Some say it’s pointless to look at the odds for Eurovision 2021 this early in the season. And it really is, as only Albania has revealed its chosen song publicly — and even that is likely to be touched up before the competition.
But the betmakers have their ears-to-the-ground and are no doubt listening to songs in various national finals, and checking in with their Euro-experts to feel out who has a shot to climb the table. Naturally we’re following how all that is impacting their rankings. Following the release of The Roop’s ‘Discoteque’ on Friday, the bookies now consider Lithuania the early favourite to win Eurovision 2021, displacing Iceland which has long held the top spot.
As you can see on the Oddschecker web site, Lithuania are currently as low as 39/5 at Betfair Exchange. Unlike the other favourites — including Daði Freyr from Iceland and Victoria from Bulgaria — The Roop must go through their national final Pabandom iš Naujo! once again, as they were not automatically re-selected. No matter. The bookies seem confident they have what it takes to cut a path to Rotterdam.
Eurovision Odds 2021: Lithuania the new favourite to win
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The buzz over Lithuania no doubt stems from the release of The Roop’s “Discoteque”. The dark dance track comes with fresh choreography that’s memorable and meme-worthy, helping serve that “viral” element that made them popular last year.
The song also carries an inspiring message. It encourages people to “dance alone” — not because of social-distancing or quarantine rules — but because people must learn to accept themselves fully and as they are. When you learn to dance with yourself, you’re better able to dance with others.
Eurovision 2021: Other betting favourites
We already know many of the artists confirmed for this year — and so do the betting agencies. Confirmed returnees include Eden Alene for Israel, Victoria for Bulgaria, Daði Freyr for Iceland and most recently Vasil for North Macedonia are on everyone’s radar. Building on last year’s buzz, many of the Eurovision 2020 favourites are already favourites this year. Let’s take a look at some of them…
Iceland’s Daði is at 9/1. This is arguably not so surprising since Daði was the darling of Eurovision 2020 and gained a lot of prominence following celebrity endorsements from the likes of Russell Crowe and Jessica Garner, who took part in the “Think About Things” dance challenge. The song was also used as a backing track on two of the UK’s most-watched television programmes Strictly Come Dancing and Dancing on Ice. Daði also won gongs at our in-house Vision Music Awards for “Most Likely to Succeed Commercially” and “Best Staging Concept”.
Not far behind is Bulgaria’s Victoria with odds of 19/2. While we don’t know her Eurovision 2021 entry yet, the “Tears Getting Sober” singer was one of the big favourites in 2020. Her most recent singles were very well-received and she’s said she will sample from the popular internet meme “The Screaming Sheep” for a potential entry.
France‘s national final takes place on January 30. The bookies seem to think there is a contender in the bunch, as France is currently seventh in the betting odds. Is it a matter of fan favourite Barbara Pravi saying, Voilà, here’s your win?
Norway, another country with a hyped national selection, is currently 11th favourite with odds of 24/1. Eurovision 2019 public vote winners KEiiNO have returned, and female lead Alexandra Rotan is hitting one of those notes. The odds aren’t bad, but could obviously be a bit better. Perhaps the bookies want Norway to show their hand before they show theirs? We’ll see at the final.
Albania, which gave us the first confirmed song of Eurovision 2021 back in December, isn’t doing so well on the oddstable. Anxhela Peristeri and her song “Karma” currently sit fourth from the bottom with odds of 179/1.
Another country whose odds aren’t looking too great at the moment is Israel with odds at 219/1. Eden Alene is currently seventh-from-last with odds at 79/1. We don’t yet know which of Eden’s three songs will be picked, but the bookmakers don’t hold too much hope for any of them. That’s a stark contrast to last year. At one point Eden had odds of 25/1 with her 2020 song “Fekir Libi”.
That’s what the bookies think, but what do you think? Do you think it is a done deal for Lithuania? Who do you think will be an outside bet for 2021? Will there be a country to defy the odds this year? Let us know in the comments below.