The two semi finals of Eurovision 2019 are over and we are now less than 48 hours away from the grand final. Minutes ago, the running order of the grand final has been revealed by the EBU.
Since 2013, the running order has been decided by the show producers and the EBU. The only thing randomly determined is which half each act will perform in, which is drawn after each semi-final.
The idea is to provide a degree of variation in genre and feel, rather than, for instance, giving us six ballads in a row. The running order also takes staging requirements into consideration, ensuring that large props won’t be crowding the off-stage area all at once, nor will we get a glut of performances all with the same colour lighting.
The host nation whose position was randomly decided. This year, Israel’s Kobi Marimi will sing “Home” from position number 14, which was randomly drawn in January.
This year a burst of colour both opens and closes the show. Malta will start things off with “Chameleon”, then 26 songs later, Spain will close with “La Venda”.
Eurovision 2019: Grand Final running order
- Malta: Michela – “Chameleon”
- Albania: Jonida Maliqi – “Ktheju tokës”
- Czech Republic: Lake Malawi – “Friend of a Friend”
- Germany: S!sters – “Sister”
- Russia: Sergey Lazarev – “Scream”
- Denmark: Leonora – “Love Is Forever”
- San Marino: Serhat – “Say Na Na Na”
- North Macedonia: Tamara Todevska – “Proud”
- Sweden: John Lundvik – “Too Late for Love”
- Slovenia: Zala Kralj & Gašper Šantl – “Sebi”
- Cyprus: Tamta – “Replay”
- The Netherlands: Duncan Laurence – “Arcade”
- Greece: Katerine Duska – “Better Love”
- Israel: Kobi Marimi – “Home”
- Norway: KEiiNO – “Spirit in the Sky”
- United Kingdom: Michael Rice – “Bigger than Us”
- Iceland: Hatari – “Hatrið mun sigra”
- Estonia: Victor Crone – “Storm”
- Belarus: ZENA – “Like It”
- Azerbaijan: Chingiz – “Truth”
- France: Bilal Hassani – “Roi”
- Italy: Mahmood – “Soldi”
- Serbia: Nevena Božović – “Kruna”
- Switzerland: Luca Hänni – “She Got Me”
- Australia: Kate Miller-Heidke – “Zero Gravity”
- Spain: Miki – “La Venda”
Does it really matter?
If you believe in statistics then yes, it does.
If we look at the history of Eurovision then we will see that in the last 20 years (1998-2018) only six songs which performed in the first half have managed to win to contest. That’s around 30%. If you are lucky enough to draw second half then spots 17-25 have the best chances of winning the contest.
In particular, spot 17 has three victories: Loreen in 2012 for Sweden, Marija Šerifovic in 2007 for Serbia and Lordi in 2006 for Finland. The next best position is 22 – Netta won for Israel last year performing 22nd and Lena had the exact spot nine years ago in Oslo.
However, in recent years, we’ve also seen victories from the first half: Conchita Wurst from 11th in 2014 for Austria, Måns Zelmerlöw from 10th in 2015 for Sweden, and Salvador Sobral also won from 11th place in 2017 for Portugal.
What can we learn from the running order about each contestant’s chances?
In previous years, the running order has also given an indication of who might have done well in their semi-finals. 2018 is a very good example – Netta performed 22nd after she had won her semi-final. Runner up Eleni Foureira who came second at the semi final was positioned 24th .
What do you think of the Eurovision 2019 grand final running order? Do you think that favourite the Netherlands might have the win sealed? Or could another act still take the crown? Let us know all your thoughts in the comments section below.