When the odds go low they go so low. And they’re doing it to the rhythm of Luca Hänni’s Eurovision 2019 song “She Got Me”.
Yes, Switzerland — once a perennial contender for least-likely-to-win Eurovision according to the betting odds — now finds itself as the second favourite to take it all.
The latest betting odds from our friends at Eurovision Oddschecker show that Switzerland’s odds to win the grand final have narrowed yet again to as low as 5/1. That means he has now passed Russia’s Sergey Lazarev, who has dropped to third favourite.
Luca recently met up with Eurovision 2018 winner Netta backstage in Gran Canaria. Funnily enough the bookies seem increasingly convinced he could follow in her footsteps and take it all.
His odds are a sea of blue suggesting a growing belief that he could challenge for the very top spot.
His performance at Eurovision in Concert this weekend will be crucial. A solid vocal could see a surge in people placing bets on Switzerland. On the flip side, there will be minimal staging in Amsterdam. Can a dance number like this slay the house down without any special effects? We’ll have to see.
When stars collide in Gran Canaria ?@NettaBarzilai and @haenni__luca together at last ?? How many #Eurovision winners do you count? pic.twitter.com/lhEnbuTKcW
— wiwibloggs (@wiwibloggs) April 4, 2019
On the other end of the spectrum, Belarus has taken a bit of a tumble. While the bookies have never been particularly confident in ZENA’s “I Like It”, they seem even less confident in Belarus now.
Her tumble to the very bottom of the betting odds — she’s now as wide as 500/1 at one betting agency — coincides with some unfortunate PR.
As we recently reported, her producer had to apologise after making some very off-colour comments regarding strict new anti-LGBT laws in Brunei.
While he claimed he was only being ironic and showcasing his dark humour, the Eurovision fandom thought otherwise.
What do you make of Switzerland’s continued ascent with the bookies? Are you buying the hype? And how critical do you think this weekend’s live performance is for his place with the bookies? Let us know down below!
Awful live performance in Amsterdam. Hope he get some his vocals sorted out for Tel Aviv. A Video is one thing but singing live is another !!!
I think the song of Switserland is nice but not realy origional song. Ofcourse its a happy song but yesterday in Amsterdam his voice was not what i expected. IT was a little false as many countries that was realy dissepointed . I realy hope that they sing better in Israël . Couple of countries they where good with a good vocale. Compliments to Netherlands what a amazing song with a good voice! Absolute a winnar! Ofcourse we have to wait in may… Good luck for all the songs!
But what a disaster Switzerland was yesterday live in Amsterdam! Shocker!
Same with Greece, not good live. They say she was sick, lets hope she’s not sick in May. Many of the songs we have not heard live, so I think some will be a big disapointment when we hear live performance
Odds from April 12, 2018 (per wiwibloggs) – only 1 out of the top 5 correct:
1. Israel (finished 1st)
2. Czech (finished 6th)
3. Estonia (finished 8th)
4. Bulgaria (finished 14th)
5. Australia (finished 20th)
6. Sweden (finished 7th)
7. France (finished 13th)
8. Norway (finished 15th)
9. Belgium (did not qualify!)
10. Greece (did not qualify!)
Meanwhile on April 12, 2018, the odds said the following:
Cyprus (19th! Finished 2nd!)
Austria (15th, finished 3rd)
Germany (20th, finished 4th)
Italy (13th finished 5th)
Denmark (18th, finished 9th)
Moldova (predicted not to qualify! Finished 10th!)
The bookmakers’ odds are only about who is most likely to win and they were right last year, they aren’t about predicting every entry’s end result.
You don’t get it. The article is about Switzerland becoming the “second favorite.” So the “second favorite” and 3rd 4th and 5th favorites in April 2018 did not even come close last year.
You don’t get that the bookmakers odds are only about predicting the winner, nothing else. Their prediction last year was right.
Looks like you didn’t read the wiwibloggs article, which is what we are talking about here.
@lisianthus you keep saying the same thing about first place and aren’t reacting to the substance of the article that talks about Switzerland and Belarus as second most likely to win and last. As the polls from last year show, second most likely to win in April is meaningless.
