In her Eurovision 2019 song “Chameleon”, Malta’s Michela Pace shows as many colours as her eponymous lizard. From reggaeton to pop with an electric flourish, she’s able to shift shapes and flow between genres.
And now all that movement is having an impact on the Eurovision 2019 bettings odds. When we last checked in on March 8, Malta was listed way down as 21st favourite with odds to win as high as 50/1.
But by March 16 the bookies had slashed their odds to as low as 20/1, helping Michela leapfrog past Norway, Portugal and Greece. She’s now listed as the eighth favourite to win it all.
It’s an impressive jump that signals confidence in Malta’s song and performer. There’s apparently a growing sense among betmakers that the X Factor Malta winner will be able to draw on the high-impact visuals of her music video to create magic live on stage.
She certainly won us over on first viewing.
Eurovision 2019 betting odds: Who will win the grand final?
It’s all steady at the top — The Netherlands, Russia, Sweden, Switzerland, Italy, Cyprus and Iceland still hold the Top 7 spots, as they’ve done for weeks.
Malta’s rise is the biggest shift in the Top 10.
But we should point out that three countries — Greece, Portugal and Norway — remain hot on her heals. Various betting agencies have Malta and these three countries in a close race with similar, albeit varying, odds. Bet365 have Malta and Portugal out front at 25/1 and put Norway well behind at 33/1.
PaddyPower, on the hand, have Greece as the leader in the group at 20/1, with Portugal following at 22/1. Malta and Norway are then level with France at 25/1.
Can Slovenia keep rising in the odds?
Slovenia has also had a good week, moving from 18th favourite to 13th favourite as the bookies have slashed their odds from 50/1 to 40/1.
The studio cut of Zala Kralj & Gasper Santl’s “Sebi” has an ambient, almost sleepy quality. But on stage at EMA it transformed into something ethereal and mystical as the duo sang to each other in a luminous world all their own. Vocally sound and unlike anything else in the competition, could this duo be one to watch as we head to Tel Aviv?
Slovenia is currently ranked well ahead of Big 5 nations Spain, the UK and Germany, who sit at 20, 21 and 24 in the oddstable respectively.
Italy remains the only Automatic Qualifier in the Top 10. France’s Bilal Hassani is close behind in 12th.
Eurovision 2019: Odds to win the grand final (accurate as of 15:00 GMT on 17 March)