One is a ballad, the other a dancefloor banger.

But now Katerine Duska’s “Better Love” and Tamta’s “Replay” have something in common.

Greece and Cyprus top Eurovision 2019 Semi-Final 1 odds (accurate 17:19CET)

Eurovisi

They’re the favourites to win Eurovision 2019 Semi-Final 1 in a few weeks time in Tel Aviv.

Greece is now as low as 7/4 at some agencies, putting Katerine Duska in pole position to win Semi-Final 1 in May.

Tamta follows close behind. The Georgian-Greek star is as low as 5/2 at some agencies. That suggests bookies have confidence Cyprus can overcome the disadvantage of opening the show.

Iceland‘s Hatari round out the top three. Some bookmakers have them as low as 7/2, while others are more speculative.

Thereafter things widen out. Portugal‘s Conan Osiris is in fourth, with best odds for Portugal at 7/1 with SportingBet. The perceived divisiveness of his song “Telemoveis” may be a factor here.

Slovenia‘s Zala Kralj & Gašper Šantl complete the top five. Slovenia is as low as 9/1 at SportingBet, but as high as 14/1 at others.

Belgium, Hungary, Australia, Estonia and Czech Republic round out the top ten. Their odds range from 14/1-33/1. That suggests bookies don’t have the same confidence in this cluster of candidates’ winning potential.

Semi-Final 1 Odds compared to Overall Eurovision odds

The bookies current top three also make the overall top ten odds to win.

They are in a different order though.

Iceland is sixth, Cyprus seventh and Greece eighth at time of publishing. Discrepancies between odds and eventual results are not uncommon. Some songs shine better in a smaller field, but may fade into the background in a bigger set-list.

Last year for example Norway’s Alexander Rybak won Semi-Final 2, but only placed 15th in the Grand Final.

NB: These are not odds to qualify, only odds for who will win the semi-final. 

What do you make of the odds to win? Will Greece come out on top? Or do you think Tamta can take it? Let us know in the comments below!

GET MORE ODDS UPDATES HERE

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Mike
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Mike

Portugal!!!!!! hidden message is so good
12 points!

Hello
Guest
Hello

Czech the last place? Omg who make this favourites? And Portugal is so stupid song, I never heard so stupid song

Kev'
Guest
Kev'

The stupid is you 😉 you’re just a close minded person just ready for listening musics like in the radio

aroncido
Guest
aroncido

Being non-radio-friendly doesn’t automatically make a song good though.

Sophie
Guest
Sophie

Such a stupid comment.

Poseidon.
Guest
Poseidon.

The top 5 are probably safe. No other songs in this semi have a bigger following and pre-contest hype matters way more in the semis than in the final.
Out of all the “weirdo” songs, I’d worry about Australia: It isn’t exactly new at eurovision, it will contest with Iceland/Poland/Portugal in terms of jury points and the last few years haven’t been easy for Australia when it comes to public votes.

Jo.
Guest
Jo.

I don’t think Slovenia is safe. Also, Australia didn’t do well with the public in 2017 & 2018 because the songs were too bland, not because they aren’t in Europe.

Jo.
Guest
Jo.

Greece have it in the bag, unless they screw everything up.

Ugna
Guest
Ugna

Makes sense

Melody
Guest
Melody

Seems accurate. I think Poland might sneak in there too, really love their live performance. I wouldn’t worry much for Portugal. Haters gonna hate, but Spain and France are voting in this semifinal, and to a lesser extent Belgium too. It has an middle eastern vibe which will appeal to Israel, Cyprus, Greece, etc to sneak in some votes hopefully. And after decades being at the last places of the odds, we are just happy if we qualify for the semi final with a song that represent us. Good luck to everyone, I enjoy Cyprus and Greece and Slovenia the… Read more »

Nicolas
Guest
Nicolas

That’s what I feel too, the nordics country seems not understand the vibe of Telemoveis but they are a minority in this semi final and it’s Iceland that should be worried instead of Portugal. Like I said several days ago Portugal has more friendly voting than Iceland on this SF.

Anael
Guest
Anael

Go Conan and smach them all with you art and your charisma!

Hello
Guest
Hello

Haha thats joke. But chicken song win last year so everything is possible.

Loin dici
Guest

I still don’t know if juries would like Iceland, since of the spoken word issue. Cyprus and Greece might slay, or might just eh, depending on how they would bring their performance, but they will probably qualify. Hungary has a better chance at qualifying.

Jene
Guest
Jene

Donald Trumps?

bercolata
Guest
bercolata

One of the main reason of the prediction is that Greece and Cyprus are in the same SF, thus exchanging the televotes.

...
Guest
...

I mean if you think about it Greece and Cyprus have very good songs so exchanging their points is not unfair this year. Actually Greece and Cyprus are my favorite in this SF

Kkar
Guest
Kkar

Yes so switching 12 points is enough to be on the top. Lol.

Btw Greece and Cyprus aren’t the only neighboring countries doing this but people only complain about them.

