It’s been a crazy few days in the world of Eurovision. And there’s been movement at the top of the Eurovision 2021 odds table amid a flurry of song releases, as you can see at Eurovision Oddschecker.

After Switzerland premiered their song “Tout l’univers“, Gjon’s Tears climbed into first place with odds as low as 4/1. It’s a big jump. On March 8 Switzerland was seventh favourite and the best price you could get was 18/1.

Oddschecker presents odds using the fractional system. So, for example, betting £1 on France to win with odds of 9/1 would win the betmaker £9, for a total profit of £8. The list below shows the odds as of 22:00 GMT on 10 March.

Eurovision 2021 odds: Switzerland the new favourite as Iceland slips

 

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That means Gjon’s Tears has displaced Iceland’s Daði Freyr as the one to beat. Iceland has held on to the top spot for quite some time, owing partly to the huge success of last year’s entry “Thing About Things”. Depending on when we refresh the page, Iceland is currently fourth or fifth favourite (in a tight race with Bulgaria). The odds for Iceland are as low as 6/1 and as high as 23/2. The drop follows a brief leak of their song “10 Years“, which is out on March 13. Note: It’s not always a good idea to judge a song by a snippet, let alone a leaked one!

Other Eurovision 2021 betting favourites

As reported earlier, Senhit from San Marino has risen to tenth favourite to win the contest with her song “Adrenalina” featuring Flo Rida. That’s one of the biggest shocks of recent Eurovision memory — and in the best way possible. She climbed from 36th favourite with odds as high as 200/1 to tenth favourite with odds as low as 14/1.

Do you agree with the odds? Do you think Switzerland is a contender? Can Iceland climb back into contention? Let us know your opinion in the comment section below!

189 Comments
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fan
fan
1 year ago
  1. Cyprus
  2. Switzerland
  3. France
Adina
Adina
1 year ago

Sweden is fire guys! Come on, Tusse has a song that is right in time, emotional and he is amazing live. I believe his song can be a great hit worldwide after Eurovision as well.

Go Sverige!

VSM
VSM
1 year ago

I don’t understand why the 2 french emotional songs are 1st and 3rd in the betting clearly, one will cannibalize the other in the televote at least

Last edited 1 year ago by VSM
Dalth
Dalth
1 year ago

I dunno if he can pull this off live maybe, but I am not getting winner vibes with this song. But personally dont think there is any real stand out this year so entrys like Switzerland and Bulgaria which are quality songs are not surprisingly favourites and being backed. Not convinced either are winning the televote so.

Cheerios
Cheerios
1 year ago

Switzerland for the win!

Christian
Christian
1 year ago

Not sure this will translate to the live final. The high pitch parts are reminiscent of arcade. Unlikely two French songs will finish in the top 10 let alone the top 3. Best to wait until all the songs are known. Betting odds checker sites have been far more reliable predictors of the placing than fan vote counts in recent years. Most viewers will be seeing the performance for the first time on the night. Live performances so often are disappointing when compared to studio versions. There are however a few vocalists who can deliver. Two months still to go… Read more »

Iván el Conquistador
Iván el Conquistador
1 year ago

I find Tout l’Universe quite disappointing, perhaps because I like Repondez moi too much. James Newman did the opposite since my point of view: to offer something which is not like My last breath but still good in its own way. I hope and wish Dadi Freyr and Destiny can do the same and bring us something at least as good as Think about things and All of my love (I believe Malta and Iceland are two countries which deserve to win the contest someday).

Last edited 1 year ago by Iván el Conquistador
ESC 21
1 year ago

Its ok but boring. Its sounds like the song from last year.

Sophia
Sophia
1 year ago

Don’t hate me but I think that France will be placed higher than Switzerland in the end. I think that to most people it will be catchy at the first listen. Also (only musically based) the song is becoming faster in the end and the melancholy feeling of the song fades away and gives hope.

Saul Browne
Saul Browne
1 year ago

I used to love leaks but now I ignore them because I have learnt it is bad for the artist, but I just want to listen! but I respect the release date.

