to vote, this means it’s now impossible for Belgium to earn enough points to overtake Italy in first place.”

Wait – wouldn’t it be possible if Belgium got 10 x 12 points and Italy nothing from all the remaining clubs? Belgium would then have 384 points.
Or am I wrong? (I know this is more than unlikely, but still…)

Racal
Guest
Racal

You’re almost right, but OGAE Belgium still has to vote so they can’t give their 12 to Belgium. That means Belgium will have 0 from at least that club and can’t catch up.

Quintiliano
Guest
Quintiliano

OGAE Belgium is one of those that haven’t submitted their votes yet so they could earn a max of

Quintiliano
Guest
Quintiliano

*12 points from 9 countries (sorry the page just refreshed and sent it uncomplete)

cheesecake
Guest
cheesecake

Oh, I see. Thanks for clarifying you two.

Cf
Guest
Cf

He is lucky he is in a relative weak year.

Nadia
Guest
Nadia

He is lucky cause he doesnt have a typical sad song like most contestants

Legend Godga
Guest
Legend Godga

When are countries gonna stop sending either depressing power ballads or world peace/inspirational ballads or cheesy romantic ballads?

Hada
Guest
Hada

Actually it’s the opposite. If the Occidentali’s Karma behemoth wasn’t the contest, people would see this is actually a strong year with many worthy songs. They just seem weak in comparison.

Gil
Guest
Gil

And OGAE Russia is still counted in the 10 countries left? They will vote?

HubertZnajomski
Guest

OGAE clubs from every country can vote. Russia, Luxembourg and others which doesn’t participate too.

Gil
Guest
Gil

Thank you.

Marc
Guest
Marc

Italy is winning televote and juries this year 🙂
This package is just beyond

We need a big winner with no controversies 🙂 (unlike 2015 and 2016)

Andrea Lupi
Guest
Andrea Lupi

What controversies? Since when does the taste of the jury of experts have to match the masses? The strange thing is when it coincides, something is wrong!

Gil
Guest
Gil

In 2012 for example, it coincided.

fikri
Guest
fikri

i agree with what you said 200%

Andrea Lupi
Guest
Andrea Lupi

Put on a Bieber in the contest andyou will see how it does not match!

Marc
Guest
Marc

Andrea, they don’t need to match ofc.

But juries giving 350 points a song to make an unbeatable gap is very telling to me 🙂

Public is always right, whether we agree or not 🙂

Andrea Lupi
Guest
Andrea Lupi

Public is always right? OMG You can not achieve the nonsense you are saying! Not even with an example. In music, if it were for the public, then, for the majorities, classical music was dead, jazz was annihilated, not to mention groups and singers that did not please the masses. Do you want more examples until you understand?

Marc
Guest
Marc

This is a popular contest so public has their saying 🙂

Last year, I didn’t like Russia at all.. but it was the majority’s choice, so it’s fair.

Eurovision is not about personal taste XD
Winners are voted by every country so it’s fair 🙂
This is how it works cause again it’s a popular event 🙂

Joe
Guest
Joe

I believe we need the jury and the televoting, 50/50. However, the jury needs to be better structured. There should be more people in the jury panel (with random ages, music styles, composers, singers, journalists…).
Also, they should have in their hands a translation of each competing song, to give a fair opportunity to all songs.
…And for God’s sake stop overrating Sweden and Australia.

PP
Guest
PP

Maybe he win televote, but I don t think that he will be in TOP 3 with juries. And we saw that Gabbani in begining of San Remo was on 4 th place in first night when he present the song to audience, than we was to time on 3 rd place and only in fnal we won televote in both round of voting. Many people watch only Eurovison final and heard and see the song for the first time.

Joe
Guest
Joe

It was a big surprise to see him winning, since this type of song is, usually, neglected by the juries in San Remo. The fact that the juries didn’t ranked him low reflects the quality of his song.

Nadia
Guest
Nadia

Most people watch youtube so im sure they heard this song before

John
Guest
John

The full package!! Occidentali’s Karma is the best song to come out of Eurovision in decades. Much, much better than Euphoria with a more charismatic singer. The only thing lacking is Francesco’s command of English in interviews. 110 million views on Youtube before the contest and climbing. Great marketing — releasing his new album on Apr. 28th.

Colin
Guest
Colin

Obviously a deserved landslide victory for Italy (in OGAE). I really hope that reflects the actual results in Kiev, but who knows. The chance is, the winner is among the highest ranked 10 songs here, but even that is debatable. OGAE is actually a really small population compared to all the people who will vote in few weeks.

Polegend Godgarina
Guest
Polegend Godgarina

Talent always wins

KESC
Guest
KESC

Let’s hope talent will be really aprecciated this year, and not like in 2015.

KESC
Guest
KESC

*appreciated. My fault! 🙂

Racal
Guest
Racal

Tanel Padar and Dima Bilan beg to differ. 😛

Joe
Guest
Joe

OGAE actually gives a good sign about the televoting winner, except last year when France came 9th, but Lazarev was second by ~30 points.

wim
Guest
wim

Come on Blanche you can beat italy in kiev.

MS
Guest
MS

Blanch is the best, if she delgiver at stage she get many of my votes! And I think it is many in scandinava that will appriciate Belgium this year!

Nadia
Guest
Nadia

Noway

Leo Herlington
Guest
Leo Herlington

CR7… Portugal 7… oh the signs!
Just kidding x)

Rhaenys
Guest
Rhaenys

YUHUUUU GO FRANCESCO!

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