Picture credit: Suspilne

If the Eurovision 2023 betting odds are anything to go by, then the colours of Liverpool may well be blue and yellow. Following Super Saturday — when seven more Eurovision acts were confirmed for Liverpool — Ukraine and Sweden remain firmly fixed at the top of the bookies’ oddstable.

Ukraine chose Tvorchi back in December. The visuals of their performance, which included gas masks and radioactive warning signs, nod to the ongoing war in the country. As Ukraine fights for its survival amid the Russian onslaught, the bookies think Europe will once again show their support for Kyiv with votes at Eurovision. 

Sweden’s Melodifestivalen 2023 has not been as well received by international fans as in the past. However, there are still two heats left to run and Loreen – Eurovision 2012 winner and one of the finest artists we have seen in the contest — is making her return in Heat 4. 

There’s also an interesting story developing with Ukraine. On Saturday Maria Sur — who fled Ukraine with her mother last year — won Heat 2 with her ballad “Never Give Up.” Her vocals were on point and the staging beautiful, teasing a possible showdown with Loreen in the final.

Eurovision 2023 odds: Ukraine and Sweden remain favourites to win

 
 
 
 
 
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Moving beyond Ukraine and Sweden, we see viral sensation Alessandra from Norway down as third favourite. Plenty of folks feel that “Queen of the Kings” can slay the televote just as KEiiNO’s “Spirit in the Sky” did back in Tel Aviv. 

In fourth we have Finland, who will choose their act at UMK 2023 later this month. Their selection — heralded as one of the strongest and quirkiest of the year — includes front-runner Käärijä with the outrageous number “Cha Cha Cha.” There’s a sense among bookies that the outré and over-the-top, qualities we saw when Finland last won with Lordi, may serve them well again this year.

Rounding out the Top 5 it’s the host country — the United Kingdom. Bookies, it would seem, are looking past the host country curse and focusing on the momentum the BBC have following Sam Ryder’s second-place finish last year. Of course, British betting houses often overrate British acts, hoping to lure fans into placing bets and dropping coins. 

161 Comments
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Gustavo
Gustavo
11 months ago

Spain is the Best voice so far!!
And is 5 in this moments in oodds!!!!
Porque wiwiblog siempre cambia las apuestas?

Chris Bellis
Chris Bellis
10 months ago
Reply to  Gustavo

I agree, Spain’s entry is the best. However, it’s too good to win Eurovision. It’s a complex and layered modern flamenco production. I love it but it won’t win, sadly. I hope I’m wrong.

Marc Stoeringer
Marc Stoeringer
11 months ago

Ukraine Win Not again!!!! The ESC is not a donation exchange again!!

Efthymios
Efthymios
11 months ago

The winner of ESC 2023 shall be discovered by the bookies’ 3rd place or lower.

lena
lena
1 year ago

Croatia is DOPE.

vetrina
vetrina
1 year ago

Käärijä for the win!!!

myname
myname
1 year ago

As usual, everyone’s forgetting Portugal. I predict a very strong entry picked from FdC. *winks* MimiCat

noqueen
noqueen
1 year ago

This is ridiculous, where are the juries in the final? This song from Ukraine is so lame!

duxx
duxx
1 year ago
Reply to  noqueen

This song will be revamped…so maybe it wont be lame after that

Marc Stoeringer
Marc Stoeringer
11 months ago
Reply to  duxx

But he is…boring?

Mello 23
Mello 23
1 year ago
Reply to  noqueen

Agree!

Gil
Gil
1 year ago

Ukraine will win again because of the war, this is clear…the real winner will be the one that will finish second. So far the songs are weak. Very weak year in general.
1 thing is for sure, Noa kirel from israel will be the one ti bring the big banger.

Dawid
Dawid
1 year ago
Reply to  Gil

Tbh, so far it looks like what i worried about last year. Artists who really want to win could simply skip this year thinking Ukrainie will win anyway. Why try hard when you’re fighting for 2nd spot.

