With rehearsals for Eurovision 2021 now underway, the contenders for the trophy finally have the chance to show us what they’re made of on the stage. The bookies have been keeping a close eye on how things have been going. Following the first rehearsals of all the acts competing in semi-final one, the bookmakers have altered their odds on some countries, and are now tipping France as the favourite to win the overall contest.
Eurovision 2021 odds: France becomes the favourite to win
Destiny from Malta had been the favourite to win ever since her song was announced back in March. But after her pink-laden staging was revealed at her first rehearsal, the bookies seem less impressed. The star has gone from 3/1 before rehearsals to around 41/10 at the time of writing. The teen star had massive expectations to fulfil, and is probably saving her best performance for the night. Momentum may be slipping, but don’t count her out yet!
Taking her place at the top is the former bookie’s second-place Barbara Pravi of France. Her odds have shortened slightly from 9/2 to 4/1. As a member of the Big Five, we will need to wait until Thursday for her first rehearsal. Mellow, intimate staging took “Voilà” to a landslide win at France’s national selection. If she can replicate that in Rotterdam, then we may see her odds shorten even further.
Finishing out the top three is still Switzerland. Gjon’s Tears is holding steady at 5/1. The bookies have responded poorly to his previous performances, so it will interesting to see how they react to his first rehearsal on Tuesday. Italy, sitting on 7/1, and Bulgaria, on 35/2, round out the top five.
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Eurovision 2021 Semi-Final 1 Odds: Ukraine and Israel ascend, Azerbaijan drops from the top 10
The other big mover from the first rehearsals was Ukraine. The bookies were impressed by Go_A’s intense staging, with some betmakers offering odds as low as 25/1. This places them inside the top ten for the first time since the start of the 2021 season.
The group’s odds to qualify have also shortened greatly. Formerly considered an outsider, they now sit in the top five at 1/41.
At the other end, the biggest drop of the first rehearsals was Azerbaijan. Formerly amongst the top five in the odds to qualify at 3/13, Efendi has now dropped down to 11th at 7/11. Meanwhile, Israel has gained ground. Formerly outside the top ten with odds of 1/1, Eden Alene now sits at tenth place at 5/9.
At the time of writing, the bookies predict that the qualifiers from the first semi-final will be Malta, Cyprus, Lithuania, Sweden, Ukraine, Russia, Romania, Norway, Croatia and Israel. This would make Azerbaijan, Belgium, Ireland, Australia, Slovenia and North Macedonia the non-qualifiers.
Eurovision 2021 semi-final 1 – Odds to qualify
- Malta – 1/100
- Cyprus – 1/16
- Lithuania – 1/9
- Sweden – 2/13
- Ukraine – 1/41
- Russia – 2/13
- Romania – 5/12
- Norway – 3/7
- Croatia – 1/2
- Israel – 5/9
- Azerbaijan – 7/11
- Belgium – 13/10
- Ireland – 19/10
- Australia – 11/4
- Slovenia – 19/5
- North Macedonia – 49/10
What do you think of how things have shifted? Do you agree with France being the new favourite in the odds to win Eurovision 2021? Who do you think will qualify from the first semi-final? Let us know below!