Ermal Meta

The 71st edition of Festival di Sanremo comes to a close tonight after a week of frivolity. All 26 acts in the “Big Artists” section have performed their songs and the bookies have had their say on who they believe will win the coveted Sanremo trophy.

As usual, the iconic festival is comprised of five evenings of fun and voting. The first four nights have been judged by a combination of a demiscopic vote, the Sanremo Music Festival Orchestra and accredited journalists. The public will also get their say in the voting of the fifth and final show tonight.

It seems everyone and his dog has given their opinion but who do the bookies believe will take home the Sanremo trophy?

Sanremo 2021 odds: Ermal Meta is the bookies’ favourite to win

According to several betting outfits, including Unibet, the current favourite to take the Sanremo 2021 crown — and have first refusal of going to Eurovision — is Ermal Meta. He currently sits at odds of 5/4 with his song “Un milione di cose da dirti”.

Ermal is of course is no stranger to Sanremo, having won the contest in 2018 alongside Fabrizio Moro with their song “Non mi avete fatto niente”. The pair then headed to Eurovision, finishing in fifth place.

Expectations are high for Ermal Meta’s Sanremo comeback, particularly since he goes into the final as the leader of the provisional ranking based on the first four nights. For this reason, the bookies are currently behind the Albanian singer-songwriter.

In second place with the bookies is Annalisa. The Italian star is at odds of 5/1 with her song “Dieci”.

Annalisa came third the last time she competed at the Italian festival in 2018 with “Il mondo prima di te”. Now, three years later, she will be hoping to do even better at Sanremo 2021. She’s already one of the big fan favourites and topped our pre-contest poll.

However, it’s a close battle and the bookmakers actually have a joint second favourite. Also with odds of 5/1 is Willie Peyote and his song “Mai dire mai (La locura)”.

Heading into the final, Willie is second in the provisional Sanremo 2021 ranking, having proven particularly popular with the press voters on the fourth night. Now he is also in the top three with the bookies. Could his satirical rap entry also be a hit with the public tonight?

While it’s fun to look through the bookies’ figures, it’s important to remember that these are just odds and do not always predict the correct outcome.

This time last year, eventual winner Diodato was second in the odds and trailing behind Francesco Gabbani by a fair margin. In the end, the result was reversed and Diodato emerged victorious.

Festival di Sanremo 2021 Odds – Final night

  1. Ermal Meta – 5/4
  2. Annalisa – 5/1
  3. Willie Peyote – 5/1
  4. Colapesce & Di Martino – 13/2
  5. Maneskin – 13/2
  6. Francesca Michielin & Fedez – 8/1
  7. Arisa – 10/1
  8. Irama – 14/1
  9. La rappresentante di lista – 20/1
  10. Lo Stato Sociale – 20/1
  11. Malika Ayane – 20/1
  12. Noemi – 20/1
  13. Fasma – 25/1
  14. Madame – 33/1
  15. Coma_Cose – 50/1
  16. Fulminacci – 50/1
  17. Gaia – 50/1
  18. Max Gazzè – 50/1
  19. Extraliscio Feat. Davide Toffolo – 50/1
  20. Francesco Renga – 50/1
  21. Orietta Berti – 80/1
  22. Gio Evan – 100/1
  23. Aiello – 100/1
  24. Bugo – 100/1
  25. Random – 100/1
  26. Ghemon – 100/1

Odds correct as of 17:30 CET on 6 March, via Unibet

How the odds work

The fractional odds represent the amount you win for every krone/euro/dollar bet. The number represents the total payout, rather than the profit. Your stake is already included in the fraction. Taking odds of 5/4 as an example, this equates to a decimal of 1.25; thus for every €1.00 you bet, you will get back €1.25 if you win. This includes 25 cents profit plus your original one euro bet.

Bookmakers set odds by looking at factors such as prior form, statistics, historical precedents, expert opinion and any number of other elements which could influence the result in question. After this analysis, the bookies will be left with what they deem to be the most accurate possible true odds of any outcome occurring. As these factors are always shifting, the bookies’ odds will remain in flux.

Poll: Who should win Festival di Sanremo 2021?

That’s what the bookies think about this year’s competition. But who are you routing for? You can let us know your favourites to win Sanremo 2021 in the poll below.

You can vote for as many acts as you like, but you can only vote once – so choose wisely. Allora!

 

Do you agree with the Sanremo 2021 odds? Who are you backing to win the contest? Let us know in the comments below.

Follow all of our Italy Eurovision 2021 news here

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justafan
justafan
7 months ago

Irama was my personal favorite BUT Måneskin are an excellent choice as well! Iconic and quality performance. Italy in the top 10 once again! I’d love for them to finally win Eurovision this year.

Alex
Alex
7 months ago

Maneskin slayed. Such deserved and cool win.

Sale
Sale
7 months ago

Maneskin won Francesca second, hope Maneskin refuse so Francesca can go Again

Andi
Andi
7 months ago
Reply to  Sale

Let’s hope not.

