Several teen stars are working hard to win the Eurovision Song Contest 2021. And while we are still over a month out from the first semifinal, the bookies suggest things are looking positive for at least two of them. Malta’s Destiny is the heavy favourite to win the first semifinal, with Sweden’s Tusse following as second-favourite.

Eurovision 2021 Semi-Final 1 Odds: Malta is the bookies’ favourite to win

 

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Ever since she was confirmed as Malta’s representative to Eurovision this year, expectations have been running wild. And since the release of her song “Je me casse”, the hype has gone in to overdrive.

Destiny has eclipsed Switzerland to become the favourite to win the grand final of the contest, and the odds for the first semifinal support the story. She is sitting on 15/16 to win the semifinal. Those are ridiculously short odds (less than 1!)! The Junior Eurovision winner is set to close to the show, and it looks like she will have no problem making it to the final.

The bookies’ second favourite is Tusse, who has been sitting at around 3/1. His song “Voices” was tipped to win Melodifestivalen all through the contest, and the hype continues at Eurovision. The odds suggest that Sweden will have absolutely no problem for the tenth consecutive year.

Sitting as third favourite, at 37/5, is Lithuania. The Roop won Pabandom iš naujo! for the second year in a row, and the bookies are happy with the result. The song “Discoteque” is set to open the semifinal, and the odds suggest they will sail confidently into the final.

At fourth is Cyprus at 11/1. Once again, the island nation has opted for a modern dance song sung by a solo female singer. It’s a formula that has helped Cyprus achieve a qualification streak, and the odds suggest that Elena Tsagrinou and “El Diablo” will keep the streak going for a third year.

And at fifth is Norway at 27/2. Tix defied the odds to defeat KEiiNO at Melodi Grand Prix and win the ticket to Rotterdam. His song “Fallen Angel” has polarised fans, but with strong backing from his home country, the singer may defy the bookies yet again this May.

At the other end, Ireland and Slovenia are the countries the bookies consider least likely to win the semifinal. Both are sitting at 28/1. However, we are still more than a month out from the contest and everything can change in that time. We still know nothing of the staging plans, and surprises are always a part of the Eurovision season. Never count a song out.

Eurovision 2021 Odds: Semi-Final 1 Winner

  1. Malta – 15/16
  2. Sweden – 56/19
  3. Lithuania 37/5
  4. Cyprus – 11/1
  5. Norway – 27/2
  6. Azerbaijan – 29/2
  7. Romania – 35/2
  8. Russia – 19/1
  9. North Macedonia – 21/1
  10. Belgium – 21/1
  11. Croatia – 24/1
  12. Ukraine – 24/1
  13. Israel – 27/1
  14. Australia – 27/1
  15. Ireland – 28/1
  16. Slovenia – 28/1

Odds via Oddschecker

Eurovision 2021: Semi-Final One Odds to qualify

As for the odds to qualify, we find similar songs attracting the bookies attention. Sweden is in the top spot, at 1/10, with the same favourites amongst the top 10. If the bookies are correct, then our ten qualifiers are Sweden, Cyprus, Malta, Lithuania, Azerbaijan, Romania, Russia, Norway, Croatia and Belgium.

This means that Ukraine, Israel, Ireland, Australia, Slovenia and North Macedonia are out. Croatia will have qualified for the first time since 2017, while Ukraine and Australia will have failed to advance for the first time in their time competing.

  1. Sweden – 1/10
  2. Cyprus – 2/17
  3. Malta – 2/13
  4. Lithuania – 2/13
  5. Azerbaijan – 3/13
  6. Romania – 4/13
  7. Russia – 4/13
  8. Norway – 4/11
  9. Croatia – 5/12
  10. Belgium – 11/21
  11. Ukraine – 6/11
  12. Israel – 1/1
  13. Ireland – 11/10
  14. Australia – 35/19
  15. Slovenia – 14/5
  16. North Macedonia – 33/10

Odds via Oddschecker

What do you think? Do you agree with the odds? Do you think Malta will win the semi-final? Who do you think could be a surprise qualifier? Let us know below!