Joshua
Guest
Joshua

Hm… I’m happy the odds are predicting a Czech qualification (a very underrated song which will for sure shine on the stage), but Poland and San Marino will qualify, no doubts. May be a bit biased for San Marino, but there’s no way Poland is going to fail: their song and their style really come alive on stage. Some might not like the studio version, but they will smash the stage live.

Ioa Ioa
Guest
Ioa Ioa

I also have a bad feeling that Poland will qualify.

Lola
Guest
Lola

Too many songs following each other in the running order are predicted here… My guess would be to swap Portugal or Estonia for Poland. The second half is packed with so many good ones it’s hard to choose. But these 11 surely deserve it in my opinion!

Rasmus
Guest
Rasmus

Portugal will not qualify i hope. I hope San Marino and Iceland takes all Portugals votes away.

Joshua
Guest
Joshua

Hope so too, though I struggle to see Portugal failing to qualify, judging from the support of fans.

Ioa Ioa
Guest
Ioa Ioa

I can see the juries doing their job right for once and leaving Portugal to the semi.

Anael
Guest
Anael

Go Conan and smach them all with you art! Unfortunately some people aren’t open minded to feel the way we all feel listening this masterpiece! The juries will give it his value don’t mind if you are not ?

Sophie
Guest
Sophie

So much hate towards Portugal…This is getting so DISRESPECTFUL!

Roelof Meesters
Guest
Roelof Meesters

Am I the only one who thinks that Hungary will finish top 5 in this semi? I think the top 5 in this semi will be Iceland, Cyprus, Greece, Hungary and Portugal or Australia. I have no idea how Slovenia will do, it delends on the televote but I think they’ll qualify.

Miguel
Guest
Miguel

My favorites here (random order)

Cyprus
Slovenia
Iceland

I wouldn’t be surprised to see Portugal not qualifying.

Best from Spain

George
Guest
George

I agree Greece’s song is a more universal one and could have a big appeal to the audience and the juries plus it is a great song,so if the staging is god then it will absolutely win the semifinal!

Nicolas
Guest
Nicolas

Serbia will win this SF.

Weißbrot
Guest
Weißbrot

I think it might be Montenegro. 🙂

Rimig
Guest
Rimig

Or maybe a triple tie between Serbia, Montenegro and Georgia

Whisker
Guest
Whisker

I agree.

Una
Guest
Una

Serbia will qualify for sure. That is all that matters for most countries. There is a chance for any in top 4 in their SF to win the contest though.

Loin dici
Guest

Serbia would probably have points from Montenegro, Slovenia, and Italy, but I’m unsure about the others. They might or might npt qualify depending on their performance, but so does other countries.

Lea
Guest
Lea

Wow, just look at those triggered haters, lol

Skiwalko
Guest

However ridiculous it might sound, I don’t think San Marino finishing second is impossible.

Hello
Guest
Hello

Serbia is better then most of this song, but stupid people makes favourites, so…

haron
Guest
haron

overall potential qualifiers (not my opinion totally)
1.Slovenia (jury winner)
2.Greece
3.Iceland (televoting winner)
4.Cyprus
5.Portugal
6.Australia
7.Czech Republic
8.Hungary
9.Serbia
10…. the last spot is between Belgium and Poland imo

Klevis capja
Guest
Klevis capja

Albania jonida maliqi

SoldierOfLove
Guest
SoldierOfLove

Wtf… it’s not even the same Semi-Final

Jene
Guest
Jene

This albania troll made me laugh

Alex
Guest
Alex

This SF is quite unpredictable I think. We’ll have some shocks
For some reason I don’t see Greece, Cyprus and Iceland as a Top 3 (in any voting: televoting, juries and overall)

AAr
Guest
AAr

Tamta for the win !
Replay Slay

heyyou
Guest
heyyou

YAWN

jack
Guest
jack

kalos irthes kai pali kipriako karnavali.

NICOS CHILL
Guest
NICOS CHILL

To kypriako karnavali eskise omws persi file mou… kai eseis den prokrithikate kan!! Den peirazei emeis agapame Ellada paroles tis pikroholies sas!

Tajikistan
Guest
Tajikistan

Labas vakaras draugai

Ioa Ioa
Guest
Ioa Ioa

Iremise ligo. Den vrizei tin Kypro, alla ton sygkekrimeno kyrio o opoios mas ta exei kanei aerostata me ta comments tou. Disfimizei ti kypro me auta pou kanei

AAr
Guest
AAr

Poso anwrimos paizi na eisai? I mallon koblexikos! Emis antithetos me sena agapame k stirizoume Ellada !!

Sonam
Guest
Sonam

Den ekproswpei tin Ellada o Jack ki o kathe Jack. Egw xodepsa mia karta persi gia thn Kypro kai tin Eleni kai to idio tha kanw kai fetos kai poly goustarw pou tha to kanw. We ‘d better love each other on replay !

kots
Guest
kots

Ki ego Kyprios eimai kai kourastika na vlepo kathe fora to idio sxolio opou anaferthei i Kypros. Ksenerosan oloi oi fan tou Replay pou akolouthoun to wiwi kai den einai Kyprioi kai se ligo tha arxisoume na kseneronoume ki emeis

Sabel
Guest
Sabel

I think everyone is underestimating Belgium…

Weißbrot
Guest
Weißbrot

Depends. It can easily get lost or work its magic, we don’t know yet. Personally it’s my 3rd place.