Just a quick (and probably irrelevant) question that came to my mind after seeing some pics of Luca… Is he really 1.65m tall as it is possible to find online?
Well he definitely looks so
I have a feeling that the Swiss song will be this year bookies flop.
They was in 2007,2008. It cant happen every time with Switzerland. This year i believe in Switzerland 🙂
There isn’t just one flop – last year the bookies flopped with 4 out of the top 5!
It’s such a shame that Russia is going to do so well, Sergey’s 2016 effort was much better and I didn’t even like that one.
At this point the odds are pretty clear cut and I agree with them for the most part, but I still think there is going to be a dark horse that won’t win but will give the winner a serious run for their money once the semi finals are over and done with and we’ve seen all the performances. Albania and Slovenia come to mind, maybe even Serbia.
Malta, Queen Michela
pretty boys with sexy moves and sexually charged lyrics never do seem to do well in Eurovision…Mikolas did well last year, but he came across as more geeky with the glasses and outfit–he ended up coming 2nd with juries in his semi, but then only collected 66 points in the final from juries…Imri was 3rd in the semi, but then 26 in final…Tooji was high on the betting odds and bumped and grinded, repeating the same performance from the national final, and came dead last….and we all know what happened to Benjamin with all his suave looks to the camera….it’s… Read more »
Being Dutch myself I love to see Duncan win, but I can live with Italy winning as well. I do see that Switzerland might be the only thread for the Netherlands. But the songs are very different. Trying to be as objective as possible I think a ballad is more chalenging in presentation and singing, so if performed well I give the Netherlands more cahnce of winning.
Switzerland is good, they will get their best result in a long long long time, probably even for the first time this millennium, but there is no chance they will win.
For me personally, I want Italy, Portugal or Netherlands to win.
Realistically, it will probably be Iceland.
Why “realistically” Iceland? Sure, they stand a good chance, but why do you think the top four favorites will crash out?
I think Iceland’s victory is very unrealistic this year.
They could do well, but I can’t see them topping the public vote…the juries is what they really should be worried about., though. Winning is a tall order, but stranger things have happened. Personally, I hope they come second – just because I like the idea of them being repeating that result every ten years.
I can see the televote getting behind Iceland. It has everything a modern winner has. Unique appearance, political undertones etc.
I didn’t actually say Italy, Portugal, Netherlands will “crash out”. I want them to win the most, but the song I want to win the most never does since 2013.
Conan will win
The juries will destroy Iceland.
Bookers are playing with your money, Switzerland will not win but for sure they will get a result similar to Czech Republic.
The top 3 would be Iceland Netherlands and Russia. Iceland is so underrated by bookies for a reason, wait for rehearsals.
Russia has a mediocre song but the staging will be massive, Russia wants to win so badly. All eyes are on Netherlands to see their staging in the first rehearsal.
Get your heads out of the cloud, Iceland will straight up struggle to qualify
Someone noticed that Moldova was for a short time today the #1 country for a qualification to the final on that SF2 ? . LMAO
Yeah.. And #17 2h later lol
Odds are pointless until the first set of rehearsals start the beginning of May. However, here is what I PERSONALLY think would/could happen 1. Netherlands and Switzerland will have a Israel V Cyprus moment like last year and until we see the staging we cannot tell who is going to take it. 2. Russia will be a Jury favourite, but will fall short in the televotes as I do consider “Scream” to be a weaker song to “You Are The Only One” from 2016. 3. Greece will rise through the odds as the artsy one similar to Artsvik in 2017… Read more »
Why do you think the juries will love Sergey but not the public? That’s the exact opposite of what happened in 2016…
I just see Scream falling short. Just like Rybak last year.
I generally agree with everything you wrote except I think neighbor voting can push Russia to do well in the televote.
I already accounted for the neighbour votes which should give Russia at least 70-80 points to a max of 150 points which should place Sergey in the Top 10 maybe pushing Top 5. Also I don’t think it’s a bad song, it’s just not my cup of tea I don’t see the reason why he had to return in the first place he came 3rd in Stockholm and that was 3 years ago. 3rd place aint nothing to sneeze at. Russia thinks if they send a power house like Sergey back to the competition they’ll think he’ll become the new… Read more »
Again you underestimate the power of the pro-Russia televote block. He could easily be top 3 in both televote and jury which would be enough to win. I understand a lot of people here don’t want it to win, but that’s different than taking an objective view on what could actually happen.
