Raylee Hero Melodi Grand Prix 2021

We met the four acts for Melodi Grand Prix 2021 semi-final two on Monday. And as Saturday’s show looms near, we’ve taken a look at the bookies’ odds for Norway’s Eurovision selection.

And, if the bookmakers are to be believed Raylee is the one to beat in semi-final two.

Melodi Grand Prix 2021 Odds: Raylee favourite to win semi-two

The “Hero”popstar” is trading on Unibet at odds of 1.33. Were these odds to play out on Saturday, she would win the semi and progress to the 20 February grand final. The remaining three acts would remain in contention for a wildcard slot, along with the eliminated entries from the other four semis.

Raylee’s closest competition, at least in the eyes of the bookies, is Maria Solheim. The folk songstress can be backed at 4.50. R&B crooner Daniel Owen is third with odds of 7.5. Meanwhile, Ketil Stokkan brings up the rear at 9.0.

However, the bookies’ rankings are not necessarily an indicator of success. Ahead of semi-final one, Stina Talling was top with the bookmakers at odds of 1.9, while Jorn followed at 2.25. Ultimately, though, Blåsemafian emerged victorious despite only having odds of 5.0.

Melodi Grand Prix 2021 Bookmakers’ Odds — semi-two

  1. Raylee 1.33
  2. Maria Solheim 4.50
  3. Daniel Owen 7.50
  4. Ketil Stokkan 9.0

Odds correct as of 13:30 CET 21 January, via Unibet

How the odds work

The decimal odds number represents the amount you win for every krone/euro/dollar bet. The number represents the total payout, rather than the profit. Your stake is already included in the decimal number.

Taking odds of 1.90 as an example, for every €1.00 you bet, you will get back €1.90 if you win. This includes 90 cents profit plus your original one euro bet.

Bookmakers set odds by looking at factors such as prior form, statistics, historical precedents, expert opinion and any number of other elements which could influence the result in question. After this analysis, the bookies will be left with what they deem to be the most accurate possible true odds of any outcome occurring. As these factors are always shifting, the bookies’ odds will remain in flux.

Do you agree with the odds? Is Raylee the one to beat? Let us know in the comments below.

Follow all of our Norway Eurovision 2021 news.

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Polegend Godgarina
Polegend Godgarina
1 month ago

i just heard the song and it’s everything i don’t want to hear at eurovision. cliché, poor lyrics, dated/cheap-sounding production… dafuq i can’t blame nrk for not making her an automatic finalist. it’s atrocious i-

Mr X
Mr X
1 month ago

absolutely !!!! The same kind of songs, of course written by typical ESC-komposers and nothing more.Endlessy boring !

Wondering
Wondering
1 month ago

Has the betting odds gone correctly at all if we think last years MGP and this year?

Colin
Colin
1 month ago
Reply to  Wondering

Last year’s odds correctly predicted the win of Ulrikke, but they were very off predicting that actually second placed Kristin Husoy would come 10th (last) in the final.

Last edited 1 month ago by Colin
Wondering
Wondering
1 month ago
Reply to  Colin

Thanks, I was on that mindset that the odds didn’t get anything right in Norway which is actually good for the contest itself. It’s sometimes annoying when there is one clear winner and then the excitement just isn’t so high

Polegend Godgarina
Polegend Godgarina
1 month ago

her promo picture is a mess, sis is looking 50 there ! the norwegian anna bergendahl

Purple Mask
Purple Mask
1 month ago

1.33?! At those odds, she’ll win even if she shows up and does nothing! Ahaha. 🙂

Colin
Colin
1 month ago
Reply to  Purple Mask

My money is definitely on Raylee = Most competitive song + the singer with a striking stage presence. I like Maria’s and Ketil’s songs too. Yeah, that’s right – I think he *is OK*. Cute, in a low-key way. 🙂 Daniel Owen’s Psycho also has a cool beat, but it’s just way too repetitive for me.

Briekimchi
Briekimchi
1 month ago
Reply to  Purple Mask

It’s roughly a 75% chance of winning. Guess in the UK, you’d use 1/3. In a four-song field, that’s strong but not as strong as you’d think.

In many of the national finals last year (even ones with 10+ songs), the favourite generally moves towards 1.0 as the final gets closer. Dotter, Jaagup, Roxor Loops etc. were all between 1.0 and 2.0 last year at the time of their finals.

