The curtain has closed over the last semi-final of Melodifestivalen 2020. Now that we have seen all of the performances, changes are afoot with the bookmakers. Dotter is taking flight as the one to beat with her song “Bulletproof”.
Melodifestivalen 2020 odds: Dotter is the favourite to win
When we last checked the odds, Dotter had just qualified direkt till final from the second semi-final in Gothenburg. However, it was her fellow qualifier Anna Bergendahl who had surged to the top of the odds at the time.
Dotter’s odds had also improved after her semi-final performance, moving firmly into the top three. But now that all of the songs have been performed for the first time, Dotter’s stock is rising. Following the last semi-final in Malmö, her odds have shortened to as little as 2.0 with Unibet, down all the way from 8.0 when we last checked the odds.
Melodifestivalen 2020: Other favourites
It appears a rematch of semi-final two is likely. That’s because Anna Bergendahl remains most likely to topple Dotter according to Unibet. Her odds have drifted slightly from 4.0 to 4.5 at Unibet but bookmakers believe that the Eurovision 2010 veteran remains as Dotter’s main rival.
Hanna Ferm was the hot favourite before the songs were released. The “Brave” songstress secured her position in the final with ease but her odds have drifted narrowly out to 4.75 with Unibet. The Mamas are next in line. Our favourite divas kicked things off in the first semi-final and remain one of the acts to beat with odds of 6.5 with Unibet. That marks an improvement from the 8.0 odds they boasted last time we checked.
In terms of the Andra Chansen acts, those considered most likely to make a splash in the final are Felix Sandman, Frida Öhrn and Paul Rey, all of whom currently have odds of 31.0. Felix and Frida will, however, duel against one another in Andra Chansen.
Melodifestivalen 2020 odds — 23 February
- Dotter 2.0
- Anna Bergendahl 4.5
- Hanna Ferm 4.75
- The Mamas 6.5
- Robin Bengtsson 16.0
- Mariette 21.0
- Victor Crone 21.0
- Mohombi 22.0
- Felix Sandman 31.0
- Frida Öhrn 31.0
- Paul Rey 31.0
- Malou Prytz 126.0
- Anis Don Demina 151.0
- Ellen Benediktson & Simon Peyron 176.0
- Mendez ft. Alvaro Estrella 176.0
- Drängarna 251.0
Odds correct as of 09:30 CET 23 February 2020, via Unibet
What do you think of the odds? Will Dotter run away with the victory? Who is underrated by bookmakers? Let us know in the comments below.
I don’t really get the hype around Dotter. The song sounds like any other song from SIA and the staging is quite bad in my opinion. I’m rooting for Anna Bergendahl. She deserves to get her revenge after failing in Oslo. The song is a total bop and she performs it with a great self-confidence and smoking hot dancers. Please do not disappoint me, Sweden….
Sanna Nielsen called she wants her disco ball back
Anna is currently #1 in Itunes Sweden <3
who even uses itunes anymore
The people who got her to number one.
I do because I’ve got years and years of cataloguing set up on there.
I’m too old to move things over. 😉
[…] Dotter is leading the odds to win Melfest 2020, she is only at No.5 in the Spotify chart with her song […]
Yessss , Dotter should be win
Yesss , Dotter Winner
These are entirely generic yet nicely produced songs that are destined to be in the middle. How is this not obvious to everyone? Oh and I’m not a hater. I’m a big fan of Sweden for 20 years. I still remember being depressed for days when Alcazar was not chosen in 2005, when they would have won ESC. I’m not going to be so biased to say that Anna or Dotter are going to be a top placement.
I don’t understand the appeal of Anna Bergandahl. I hope it is Dotter or The Mamas, who really took me by surprise with how fun their entry is. However, none of the Melfest songs really wowed me this year when compared to MGP, Lithuania’s Eurovisjos, or now even Romania’s selection of songs.
Now the radioembargo is over and the songs can be played interesting things happening
So far Dotter has been played, a lot. And radiostation NRJ has chosen it as the hit of the week so it’s getting a lot airplay. Victor Crone is the second act getting lot of plays
Good news for Dotter!!!
Wow! Fun! Do you have a source for this? 🙂
Sorry but Hanna is third on Spotify Sweden top hits right now and Dotter fith….
Why so concerned about Hanna;)
As you said, it’s the recency factor. The last act this year, people would remember it. That plus she is famous. She is third in odds and slipping down. Dotter increasing her odds and has quite the lead
Dotter or Anna both have a very good chance to win ESC.