It doesn’t matter who rises on the odds, the fans here will call the song overhyped anyway. But that’s not how odds work, people are trying to make money so they’re making an honest assessment of a song’s chances. The fact is that She Got Me is a catchy pop song, performed by an attractive singer, which has the potential to appeal to a wide audience.
I concur but, there are other catchy pop songs in the contest this year from Greece, Cyprus, Norway, Spain and San Marino but Switzerland is the most likely to win if pop wins it again
But the odds do a terrible job. At this point last year they predicted the top 5 songs that might win and 4 of them did not even come close.
The Swiss song is fun for parties and should qualify. But winning would be overrating IMHO. At least we can’t point fingers at Switzerland for being the ”constant favorite” no matter what the send, so let them enjoy their moment. I still hope Duncan or Hatari can win.
And Belarus… shock and disbelief! This ”masterpiece” being last? How come? Hi hi hi
Hmm… Swtzerland winning would be a little bit disappointing, I’m not mad on the song, but I sure wouldn’t mind them hosting next year if they did ?
also the lyrics make me cringe so hard, honestly
You know that won’t be the Top 6, I mean…too many guys. At least one girl will get in there, hope it’s Greece, or then Albania as a dark horse move.
I think Iceland, if they finish in the Top 10, will be 7-10th (cuz juries, they remind me of Denmark 2018).
tbh switzerland is the most likely winner for me. luca just knows how to perform n his song issa very likeable bop
Better Love Better Climb
I would lean on you
Way to love!
Switzerland have a catchy dance number, will be a big summer hit. It has a touch of Spanish,Latin American and middle East themed music. I felt like I was in Cuba with a hint of Greek,Turkish and Israeli music. This has a chance of winning. The only other contender will be holland although a good song,just lacks that punch. Can be too soft. Russia will have it hard to win, the song this year is not bad,but sergey first euro number was better that came second. Russia is not popular as a country with Ukraine and Crimea and Sainsbury and… Read more »
Wow! Wouldn’t that be something if Switzerland got back into the top 10 after so many years.
I like the singer, but I can’t say I like the song very much.
I don’t know, I kinda like Belarus. It’s refreshingly bad in a sense, with a certain charm to it. There are other entries that smell much more like sweat.
I am always bummed with switzerland’s achievements, as i feel eurovision owes them some historical debt…
That being said, i can’t see luca winning, unless the staging will be extraordinary. Netherlands, russia, italy and possibly greece all seem stronger contestants.
THAT being said… it would be great seeing switzerland getting their best result in ages.
Switzerland is overhyped.
We should keep an eye on Russia as its potential to get votes from its (many) neighbours will be as high as in the decade before 2017.
On the female side, Greece, Cyprus, Malta and maybe Armenia will rise in the odds after rehearsals.
I’m sorry I don’t get what people see in this song, I’m not afraid to say this is currently holding the last place in my ranking. I understand the problem is mine though, since apparently the majority of people actually like it. I’m trying to get ready to see this winning for real, and hopefully I’ll finally be done with this contest for good. (I say it every year, but I always come back. I’m such a M)
I dont believe in switzerland. i mean it is nice to see that after alle the years at the bottom switzerland now is recognized but that song is really silly and will not get too many points from the jurys. i think it could end up somewhere between 7 and 12.
So pleased to see Iceland so high up. Got a soft spot for them after Yohanna in 2009. Best of luck from the UK.
Oh la Suisse .is like Colombia with all respect is in esc this year and why not .Australia is also in
i hope the dutch fans will also be fair to their direct competitors tomorrow
I don’t see why they wouldn’t.Have we ever booed any eurovision contestants before at eic?
Ugh, I just can’t stand this song. Predictable ethnic pop song we’ve heard before. And those lyrics…Jeez… Hope Netherlands or Italy will win this year.
I vote Netherlands or Norway
Belarus is the most underrated entry this year. 🙁
Nope. She should not have won the “juri final” in the first place.