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Mark
Mark
5 months ago

I just love how unpredictable this semi final is, there is only 4 guaranteed, 2 that are safe enough and then 6 countries fighting for the last 4 qualification spots. It is really going to come down to who can preform on the night, and that is really exciting.

A.D.
A.D.
5 months ago

American based in Baku, Azerbaijan here…. So, I’m really surprised at some of these rankings….With Belarus out and tensions with Ukraine high, Russia doesn’t really have many “friends” OR Russian speakers in this group…. Also, Sweden has the most boring and generic (though not worst) song in the group….They’ll probably qualify because they’re Sweden…but does anyone LOVE this song enough to vote for it? As for Macedonia, Vasil has the best voice in the competition and I expect this will do well with the juries…..even if televoters dismiss it. Malta and (shameless guilty pleasure/Lady Gaga copy) Cyprus are the safest… Read more »

ESC 2021
4 months ago
Reply to  A.D.

And Russia and Azerbaijan gonna go to the final becuse they are Russia and Azerbaijan…

David
David
5 months ago

Israel is so underrated, after the revamp it’s a great banger.

Dawid
Dawid
5 months ago

WTF is that new look? .-. Poor Destiny

Mr X
Mr X
5 months ago

No final for Cyprus ! This copy has to be forbidden !

Whoareyou?
Whoareyou?
5 months ago
Reply to  Mr X

Delusion

Kas
Kas
5 months ago
Reply to  Mr X

Don’t like this on either….but let me guess ? You’re from Turkey ?

Mr X
Mr X
5 months ago

Not against Azerbaijan and especially Malta.

Alex Cairo
Alex Cairo
5 months ago

I can see Malta winning outright and I wouldn’t have a problem with that – Destiny is super talented, and her song is a grower, whilst she comes across as really fun and decent too. Personally I’d be happy to hear Valletta 2022 or Paris 2022.

I quite like Ireland’s song as well. Maybe not a winner but I’d like to see it qualify. Ukraine *had* a really decent and quirky song, but their edit to make it acceptable length is quite poor… the extra minute of the original gave it room to breathe, and without that, it’s a mess.

Gil
Gil
5 months ago

This year Sweden isnt even top 5, overrated because its sweden

ESCFanGA
ESCFanGA
5 months ago

I don’t think either Russia or Ukraine will qualify this year. Both of their songs are awful. Also the fact that Belarus is no longer in this semi will hurt them. I also think Norway could be a shock non-qualifier this year. They have a very average and generic song that only won Melodi Grand Prix purely due to Tix’s popularity and fanbase.

I think Malta, Sweden, Lithuania, and Cyprus are the only countries that I can safely say are definitely qualifying. The only country that I think is a definite non-qualifier is Slovenia.

Last edited 5 months ago by ESCFanGA
Mr X
Mr X
5 months ago
Reply to  ESCFanGA

Cyprus is the most awful entry this year a very cheap copy of rita ora.

Mr X
Mr X
5 months ago
Reply to  Mr X

Only six songs will fail and who will follow North Macedonia ?

Dawid
Dawid
5 months ago
Reply to  Mr X

Take song from Rita Ora, music video from Zara Larsson, add some latin elements then decorate it with Head & Shoulders and viola – there’s Cypriot entry for ESC 2021

Last edited 5 months ago by Dawid
Mr X
Mr X
5 months ago
Reply to  ESCFanGA

Ukraine is great and I like Russia too !

ESC 21
5 months ago
Reply to  Mr X

Its the worst sons this year, and Azerbaijdan

Kas
Kas
5 months ago
Reply to  ESCFanGA

Completely agree and I want to add Ajerbajan to this top3.