Alex
Alex
1 year ago

Impossible to predict at this moment. Everything will come down to live performances. The ones having that energy or feeling on the night. Artists with charisma.
As of now, bookies (as always) are going for safe bets like Switzerland or Bulgaria. Safe entries that they think can appeal to both televote and juries. Like Arcade. No surprise we get that.

Sophia
Sophia
1 year ago

My top 5:
1.France (10/10)
2.Italy (10/10)
3.Switzerland (9,5/10)
4.Lithuania (9/10)
5.San Marino (8/10)

1998
1998
1 year ago

Remember when Finland was very high in the odds back in 2015? And boom… Last place in the semi final.

Last edited 1 year ago by 1998
Briekimchi
Briekimchi
1 year ago

I usually have a pretty good understanding of the odds but Bulgaria moving up to such a strong 2nd place confuses me a little.

I can’t imagine that it’s a reaction to actual market activity and, generally-speaking, the fan reaction has been that they picked the second best song under consideration (at best).

A bit of a headscratcher, really.

James
James
1 year ago

I think an uptempo, uplifting song will win this year. Waiting to hear Iceland, I think San Marino is currently a front runner, who’d have thought it!

Luk
Luk
1 year ago
Reply to  James

Poland and San Marino!

Vicky
1 year ago

Seems like some people are seriously happy to see almost similar type of song second time in a row as a winner……..?It’s not a song I would listen, as I’m Italy/Finland fan, but I have to agree, that it’s a good male ballad. But no more than this. If Switzerland wins, Eurovision’s main point DIVERSITY will be a distant memory. It will downgrade the contest significantly.
Now come and downvote me.

Vicky
1 year ago
Reply to  Vicky

I didn’t say Finland or Italy will win. They are my taste of music, therefore sharing my top3. All i said, that there are songs that much more diverse than Switzerland. That ballad is opposite if diverse. Instead of putting thumb down, you should have read my comment more carefully.

Vicky
1 year ago
Reply to  Vicky

You shouldn’t be that emotional to start with. It’s pitty you can’t press thumbs down twice, isn’t it? ???
I do agree with all the countries you have mentioned above, but if Switzerland in your world shows some trace of diversity or innovation we should stop this discussion right now, because clearly we live on a different planets.

Jen
Jen
1 year ago
Reply to  Vicky

I agree, I also don’t see any diversity in Switzerland. Only too much falsetto.
To me Italy is diverse, because the language blends with the songs style very nicely.
My top 3
Lithuania
Italy
UK

Last edited 1 year ago by Jen
Nicolas
Nicolas
1 year ago
Reply to  Vicky

It’s funny that only few people ask for diversity when almost 90% of countries choose to sing in english and majority of eurofans seems happy with that situation.

Iván el Conquistador
Iván el Conquistador
1 year ago
Reply to  Vicky

The Contest needs variety of styles. A rock song winning can help the Contest to stay relevant, because it might show it’s not just a festival of pop and ballads which are often derivative.

Vicky
1 year ago

Thank you.

Chris
Chris
1 year ago

It doesn’t mean he will actually win. We still have a long way to go. I would agree that a song of the same genre as Arcade cannot win 2 times in a row but we have the last year gap this time and considering that Lithuania or Iceland would win then maybe he has a chance. Anw if a song in french has to win i prefer France.

Denis
Denis
1 year ago
Reply to  Chris

People take odds so seriously, as if they predict. They cant predict, no one can predict. Odds are about who people THINK will win, nothing more. As has been proven before it means nothing

Jofty
Jofty
1 year ago
Reply to  Chris

Hmm so he brings out more or less the same song (albeit a good one) as last year and is now favourite to win. This is not sending out a good message and I applaud the returnees who are trying something different. Perhaps not an endorsement of this year’s standard and it might have been better to have had the option of re-entering the 2020 song.

Eurofan
Eurofan
1 year ago

Switzerland is so overrated, it has nothing interesting and is so monotone…

Luk
Luk
1 year ago

Let’s wait for Poland and Latvia

Bella
Bella
1 year ago
Reply to  Luk

And Malta!

