The battle of French-language songs continues to crowd the top of the Eurovision 2021 betting table. While Malta’s Destiny remains the one to beat with her song “Je me casse”, France’s Barbara Pravi is making moves with “Voilà”. She’s now moved past Switzerland’s Gjon’s Tears to become second most likely to win on the Smarkets betting exchange.

“In the last few days, France has been traded up to an all-time high of 16% in our Eurovision 2021 winner market, overtaking Switzerland to reach second place,” Patrick Flynn of Smarkets tells us.

“France now sits just behind Malta at the top of the market, with Switzerland rounding out a tightly-bunched top three. Smarkets users currently rate it a 50-50 chance that one of those three countries will take the crown in May.”

Eurovision 2021 odds: France second most likely to win on Smarkets prediction market

As you can see in the above chart, which plots the favourites’ chances of winning over time, France overtook Switzerland around April 6.

That’s around the time Barbara travelled to Spain to perform her song live on Telecinco. As with Gjon’s tears, who previously performed on the show, Barabara’s song “Voilà” is being used on the popular Spanish documentary series Rocío, contar la verdad para seguir viva.

Barbara performed the song standing alone on stage, with graphics showing scenes from the series along with Spanish translations of key lyrics. The Spanish exposure is having an impact — “Voilà” reached No.1 on Spain’s Viral 50 chart on Spotify.

What do you think about Barbara’s ascent on the table? Do you think these really are the three to beat? Let us know in the comments box down below!

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Redarrow
4 months ago

Malta

Redarrow
4 months ago

We love you ??

Didelet
Didelet
5 months ago

Vive la MOME

Percy
Percy
5 months ago

Spain and Israel have a really good songs

dolly
dolly
5 months ago

so dated France, 10-15

Nils
Nils
5 months ago

‘Voila’ is a good song, but I really can’t see it finish better than 3rd. But I guess French Eurovision fans would already be more than happy about that.

Riv5n
5 months ago

It’s a bit tough for France because to see the hype about it you need to feel the song so i understand people who dont see it

Poet
Poet
5 months ago

It’s a pity that Smarkets is not available in Australia.

It’s important to acknowledge that most punters are based in western Europe countries and unfortunately they don’t always see the whole European picture. This is not west vs east picture. It’s more a handful of richer countries every year see France, UK, Germany, Spain (and often Switzerland, Italy, Greece) way higher than they end up being.

France this year will be a good example. It’s not a bad song, but I doubt it will do well at all. There are certainly better songs this year and quite many.

Monika
Monika
5 months ago

France, sending a horrible song, as they usually send (same applies to UK, Germany and Spain)…..

Lina
Lina
5 months ago

Don’t see the hype around France to be honest. It’s a good song yes but it’s just a typical French song in my opinion. I can understand Malta being first with bookies, it’s got everything for me; good message, vocals, dance vibes… love it! I’m also lovin Switzerland’s mood and Italy’s recklessness; in fact, any of these three would make a great winner for me 🙂

Loulou
Loulou
5 months ago

Having no support from Eastern European countries which vote for each other, it is unlikely that France will ever win Eurovision again.

Aura
Aura
5 months ago
Reply to  Loulou

I am sorry, but 2018 showed a different situation for France.

Mercy got 12 points from Ukrainian jury and 10 points from Latvian and Lithuanian. These were the highest points that they received that night.

Also, in the televote they got 7 points from Ukraine; 5 points from Albania, Armenia, Lithuania, 4 points from Georgia, 3 points from Poland. The only country that gave them more than Ukraine was Belgium with 8 points.

If the song is good and people like it, then they will vote for it regardless of their geographical position.

Roo
Roo
5 months ago
Reply to  Loulou

People like you spouting rubbish like this we know as fans to be untrue. In addition to Aura’s response about Mercy. Don’t forget Denmark won in 2013 with a massive vote from the East, particularly the former Yugoslavia, when other Scandi countries voted for Norway.

Go back to reading the Daily Mail or whatever rubbish UK paper spouts anti Europe nonsense.

