Eurovision 2022 odds: Ukraine favourite to win, United Kingdom second following rehearsals

The Eurovision 2022 grand finale is less than one week away. And with first rehearsals done and dusted, the bookies’ odds to win are shifting day by day. The latest Eurovision odds put Ukraine’s Kalush Orchestra as favourite to win, with United Kingdom’s Sam Ryder jumping up to second. 

According to odds comparative site Oddschecker, Ukraine remains the most likely to win Eurovision 2022 with the best odds of 8/11. Ukraine shot to the top of the bookies’ list in February after Russia invaded the country.

Following rehearsals, the United Kingdom’s odds to win have shortened. Sam Ryder now has odds of 15/2 to win, jumping above last year’s champions and former favourites Italy. Mahmood and Blanco’s odds of victory have drifted to 9/1.

Further down the books, Sweden’s Cornelia Jakobs has odds of 21/2, while Spain’s Chanel has odds of 28/1.

Scroll down to view Eurovision 2022 odds. 

Eurovision favourite to win: Ukraine first, United Kingdom second

 

 

 
 
 
 
 
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Listed below is the bookies’ odds to win Eurovision 2022 with their best odds from various sportsbooks.

Odds accurate as of Sunday 8 May, 11:30 BST (CEST – 1).

  1. Ukraine — 8/11
  2. United Kingdom — 15/2
  3. Italy — 9/1
  4. Sweden — 21/2
  5. Spain — 28/1
  6. Poland — 50/1
  7. Greece — 64/1
  8. Norway — 74/1
  9. Netherlands — 109/1
  10. Serbia — 119/1
  11. Portugal — 139/1
  12. France — 179/1
  13. Australia — 269/1
  14. San Marino — 300/1
  15. Czech Republic — 300/1
  16. Finland — 499/1
  17. Belgium — 499/1
  18. Cyprus — 499/1
  19. Estonia — 499/1
  20. Germany — 499/1
  21. Moldova — 499/1
  22. Malta — 499/1
  23. Israel — 499/1
  24. Armenia — 499/1
  25. Slovenia — 500/1
  26. Croatia — 999/1
  27. Azerbaijan — 999/1
  28. Switzerland — 999/1
  29. Latvia — 999/1
  30. Iceland — 999/1
  31. Montenegro — 999/1
  32. Ireland — 999/1
  33. Austria — 999/1
  34. Denmark — 999/1
  35. Albania — 999/1
  36. Georgia — 999/1
  37. Bulgaria — 999/1
  38. North Macedonia — 999/1
  39. Romania — 999/1
  40. Lithuania — 999/1

See all Eurovision 2022 on Oddschecker.

What do you make of the current Eurovision 2022 betting odds? Will you be placing a bet on Eurovision 2022? Let us know in the comments below. 

 

133 Comments
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eurofanSF
eurofanSF
1 year ago

Same enters the UK singles chart at #78 the day before the ESC final: https://www.officialcharts.com/charts/singles-chart/

Patrick
Patrick
1 year ago

The hype for the UK entry is almost as wild as his oversinging.

Bob
Bob
1 year ago

Ukraine are now 1/3
Its no longer a song contest to quote Terry Wogan. It’s a joke. Kalush at best would make 5th on a normal year with this song

Eva
Eva
1 year ago

People, let’s not use the intensification of the war of Ukraine to devalue Kalush’s song.Guys aren’t speculating on the subject of war and they are very well prepared, so please respect

Dimples
Dimples
1 year ago

Italy’s odds going up, up, up… 🙂 . Yesterday rehearsal was pure magic.

Rossitheman
Rossitheman
1 year ago
Reply to  Dimples

I though that the rehearsal was terrible. They bough look tired and they were not able to hold the song. I like them but I thing they will perform poorly.

Hikaru
Hikaru
1 year ago

Even if Ukraine wins, and Eurovision 2023 will be held in another country. I can still assume that Russia will not return.