KRM
KRM
1 year ago
Reply to  Luk

And Azerbaijan!

Jamie
Jamie
1 year ago
Reply to  Luk

Neither Latvia or Poland is gonna be top 5 material, let it go.

Jen
Jen
1 year ago
Reply to  Jamie

We never know, maybe they will bring lady gaga and go straight up.

Stephanie
Stephanie
1 year ago

I think someone needs a hug!!!

Poli-Genova
Poli-Genova
1 year ago

I think Switzerland stands out this year… or Malta should come with a big surprise…or UK
wow wow wow Gjon Tears…you nailed it!!

Luk
Luk
1 year ago
Reply to  Poli-Genova

Poland and Latvia also

Stephanie
Stephanie
1 year ago

There isn’t really a big favorite to win at this moment. That makes it not only interesting but also exciting!
At the same time it makes me curious to find out who you think has best chances to win at this moment. Just based on the song itself.

Last edited 1 year ago by Stephanie
Jimmy Smit
Jimmy Smit
1 year ago
Reply to  Stephanie

Right now, I still think it’s France.

Okan idu?
Okan idu?
1 year ago
Reply to  Jimmy Smit

We have some bops, but they are mainly from Eastern Europe which will steal each others votes. We have 2 power ballads both French which will split the votes as well.

I think we didn’t hear the winner yet. My bet is on Iceland if they deliver now that our “meme songs” didnt pan out with Russia not sending Uno and Roop failing to deliver or Malta if Destiny gets a good power ballad

GojoSatoru
GojoSatoru
1 year ago
Reply to  Jimmy Smit

The win will either go to France or Switzerland this year.

Jinbeizaki
Jinbeizaki
1 year ago
Reply to  Stephanie

This is exactly what I’m thinking right now, for the past Eurovision contests it had been pretty annoying how the winner seemed pretty much known months ahead (Netta, Duncan) resulting in no surprise at all when they win. I’m thinking this contest is going to be more like what happened in 2015/2011 with a surprise winner. But that also means more people getting pissed their favorites don’t win XD

We’ll see then~

waitaminuteholdon
waitaminuteholdon
1 year ago

Honestly at this point, Voila is the biggest showstopper, closely followed by Gjon

Kim
Kim
1 year ago

This is the first year that I can remember for a long time that there are 2 melodic French language ballads sang by 2 strong singers. I just hope they don’t cancel each other out in the voting. Personally I prefer France but I’d be equally happy if either won.

Last edited 1 year ago by Kim
Mircs
Mircs
1 year ago

I get highly Rise-Up-Vibes from this song and wouldn’t be surprised if it ends up the same way sadly.

Thanos
Thanos
1 year ago

One thing is certain. This year is completely unpredictable. I don’t personally think that 2021 is a strong Eurovision year but yesterday it got a lot better. I think the winner this year will be someone unexpected.

Harvey
Harvey
1 year ago
Reply to  Thanos

I actually like most of the songs this year and I think it’s nearly as strong as 2016

Sophia
Sophia
1 year ago
Reply to  Thanos

I also think that it could be unexpected. Yes France or Switzerland have big chances. But what about Italy or Finland ? There are a lot of people who love Rock or want an uptempo song to win this year. They could be the winners of the evening. Time will tell…

Mr X
Mr X
1 year ago

10/10 France
9/10 Switzerland, Lithuania, Albania
8/10 Ukraine, Finland
7/10 Bulgaria, Germany, Belgium, Spain
6/10 Ireland, Russia, San Marino, Denmark
5/10 Romania, Israel, Netherlands, Serbia
4/10 Greece, Austria, Slovenia
3/10 Italy, Estonia, Australia
2/10 Czechia, Norway
1/10 Portugal, Croatia, Moldova
0/10 Belarus, Cyprus

Kay
Kay
1 year ago
Reply to  Mr X

no 🙂

Eurofan
Eurofan
1 year ago
Reply to  Mr X

You put Cyprus and Belarus together…disgusting!