Loulou
Loulou
4 months ago
Reply to  Roo

It would be nice to show more respect for people, even when you don’t share their point of view.What is a bit scary is that some people approve you. You thnink you are so intelligent that you even know which newspapers I read and which country I am from. I hope it was just a bad day for you and that you do not always speak like that. Maybe you are simply a troll, who knows? For your information, I’m not very intested in the Daily Mail. I prefer “Le Monde” and “The Guardian”. Bonne journée, angry “Roo”!

Martin
Martin
5 months ago
Reply to  Loulou

The Netherlands won last year and they are far away from the Eastern voting bloc too.

Phil
Phil
5 months ago

As long as Albania isn’t 39th, I don’t care.

Thanos
Thanos
5 months ago

I believe we will have a surprise winner this year. Every song within the top20 has the opportunity to rise in the odds a lot by the time the rehearsals end. Personally I would keep an eye on Romania. I think that if they nail the stage show they will be a serious contender for the win. My two first places, Italy and Finland (can’t decide who is my winner this year for the first time ever)will also finish really high as long as they don’t cancel each other out. France is a potential winner and Malta as well (although… Read more »

Last edited 5 months ago by Thanos
Pablo vassallo
Pablo vassallo
5 months ago
Reply to  Thanos

That is your opinion Thanos

Sot
Sot
5 months ago

I will be so happy if she wins it all and, fortunately, her chances are not low!

Nicky
Nicky
5 months ago

Barbara has won, such a predictable year this one, but good to see real music winning, can see her getting a 700+ point result a la Salvador had in 2017

France the Perfect

Milan
Milan
5 months ago

Most likely to win on my prediction market.

Frisian esc
Frisian esc
5 months ago

Btw, don’t they usually start building up the eurovision stage around this date?

Tom
Tom
5 months ago

Malta is super overrated. It would be a shame if this song won. It doesn’t have a hit potential like Arcade did… I cannot imagine to listen to this song with pleasure in few years. It’s generic.

IPO
IPO
5 months ago

All behind France this year!

Who?
Who?
5 months ago

dont mind any of them win they all my fav lels

Pluma
Pluma
5 months ago

France together with Lithuania and Greece probably they gonna make the top 3 and one gonna sin…

Milan
Milan
5 months ago
Reply to  Pluma

Greece should be spelled M-A-L-T-A 🙂

Kristian
Kristian
5 months ago
Reply to  Milan

I don’t think Malta will sink , it probably won’t rise much eithe though

Benji
Benji
5 months ago

My winner is Malta. Malta usually doesn’t do well with the televoting. So what? Nor does Portugal but that changed dramatically in 2017. But France would be a decent winner too imo. I don’t say that Switzerland and Bulgaria don’t have good songs but I don’t see them as prospective winners. And Italy even less. The ESC is not about: The winner will be who will be able to be louder and to produce more noise.

Jonny
Jonny
5 months ago

I think the televote results will be low. Like Patricia Kaas’ back in 2009

Grft
Grft
5 months ago
Reply to  Jonny

Patricia Kaas performed third :/

Ang
Ang
5 months ago

I’m not saying Voilà is a bad song, it’s far from that, but I really don’t understand the hype. To me, it’s a typical chanson française. If her voice put on tremolo, we’d have an Edith Piaf sound. I like the genre, I’ve got records by some of the French & Belgian greats like Piaf, Brassens, Brel, but it’s not a Eurovision winner to me. It’s a good song, just not a winner. I want something that speaks to me, that doesn’t.

Esc addict
Esc addict
5 months ago
Reply to  Ang

Sorry if it doesn’t speak to you enough, it’s normal a song can’t be loved by everyone it doesn’t exist, even Euphoria the reference song among the ultrafans is and was not loved by everybody.
All the eurovision winning songs for example don’t speak forcefully to me but it’s ok if it’s a good song.