I still think Russia has s greater chance of winning it.
scream is borderline listenable….. they put everythin on the ‘epic’ performance without considerin that maybe, possibly, havin a good song is pretty fundamental to start with
But in many years crap songs with great performances won. Check out 2001 or 2002.
just wait for katerina’s duska live performance. she will climb to the betting odds.
I definitely believe it!!!
ugh can’t wait, better love is ethereal n it’s my 2nd favorite
For a few years I feel like we’ve winner already :/ It just feels weird. Literally same thing happened last year, everyone knew that Netta will win. Now it’s obvious that Duncan wins. I’d like to be surprised for once.
People were acting like netta wouldn’t win in the days leading up to the grand finale though.
If you look in the comment section of her first rehearsal it’s pretty hilarious how self assured some people were that she stood no chance of winning.
Netta was only 4th in televoting at SF so it wasn’t that clear. She was not a runaway winner.
Also 3rd with juries.
I think we had a very exciting ESC with the results
She ended winning after all because of the overhype she had the weeks before. If it wasn’t for that Cyprus would have won.
Please explain your logic.
Nothing is obvious. Yes, Duncan has a great song, but it’s not the strongest one this year. There a lot of competitors for the victory.
Let’s wait for the rehearsals and look how these betting odds will change step by step. Remember Cyprus last year?
And in 2017, the obvious winner was Italy right. Guess what he didn’t win!
And Loreen was the obvious winner and guess won!
Loreen won televoting by slight margin of 11 points over Russian grannies. Even that was not clear or a sweep.
Eurovision is less obvious than we think. And that’s its magic.
Great comment. It’s not a sprint, it is a marathon
If we look closely, 2012 was not a very competitive year. A joke entry from Russia managed to be the runner up. Only maybe Serbia was the only opponent of Sweden.
But oh I can see some pattern now, with Lazarev/Zeljko coming back to Eurovision for revenge but with a less competitive song, ,not good sign for Sergey then.
There’s way too much testosterone in the Top 5. It needs a little Tamta.
It is so because last year top 2 were Netta and Eleni. Now people don’t give many chances to countries that “copy” last year top. After rehearsals things will change.
I think malta will close in after rehearsals. Either that or greece.
I’m sure Greece will do with Duska’s vocals
That’s why it’s an unrealistic/unlikely Top 5. Who seriously think that not a single woman will finish in the the top 5 ?
Betting odds top 5 will change until may and the rehearsals anyway.
Betting Odds are predicting “the winner”. Not Top 5. They are not saying all Top 5 will be male acts.
It’s also very early and a lot of thing will change.
Every year it’s different so we never know for sure.
I’m not surprised the top 5 are all dudes.
I’ve noticed a pattern lately where the winner (for the most part) seems to switch between male and female.
The longest streaks we’ve had since 2010 of winners being the same sex are only two-year periods (not taking into account that we had a male-female duo in 2011).
And since 2015, we’ve been switching off every other year.
So yeah, would not be surprised if this year a man (or a male group) wins, and in 2020 if we have a woman winning again
Or it’s just random.
In fact it never happened the solo acts pattern Woman-Man-Woman-Man
Duncan fans should be worried.
I don’t think that Amsterdam will show a lot! Luca can sing. He has proven that many times. It will depend on the staging in Tel Aviv and if all the effects on the studio track won’t be lost in the live performance. Still, I am behind Switzerland ?!!!
I genuinely believe he could finish 2nd or 3rd during the grand final, it’s not impossible.
I agree. Out of Cyprus, Malta and Switzerland, I think I am the least worried about his staging as the guy can dance and potentially offer the male equivalent of Eleni Foureira last year. Only concern would be the vocals (again due to the potentially dancing heavy choreography) but I suppose we will know better this Saturday in Amsterdam.
Maybe the fact he is a male Eleni Foueira is enough for it not to do so well? I mean last year Eleni ended up 2nd and now they are trying to do the same but doing the exact same thing but with a male singer. If it didn’t feel like a copy of fuego (same goes for Cyprus) I’d root for them but this just ruins it for me
Ahhh we’re like only a month away from eurovision! I can’t wait 😀