I would love to see Mariette and The Mamas at ESC too — but Dotter has such a bop — and I think I would cry with happiness for Anna if she returns to ESC 10 years later and wins for Sweden.
From the field right now, Dotter and Anna would surely be the best contender to take on current favourites Lithuania (who I also like)? Would also be interesting to see how a Sweden / Lithuania battle in the top 5 would split votes in the GF.
As much as I loveeee Anna i dont think she could win ESC, the song being quite old fashioned – but a top 10 would be locked. Dotter could easily get a top 3 finish and maybe win if stars align 🙂
Both Anna or Dotter would win ESC? Huh?? Whatever drugs you are taking, please let me know!
Interesting development on Itunes Norway and Finland, where Hanna Ferm is pretty high up in both countries. Several other acts from Melfest also charts, but Dotter is nowhere to be seen. Hmm…
Maybe Hanna will win. My 11 years old daughter likes her and think Dotter is awful. So maybe I have underestimated the appeal of the kids. The younger kids finds Dotter to mature. They see more of themselves in Hanna.
Well kids also loved Samir & Viktor. That didn’t help them..
I think the X factor Dotter has over her competition is really compelling staging- iTunes outside of Sweden wouldn’t represent that factor.
Honestly you guys, if its between Anna and Dotter I’m happy. So happy actually. It’s so funny that what turned out to be the overall worst melo in ages gave me so much joy. I hope they both thrive
Even if I have watched the illegal videos many times during the past 2 weeks, I have had Bulletproof on repeat for the whole day. It is such a good song. I love how the instrumental comes back for the last chorus, so powerful
I am from the Netherlands and i watched all the finalists (until now) from Melfest with some of my friends who are NOT Eurovision fans and they all liked Anna Bergendahls song and performance the most, second was Robin Bengtson…… They didn’t like Dotter at all, maybe a bit overhyped in Sweden at the moment, i think if Dotter goes to Rotterdam she will not do so well as many “fans” predict.
True. That’s mine too. My friends love Kingdom Come the most.
Same, my boyfriend loved Anna and he didn’t like Dotter
I really like Dotters song. and the overall act is fantastic, Simple lighting and focused on the artist. The song is modern and very catchy.
Anna’s performance is probably the one best choreographed and visually striking but her voice for some reason just doesn’t do it for me.
Overall a very strong Melodifestivalen finale 😀
The Mamas please! I didn’t like John Lundvik much, but without him they are awesome! 😀
I can’t believe that Hanna has surpassed Dotter by views on Youtube. #Dotterdam
Hannas commentsection (190 comments) is a mess though and don’t stand a chance against the wrath of Dotter’s commentsection (over 1000 comments). Plus views on YT don’t mean that much. Samir and Victor were #1 by a mile in 2018 but Benjamin won.
Hanna is already well known on YouTube. That might explain. Dont think you should worry
Recency effect, semi-final 4 just happened so it makes sense Hanna would be higher. Remember all the earlier semi’s views on illegal uploads of DTF performances ate into Melodifestivalen channel official view count. But as the others said, spotify is much bigger notification.
I don’t really like Hanna’s song and for me also the performance is a bit awkward. But she sings really well and is extremly carismatic. She is also appeals to the kids. My 11 years old daughter likes her but find Dotter and Anna awful. So maybe Hanna is in for the battle.
Dotter or Victor!
Hanna’s song is terrible, I cannot believe that’s considered a fave to win…
Dotter could honestly win Eurovision
She sang live in MF semi.
Only Dotter can give 7 th victory for Sweden , she is 100% in TOP 5. Robin, Anna , The Mamas can give 5-10 place in final.
Funny
It honestly just sounds more of the same to me. Bit uninspired, like the rest of Melodifest this year.
Dotter is so hyped up! It´s a decent song and a decent performer with a great staging. Again. Same damn thing for years. I want someone who can sing, truly hit some big notes, make me smile, or feel anything for that matter. Dotter and her staging are just so……cold, at least for me. The song builds but the chorus leaves me wanting more. Mildly singing bulletproof and flicking your hair doesn´t make me feel the sadness, the anger. There needs to be power behind your words, not just in your words. So bluntly Dotter needs more power in her… Read more »
Agree, it is not really a special song, I find nothing that gets me hooked with the song to be honest…Nah Anna or the Mamas have better chances in ESC
Dotter in my opinion has a great staging and a decent song but I agree her voice sounds too weak. I don’t mean she is a bad singer, but her voice lacks power.