Grogu
Grogu
1 year ago
Reply to  Dawid

There’s more to Eurovision than winning. Just ask Rosa Linn or Chanel

Lou
Lou
1 year ago
Reply to  Gil

i actually really like Ukraines song this year

Lucille
1 year ago

Unrelated but crystal ball said tgat cyprus entry is titled “breaking a broken heart”…
Prepare for a disaster guys.

paul
paul
1 year ago
Reply to  Lucille

yes not holding out much hope for cyprus,I dont understand why they had to go all the way to Austrailia for an x factor and national final reject.especially when there are so many fantastic male singers in greece and cyprus itself.
would love cyprus to win but I think eleni foureiras will probably be as close as it can ever get

Stephanie
Stephanie
1 year ago

Ukraine….based on what…out of sympathy… AGAIN? And Sweden? Certainly not on what I’ve seen and heard so far! And Norway…That song reminds me somehow of Run to the hills of Klara, Melodifestivalen 2022. I don’t know about of you but I haven’t a clear winner het!

Stephanie
Stephanie
1 year ago
Reply to  Stephanie

I mean yet of course

paul
paul
1 year ago
Reply to  Stephanie

I do not get Norway at all

Mello 23
Mello 23
1 year ago
Reply to  Stephanie

I thought the same when I first heard Norway’s song. Very similar to Klara.
Don’t understand the hype either.

lasse braun
lasse braun
1 year ago

i think the ESC year 2023 will have many very strong songs – for the best full music package spain & estonia – a half step under these two masterpieces czechia,if the band can deliever on stage – we have 3 televotingstars with norway,fun& satire act croatia,hopely cha,cha,cha from finland and in more harder things hopely the lords from germany. france,sweden with loreen? still in the pipeline – italy? – surprising quality acts from? as the music counts first (hopely) there is no chance for the ukraine to repeat the win – with krut ok,her song was masterful and would… Read more »

Patrick Pastor
Patrick Pastor
1 year ago

Just so we’re clear, a 25% chance of winning (according to Eurovision World) means that there’s a 75% chance that the trophy goes to someone else.

Patrick Pastor
Patrick Pastor
1 year ago

Insert run-of-the-mill comment about “pity voting” here.

Patrick Pastor
Patrick Pastor
1 year ago
Reply to  Patrick Pastor

All joking aside, I really don’t care who wins. I personally think some of y’all take this a little too seriously.

Purple Mask
Purple Mask
1 year ago
Reply to  Patrick Pastor

Run-of-the-mill taking it seriously comment inserted, followed by a man in a hamster wheel.

Johnny
Johnny
1 year ago

Mama Š?,Let 3 is on fire??????

Boozyfloozy69
Boozyfloozy69
1 year ago

No way should Ukraine even be considered top 3 material this year the song isn’t that good! If they win again serious questions need to be asked and actions taken. Not fair for countries to be competing for 2nd place.

Rall
Rall
1 year ago
Reply to  Boozyfloozy69

It’s a slightly more tricky situation when it’s the televoters who are the main cause of it. I believe the Juries put Ukraine 3rd or 04th place last year but they got a ridiculous amount of sympathy votes from the televoters.

rainer1
rainer1
1 year ago

i hope ukraine wins as clearly as possible. in front of croatia and the ukrainian refugee girl from sweden. ikke from Germany, of course, as far ahead as possible.
we all know the esc is just ridiculous

lasse braun
lasse braun
1 year ago
Reply to  rainer1

troll!

Daniel
Daniel
1 year ago

OK, I understand for Sweden – jury and ESC fans will support her massively and, if she has a good song (which she probably will) wider audience as well. But Ukraine??? I love their song but this is not the winning song. I swear, if Ukraine wins I will stop following Eurovision

paul
paul
1 year ago
Reply to  Daniel

Hello Daniel its going to be interesting this year,because the wide opinion this year is that The Ukranian song is not so good,last year opinion was more split with some thinking the song would have done well anyway.I beg to differ. Anyway back to this year the fanbase seems more concerned about the reputation of the contest becoming damaged,and the EBU would probably intervene eventually,especially if some of the members started to voice discontent. Lets do Ukraine a real favour and hope this conflict ends soon,it will do the Ukranian people a lot more good than mass sympathy votes at… Read more »

Samo
Samo
1 year ago
Reply to  Daniel

Which entry is better *so far* than Tvorchi?

lasse braun
lasse braun
1 year ago
Reply to  Samo

14 so far?