Since it must either restore the economy, or create its own equivalent of Eurovision, or either hold agreements to end the war

Det
Det
1 year ago

”Italy and Sweden drift”? LOL. Italy is 2nd in odds over UK, Sweden not far behind.

Luis Godinho
Luis Godinho
1 year ago

Go Portugal! Go Maro!

dimples
dimples
1 year ago

With Ukraine with 49% odds of winning, it’s clear as water that if they won it’s because of their terrible circumstances, not because their song is so, so, so, much better than the other 39.

dimples
dimples
1 year ago

Don´t you comment anything about Italy jumping down to third again??

dimples
dimples
1 year ago
Reply to  dimples

Sorry, UK. Italy has jumped up to second 🙂

Denis
Denis
1 year ago

Why Ukraine now has a 51% chance to win when it’s clear it hasn’t done that well with the community is beyond me. Usually the odds follow what is the most popular I can only assume it is due to odds makers believing everyone in Europe will get a sympathy wave and give all thier points to Ukraine. Which is unlikely. Plus with that big of a lead Ukraine needs to get over 400 points in televotes which is also very unlikely. If that is the outcome then EBU might as well cancel the contest and hand the trophy to… Read more »

James
James
1 year ago
Reply to  Denis

The neutral country should host not the UK

Fatima
Fatima
1 year ago
Reply to  Denis

More empathy than sympathy. If that is beyond you Denis, then you can’t have much of it.

Denis
Denis
1 year ago
Reply to  Fatima

No because its a song contest. Whatever circumstances the artists are surrounded by is of no interest to me..

Dimples
Dimples
1 year ago

Ups, it changed again ???

jugofuturizam
jugofuturizam
1 year ago

I really like the fact that even though there are faves, nothing is for sure yet. This is going to be very interesting contest after all and that makes me so excited.

Good luck to everyone from Serbia!

yeah
yeah
1 year ago

Am I the only one who is bored of either Sweden or Ukraine topping the scoreboard?

Eurovision fan
Eurovision fan
1 year ago

Let’s be honest, it’s Brits and BBC that hype UK at odds all the time. I don’t want to act as if we are all sure one of those three countries ranked the best at odds will win and other countries do not have a chance just because it is the most money thrown that those countries will win. We should wait live shows and semi-final results when the situation will be much clearer. I’m sorry, but I just can’t see UK winning this year.

Jason
Jason
1 year ago
Reply to  Eurovision fan

That’s your opinion. I don’t get this hype that UK is accused of. Most years we have not even been in the top 10 With the bookies. This year is completely different. We have a great singer, performer and the staging apparently is one of the best this year. He’s a likeable character and has put so much work. After the rehearsals he has shot up to 2nd place. This is not from UK fans or media. Our media is reporting the usual we might not come last like 20th will be a national holiday. This year BBC has finally… Read more »

Nikki
Nikki
1 year ago
Reply to  Jason

Agree with Jason

Patrick
Patrick
1 year ago
Reply to  Eurovision fan

I agree with you. All the UK daytime programming today is about a UK win (if Ukraine don’t.) The jype is ridixulous. I would love the UK to win someday but this isnt it. The song – and it is a song contest after all – is dull and repetitive and having seen his performance at the semi final, he oversings it so much that it sounds out of tune in parts. Hitting six notes instead of one is just plain showing off and will turn off a lot of viewers.

eurofanSF
eurofanSF
1 year ago
Reply to  Eurovision fan

I’m not British and I am 70% confident that UK will win; no other country in my mind is near 50% confidence level.

Mameuh
Mameuh
1 year ago

Considering how many good songs we had last year, I still haven’t added one to my playlist this year. I still have 7 from last year. And at least 2 per year before that. But this year looks blah to me. And so far, I haven’t been impressed by anyone. They all look dull, messy or are ripoff someone else’s song before them at Eurovision. I haven’t heard nor seen any single rehearsal that tells me “that’s it”. Like it was clear last year it was going to be between Ukraine / France and Italy (with a big WOW here)… Read more »

Andrii
Andrii
1 year ago

UKraine should win 2022, UK should host 2023.
Both UK-countries are happy… East and West are together. Eurovision 2023 is for peace, freedom and new united Europe.

jugofuturizam
jugofuturizam
1 year ago
Reply to  Andrii

If 2023 is for peace and if Ukraine does win, let’s hope it will be AT PEACE and able to host the contest on their own. UK should win in order to host the contest.