Weißbrot
Guest
Weißbrot

Yes I have and ehhh… but he’s getting better. But songs like his heavily depend on camera angles and atmosphere, that can’t be created during pre-parties or amateur videos.

Weißbrot
Guest
Weißbrot

I don’t think many people at home care as much about lyrics. The Swiss lyrics are garbage and nobody cares. (Me included.) Listening for the first time barely anyone will figure out wether lyrics make sense or not… Except for very obvious cases. People at home didn’t care that they weren’t able to understand Melovin last year, so I don’t think they really pay attention.

NickC
Guest
NickC

I care a lot about Swiss lyrics being garbage. This is one of the reasons why I don’t see it winning. I think it is also why Fuego did not win, but Toy did.

Weißbrot
Guest
Weißbrot

Toy’s lyrics weren’t exactly philosophical either…. I mean “I’m not your toy, you stupid boy” “You’re stupid just like your smartphone” “I’m taking my Pikachu home”

NickC
Guest
NickC

Still better than pelican flying yeah yeah yeah… I am not the biggest fan of toy, but I completely get why it beat fuego. It is empowering, and it caught the zeitgeist.

Weißbrot
Guest
Weißbrot

Yes of course, but I think he’ll improve. That’s why I said it depends.

Kosey
Guest
Kosey

Mr Vanilla Bean, that’s a massive shame that you don’t get Belgium’s lyrics. For me they are the most powerful in all the competition. It may because I had a personal reason to need to fight for something really badly, and whenever I hear those lyrics they make me cry. They capture a particular emotion so well.

Kosey
Guest
Kosey

You can dislike the song because he doesn’t quite sing it as well as he might, but please don’t dislike it because you don’t understand the lyrics – that just shows a lack of understanding on your part.

Kosey
Guest
Kosey

You are not looking hard enough or you have not had the personal experience. Either way, you shouldn’t go around criticising lyrics as gibberish when they mean a lot to some people. Stop hating please.

Una
Guest
Una

For once I agree with the odds. Said it already I believe Greece will win SF1. Go Greece!

Nicolas
Guest
Nicolas

Iceland can finish like Finland 2015. I don’t know why people think it will automatically do well.

Marios
Guest
Marios

because all that matters when voting is which song has appealed more to you and has been stuck in your head the most. Iceland is definitely a song that can do that work

Nicolas
Guest
Nicolas

A favorite to win the SF without even heard it live yet, wow smart bookies. And Greece live @Amsterdam was not convincing at all.
This will obviously change after the rehearsals.

Sonam
Guest
Sonam

Chill out. Conan is a great dude and I wish he qualifies

Kkar
Guest
Kkar

I don’t think you need a live performance when you can still be sure of her vocal capabilities (plenty videos of her singing live+ 2 rehearsal videos and 1 making of video in which she slays the hight note on the bridge)

Weißbrot
Guest
Weißbrot

Greece, Cyprus and Iceland will probably be the top 3 of Semi 1. But I feel like Slovenia might end up much higher than many expect. Calm and quiet songs sometimes hold the most power. In the beginning I thought Estonia would easily qualify, but I’m not so sure anymore. I think Greece, Cyprus, Iceland, Slovenia and Portugal are quite safe. I also see Hungary and Australia qualifying. The remaining potential qualifiers are Belgium, Serbia, Poland, Estonia and the Czech Republic. (Sorry @Serhat our lord and savior, but I still don’t see it happening.) Two of these still have to… Read more »

Alex
Guest
Alex

This Top 3 seems just too obvious to happen idk.
As you said Slovenia can surprise and be there hopefully.
I also see Czech Republic doing really well with juries if not even win it. Just a feeling.

Weißbrot
Guest
Weißbrot

Yeah, maybe the jury will drag Iceland down more than we think? They almost prevented Hungary from qualifying last year… In an extremely weak Semi. Of course Iceland will still easily qualify, but maybe not top 3.

Alex
Guest
Alex

Yes juries might drag Iceland down sadly.
The thing is I wouldn’t be shocked if either Iceland, Greece or Cyprus miss Top 3 in SF1 unlike Netherlands in SF2 for example. I don’t see any country safe.

bercolata
Guest
bercolata

With that song, Czech Republic can only do well with friends of friends of friends of the juries.

NickC
Guest
NickC

Neither Portugal nor Slovenia is safe, me thinks.

Ioa Ioa
Guest
Ioa Ioa

Greece will either win SF1 or end up DQ. It depends on the live performance and Katerine’s vocals.

Esc87
Guest
Esc87

As a Greek I totally agree. She will either overwhelmingly slay or epicly fail

Frisian esc
Guest
Frisian esc

Portugal has a better song,and iceland has a better act imo