And I so much agree with all this down voting. If people express their opinion in a polite manner, why down vote?
On the other side, there so many people who come to express their hate! I mean, why???
You don’t understand how the Wiwibloggs comment section works, do you? If anyone says anything remotely different from what the ESC fan hive mind has ordained, then it has to be downvoted, immediately!
I’m kidding. But seriously, every year, there’s at least one artist/song that nobody can discuss remotely unless saying how objectively great it is. I guess, this year, it’s Dotter. Just a shame it’s happened in a national final with many other credible artists…
It is not just about Dotter or Sweden and not only here. People pour their hate commenting on a person’s appearance calling someone “ugly” or “f*king witch”, a song – “stinking piece of trash”… I guess several more days of reading such comments and I would leave ESC bubble.
Frans won in 2016 and his voice wasn’t great either. His song is also just average but he got 5th placing at Eurovision. So…
I really like Hanna’s song and would love to see it at Eurovision but I agree that the staging needs to change. Hopefully the stage designer will change it in time before the final.
Also her phrasing. It is impossible to hear what she sings about. She walks around, makes sounds and looks very pretty. But what is it about?
Its rather dull. Souless pop dross.
In a twist, Anna Bergendahl wins melodifestivalen. And she comes 11th a second time in her semifinal. That would be epic but also sad: after 10 years, still the same artist marks a non qualification for Sweden. I already feel sorry for Anna.
Yeah, she doesn’t qualify for a second time, but even worse – she’s still the only Swedish act not to qualify, now x2. I really hope that doesn’t happen, though. If she does win Melodifestivalen, my nerves will be in shreds in May at the semi-final. Imagine, nine songs announced, one left, still no Anna.
Even more would not have qualified was it not for juries.
She has to win MF first. And that is a huge if..
I feel Poli vibes with Anna. Better entry. More confidence. Redemption. Enjoyment live
Damn that’s deep comment..brings me back to Slovenia’s Omar Naber. Coming back a 2nd time and still not qualifying.
To be fair, Omar did really well the second time just to win his national final. I’m sure he was happy overall with his year’s work!
My expectation: – Dotter to Rotterdam (The outfit is iconic for Eurovision, but definitely not for Barbara Dex award because it is perfect and incredible!) With the hashtag #Dotterdam to make Sweden a popular favourite in Eurovision! – Install Anna Bergendahl as the spokesperson to announced the Sweden’s jury votes of this year’s Eurovision grand final (Just like Wiktoria did several years ago as a Melfest veteran, or Eric Saade last year as a former Eurovision participant. I think she has tried her best to represent Sweden again in these years but still end up in failure, however she still… Read more »
Average. Mainstream. Production on high level but artistically there is no exception from previous years-actually it’s getting worse. I’m not fan of hyping these entries just as coming from Sweden. Com’on let’s be real and honest…. ignore the geography and please speak about artistic level which in the case of Sweden this year are not on that level that we can say that their songs are close to win. Not even close….
Totally agree with you. Last time I was excited about Melfest songs were Joh Henryk last year and the year before. Ukranian and Norwegian finals put them to shame.
Lie? Are you 5 years old? The talented mr. Ripley is just expressing an opinion. And yes please qualify your opinion in terms of artistic level instead of this immature nationalism.
Hmmm.. you are not convincing… Not fan of Romania’s song but at least they experiment with the type of music. And Lithuania is conceptual song that is not pop or mainstsream generic type of Swedish entries. There are years when Sweden produce such a masterpieace as Euphoria and we all can agreed its worthed to win, no doubt. But this year there are no wining materials, not even close. And its totally fine to participate in the contest and not pass into final. Its happen to other countries (even when they do not deserve by my opinion) so it wouldnt… Read more »
Sorry to burst your bubble, but Lithuania is as mainstream as it comes.
Anna, this is your big opportunity!
This year some songs building momentum til bridge then fall flat in chorus part, just like bulletproof and shout it out
Do you think families in Sweden who voted massively for Keiino or Rasmussen are going to vote for Dotter over Anna? I’m not really sure.
Why wouldn’t they? Are you saying families only vote for one sound? And are you saying families are the only one who vote?
Also it can be argued that Swedes voted for those songs because they were neighbours, not because we liked them that much. Rasmussen was even a MF reject, so basically we voted for our own song..
Higher ground , Was a much better song and much more enjoyable than most of the crap in Melfest any given year. (Few exceptions like Jon Henryk and Anna, Marriette)
Check your history. Sweden is not giving their neighbours high points if any at the final. But its true the other way around.