ESCFanGA
ESCFanGA
5 months ago

I’m very surprised to see Australia ranked so low with the bookies because I think they have a strong song this year that is very modern and radio-friendly. Unless Australia experiences a repeat of what happened in 2018 with Jessica Mauboy (which I think is unlikely), I think Australia should easily qualify and challenge for Top 10 in the grand final and their live performance should have good staging.

Last edited 5 months ago by ESCFanGA
Euro2018
Euro2018
5 months ago

This is laughable. It does not account for staging which will change everything.

Robert
Robert
5 months ago

Odds for most overrated songs..

Monika
Monika
5 months ago

I agree wit the first 9 predicted to qualify. If Israel could qualify instead of the boring Belgium that would be awesome!

Mr X
Mr X
5 months ago
Reply to  Monika

Israel is boring and the screaming at the end terrible, Belgium is great and unique. There are another dance songs instead of Set me free.

Renny
Renny
5 months ago

Azerbaijan is so overrated, it’s just empty as a song. And the singer can’t even sing live.

Jackson
Jackson
5 months ago
Reply to  Renny

She’s also terrible in dance, so she is obviously overhyped.

Last edited 5 months ago by Jackson
MYY
MYY
5 months ago
Reply to  Renny

Lmao she can’t even sing? Go watch her live performances on Silk Way Star.

Jillian
Jillian
5 months ago
Reply to  MYY

She really can’t sing at all, and the way she dances is just awkward to watch. She’ll be lucky if she doesn’t end up dead last!

Azaad
Azaad
5 months ago
Reply to  Jillian

It would be ironic that one of Azerbaijan’s only two non qualifications was in a year Armenia didn’t participate.

Jillian
Jillian
5 months ago
Reply to  Azaad

It sure would!

Mike
Mike
5 months ago
Reply to  Renny

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QS7ve7HCpDY

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jVhpsuwZVmc

Efendi’s live performances.

She has an amazing voice.

tomtomtom
tomtomtom
5 months ago

The odds are notoriously wrong at this point in the year. It’s pointless even looking at them.

Coraline
Coraline
5 months ago

Too early to predict.

American Boy
American Boy
5 months ago

Both are overrated and not in my top 20.

esc1234
esc1234
5 months ago

Sweden being overrated, nothing new to see here

Alex
Alex
5 months ago

I’m a little surprised Sweden is so highly ranked since the public reception of the song is mild, at best. If anything, I was personally expecting this to be to the lower end of the qualifying list, and wouldn’t have been surprised if it was a NQ, but since it is Sweden that would be impossible. This is can all change with staging, of course, but I’m starting to think Malta is getting slightly overhyped by the bookies and critics. It is a very good song, don’t get me wrong, but in terms of electro-swing, it is more middle of… Read more »

Helene
Helene
5 months ago
Reply to  Alex

Where did you see that the response is low? It is a great hit in Sweden on Spotify. It is not liked here on wiwibloggs just like Frans and his song ended up a big hit in many countries in Europe. Time will tell. I don’t think it is a winner – but Tusse is a great performer.

Kas
Kas
5 months ago
Reply to  Helene

And he cries these days selling his story…Anyway its a typicall good overhyped song from jury_country

Helene
Helene
5 months ago
Reply to  Kas

People don’t listen in Spotify to music just because they feel sorry for the artist. It is ridiculous.

Mr X
Mr X
5 months ago

Cyprus is horrible and Malta only average for me.

Nevertheless, these are my predictions for Semi-Final 1

The qualifiers in alphabetical order

  • Azerbaijan
  • Belgium
  • Croatia
  • Ireland
  • Lithuania
  • Malta
  • Romania
  • Russia
  • Sweden
  • Ukraine
Mr X
Mr X
5 months ago
Reply to  Mr X

My personal list is as follows

  1. Lithuania 10/10
  2. Belgium 9/10
  3. Ukraine 8,5/10
  4. Ireland 7/10
  5. Russia 6,5/10
  6. Azerbaijan 5,5/10
  7. Sweden 4,5/10
  8. Malta 4/10
  9. Romania 3,5/10
  10. Australia 3/10
  11. Slovenia 3/10
  12. Israel 2,5/10
  13. Norway 2/10
  14. Croatia 1,5/10
  15. North Macedonia 1/10
  16. Cyprus 0/10
Robert
Robert
5 months ago
Reply to  Mr X

And it is your right to have a bad taste <3

elle
elle
5 months ago
Reply to  Robert

no such thing as bad taste. everyone’s taste varies that’s why eurovision is such a diverse competition!