Eurofan
Eurofan
1 year ago
Reply to  Eurofan

Ok, you can hate one song but not this

Thorula
Thorula
1 year ago

People should keep in mind that the majority of Eurovision watchers are not Eurofans so Belarus not being last in the odds can be explain by the fact that on the semi, voters who don’t understand Russian won’t give a damn at what this song means.

Polegend Godgarina
1 year ago
Reply to  Thorula

will belarus even compete in may ? i feel like they’ll be forced to retire a la georgia 2009

Colin
Colin
1 year ago
Reply to  Thorula

Option 1 – Belarus gets withdrawn because of how disgusting their song is. Objectively, this is what *should* happen. By the hand of EBU.

Option 2 – Belarus participates and broadcasters explain to their public in announcements that the song supports dictatorship. They fail to advance.

Option 3 – Belarus participates and everyone stays silent in the announcements. Nobody speaks Russian. The melody is highly forgettable. Nobody notices it. They fail to advance.

In any case, rood riddance, Lukashenko and BTRC!

Okan idu?
Okan idu?
1 year ago
Reply to  Thorula

I think the odds stop caring about bottom. Albania should nowhere near the bottom after revamp and with all the terrible songs we have now but it still is

Jimmy Smit
Jimmy Smit
1 year ago

🙂 I’m really hopeful for both of them too

Last edited 1 year ago by Jimmy Smit
Rottendam
Rottendam
1 year ago

Am I the only one who thinks Switzerland is overrated? It’s not a bad song by all means but the favourite? I think there are better songs this year

Polegend Godgarina
1 year ago

i highly doubt we’ll have a second whiny male ballad winner in a row

Robert
Robert
1 year ago

Pfff the negativity of it all..

Sale
Sale
1 year ago

Sorry honey but the whiny ballad last year ended your fave, the most streamed esc song ever on spotif first to get more then 200 million streams, charted in USA, Canada, 6 weeks in UK, most sazhamed Esc song ever, so don’t see your point of hating. Kisses

Polegend Godgarina
1 year ago
Reply to  Sale

payola impact. his other singles are N/A !

Robert
Robert
1 year ago

That’s not the point, give credit where credit is due..

Polegend Godgarina
1 year ago

spillage in the village. ppl in here are literally CRYING over him making whale mating sounds sjkhfkalsfd

Bella
Bella
1 year ago

He won’t win….
This year, a woman will win!

Jimmy Smit
Jimmy Smit
1 year ago

Why is it the people who accuse others of being snowflakes that get so triggered and hurt like this when someone dares to disagree with them?

Liba
Liba
1 year ago

Totally looking forward for the Contest 2022. All the “his/her song last years was sooo much better”-discussions are really annoying.

Alex
Alex
1 year ago
Reply to  Liba

I feel the same. But we all knew 2020 shadow would be in 2021 sadly. Inveitable

rainer1
rainer1
1 year ago

i really think switzerland can win. charismatic singer with a fantastic song. and the many singing women with their up-tempo songs take away each other’s points.

hello Hi
hello Hi
1 year ago

I agree .. I would say between 12 And 15th depending on staging

GojoSatoru
GojoSatoru
1 year ago

Good lucky in the USA, I think American pop is more your style.

Last edited 1 year ago by GojoSatoru
Jimmy Smit
Jimmy Smit
1 year ago

Think happy thoughts, Marios, happy thoughts!

Last edited 1 year ago by Jimmy Smit
Jimmy Smit
Jimmy Smit
1 year ago
Reply to  Jimmy Smit

In the words of Sheryl Crow…
If it makes you happy
Then why the hell are you so sad? 😉

Jimmy Smit
Jimmy Smit
1 year ago
Reply to  Jimmy Smit

I always thought it was to do with empire and language — how things would be different, if only German, Austrian and Swiss music had been more exciting! 😉

Last edited 1 year ago by Jimmy Smit
Stephanie
Stephanie
1 year ago
Reply to  Jimmy Smit

German music is boring? Ever heard of Rammstein? Nena? Austrian music is boring? Way back they had an artist, unfortunately he passed away, named Falco who had a few good songs! I think every country around the world has some boring artists. Including your own country.