Anyway, good luck to both of these countries, their representatives are respectable contenders.

Isabella
Isabella
1 year ago

Can we talk about how the big 5 are for sure placing 3 countries, pushing 4 in the top 10 this year? wow, that’s a HUGE improvement. And to be quite honest, I wouldn’t mind Ukraine winning the whole thing this year, I just know that it is a different feeling having no locked winner just a few day away from the actual ESC. I’m excited.

Fast Food Music Lover
Fast Food Music Lover
1 year ago
Reply to  Isabella

Yeah, it’s really remarkable.

I’ve got to say–Thank God, Spain went with Chanel. If Tanxugueiras won the national final instead, both France and Spain probably going to cancel each other out.

AMAAN STORM
AMAAN STORM
1 year ago

At this stage it looks like Spain, Sweden, Ukraine and United Kingdom are starting to separate themselves from the pack. Their rehearsals generated such a buzz and they’ve got great feedback from the fandom. Not onlt that, theyve consostently performed well in jury polls, public polls and in the odds. I’m not counting out Italy as they’re the host nation and more often than not the host nation gets plenty of votes pretty much for hosting the show. This should boost Italys results a little. Poland, Greece & Serbia will do well too. Personally I dont really care who wins… Read more »

Daniel
Daniel
1 year ago
Reply to  AMAAN STORM

The UK is often greatly overestimated at the head compared to the real results since, among other things, due to the fact that many people invest money in their own country.

Daniel
Daniel
1 year ago
Reply to  Daniel

Overestimated at betting…

Denis
Denis
1 year ago
Reply to  AMAAN STORM

I agree with everything except for the host nation gets plenty of votes. As these last years have shown its almost a curse being a host nation. Last year no one voted for poor Jeangu. In Tel Aviv no one cares about Israel despite crying on stage. But I do believe the hosts will do better than usual this year, simply because it’s everybody’s darling Italy hosting

Chris
Chris
1 year ago

I won’t ever get my hopes up, but it would definitely be nice to see the UK on the left side of the scoreboard. Top 10 I’d be really happy with. Top 5 – ecstatic. Number 1 – someone may have to revive me. In all seriousness though, I would like to see my country win at least once in my lifetime.

Esc addict
Esc addict
1 year ago
Reply to  Chris

Yeah exactly I would like to see my country winning at least once in my lifetime too, but It’s difficult…

Cat
Cat
1 year ago
Reply to  Chris

This would make a 4th win in mine… ?

Jason
Jason
1 year ago
Reply to  Chris

I was lucky to be around in 1997, I remember Sweden and France were the favs that year. It was such a moment I will never forget watching all the top marks mostly going to us, majority of the votes were 12 or 10 I recall. I also remember this was the first year 5 countries introduced tele voting and we even scored top just on the countries with the televotes. I can’t remember from the top of my head the countries but I believe we got 12s from all televotes apart from Germany whose 12 went to Turkey. The… Read more »

Nikki
Nikki
1 year ago
Reply to  Chris

I would be and I will be really happy to see UK and Poland in top 5. At least something new for a change. And it would really be a well deserved placement.

Mqe
Mqe
1 year ago

I would be ECSTATIC if the UK won. It’s not even my favourite entry this year, but I so want a good result for them, it would light up the room (pun kinda intended) :))

Allaine
Allaine
1 year ago

What a change Spain and Uk!! Both would be good winners this year.

