The 71st edition of Festival di Sanremo comes to a close tonight after a week of frivolity. All 26 acts in the “Big Artists” section have performed their songs and the bookies have had their say on who they believe will win the coveted Sanremo trophy.
As usual, the iconic festival is comprised of five evenings of fun and voting. The first four nights have been judged by a combination of a demiscopic vote, the Sanremo Music Festival Orchestra and accredited journalists. The public will also get their say in the voting of the fifth and final show tonight.
It seems everyone and his dog has given their opinion but who do the bookies believe will take home the Sanremo trophy?
Sanremo 2021 odds: Ermal Meta is the bookies’ favourite to win
According to several betting outfits, including Unibet, the current favourite to take the Sanremo 2021 crown — and have first refusal of going to Eurovision — is Ermal Meta. He currently sits at odds of 5/4 with his song “Un milione di cose da dirti”.
Ermal is of course is no stranger to Sanremo, having won the contest in 2018 alongside Fabrizio Moro with their song “Non mi avete fatto niente”. The pair then headed to Eurovision, finishing in fifth place.
Expectations are high for Ermal Meta’s Sanremo comeback, particularly since he goes into the final as the leader of the provisional ranking based on the first four nights. For this reason, the bookies are currently behind the Albanian singer-songwriter.
In second place with the bookies is Annalisa. The Italian star is at odds of 5/1 with her song “Dieci”.
Annalisa came third the last time she competed at the Italian festival in 2018 with “Il mondo prima di te”. Now, three years later, she will be hoping to do even better at Sanremo 2021. She’s already one of the big fan favourites and topped our pre-contest poll.
However, it’s a close battle and the bookmakers actually have a joint second favourite. Also with odds of 5/1 is Willie Peyote and his song “Mai dire mai (La locura)”.
Heading into the final, Willie is second in the provisional Sanremo 2021 ranking, having proven particularly popular with the press voters on the fourth night. Now he is also in the top three with the bookies. Could his satirical rap entry also be a hit with the public tonight?
While it’s fun to look through the bookies’ figures, it’s important to remember that these are just odds and do not always predict the correct outcome.
This time last year, eventual winner Diodato was second in the odds and trailing behind Francesco Gabbani by a fair margin. In the end, the result was reversed and Diodato emerged victorious.
Festival di Sanremo 2021 Odds – Final night
- Ermal Meta – 5/4
- Annalisa – 5/1
- Willie Peyote – 5/1
- Colapesce & Di Martino – 13/2
- Maneskin – 13/2
- Francesca Michielin & Fedez – 8/1
- Arisa – 10/1
- Irama – 14/1
- La rappresentante di lista – 20/1
- Lo Stato Sociale – 20/1
- Malika Ayane – 20/1
- Noemi – 20/1
- Fasma – 25/1
- Madame – 33/1
- Coma_Cose – 50/1
- Fulminacci – 50/1
- Gaia – 50/1
- Max Gazzè – 50/1
- Extraliscio Feat. Davide Toffolo – 50/1
- Francesco Renga – 50/1
- Orietta Berti – 80/1
- Gio Evan – 100/1
- Aiello – 100/1
- Bugo – 100/1
- Random – 100/1
- Ghemon – 100/1
How the odds work
The fractional odds represent the amount you win for every krone/euro/dollar bet. The number represents the total payout, rather than the profit. Your stake is already included in the fraction. Taking odds of 5/4 as an example, this equates to a decimal of 1.25; thus for every €1.00 you bet, you will get back €1.25 if you win. This includes 25 cents profit plus your original one euro bet.
Bookmakers set odds by looking at factors such as prior form, statistics, historical precedents, expert opinion and any number of other elements which could influence the result in question. After this analysis, the bookies will be left with what they deem to be the most accurate possible true odds of any outcome occurring. As these factors are always shifting, the bookies’ odds will remain in flux.
Poll: Who should win Festival di Sanremo 2021?
That’s what the bookies think about this year’s competition. But who are you routing for? You can let us know your favourites to win Sanremo 2021 in the poll below.
You can vote for as many acts as you like, but you can only vote once – so choose wisely. Allora!
Do you agree with the Sanremo 2021 odds? Who are you backing to win the contest? Let us know in the comments below.