Maybe you should check. Sweden gave both songs 12. Rybak 12 in 2009. Norway 12 in 2013.
Swedes gave 12 to Rasmussen and one year earlier Denmark with Anja was only 16th or 17th with Swedish televote.
Swedes liked it just most of the countries in Europe.
Trust me, they will, the kids will love the light beams, the dad will love to look at dotters seductive moves and the moms will vote on her because of her full volume hair 😉
it’s a good song and she performs it very well, but there’s no runaway winner in this melfest imo.
Something interesting is happening over at Spotify. While we’re still waiting for the top 50 list to see how everyone is doing, Spotify Sweden have updated their daily ”Hits idag” (”Hits today”) list. Dotter is first of all Melfest songs, with Hanna a couple of places behind, then Anna and last the Mamas.
Interesting. And good news for Dotter :
And it’s the other way around on iTunes. Anna first, Hannah third and Dotter four.
I like it more than when I first heard it, but I still find it too derivative of Sia. Even her annunciation seems to be a deliberate copy.
are we surprised after she tried to imitate julia michaels in every way with “cry”?
Which Sia song are you refering to? A sound is ok for me but not a total rip off. In Italy they have almost only one way to make their ballads. There is a Balkan type of ballads and so forth. I think that is great. inspiration and influence are normal – but not copying.
I’m referring to her overall style rather than one song in particular.
I meant “enunciation” instead of annunciaton. I think annunciation is something to do with Jesus, actually…oops.
I really don’t see the Sia comparisons at all?
That is my problem with Dotter, she tries to imitate something she is not, you can hear her true voice at times in the song…then she goes back to that mumbling, sock in the mouth voice again
ESC 2020 Winner
Am i the only one that think Bulletproof sounds like first time by ellie goulding and kygo?
Not really but I will say Dotter’s voice sounds like Ellie Goulding doing a Sia inflection (I really like Bulletproof and its my winner for Melfest, but would concede that there are a few better singers this year)
do we have 2 more weeks? this is killing me. Mello news are ridiculous : who wiwi think will win, who bookings think will win, who jury voting from rehearsals think will win, wiwijury for each and every crap…are you out of your minds?
Tell me about it…
Rip-off of a Sia hit from 9 years ago, failed Foureira hair flip, nasal voice, epilepsy-warning lights flashing from her “armour”. But I am guessing both the handpicked juries and the swedish public will simply vote for whatever the bookies think works “best”. And then people will spend the next three months going on and on about how great the swedish winner is just like with John Ludvik, Benjamin etc. The final result will be mediocre of course despite the inevitable jury flag boost.
The delusion… please check yourself out.
Deluded indeed if thinking 5th place is mediocre.
Spot on. Thats why you are down voted. After ESC you will see a movement trying to abolish the televote. And swedes will tell eachother that its much better with proffesional juries. And finally they will conclude they are the moral winners.
Funny thing is, the only reason the Mellobubble is supporting her is because she was left in the semi a few years ago. As if she should have gone anywhere with that intolerable voice.
This song sounds so upmarket it could be the soundtrack of hunger games movies
You misspelled supermarket
At this moment only Norway and Italy are good. Sweden can be next with Dotter.
Dotter is the best chance for Sweden, her onstage effects will be memorable and epic, the song just feels more contemporary and ‘now’. I appreciate Anna Bergandahl and her stage presence, but the song is a bit old fashioned if I’m honest, and the overall package I feel would be swamped by the other entries.
Just remember ESC 2018 with Benjamin and Rasmussen. Who had effects or contemporary but who ended up doing better with people vote.
So? Is that a guarantee that will happen again?
After hearing the songs at least once, I know that my personal winner won‘t be Sweden this year.
Lots of good songs, but honestly no standout for me.
I have to admit that I like Robin Bengtsson, even more than I Cant Go On, but I also have to say he won‘t get the same result this time (while Take A Chance pleased me more, I Cant Go On was polished for a modest success)
People on here seem to disregard Dotter’s chances of winning televote, as if she wouldn’t win it. But she has the most viewed YouTube video, and the most downloaded on ITunes. Now Spotify hasn’t released yet but expect her to be high there to. So she clearly has hit an impact with the audience. You also seem to think most Swedes won’t know her. However she was very much a big part of Walk With Me which was one of the biggest hits last year. So people would know her. Why you all think Bergendahl would win televotes with a… Read more »
I agree 100 % . I would only vote for Anna if the song was so good she couldn’t miss again. Her song is really weak.
