After two long years, Eurovision finally made its start in Rotterdam. The first semi-final took place last night with early favourites Malta, Lithuania and Cyprus amongst the qualifiers. Three of the automatic qualifiers also got their chance to shine on stage, including the new favourite. The semi has shaken up the odds, but the bookies are still backing Italy to take out the contest on Saturday.
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Eurovision 2021 odds: Italy is the favourite to win
Måneskin have been rising slowly ever since rehearsals started, with the band finally hitting the top just before the semi-final. It looks like the momentum has very much swung Måneskin’s way, with their odds at 38/5 a week ago shortening even further to 9/4. Their performance has also notched up over 200,000 views on YouTube.
This contest marks a decade since Italy’s return to the contest and they are very overdue for their third win.
Rounding out the top three are France and Malta. Destiny was the favourite from her song release but she has slipped down the odds since rehearsals began. However, the bookies have been impressed with her performance yesterday as she has climbed back from 41/10 to around 3/1 and briefly ended up as the second most likely act to win.
On the other hand, France’s Barbara Pravi has been shortening throughout the rehearsals and that trend is continuing as she has gone from 9/2 to 11/4. She is set to preview her song during the second semi-final, and a big reaction could cause her odds to shorten even further.
Ukraine continues to shorten, San Marino climbs following Flo Rida reveal
Easily the biggest mover from the first semifinal is Ukraine. The two-time winner was even predicted to not make the final back when Go_A’s entry “Shum” was released. The group’s energetic stage performances since rehearsals have since caused massive waves for Go_A. Coming from obscurity, they now sit at fourth place on the odds, at around 9/1.
Their performance also racked up an outstanding half a million views on YouTube. This is the second most of all the semi-final performances, sitting second to Russia, which has over 800,000.
Sitting at fifth place is Iceland. One of the earliest favourites of this year, Daði & Gagnamagnið have also gained momentum and now sit at 11/1. In sixth place is Switzerland. Gjon’s Tears had been a regular of the top three prior to the rehearsals but his odds have lengthened since then. From sitting as low as 4/1, Switzerland is now at around 14/1.
Further down the table, San Marino has benefited from the confirmation that American rapper Flo Rida will be appearing in Rotterdam this Thursday. San Marino have lept into the top ten, with their odds sitting at 50/1 and continuing to shorten.
Eurovision 2021 odds following the first semi-final
- Italy – 9/4
- France – 11/4
- Malta – 3/1
- Ukraine – 9/1
- Iceland – 11/1
- Switzerland – 14/1
- Bulgaria – 14/1
- Lithuania – 33/1
- Cyprus – 33/1
- San Marino – 50/1
Do you agree with the odds? Do you think we’re heading to an Italian win this Saturday? What did you think of the performances of Malta and Ukraine? Let us know!