Germany and France Junior Eurovision 2020

When audiences tune into Junior Eurovision 2020 on Sunday 29 November, they may be struck by a keen sense of communal resilience. That’s because Germany’s Susan will open the show with “Stronger With You”.

Some might consider the entry a surprise opener, but it was, of course, the result of chance.  Germany drew the first position during Monday’s Opening Ceremony.

France drew position number 12, and will close the show with Valentina and “J’imagine”.

In the interests of fairness, a number also had to be drawn for Poland’s homegirl Ala Tracz. The “I’ll Be Standing” songstress will perform sixth.

Junior Eurovision 2020 Running Order

The running order fate of the remaining contestants was decided by producers, whose job it is to create the most interesting show possible — aka, spacing out ballads and dance numbers so there’s never a sense of monotony.

  1. Germany
  2. Kazakhstan
  3. The Netherlands
  4. Serbia
  5. Belarus
  6. Poland
  7. Georgia
  8. Malta
  9. Russia
  10. Spain
  11. Ukraine
  12. France

 

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Does the running order matter at JESC?

If you believe in statistics then yes, it does.

In the 17-year history of Junior Eurovision, only two songs from the first half have managed to win the contest — Croatia 2003 and Georgia 2008. That’s around 12.5% of all winners.

If you are lucky enough to draw the second half then the closing slot has a very strong chance of victory. It has four wins: Belarus 2005, Russia 2006, Georgia 2016 and Poland 2018. In the 2010s, Malta (twice), Russia, Armenia, Georgia and Ukraine all won from slots in the last five.

What do you think of the running order? Who has an advantage and who doesn’t? Let us know below.

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Briekimchi
Briekimchi
11 months ago

As someone with Russia at my #1 spot, I’m very happy with the draw. Basically, I wanted Sofia to be performing after Georgia, Kazakhstan and Belarus in the running order. She’ll be the last “big vocalist” to perform and should do well with the juries as a result.

beccaboo1212
11 months ago

Petition for the following countries to return to Junior Eurovision in 2021:

• Albania
• Armenia
• Bulgaria
• Ireland
• Italy
• North Macedonia
• Norway (TV2)
• Portugal

ESCFan2009
ESCFan2009
11 months ago
Reply to  beccaboo1212

I want Australia back. Desperately 🙁

Joe
Joe
11 months ago
Reply to  ESCFan2009

becca didn’t mention them but I believe Australia and Wales both said they intended to return in 2021. I don’t think any of the countries that withdrew said anything ruling out a return next year.

beccaboo1212
11 months ago
Reply to  Joe

It all depends. 🙂

Joe
Joe
11 months ago
Reply to  beccaboo1212

I think most of the ones you mentioned said they’re coming back next year, save for maybe Bulgaria and Norway.

beccaboo1212
11 months ago
Reply to  Joe

Okay. Those were my guesses. I know Armenia and other countries I mentioned will come back and possibly countries I didn’t mention like Wales and Australia. We’ll see.

Colin
Colin
11 months ago

The running order will have such a small relevance in a final on only 12 songs, especially considering how many votes will be cast earlier online.

beccaboo1212
11 months ago
Reply to  Colin
Kathanya
Kathanya
11 months ago
Reply to  beccaboo1212

Technically the spanish tv is not doing promo and more than half of the spanish people doesn’t even know who is Solea,who is Melani or even when Jesc will take place. Meanwhile the polish tv is since few weeks ago doing a lot of promotion in TV saying lets give a third victory to Poland,our beloved country,let’s share the polish music around the world,vote for Poland the 29 of November,and showing the steps to vote for themselfs. If you ask me it seems more like lets show Poland is better than the rest of Europe,let’s vote to winas a nation… Read more »

beccaboo1212
11 months ago
Reply to  Kathanya

For your information, Soleá belongs to a popular flamenco family while Valentina Tronel is a member of the popular group Kids United.

Una
Una
11 months ago

OK, so basically there were two pots. One with numbers and one with names of countries but not the host country.
Viky Gabor the 2019 winner drew the running order number for Poland the host country which was 6. Then she drew from the pot with names of countries for the first and the last place. The first was Germany and the last France.
This was all new to me as a first time follower of JESC. I find the running order stuff much more “controlled” than in the big contest but there are much fewer countries duhh.