Kas
Kas
5 months ago
Reply to  elle

In the case of mr. Bubble…all have an explanation. He is from a country…that used to participate…and is here just to troll some specific countries…but he is cute…isn’t it ?

Aaaaaa
Aaaaaa
5 months ago

I really dont want Sweden qualifying this year but its inevitable thanks to the jury bias same could be saild with Australia.

George Vavatsis
George Vavatsis
5 months ago

Malta is definitely far ahead from Cyprus! Cyprus is a sure qualifier but just like Tamta definitely not top 5! Borderline qualifier for me!

Briekimchi
Briekimchi
5 months ago

Odds-wise, strictly to qualify….The Ukraine should be higher up. I definitely feel more strongly about them qualifying than I do Azerbaijan.
Both could. But I think there’s very little chance the Ukraine don’t make it. They’ll stand out more than most.

Mr X
Mr X
5 months ago
Reply to  Briekimchi

Ukraine really stands out, especially from all songs in Europopstyle

ESC 2021
4 months ago
Reply to  Briekimchi

Ukrain should be in the bottom. Its not a song, its a screem for help

GUEST
GUEST
5 months ago

They are discussing both semis… not making an article about Destiny. Also, if you don’t like the article just skip it 😉

Ellen
Ellen
5 months ago
Reply to  GUEST

Im so fab is just another user like Doris, mad about the hype around Destiny and her song being at the top of the odds and being the favourites to win. This article indeed deals with the semis and the predicted qualifiers. But all of Im so fab is gonna see and gonna talk about is Destiny, while she’s not the center of this article. So I have two questions to ask Im so fab: Babe are you hurted ? Are you alright ?

Doris
Doris
5 months ago

Malta/Sweden so overrated but I have an idea why they are. Find the commons….

Savvas
Savvas
5 months ago
Reply to  Doris

EBU pets United. Still can’t see the fuss about Malta. It’s a dull song.

Stephanie
Stephanie
5 months ago

And how many times were they right?

Alexander
Alexander
5 months ago
Reply to  Stephanie

If by “time” you mean “entry”—a lot!

Giolo
Giolo
5 months ago
Reply to  Stephanie

Usually they get 8 or 9 countries right in every semi final, not that bad

Darren
Darren
5 months ago
Reply to  Giolo

If we where in the middle of rehearsals right now, I’d say okay 80-90% sure the odds are correct but honestly it’s way too early to tell.

Alexander
Alexander
5 months ago
Reply to  Darren

That’s true, but the bookmakers’ predictions will then be corrected accordingly. It does surprise me A LOT how quick the odds change even after minor news.

Darren
Darren
5 months ago

Still not understanding hype around Norway and Croatia.
I do believe Destiny might win the semi, but I don’t think Malta will win Eurovision 2021.
I still see chances for Ireland, Australia and Ukraine to qualify. So I’m not ruling them out yet.

MYY
MYY
5 months ago
Reply to  Darren

Croatia is good, but Norway.. nothing special and yet so overrated.

Giolo
Giolo
5 months ago
Reply to  Darren

Norway is underrated because TIX beated a much better act in MGP, but Tix’s song is still really good.
Croatia, on the other way…

Last edited 5 months ago by Giolo
Mr X
Mr X
5 months ago
Reply to  Darren

There´s only one country without any chances for qualifying and that´s North Macedonia.