Last edited 5 months ago by Esc addict
Esc addict
Esc addict
5 months ago
Reply to  Ang

After the comment I posted just below this “I don’t understand the hype” is just perfect 😉

Last edited 5 months ago by Esc addict
Esc addict
Esc addict
5 months ago

The typical eurofan: ok let’s go to check the odds, hmmm my favourites or my country are not on the top, hmmm I’m angry, the bookmakers are s…t , the odds means nothing and I don’t get the hype for those who are on top, they are not potential winners, everything will change during the rehearsals, bookies are so wrong, these songs are too bad to be on top, someone can explain me the hype. Also the same eurofan: wow my favs or my country are on top of the odds, I get the hype directly, and so my favourites… Read more »

Last edited 5 months ago by Esc addict
Ravencrow Neversmiles
Ravencrow Neversmiles
5 months ago
Reply to  Esc addict

I’m definitely guilty of saying I don’t understand the hype for France and Malta. But hey it’s eurovision! Complaining and judging is part of the fun

Lina
Lina
5 months ago

Yeah, I guess all eurofans are possibly guilty of not understanding the hype around songs which are not of their taste. Not really a great thing to do but we’re all humans and we err, sorry about that. Usually I praise my faves and maybe try to understand why a song I’m not a fan of is praised so much. I’m not a fan of certain songs in top 10 this year but hey, many people have different tastes of music. In the end only the most popular wins so “May the best song win!”

Bshinners
Bshinners
5 months ago

I don’t understand in all my years of watching Eurovision I guess the winner nearly every year . There is one stand out song this year that everyone I play it for has said it’s the winner and nobody here is talking about it or the bookies . That is CYPRUS EL DIABlO. I think I give up watching Eurovision if ur doesn’t win or end up in top 3 at least . That or Malta will win if it’s anyway right . France and Switzerland are stunning I see them up there but the song I see closing the… Read more »

Greg
Greg
5 months ago
Reply to  Bshinners

*cringe* Cyprus sounds like a reject of Lady Gaga early discography, I can’t see it winning where Fuego failed.
Switzerland has it in the bag.

Lina
Lina
5 months ago
Reply to  Bshinners

For me it’s either Malta, Switzerland or Italy for the win… Cyprus can fare well too, it’s in my top 5. Then again this is my personal opinion… just a drop in the ocean 🙂

Ellen
Ellen
5 months ago

Destiny is my winner but I would be happy too if Barbara won the whole thing. It would be easier for me to travel to France if the contest is hosted there. And as I have relatives living in France, it would be cheaper for me to find a place to stay when the contest will start lol

Esc addict
Esc addict
5 months ago
Reply to  Ellen

The two gurls who could make the esc History 😉
Manizha is also among my winners.

Last edited 5 months ago by Esc addict
Ellen
Ellen
5 months ago
Reply to  Esc addict

Yep. Actually, almost all of the top 10 odds entries are good and woud be great winners.

Fred
Fred
5 months ago
Reply to  Ellen

Not Malta. Such a toy vol 2. Zzzzzzzz

Tom
Tom
5 months ago
Reply to  Fred

I agree it would be bad for Eurovision if Malta wins with this songs. This has no hit potential at all. No radio will play this.

Ellen
Ellen
5 months ago
Reply to  Tom

Did ‘Amar Pelos Dois’ or ‘1944’ had a hit potential ? Did ‘1944’ were played on international radios ? Don’t answer. It’s clearly a no, yet, both of those songs won Eurovision. And finally, are you really basing your criterias of a potential winning song on the fact that they will be played on radios ? That’s nonsense

Last edited 5 months ago by Ellen
Ellen
Ellen
5 months ago
Reply to  Ellen

Make a complete and valid list of the bad things that could happen to Eurovision if Malta won it. I mean… ‘Running Scared’ won back in 2011 and ESC hadn’t suffered from its victory

Ellen
Ellen
5 months ago
Reply to  Ellen

Still no answers ? That’s right, cause nothing bad will happen to Eurovision if ‘Je Me Casse’ won it. Same way of thinking to all the current favourites to win. All of them would make great winners. Is it that hard for people to realize that or I am the only one ? When Conchita won back in 2014, I remember that people were saying that ESC would be over and unpopular cause it is a joke and not a contest anymore since a drag queen won it. But guess what ? ESC is still there no matter what, more… Read more »

Roo
Roo
5 months ago
Reply to  Tom

I don’t know about your country but I find radio these days plays about 30 different songs over and over till one is sick of hearing them. And any ‘classic hits’ format has a similarly narrow playlist. Radio these days is about endless advertising and idiots talking than introducing us to new music.