Jimmy Smit
Jimmy Smit
1 year ago

For someone who only likes happy stuff, that’s quite bitter…

Jimmy Smit
Jimmy Smit
1 year ago
Reply to  Jimmy Smit

Please don’t upset me with these insults, I CaNt TAke Itttt’!&!!

Silly Odds
Silly Odds
1 year ago

Well, Switzerland is not the only overrated country. For example, Sweden has offered 28 crap songs in their selection, it is really difficult to distinguish which one is the worst, and they are still 6th in the odds. I wouldn’t mind if they stayed in the semi again. Could actually be an excellent wake up call for them, just like they had one in 2010.

Sova
1 year ago
Reply to  Silly Odds

Sweden is ESC Jurys favorite for years, and sometimes for no reason

Stephanie
Stephanie
1 year ago
Reply to  Sova

True!

zona
zona
1 year ago

swiss song is so boring, you can’t catch the audience with a song like that. especially with a live version, where autotune should be off and all those perfect pitches are far, far away….

Sergod Legendzarev
Sergod Legendzarev
1 year ago

Ok boomer

gilpgilpgilp
gilpgilpgilp
1 year ago

The odds are never wrong! Switzerland will win!

GojoSatoru
GojoSatoru
1 year ago
Reply to  gilpgilpgilp

Well, in 2016, 2017 and 2018 they were wrong. But, who knows, Switzerland might win this year. The Swiss deserve just like every other country, which worked hard to get a result.

Last edited 1 year ago by GojoSatoru
Robert
Robert
1 year ago

Heard the Icelandic song.. Great song but Think about things was sooooo special, gonna be hard to beat that.. I like Tout l’universe a lot but to say it’s a winner, I don’t know.. Hope for Switzerland though.. Italy I don’t get personally.. My nr 1 is France followed by Ireland and San Marino.. Have a feeling the UK is gonna bring a banger though, fingers crossed.. Still been a long time two French language song were so hyped and I like that, makes me think of old times where France, Monaco, Luxemburg, Switzerland were major contenders..

Last edited 1 year ago by Robert
MrAdamD
MrAdamD
1 year ago
Reply to  Robert

The UK song has leaked and it’s just okay to me. Kinda seems too similar to other songs you hear on a daily basis

Robert
Robert
1 year ago
Reply to  MrAdamD

Just heard it on YouTube.. Couldn’t disagree with you more! What an amazing song, I will definitely vote for it.. It’s my number 1 for sure!!! The UK are back.. Uplifting, 2021,a beat, horns, catchy AF,.. Welcome back UK

Robert
Robert
1 year ago
Reply to  Robert

Stop downgrading when people are simply being positive..

Nestor
1 year ago
Reply to  Robert

Where did you listen it. I can’t find it could you send me the link?

Robert
Robert
1 year ago
Reply to  Nestor
Jimmy Smit
Jimmy Smit
1 year ago
Reply to  Nestor

It’s on YouTube, like Iceland—but personally I won’t listen to either until they’re released by the artist. It might sound antediluvian but leaks seem disrespectful to me—I’d rather wait for the official version from Dadi and James.

Alo
Alo
1 year ago

It’s too early to say. Furthermore the Swiss song has kinda the same vibe as Arcade.. And usually the winner of the following year is different from the one before.

Robert
Robert
1 year ago
Reply to  Alo

1 of the writers of Arcade did this song as well, Wouter Hardy.. Great song nonetheless and I get what you’re saying.. Arcade was different to Toy, Toy to Amar Pelos Dois, Amar Pelos Dois to 1944 and so on

GojoSatoru
GojoSatoru
1 year ago
Reply to  Alo

True, but we skipped a year, so who knows. I’d say it is a very open year this year and it is up to Europe to choose what they think should win. So far, I’d be fine with either Switzerland, France, Bulgaria, Greece, Finland or Italy to win it. Lithuania and Romania are also high up in my top 30, but those aren’t competitive enough in my opinion.