Lloyd
Lloyd
7 months ago

Ermal..win and then refuse to go to eurovision so Rai can choose Irama!

Edit: well..irama’s chance is over. now, the battle will be italy vs finland in eurovision

Last edited 7 months ago by Lloyd
Andi
Andi
7 months ago

Ermal will win this easily I guess.
Not really my choice though.

EDIT: Wow, nice. I’ve never been so happy being wrong :D. Nice nice nice. Gogo Maneskin! You gonna slay!

Last edited 7 months ago by Andi
Martin Pugh
Martin Pugh
7 months ago

Go Franscesca e Fedez…they slayed the televote . Sad about Irama …now can my original faves do it….
Omg after hours of watching Sanremo…and I mean hours , it’s down to this.

justafan
justafan
7 months ago

POOR IRAMA :((
Great top 3 still, but sweet Irama was robbed. The same rehearsal video 3 times did not help him at all…

Alex
Alex
7 months ago

Madame really did great in televote. Queen.
Young people dominating televote in Italy unlike Estonia

Louka
Louka
7 months ago

Yesssssss Chiamami Per Nome in the top 3!!!!!!!!. GO FRANSCESCA E FEDEZ

Jo.
Jo.
7 months ago

Irama and Annalisa out.

Alex
Alex
7 months ago

Fedez and Francesca swept televoting. Legends

Jonas
Jonas
7 months ago

Yay for Fedez getting flowers – I think it was obvious how Francesca felt about just her getting them.

Polegend Godgarina
Polegend Godgarina
7 months ago

praying the bookies are wrong. the snooze !

Grey
Grey
7 months ago

I love Ermal but I want Irama to go to eurovision, that song is amazing. I rrally hope Irama can pull off a strong televote tonight

Kyler
Kyler
7 months ago

Italy please send IRAMA

Ric
Ric
7 months ago

Ermal will be top 3 for sure…Annalisa Irama and Maneskin all have very strong televote support (usually) so I guess two of them will topple Peyote and Arisa from the superfinal…From there everything starts over…Since the demoscopic poll will go for Ermal and he is strong also with the juries I guess that Maneskin (granted a good televote) would be the only ones with the chance to win over him considering they got great support from the juries and pretty good from the demoscopic poll. Of course these are just hypothesis but I predict a close competion.

Jonas
Jonas
7 months ago

The streaming is causing me such stress tonight.

sam
sam
7 months ago

My personal favourite is Fasma, but would be very happy to see Annalsa or Irama in May.

Congratulations for another great edition of Sanremo, Italy!

Fionn
Fionn
7 months ago

For me it’s gotta be fasma or madame. Fasma is my all time favourite Italian artist and a massive celebrity crush of mine lol. Madame’s song is so amazing I love it! I think madame would do better in Rotterdam but fasma is still my favourite

Mirko
Mirko
7 months ago

The only two with the real possibility to slay in May are – for me – Irama and Arisa. They’re very different but what I like of both songs are the ingredients that scream “winner alert”.

MyEuroVision
MyEuroVision
7 months ago

When Irama wins, he will be my new number 1 and probably will stay there! Just love the Italian, but also modern and optimistic sound of the song. Does anyone know if he will be there tonight? It will be hard to confince the audience by showing the same clip again I think. So fingers crossed! I also like Annalisa and Madame and of cource Franchesca and Fedez. Still so sad they were not received well so far. Ermal has a beautiful song too, but I just like the other songs better. Such a strong line up! My guess is… Read more »

Jimmy Smit
Jimmy Smit
7 months ago

If Irama wins, I think he’d do very well in May…possibly even win? The song and staging strike me as having the right ingredients to be a jury pleaser and a televote winner.

Not sure if San Remo voters are ready for Iramavision though.

I like Ermal but the song doesn’t blow me away—hard not to compare to ‘Non mi avete fatto niente’, which I adore. If not Irama, I’d rather have Francesca Michielin & Fedez, who have surprised me as a really nice pair.

Last edited 7 months ago by Jimmy Smit
Milla
Milla
7 months ago
Reply to  Jimmy Smit

Overrating Irama..

Leo
Leo
7 months ago

Which one of the competing artists want to go to rotterdam?
Just wanna know

Nora
Nora
7 months ago
Reply to  Leo

All of them

aaaaa
aaaaa
7 months ago
Reply to  Nora

nope
The main purpose of Sanremo is not choosing an ESC entry, it’s celebrating italian music. So, several artist wouldn’t want to go to ESC as many maybe entered the competition because they have an upcoming album and participating may boost streamings on their songs. 2016 sanremo winner didn’t go to ESC because he didn’t wanted to

MaelleForFra
MaelleForFra
7 months ago

I think annalisa is going to pull off a surprise win tonight at sanremo.

Last edited 7 months ago by MaelleForFra
Grft
Grft
7 months ago
Reply to  MaelleForFra

It would not be a surprise lol she’s one of the favorites to enter top3

Rottendam
Rottendam
7 months ago

I still believe Irama can win tonight. In 2019, Mahmood wasn’t even in the top 10 of the betting odds to win and only 8th in the Italian iTunes, but still managed to win.