Ellen
Ellen
5 months ago
Reply to  Fred

Be more original with your critics. We all know that ‘Je Me Casse’ isn’t similar to ‘Toy’ except for the theme.

Tobias Andersen
Tobias Andersen
5 months ago
Reply to  Ellen

LOL what a luxery problem cheaper to travel there. I am 44 I try every year to get tickets for the final and I never suceeded. Hell I would even go to Minsk (and I do hate dictators) to experience a Eurovision final with a full crowd.

justafan
justafan
5 months ago

At this point it just doesn’t feel to me like any of these three songs will actually win. I’m looking forward to rehearsals and the rearrangement of the betting odds.

Esc addict
Esc addict
5 months ago
Reply to  justafan

And if there are no big rearrangement?

justafan
justafan
5 months ago
Reply to  Esc addict

Well we could still be surprised by the results. We can never know how the juries (Austria 2018, North Macedonia 2019) or the public (plenty examples) will actually vote in the final.

Anhel
Anhel
5 months ago

I would be happier if Switzerland wins, but France is great too and my n. 3. I would be super disappointed if Malta wins, it would kinda ruin it for me.

Giolo
Giolo
5 months ago
Reply to  Anhel

I have exactly your same opinions, even with France being my 3rd place

Europotato
Europotato
5 months ago
Reply to  Anhel

Switzerland is a huge step down from last year which is why I think it winning would be a disservice to last years song. Malta is good but it’s again gum ball machine pop where as last years entry was more unique to the show, although nothing original but again this year winning would just be bad on last years. Now, France on the other hand would have a fair win as its most definitely an improvement on last year and quite frankly a more atmospheric entry than Switzerland and Malta. I personally want it to win or Russia, or… Read more »

Shane
Shane
5 months ago

I seem to remember Amir and Madame Monsieur both being highly rated by fans too and then not performing as well as expected

Esc addict
Esc addict
5 months ago
Reply to  Shane

We already know what Barbara is able to do with her voice and her staging, so no bad surprise this time.

Azaad
Azaad
5 months ago
Reply to  Esc addict

Barbara became a favourite to win in France based on her live audition (and the quality of the song). Amir in particular isn’t a good example to use since as an internal selection he hadn’t performed the song a lot live.

Esc addict
Esc addict
5 months ago
Reply to  Shane

We are talking about the odds here not about the fans rankings, and the two acts you are talking about needed a bigger and a better staging than they had, I can’t see this happening with Barbara at all because she doesn’t need a big staging, her and her voice are enough this time, and she has already proven that many times now.

Nicky
Nicky
5 months ago
Reply to  Shane

Barbara is far superior over nobodies like Amir, Madame Monsieur

she is the all time best chanson artist

Natalie
Natalie
5 months ago

Don’t like France song 🙁 loo break for me.

Esc addict
Esc addict
5 months ago
Reply to  Natalie

…..pretend to be surprised…. we already knew that seeing your comments on this blog so nothing new gurl, then you should go to support your big hot and beloved favourite instead no ?

Dan Arthy
Dan Arthy
5 months ago

This song really bores me. Not saying it’s a bad song, but if I had to choose a slow one, I’d go with “Growing Up Is Getting Old”.

Esc addict
Esc addict
5 months ago
Reply to  Dan Arthy

It’s an opinion, for me it’s the opposite, but it’s cool to have different tastes. The only thing is I will never go on a page talking about Victoria to say her song bores me because it’s not cool and it’s useless to do that imo, but we have 2 different ways to think I guess. Both are certainly valid….