AllThingsNordic.eu
1 year ago

No one knows what will happen. What is strange this year is that the rehearsals did not have any effect on the odds. Weird! I feel some entries are way overrated and they will flop. As well as other entries will shine despite their low odds position. However, since I love data and stats, if you check for example last year’s final odds and the ranking of the final, you will see that in 90% of the cases these odds are plus minus 1 the final position. That by itself is amazing. There have only been some irregularities vs the… Read more »

Rim
Rim
1 year ago

We will win Eurovision because of the song, not the war, insists Oleh Psiuk, the frontman of Kalush Orhestra in The Times today. If he truly believes that, he would not be afraid of asking everyone to vote for the best song. It seems that he is at least a bit afraid. I think most of us would be happy with this kind of statement: Donate to Ukraine and vote for the song you think is the best.

Eva
Eva
1 year ago
Reply to  Rim

I don’t think that according to the rules of the contest, the participants can encourage the audience to make some donations.
Every adult has the oportunity to decide for themselves in the end.
Why don’t they have to be sure that their song is the best??

Maro
Maro
1 year ago

Ukraine will win and I am ok with that

MartyMcCu
MartyMcCu
1 year ago

Amazing the disparities of opinions here. Thats absolutely fine, healthy and encouraged. What is is not fine are the number of individuals here who suspiciously writing from a certain country which i no longer participating. Power of persuasion , it’s not going to work on me thank you ! Us fan are not fooled by this ploy.

Anastasis
Anastasis
1 year ago

It is very tricky to predict this year’s winner! I personally root for Sweden, but if I have to make a five-contenders list, it would look like this: -Sweden (28%) – This will probably top juries and I think it will also do well in the televote, but I am not completely sure it is going to be enough. -Spain (22%) – I think it is going to do well in televote, Chanel has the charisma – it depends on how much it will be appreciated by the juries. -Ukraine (20%) – Well, it is not my cup of tea… Read more »

Benjamin K
1 year ago

The main problem is that some fans act like their country is a huge favorite, when they are just a potential challenger, and the bookies get screwed so there will be disappointments and tears.

AllThingsNordic.eu
1 year ago
Reply to  Benjamin K

True, still, apart from 5 or fewer “irregularities” if we can call them like that, the odds almost predict the final position, check last year’s odds and results. It’s amazing.

Benjamin K
1 year ago

This is the first time that the ranking of bookmakers does not change after rehearsals, proof that they are not objective. Also, some countries have a lot of “propaganda” (I won’t name any countries otherwise I’ll still be insulted) like Malta in 2021, and wrongly benefit from a very large audience. There will be big surprises next week!
some countries have had disappointing repeats and are still in the top 10: Italy is the most striking example but there are others.

Denis
Denis
1 year ago
Reply to  Benjamin K

Have odds ever been objective? How can they even be objective? Usually they follow which entry has the most buzz and go with that as the favourite. Sometimes it works..
But it is strange Ukraine still is number one despite not being that hyped any more..

Who am I?
Who am I?
1 year ago

Do you remember the shock of our lives that we got with Malta’s result last year? Well be prepared because we will get many shocks this year. To my knowledge there are many broadcasters betting for their own countries to win. Next Saturday you will see it for your self! Haha

Benjamin K
1 year ago
Reply to  Who am I?

It wasn’t really a “shock” we knew

AllThingsNordic.eu
1 year ago
Reply to  Who am I?

Malta’s result was a shock last year. I could find the song and performance flawless, still most people voted for 5-6 countries in masses (ITA, SUI, FRA, ISL, LIT, FIN) and all the rest got very few votes.

Eurovision Fan
Eurovision Fan
1 year ago
Reply to  Who am I?

Malta position was 6 that’s why they flopped.

Benji
Benji
1 year ago

According to bookies Ukraine has more chance to win than all other countries together, I can’t remember we ever had such domination of one country. It would be ok if Ukraine’s supremacy was owing to the song itself and not owing to reasons nothing having to do with a song competition.

Denis
Denis
1 year ago
Reply to  Benji

The Netherlands had better winning odds in 2019. And in the end they managed to win only due to being the common denominator..