If Irama wins, Italy have a strong chance of winning this year! Torino 2022?

justafan
justafan
7 months ago
Reply to  Rottendam

Yeah but Mahmood only received around 15% of the televotes. Tonight we all put our hopes on the televote to save Irama

Liam
Liam
7 months ago
Reply to  justafan

True, but he hasn’t been completely disregarded by this jury. He’s been 6th in the provisional rankings leading up to the final! We can hope.

RennyWest
RennyWest
7 months ago

It looks like bookies looked at my top 3 and were like “Yup, this not-Italian persone who has been million times wrong before clearly knows who will Italians choose this year.”

zach
zach
7 months ago

i really hope irama wins

Sabrina
Sabrina
7 months ago

I think Ermal will have the same fate of Gabbani last year. He’ll come into the final round as the frontrunner, but in the end the press and the televote will push something more modern (not that his song is dated, it’s more like classic) to the victory. The big question is who’ll face him in the final round…

Jimmy Smit
Jimmy Smit
7 months ago
Reply to  Sabrina

I can see that happening too. It’s a strong final night, even if there isn’t an overwhelming favourite. I see Ermal Meta in the final round but it seems very open as to who else will make it there—I think Irama, Francesca Michielin & Fedez, Annalisa, Arisa, Willie Peyote, Colapesce & Di Martino, Maneskin, and possibly Madame, all have a chance of clinching the trophy.

Sabrina
Sabrina
7 months ago
Reply to  Jimmy Smit

Sadly, I would take Madame out of the list, if it’s hard for Francesca and Fedez to have enough televote to turn things on their way, I imagine for her it’s impossible, since she’s not that known yet.

Jimmy Smit
Jimmy Smit
7 months ago
Reply to  Sabrina

That makes sense, she more than likely won’t. It’s just that San Remo has often seemed so volatile to me where fortunes can change dramatically like a poker scene in a James Bond film.

Kalla
Kalla
7 months ago

Imara is my winner, can’t see him winning with not being on stage though unfortunately. I loved Ermal at eurovision before, for me his song this doesn’t carry as much of a punch. I love that their is a message and story behind his music though.

Bea
Bea
7 months ago

I’m a fan of Ermal but I don’t think his song is that strong as Vietato Morire was. I also think he wouldn’t go to Eurovision again because in 2019 he was not happy with the quality of ESC songs and the rehearsals, but who knows. I would rather want to see Irama or Maneskin on the Esc stage because they stand out a lot and are my personal favorites. c:

Grft
Grft
7 months ago

Not this ..

justafan
justafan
7 months ago

I r a m a .

KRM
KRM
7 months ago

Even if he wins, I don’t think he wants to go to Eurovision again.

justafan
justafan
7 months ago
Reply to  KRM

Why do people keep assuming that though?

zach
zach
7 months ago
Reply to  justafan

maybe we’re just hoping that he doesn’t lol

KRM
KRM
7 months ago
Reply to  justafan

Because he has already had his time and brought a very respectable result for his country.

Also, back in 2018, one could recognize that he wasn’t really into this whole “Eurovision thing”.
Yes, he represented his country, he did his job, but Eurovision has never been his and Fabrizio’s priority.

So, I don’t rule him out yet, but I would be very surprised if he accepted to do Eurovision again.

Last edited 7 months ago by KRM
Bea
Bea
7 months ago
Reply to  KRM

In this interview https://youtu.be/7jNXKSGUM1c?t=1399 he pretty much criticizes it :/

Leanne
Leanne
7 months ago
Reply to  Bea

“pretty much criticized it” lol that’s putting it lightly. He was quite harsh, albeit in a humorous way.

Last edited 7 months ago by Leanne
Whisker
Whisker
7 months ago

I absolutely love Ermal’s song. I have a soft spot for him, but first and foremost I love the song.

Zisk
Zisk
7 months ago

Willie Peyote but if that doesn’t work I’ll take Irama or Maneskin.

Nora
Nora
7 months ago
Reply to  Zisk

I feel like Willie can surprisely win tonight. He is doing great with jury, press and Italian people loved his song, so he will probably probably will be hign in televoting. I’d like to see him as a winner, but my first place is still Irama

Coco
Coco
7 months ago

Just give Ermal the glass microphone, and cancel Eurovision. Next year in Italy.

Lena
Lena
7 months ago

Irama

Cacao
Cacao
7 months ago

Ermal Meta, Irama, Willie Peyote,Maneskin,Arisa, La representante di lista, Max Gazzè Why all my favorites have songs of 3:30 which have to be cut to be available for eurovision ?

matt
matt
7 months ago
Reply to  Cacao

I challenge you to find one song In Sanremo that wouldn’t need a cut

Last edited 7 months ago by matt
Cacao
Cacao
7 months ago
Reply to  matt

Fasma-Parla mi. 2:49 on spotify 🙂

Antonio
Antonio
7 months ago

Irama is my favorite. I believe in miracles, so i hope he wins.