Kosey
Kosey
5 months ago
Reply to  Esc addict

This page is not about Barbara, it is about the whole contest and who the favourites are.

Milla
Milla
5 months ago

France is overrated. Top 5 but no win.

Esc addict
Esc addict
5 months ago
Reply to  Milla

Let me guess, only Tusse for the win isn’t it?

PP77
PP77
5 months ago

Malta can win only if juries pushes so hard in points like they pushed Sweden 2012, Australia 2016. I don t see Malta in TOP 5 with televote.

justafan
justafan
5 months ago
Reply to  PP77

Loreen didn’t need to be pushed lol

Giolo
Giolo
5 months ago
Reply to  justafan

Although I usually don’t agree with PP77, I think he is got a point, he probably meant to say that she needs the same amount of points as Loreen or Sobral with the juries to overcome the low place from the public vote

Last edited 5 months ago by Giolo
PP77
PP77
5 months ago

France 1977 2021?
The Netherlands 1975 2019

France 2021 = Portugal 2017

Candy
Candy
5 months ago
Reply to  PP77

Welcome to math class dear students

MarinoK
MarinoK
5 months ago

If France or Italy don’t win with these masterpieces, they most likely never win in the foreseeable future
Malta is overrated..

Kirby
Kirby
5 months ago
Reply to  MarinoK

Totally!!!

Anhel
Anhel
5 months ago
Reply to  MarinoK

Never read anything more real!

Bshinners
Bshinners
5 months ago
Reply to  MarinoK

Italy is rubbish !!!

Vytautas
Vytautas
5 months ago

Knowing how successful the UK was in the ESC lately, I find it relatively weird to push so hard for British taste to all of us, Europeans. Guess big money is on the table.

Kristian
Kristian
5 months ago

But they need promotion . Lol

BgView
BgView
5 months ago

When are the rehearsels?

MYY
MYY
5 months ago
Reply to  BgView

Probably after May 10

Tul
Tul
5 months ago

Finland’s Blind Channel was in Russia’s & Ukraine’s Viral 50 a while ago, or it might still be.
Anyone seen other Eurovision acts on other countries Viral lists?

Ende
Ende
5 months ago
Reply to  Tul

Italy is in a lot of European Spotify top 50… (not viral 50 but top 50 !!!!).

Tul
Tul
5 months ago
Reply to  Ende

Very good, I bet there’s even more chart success to come as time goes by!

Ffs
Ffs
5 months ago

I’d rather have France as a winner than Malta …however , I still support ITALY 100 %

Anhel
Anhel
5 months ago
Reply to  Ffs

Agree with all of that!

Mike
Mike
5 months ago

Everyhing can change.Salvador Sobral was not the favourite and won.

Eurovisionary
Eurovisionary
5 months ago

Never trust odds or prediction they are not based on performance and reality. Think about your knowledge about eurovision and viewers test previous formats most important your taste Thats what matters I would say that Malta is not really special song ironic style like israel 2018 . Switzerland is style of Netherlands 2019 and many others are erotic like Cyprus 2018 and 2019 none are special. France is very good song and original with idea of it’s own, Italy is nice rock sing with it’s own idea too not trying to be like previous winners. Russia is interesting and Ukraine… Read more »

Kristian
Kristian
5 months ago
Reply to  Eurovisionary

Yet I see France as Reminiscent of Portugal 2017 , a very recent winner too.

Grft
Grft
5 months ago
Reply to  Kristian

Just because they are both stripped back ballads? They are different in genres and themes though: a calm jazz lovesong VS a crescendo waltz-chanson about finding oneself. To me they don’t come from the same place and don’t sound the same at all.