Jimmy Smit
Jimmy Smit
1 year ago
Reply to  GojoSatoru

We skipped a year—but Arcade will likely still feature in the Grand Final and rightly so. It won’t vanish and people aren’t goldfish.

Polegend Godgarina
1 year ago
Reply to  Alo

exactly, songs that sound like the previous winner never do very well at esc

nycforever
nycforever
1 year ago

I don’t think that Switzerland will win. This year will be the repeat of 2011, as we have no clear frontrunner. So actually it’s very hard to predict. At this moment I think it’ll be all between Italy and France.

yom
yom
1 year ago
Reply to  nycforever

2011 had an extremely clear frontrunner for the whole season up until grand final night… France.

He just flopped incredibly hard.

Jimmy Smit
Jimmy Smit
1 year ago
Reply to  yom

The notion of France 2011 as a clear frontrunner is a total fan delusion.

Jimmy Smit
Jimmy Smit
1 year ago
Reply to  Jimmy Smit

Another perpetuation of false consciousness, comrade!

Denis
Denis
1 year ago
Reply to  Jimmy Smit

The doesnt mean it was frontrunner. People lay to much weight on odds. It was only number 1 because fanboys thought it would win. The more think a song will win the more its odds go up.

Denis
Denis
1 year ago
Reply to  yom

No, France was only fan favourite. There were many favourites that year. Estonia, Sweden, UK. No obvious frontrunner

nycforever
nycforever
1 year ago
Reply to  yom

One thing is a being frontrunner in the odds and another thing is how good the song actually is and how it is received by the audience.

Polegend Godgarina
1 year ago
Reply to  nycforever

i agree, i feel like we’ll have something like, the jury winner getting 210 points and the televote winner (a different country) with something like 230, and overall the voting will be all over the place

Catriona Colville
Catriona Colville
1 year ago
Reply to  nycforever

So if it’s so hard to predict, then what makes you so sure Switzerland won’t win?

Denis
Denis
1 year ago

I think the winner will be something upbeat, uptempo, fun, quirky. Its a strong year for uptempo and coming after a cancelled edition I zo think people wants more positive entries

Jimmy Smit
Jimmy Smit
1 year ago
Reply to  Denis

I guess we’ll see soon if the UK or Iceland have an answer for that.

Bella
Bella
1 year ago
Reply to  Denis

x1000!

Colono
Colono
1 year ago

I find Switzerland a little bit overrated but I’d be happy to see a Swiss victory.

However, I am deeply wishing that the one of the non-winnig countries win this year. (Iceland don’t let me be disappointed.)

BadWoolfGirl
BadWoolfGirl
1 year ago
Reply to  Colono

I also want a first time winner as well. Who do you think has the best chance to Snatch the Eurovision trophy for the first time?

poe-tay-toe-chips
poe-tay-toe-chips
1 year ago
Reply to  BadWoolfGirl

Iceland, Bulgaria, and Lithuania might be the obvious three to that question of first timers winning, and I mainly say that because as serious contenders back in 2020, you can probably expect those three countries this year to try especially hard in staging their performances. They might raise their budget a bit higher than usual, for example. I think those three probably are gonna want it BAD and might spare no expense in seeking the resources to make their performances look good.

ESCFan2009
ESCFan2009
1 year ago

Australia and Switzerland are my most loved songs so far. The singing techniques of Montaigne and Gjon are clearly not for everybody lol, but I find them divine, especially Gjon’s angel-like vocals, whereras i like the structure of “Technicolour” a bit more ^^

Sergod Legendzarev
Sergod Legendzarev
1 year ago

“mIghT bE SuBjEcTiVe”

WannaEatMySpaghetti
WannaEatMySpaghetti
1 year ago

He’s right, Lithuania is really good and it would be stupid from lithuanian not to stand for their entry.

Hatrid mun sigra
Hatrid mun sigra
1 year ago

It’s the only song that stands out to me (other than Iceland, it’s not released yet but I’m sure it will stand out as well), maybe it won’t get highest vote from jury and viewers but still win (like Ukraine 2016). I just want to believe so cause I don’t want another ballad to win back to back.