Vladimir P.
Vladimir P.
1 year ago

I like Ukraine, but I think it’s time for us to have Eurovision in Warsaw or Krakow in 2023. Greetings from Serbia

Fabio
Fabio
1 year ago
Reply to  Vladimir P.

Poland is not going to win, it’s really clear at this point.

Alo
Alo
1 year ago
Reply to  Fabio

Why not Poland?

sam
sam
1 year ago
Reply to  Alo

because the staging looks like it is from a low budget action movie

CookyMonzta
CookyMonzta
1 year ago
Reply to  sam

You never know. Some people might reward Poland for their assistance and generosity toward Ukraine. In any case, I expect a top-5 finish for Ochman.

peace
peace
1 year ago
Reply to  CookyMonzta

lol it’s a song contest

Boozyfloozy99
Boozyfloozy99
1 year ago
Reply to  CookyMonzta

It’s a song contest not a political besties contest!

Nikki
Nikki
1 year ago
Reply to  sam

I think it will look cool on tv

Evelyn
Evelyn
1 year ago
Reply to  Fabio
We didn't see the whole show for just a few seconds.
Chris
Chris
1 year ago

At this point anyone but Ukraine would make a great winner. Let’s keep politics out of this contest.

Thomas Sturley
1 year ago

I do think that sense most agencies have had Ukraine up this high all this time, it has mellowed out considerably. I do think Eastern European countries like the Baltics and Poland will certainly give Ukraine points, but I can’t say that will be the default of this season.

Anyone can win and that’s exciting.

TheDrMistery
TheDrMistery
1 year ago
Reply to  Thomas Sturley

Given the situation Poland will certainly give Ukraine 12 points, given how many Ukrainian people came there.

Valentino
Valentino
1 year ago

Usually during and after rehearsals, we see a lot of movements in the odds. This year, except for very few exceptions, nothing much is happening!

Benjamin K
1 year ago
Reply to  Valentino

I have noticed that too. It makes no sens. Some countries have nothing to do in the top 10

Jimmy
Jimmy
1 year ago

Sam Ryder’s Space Man taking the UK back to Eurovision’s final frontier 25 years after Katrina? Dreams may come true 🙂

TheDrMistery
TheDrMistery
1 year ago
Reply to  Jimmy

I can’t believe it’s quarter of the century already. 1997 was the time I got interested in the contest (although shortly after that year’s edition).

ete sech
ete sech
1 year ago
Reply to  Jimmy

I would’ve never thought I’d live to see another British victory (at least not this soon).
I would’ve laughed it off if I had been told last year that this year the UK is a serious contender for the win, but now it’s true, the UK has a great song sung by a great performer! 😀

Kåre Eriksen
1 year ago

This year’s odds are extremely… odd

Daniel
Daniel
1 year ago
Reply to  Kåre Eriksen

Could it be because fewer people are betting money on the odds?

ete sech
ete sech
1 year ago

The odds are always so random so I don’t take them seriously. Regarding Ukraine, everyone (me included) supports them but I think there’s better songs this year :/

ete sech
ete sech
1 year ago
Reply to  ete sech

But I’m mind blown now after just realizing that the odds didn’t change at all after rehearsals this year, which is pretty odd

Laburnum
Laburnum
1 year ago

I really don’t know who will win honestly. My guess is it’s between Sweden and the UK. Maybe Ukraine?

Ressay
Ressay
1 year ago

Who can bet on this place? All the people from Europe or just some people? I just wondering…

Vicky
1 year ago
Reply to  Ressay

Betting offices are all around the word.

Vicky
1 year ago
Reply to  Vicky

Why I am being downvoted for telling just facts? ???Fandom is sick ?

Esc addict
Esc addict
1 year ago

It’s very nice to see the spanish eurofans and the english eurofans regaining hope this year with all these years of frustration and this frustration is very understandable, last year results was terrible for them, but now they are coming back on the road to success, this road is pretty long and difficult mainly in Eurovision, so don’t waste your countries efforts by letting your frustration turn into pretentiousness because this time you have a shot, into agressivity towards the others and into misplaced patriotism, it won’t help your country for sure, I think the best way to come back… Read more »

Joe
Joe
1 year ago
Reply to  Esc addict

*‘British eurofans’, not English – please learn the difference. England, Scotland, Wales, NI do not enter Eurovision, the United Kingdom does.