Kristian
Kristian
5 months ago
Reply to  Grft

Not in terms of sound , but in terms of the audience they’re trying to cater to

Shane
Shane
5 months ago
Reply to  Eurovisionary

I agree that usually the winner is the song that doesn’t follow the trends. Also you are right, Ukraine is original, and there’s a reason for that, it is just noise,

Giolo
Giolo
5 months ago
Reply to  Shane

You may not like the genre, but that’s definitely a masterpiece for many people, you either love it or hate it, so it’s a televote magnet

First row at ESC and JESC
First row at ESC and JESC
5 months ago

I would be so happy if Malta, France or Italy would win the ESC this year and San Marino finish in the TOP 10. That is everything what I ask and pray for. Greetings from Germany (and yes, this year it is okay if you put “I don’t feel hate” on # 26 because we here in Germany really don’t care about our song).

Last edited 5 months ago by First row at ESC and JESC
Alaska
Alaska
5 months ago

Your country’s entry is gonna do way better than you guys expect…

Avner
Avner
5 months ago
Reply to  Alaska

Exactly; few might place it first, but many may put it lower for being memorable, and these points do add up.

The truth
The truth
5 months ago

OK. Maybe Germany’s song is not a winning entry. But it is the guilty pleasure of many – me included. It is such a happy-go-lucky, carefree song and gets people in a good mood. Besides the singer is totally likeable. So good luck to Germany as well.

mememememe
mememememe
5 months ago

You can’t send a worse song than Sisters anyway

The truth
The truth
5 months ago

Why all the hate against Malta? This is a song competition not an arena to show hate against particular countries?

Ende
Ende
5 months ago
Reply to  The truth

Destinity is great and haters will be surprised that the song makes a lot people happy in a difficult period. Go Malta !!!

Jamie
Jamie
5 months ago

Every entry apart from Je me casse will be okay by me”
I love you.

Nev
Nev
5 months ago
Reply to  Jamie

Rest your mind Malta will never win because Eastern Europeans will do everything small Malta do not upstage them

Jamie
Jamie
5 months ago

Malta winning would be the most disappointing thing after a cancelled contest. So predictable, so outdated. It’s like kicking a dead cat.

The truth
The truth
5 months ago
Reply to  Jamie

Only according to you. For me personally whether Malta, France or Switzerland win is of no consequence are for me they are equally good for diverse readons

Last edited 5 months ago by The truth
Tom
Tom
5 months ago
Reply to  Jamie

Say it LOUDER

Kristian
Kristian
5 months ago
Reply to  Jamie

Actually , I think the issue with Malta’s song personally for me is that it doesn’t play to the singers strength. The song was not created specifically for her and it shows.
It’s a good song , but not a great one . I’d rather have a ” great ” song win .

jimmy
jimmy
5 months ago
Reply to  Kristian

the problem is there are no great songs this year. not in the slightest

MarinoK
MarinoK
5 months ago
Reply to  Jamie

So true, very disappointing to see Malta even as the top favorite

Danes
Danes
5 months ago

I always enjoy it when there isn’t a clear winner. As I’ve said before, odds generally depict the televote winner, and the juries remain to be seen. And honestly, in April, there is usually one/two songs that often have gone further into the 20-30% in the odds, so this year makes it more special. Also, staging doesn’t usually pin odds favourites down as much as you might think. I mean, Portugal in 2017 had the simplest staging you could have, and Israel 2018 was… uuh yeah. All in all though, I think televotes will be even, and that’s funny. Maybe… Read more »

Fast Food Music Lover
Fast Food Music Lover
5 months ago

Destiny needs to book her spot in the Spanish show too before someone snatches her place at the top!

MYY
MYY
5 months ago

I love the fact that, this year, we don’t have a clear winner and I’m pretty sure that those who are currently high in the odds will drop once the rehearsals begin and vice versa those who are currently low in the odds will rise.

I hope that we will have an exciting voting, with no clear winner. I don’t want to see votings like in 2012.

Milla
Milla
5 months ago
Reply to  MYY

The voting 2012 couldn’t have another outcome. Loreen was way above the rest. Just simple fact.

Kristian
Kristian
5 months ago
Reply to  Milla

Exactly what they said. They want an exciting voting