Purple Mask
Purple Mask
1 month ago
Reply to  Briekimchi

Thanks for that. Darn maths.

eurana
eurana
1 month ago

unbelievable

Joe
Joe
1 month ago

Unrelated, but interesting: the Belarusian Foundation for Cultural Solidarity sent the EBU a letter requesting BTRC be removed from the EBU, stripped of its broadcasting rights, and taken out of Eurovision. This is on the heels of them managing to get the country stripped of its rights to hold the IHF Men’s World Hockey Championships and the head of BTRC being put on an EU sanctioned persons list for his involvement in the election. I’m conflicted. I think a country is more than its government and there are a lot of talented musicians in Belarus who deserve the exposure that… Read more »

Joe
Joe
1 month ago
Reply to  Joe

It’s the same feeling I have about Hungary or Turkey: I would love for them to return to Eurovision at least for the sake of providing exposure for talented local musicians. On the other hand, the government-sponsored broadcasters are lousy puppets of terrible regimes.

Neil
Neil
1 month ago
Reply to  Joe

If I’m being honest I’m still Salty about VAL cuz they deserved it and BRTC isn’t letting them because of their political views

Purple Mask
Purple Mask
1 month ago
Reply to  Joe

Isolating the broadcaster from the EBU will only worsen the problem, in my opinion. (I know I am in the minority with this opinion.) Broadcasters can be reformed, and having outside observance like the EBU is a powerful motivator for change. But if you isolate the corporation, then it will just be easier for the dark powers to do whatever they want in their little corner. This in turn will hurt musicians from Belarus. I wonder what Naviband have to say about this (if they’re allowed)?

Last edited 1 month ago by Purple Mask
Frisian esc
Frisian esc
1 month ago
Reply to  Purple Mask

To be honest as long as the lukashenko regime is in charge there is 0% of the broadcaster reforming anyway.. it os already a puppet organization of the state.

Colin
Colin
1 month ago
Reply to  Joe

I am also conflicted on this one. I would be happy if everyone participated in peace. However, the bitter truth is that some participating states are less democratic than the other. It’s definitely not the fault of the musicians there. There are some talented people in Belarus who deserve to go to ESC some day. At the same time, turning a blind eye on these kinds of behaviors from the broadcaster just tells them that there’s nothing wrong with that. Perhaps a kind of a big fee along with replacement of HOD could work as the middle ground? Just throwing… Read more »

Ashton Schier
Ashton Schier
1 month ago
Reply to  Joe

The question is, is there another Belarusian broadcaster that is controlled by the Belarusian people? Or is it only BTRC?

Azaad
Azaad
1 month ago
Reply to  Joe

I think the standards for a politically motivated exclusion are really high to meet- Serbia and Montenegro (when they were known as FR Yugoslavia) were banned in 1993 due to the Yugoslav war and its attached UN sanctions, and the exclusion probably stretched on due to atrocities like the Srbreneca genocide. Even the worst excesses of the Lukashenko regime don’t compare to that. Moreover, a lot of governments have problematic elements, whether they’re dictatorships or nominal democracies. If the EBU allow countries to take part that outright annex other competitors’ territories, I think genocide and other war crimes are the… Read more »

Andi
Andi
1 month ago

My bet is on Raylee, my hopes on Ketil

Tom
Tom
1 month ago

Fingers crossed for Daniel! (Best song at least 4 me in this semi)

Marc
Marc
1 month ago
Reply to  Tom

I agree! I think this could be really good live.

Lolek
Lolek
1 month ago

I quite like her song! I know its not as epic as Wild, but I don’t think it’s bad. At the very least I’m excited to see what her performance is like come saturday!

Kalla
Kalla
1 month ago

I’m really notblobing her song still, have given it some time, but just find it a little boring. Maybe she will convince me more on Saturday.

Lollipop ESC
Lollipop ESC
1 month ago

She has the best song in this very mediocre semi final-two ….but she has no chance against Keiino and some others in the grand final of MGP (my opinion).

Briekimchi
Briekimchi
1 month ago

I imagine in Raylee’s case, that her odds are a reaction to the vast majority of bets being placed in this heat being on her. She was (rightly or wrongly) a fan favourite last year so was going to be backed in this market regardless of opposition or quality of her song.