Moonstar
Moonstar
1 year ago

Come on, Sam’s vocals are poor!

Orestis
1 year ago
Reply to  Moonstar

Is this a joke?

AMAAN STORM
AMAAN STORM
1 year ago
Reply to  Orestis

Nope. Monster really is deaf.

Boozyfloozy99
Boozyfloozy99
1 year ago
Reply to  Moonstar

No your just deaf and/or tasteless

Jesse O'Rourke
Jesse O'Rourke
1 year ago

UK deserves to win . Ukraine will get the sympathy votes

Fast Food Music Lover
Fast Food Music Lover
1 year ago

I fear anything less than a win by the UK will result in people saying it’s because of Brexit. But we will see.

Tjcat
1 year ago

Maybe some of the press, but not the people. I think the ordinary UK folk realise there’s a lot more things going on in Europe to trouble us all than to keep being annoyed about Brexit

Heurve
Heurve
1 year ago

Well, don’t take betting odds too seriously. Just have fun and enjoy the song you like best. The rest is just drama and, sadly, sheer nationalism.

ete sech
ete sech
1 year ago
Reply to  Heurve

That’s what I learned this year and I must admit it wasn’t too hard, one of my favorite entries of this year is Circles but I doubt it’ll make it to the final unfortunately

Daniel
Daniel
1 year ago
Reply to  Heurve

One must not forget how much UK in previous years is usually overestimated at the betting

Boozyfloozy99
Boozyfloozy99
1 year ago
Reply to  Daniel

Except we haven’t been we usually get crap odds at like 100/1 150/1 which is right when we send crap like embers, bigger than us etc etc.

Esc addict
Esc addict
1 year ago

That’s the things about the UK and the odds that wiwibloggs as a blog based in the UK was hoping to write since years! Happy for you guys and happy that the UK is coming back in the game it was really time 😉

kiah
kiah
1 year ago

The same people who say the UK is overrated say that Spain is not. Make it make sense kids

Liam Lindsay
Liam Lindsay
1 year ago

The UK has this in the bag, look what they have: Prime running order position. Best staging of the year. Best vocals of the year. One of the best songs of the year. An extremely personable and telegenic performer in Sam Ryder. A well thought out and planned promotion campaign. The biggest social media following going into the grand final. This is the UK’s year period, The juries are going to eat this up and those who say they aren’t are deluded. The televote side of things is going to be at least a Top 3 result. There really is… Read more »

Angel
Angel
1 year ago
Reply to  Liam Lindsay

Greece has the best staging…we will see about the running order…

jana
jana
1 year ago
Reply to  Angel

Lmfao

Jonkonfui
Jonkonfui
1 year ago
Reply to  Liam Lindsay

I would be happy if the UK wins but ‘best staging of the year’ is getting a tad too crazy. It is just a big structure there and Sam Ryder singing from within.

Denis
Denis
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonkonfui

It reminds me of Sanna Nielsen and her “Undo” circle to be honest

Esc addict
Esc addict
1 year ago
Reply to  Liam Lindsay

Girl UK is coming back in the game as I said and it’s very cool but the way you express all of these things is so presomptuous and affirmative, you can think that the UK won’t win or won’t win the jury vote without being deluded but apparently there’s no argument with the UK this year…

sam
sam
1 year ago

the odds have done monika dirty all year

AxV
AxV
1 year ago

Ukraine is a good song, also a top 5 song in my opinion because of folklorist vibes that personally I always loved. It could be a winner also in a normal year, but NOT so much more then others, and if bookmakers made this odds there is more than one chance that Ukraine at the end will really win. I hope juries, at least, will be professional and will judge only the songs besides the politics, but it is clear that Ukraine will be the winner in televoting, probably with more points of Sobral.