James
James
11 months ago
Reply to  Una

In recent allocation draws for JESC, lots are drawn to determine which half of the show a country will perform in, including which among the non-host countries will open and close the show. Only then and after the host country’s performance order has been picked at random will producers determine the running order. 🙂

Neil
Neil
11 months ago

I’m happy with Malta’s place at least and I do believe it could do really good in jury (maybe Kazakhstan 2019???) but I feel bad for Germany because I love the song (my 3rd) but probably now bottom 3 (except if juries save them)

Neil
Neil
11 months ago
Reply to  Neil

Btw Malta is my favorite pls don’t hate on me lol

I started watching JESC before ESC
I started watching JESC before ESC
11 months ago
Reply to  Neil

Maltas song is great. top 5 for me

Alex
Alex
11 months ago

Spain or France FTW please.

Lollipop ESC
Lollipop ESC
11 months ago
Reply to  Alex

Yes please ….that would be awesome. I would like to have Kazakhstan as the winner too (because then their chance to get into the adult ESC will rise).

Leo
Leo
11 months ago

They put Kazakhstan 2nd. Pretty obvious the ebu doesn’t want them to win.

Joe
Joe
11 months ago
Reply to  Leo

The first JESC winner ever performed second. Doesn’t mean anything.

Frisian esc
Frisian esc
11 months ago
Reply to  Leo

Someone has to. And i dont want to be mean since this is about kids but we all know the producers always put a specific category of songs on the 2nd spot..

Una
Una
11 months ago
Reply to  Frisian esc

What specific category of songs on the 2nd spot if you don’t mind? Same as in the big contest? Then why just not skip the “2nd” and go from 1 straight to 3? I am joking, of course.

Frisian esc
Frisian esc
11 months ago
Reply to  Leo

Btw anahit & mary got 2nd place in 2016 while performing 2nd

Erasmus
Erasmus
11 months ago
Reply to  Frisian esc

and also there are just 12 countries participating, so the running order is not so important.

Joe
Joe
11 months ago
Reply to  Erasmus

Yeah, let’s not look too deeply into it. A lot of songs have finished at least top-five that performed second. Heck, I checked 2009, and the songs that finished joint-second were the ones performed second and third!

Cameron
Cameron
11 months ago

France was already a favourite, this will increase their chances to win even more. Poland will be top 2 online voting with Spain, Germany is DEAD. It is a weak song and position 1.

beccaboo1212
11 months ago
Reply to  Cameron

Germany: Junior Eurovision 2021 participation confirmed

fasttortoise
fasttortoise
11 months ago

err… what? ;P

Nobody Important
Nobody Important
11 months ago

Well, RIP Germany. With a weak song and opening the show, it doesn’t look so good for them. The online voting will probably help them tho. Poland is fine, they are going to win the online voting anyway. France is lucky. Last is always good. Then again, Serbia performed last last year and that didn’t help them much.
Exited to see the rest of running order!

Joe
Joe
11 months ago

We don’t know how the jury is going to like everything. They aren’t so easily influenced by running order. Plus, given that there are only twelve songs, Germany is probably going to score with a fair few juries by default.

Diabolo
Diabolo
11 months ago
Reply to  Joe

How will they balance out the jury and online voting? Can a country get 200+ points from the public, if theoretically speaking a country can get max. 132 points from the juries (if everyone of the other countries give 12 points, which is, of course, unlikely)?

Last edited 11 months ago by Diabolo
James
James
11 months ago
Reply to  Diabolo

Points from the voting will be based on the percentage of votes that a song received from the public.

For example:
If 200 = Total amount of points from public and 15% is percentage of votes received by a song then…

(200) times (0.15) = 30 out of 200 available points from the public.

Then add that on top of the jury points the song previously received to get its overall final result.

Last edited 11 months ago by James
Una
Una
11 months ago
Reply to  James

It makes sense. But how many points are available from the public?
Are televote points in the big contest calculated the same way?

James
James
11 months ago
Reply to  Una

About the same amount of points to be handed out by the national juries, around 696 points if my math is correct.

James
James
11 months ago
Reply to  James

Edit: misplaced comment.

Last edited 11 months ago by James
beccaboo1212
11 months ago

Germany: Junior Eurovision 2021 participation confirmed