As we enter March, the list of Eurovision 2022 songs being released is growing week by week. Strong ballads are reaching hearts, dance songs are ready to make us move, and Latvia is turning everyone green! But amongst them all, Ukraine’s Kalush Orchestra have now emerged as the new favourite to win, rising to the top of the betting odds.
The Eurovision 2022 season is currently overshadowed by the horrible situation in Ukraine. With hundreds of thousands of people leaving their homes and more terrible news coming in day by day, it’s hard to predict where Europe will be by May. But, nonetheless, Eurovision is going ahead as planned, and Ukraine are now predicted to rise above it all.
Eurovision 2022 odds: Ukraine favourite to win (28 February)
Ukraine’s ride to Turin has been difficult to say the least. They changed their song after Vidbir 2022 winner Alina Pash withdrew her participation. Runner-up Kalush Orchestra then agreed to wave the Ukrainian flag in Italy.
Most recently, the country was invaded by neighbouring Russia. They wouldn’t even be the first country to compete in this situation, sadly. Bosnia and Herzegovina debuted in 1993 during the thick of the Bosnian War. The audience applauded when the Bosnian spokesperson, Dejan Zagorac, announced the results over a crackling phone line. But their song “Sva bol svijeta”, which referenced the ongoing war, only ended in 16th place.
Kalush Orchestra will represent Ukraine this year with the song “Stefania”. The band came second in Vidbir 2022 but won the televote in a landslide with nearly half of all the votes. “Stefania”, an ode to motherhood, was a popular song ahead of Vidbir and absolutely has the power to connect with a European audience.
Ukraine’s odds to win Eurovision 2022 have shortened in recent days and they now sit as low as 14/5 in the odds, making a Ukrainian victory far from unlikely. What will this mean for next year? Who can say at this point, but our thoughts are currently with the Ukrainian people.
Other Eurovision 2022 favourites
Second in the betting odds is Italy. Mahmood, Italy’s 2019 representative, and Blanco also won their national final in a landslide. “Brividi” is doing incredibly well on Spotify, hitting number five on the Spotify GLobal Top 50 chart, and also breaking the record for most streams in one day in their native Italy.
No country has won the contest on home soil since Ireland’s famous three-peat win in 1994. But Poland did achieve this in the Junior contest in 2019. Their odds have been fairly consistent at 37/13.
Third is Sweden. We’ve heard all the Melodifestivalen songs that are fighting it out for that ticket to Turin. Currently, the final is predicted to be a two-horse race between Cornelia Jakobs and Anders Bagge. The country’s odds have shortened to around 19/2 as Melfest has progressed, meaning the bookies aren’t ruling out a seventh Swedish victory.
Fourth is Greece. The one-time winner has yet to announce their song, which raises a lot of questions about their short odds. It could be that the bookies have high expectations of the 25-year-old singer Amanda Tenfjord, or perhaps they’ve had a glimpse at her song before we have. Either way, it looks good for the Hellenic Republic, as they sit at odds of 16/1.
Rounding out the top five is a tie between Norway and Switzerland, who both sit at 37/2. Switzerland have yet to announce anything about their entry. The bookies may be hyped due to the recent tide of Swiss success at Eurovision – the Alpine nation has reached the top four for two contests in a row. But, as with Greece, they may know something we don’t.
Norway, on the other hand, have announced their entry… kind of. Their song “Give That Wolf a Banana” is a popular dance track that has cracked number five on the Norwegian charts. Their singers, Subwoolfer, are still unknown. It’s a track with many fun gimmicks and a possibly interesting message about Covid-19 vaccination. It’ll be exciting to see if it resonates across Europe.
Eurovision 2022 odds: 28 February
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- Ukraine – 14/5
- Italy – 37/12
- Sweden – 19/2
- Greece – 16/1
- Norway – 37/2
- Switzerland – 37/2
- Poland – 19/1
- Finland – 26/1
- Australia – 27/1
- United Kingdom – 28/1
So what do you think? Will Ukraine achieve their third victory in Turin? Will Italy win for the second year in a row? Will a dark horse clinch the trophy? Let us know below!