Fionn
Fionn
5 months ago

Ireland is painfully underrated

MYY
MYY
5 months ago
Reply to  Fionn

She deserves the final more than Sweden does

Darren
Darren
5 months ago
Reply to  Fionn

Every year Fionn.
We just aren’t Sweden, Norway etc.
We 100% deserve to qualify this year, but you know how it is with Eurovision.

Mr X
Mr X
5 months ago
Reply to  Fionn

I like it too. But everything depends from the performance at stage. I hope that Lesley can transmit the beautiful atmosfere just like in the video clip.

Marc
Marc
5 months ago
Reply to  Fionn

I’m never confident with RTÉ but I am confident with Lesley. I feel she is taking the lead ahead of RTÉ and bossing it. I trust her to put on a stage show that will be memorable and get Ireland through. Most people seem to like the Irish entry so it just needs to be memorable enough on the night to secure votes.

MYY
MYY
5 months ago

Sweden is again so overrated.
If “Voices” was sent by another country, it probably wouldn’t even qualify.

I’m so sick of the fact that some countries are pushed no matter what they send.

Darren
Darren
5 months ago
Reply to  MYY

Here here!
Totally agree.

Denis
Denis
5 months ago
Reply to  MYY

Oh please! Whatever Sweden sends you would all still be like “Overrated, only will do well because it’s Sweden”. Even if we sent fan favourites Dotter or Eric Saade you would still bash it and say exactly the same thing, That shows more that you in fact have a bias and jealousy towards Sweden rather than judging on the act. Instead of being jealous, how about pointing that towards your broadcaster and forcing them to take contest seriously and find an act that can do well with juries, instead of sending local act only your neighbours get?

Jofty
Jofty
5 months ago
Reply to  Denis

Cloud Cuckooland

Denis
Denis
5 months ago
Reply to  Jofty

You do? At least you admit it. Good for you!

Ellen
Ellen
5 months ago
Reply to  Denis

Facts. I mean… Swedish entries are always good and professional. And juries are professionals in the music industry. So, I get why Sweden is always well-ranked among juries. Toxic fans here just have to stop with their ‘Sweden is always favoured by juries’ comments. ‘Cause there are good reasons to it.

Briekimchi
Briekimchi
5 months ago
Reply to  MYY

Not qualify? Seriously?
It’s still a good song. It’ll probably be a bit higher than it should be because it is Sweden but….not qualifying? Come on. 😉

Jofty
Jofty
5 months ago
Reply to  Briekimchi

This sounds like it could be a quote from 2010…..

A.D.
A.D.
5 months ago
Reply to  Briekimchi

I usually love Sweden and this is their blandest and least entertaining entry in years. It’s not BAD….it’s just not good and it doesn’t deserve to qualify from this group.

Renny
Renny
5 months ago
Reply to  MYY

Again with the negative and toxic comments.. and you wonder why people don’t like you? Lmao

Lolek
Lolek
5 months ago
Reply to  MYY

Woah -68?? This comment was in like the +40 range yesterday. What happened since then?!

Davo
Davo
5 months ago

Replace Russia, Belgium and Norway with Australia, Ukraine and Israel – then the odds are correct.

Tom
Tom
5 months ago
Reply to  Davo

Ew

Stephanie
Stephanie
5 months ago
Reply to  Davo

Replace Cyprus and Azerbaijan with Ireland and Ukraine and I’ll be happy!

Ariss3505
5 months ago
Reply to  Stephanie

Ew no Cyprus and Azerbaijan will qualify you haters. Just bc they are good songs you are jealous, we will see in May when Elena and Efendi will qualify with ease LOL

MYY
MYY
5 months ago
Reply to  Davo

Russia is good. For once, they actually really deserve to place high.

Harut Hovhannisyan
Harut Hovhannisyan
5 months ago

I really like Norway‘s entery bit honestly it’s too overrated. It could be the dark horse of the year . Coming nowhere , going up to top.