Do you really think The views is from swedes when 90% of the comments is in english? I thought her views was going to be much higher, Hannas is pretty close.
Some are Swedish yes. And ITunes and Spotify are very much only Swedish. And of course we don’t know airplay get, which is a huge factor..
Seeing how the songs have been just released last night it’s no wonder views are low. And Hanna Ferm would do well because people know her. But I think Dotter will get more views in time.
I just think people are to quick to underestimate Dotters televoting appeal.
Anna is leading on Itunes.
Follwed by Hanna. And then Dotter and Mamas pretty close.
Also in Sweden this song gives us Euphoria vibes. Not that we think it’s as good as Euphoria but it gives us the same vibe we got from Euphoria when listening.
look, those youtube views are so small they don’t matter much. let’s wait for the spotify numbers.
Well of course they are small since they were only released last night. But of course it matters. They are growing by the minute. I think Dotter is somewhere in 64 000 views now.
Bulletproof is certainly an earworm, but there’s no denying that this is one of the weakest Melfests in year :/ I want the same quality as 2017 next year, that year was arguably the strongest Melfest yet.
For me 2016 was the best. But 2017 was good as well
For me it was 2015. Really strong songs.
But 2020 is also good imo
P.S. I kiiinda prefer Malou and Hanna Ferm than Dotter.
But it’s definitely addictive
I have a feeling that Felix Sandman could win the jury vote in the final. He will have no problem at all to go through to the final from AC. Remember juries reaction to “Dance You Off”?
True, he could be a surprise winner
With his live vocal, he is out for win.
With the app anything can happen. I have a feeling that Dotter works from kids to 40+ . And Anna from the ages 30 to 70+. Hanna?
Weirdly when I watched the live performances and the corresponding heart colours, it was the other way round. Under 40s voted seemed to respond better to Dotter than Anna in the semi’s which I didn’t expect
That’s what I meant. Kinda.
I think Hanna wins younger vote. Anna older vote and calls. But Anna will do fine with young people. Dotter will be there but not a surefire win. Hype helpes her but Idk. Mamas will do very well in all group ages I think as well.
You might be right. Anna is the type of song my grandma likes:)
It’s very much next Sanna Nielsen over her. Dotter however is more the type of song I and people younger then me likes.. That said I do think Dotter will win televotes too because younger people vote more. And her song is far leading all social media. Anna currently lagging behind in a distant 3rd.
People over 45+ will vote more for Anna, The Mamas than Dotter.
Robin, Hanna have song for audience from 7-107
Dotter will get high votes from 25-45 years old
no. the mamas are the best in my opinion.
Yup…
And that says it all about this years Melodifestivalen…
I’ve watched SFs only once… I’mean I heard the songs once and.. I barely remeber any of them 😛 That says something.
Even if I don’t remember the song… I remember I liked it the most, so I’m up for The Mammas.
Anyway, Sweden disappoints me this year more than ever…
I agree
The thing with ALL the Melfest songs is that they are SO reliant on staging, lighting and choreography (even more so than in most other NFs) that I will have to listen to the audio versions of all of them to form a second opinion. Dotter and Anna had the really impressive stagings and songs sounded quite good. Now that they are out on YT again, it’s time for another re-evaluation. By the way, while usually running order shouldn’t matter, it is interesting that none of the second placed songs managed to even as far as AC and none of… Read more »
Eehmm didn’t you notice that the winner is ALWAYS around the tenth spot in the Final?! With the exception of Mans, Loreen and Robin, but Nano won the televotes that year and he performed 9th. Reconsider the importance of the running order. I really hope Anna will be put there so I’m sure she’ll win.
Read carefully what I said. I said the running order *shouldn’t* matter, but obviously it does. Especially since it’s pre-determined to help the acts the producers think would have the highest chance. If the draw was random, it would matter much less.
Noone would rate Bulletproof highly if Dotter was wearing a standard top!
WINNER!
Well I must admit I was wrong. My first reaction to Dotter was that it was too gimmicky with the lighting, but I have to admit I was wrong, this song is an ear worm and now I love it. Go Dotter!
Don’t get why people think Dotter can win Eurovision. We’ve heard that kind of song before in the Sia albums. It’s not super emotive like Arcade or unique enough like Soldi. I still believe she is the best option Sweden has but I just don’t get the winner vibe from the performance.
So? We heard songs like Arcade before, yet it won..
Arcade made me emotional when I heard it for the first time. Bulletproof did not!