Zenellie
Zenellie
11 months ago
Reply to  Samo

All of them

paul
paul
1 year ago

Its nice to see reading through the comments that the majority of opinion is against the russian invasion of ukraine,most people dont seem to be in favour of eurovision being used,with endless sympathy votes for Ukraine.
The junior eurovision was a sign that perhaps its diffrent this year,we shall see.

Alex
Alex
1 year ago

Ukraine is leading because bookies don’t see a clear frontrunner yet. It’s normal. There isn’t one. Sometimes it happens.. and imo it’s a not a bad thing. They just don’t know. May is when things really matter and even then.. bookies will get some things wrong as usual.

manuel
manuel
1 year ago

I really don’t think that Ukraine will win again this year. Last year’s song was good and was a serious contender for the Top 3 anway…This year’s song is not as strong and I think it’s more important to show sympathy for ukraine in other ways – celebrate the culture, the people and celebrate them as hosts in liverpool. As for Maria Sur, I am undecided. The song was definitely one of the stronger songs of Heat 2 but at the same time I think it’s a very blant power ballad with weak lyrics (rain..pain…). Her story is moving but… Read more »

Polegend Godnova
1 year ago

people are delusional to think ukraine can win again this year. while last year they had a song that would’ve ended 5th-7th on a ‘normal’ year and this sort of justified their victory, that isn’t the case this year. ‘support’ votes have faltered as we could see at junior eurovision, and the song simply isn’t there, meaning another ukrainian victory would be extremely controversial and damaging to the eurovision brand.

Jamie
Jamie
1 year ago

EBU can’t stop people from voting or worse – altering votes… that would be truly “controversial and damaging” more than the pity/diaspora voting. The only thing they could introduce is online voting that would have the majority of power. It would even out a lot of things. This year we’ll have the online “world vote” so we’ll see how that goes.

fever
fever
1 year ago

Ukraine always has very solid entries.
But this year, I cannot help but doubt Ukraine intentionally sending the very of-average song – to avoid winning again. Yet, even so, the odds remain leaning towards them *facepalm*

Moonstar
Moonstar
1 year ago
Reply to  fever

There is a reason why Tvorchi were chosen to represent Ukraine… It’s all about politics…

Grogu
Grogu
1 year ago
Reply to  fever

I fully agree. It would be ridiculous if they win again, especially with this song

Mqe
Mqe
1 year ago

Last year Ukraine had a song that probably wouldn’t have won under normal circumstances, but at least it was a solid song so the win wasn’t totally undeserved. This year – dare I say it – the song is bad. I really hope they don’t pull off another victory just because of the diaspora/pity vote.

Grogu
Grogu
1 year ago
Reply to  Mqe

I hope so too, but a couple of people (non fans ofc) have already told me they will vote for Ukraine in May, even though they haven’t heard either Ukranian entry nor any other…

clothespin
clothespin
1 year ago

On Finland, I love their national selection but the way I see it its odds will drop no matter whats chosen

MyEuro
MyEuro
1 year ago

Just a thought, Ukraine did not win JESC or did not even come close to win it.
I think and hope that people will vote for “the song” like it is was from any country and support Ukraine in other ways if they don’t like the song.

Jonas
Jonas
1 year ago

Odds aren’t worth an article, especially at this stage. Gambling is a menace to society.

Simon
Simon
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonas

Well put Jonas. Articles like this are pointless, especially as more than half the countries have not released songs yet. Also, as you say, anything that promotes gambling is poison. Wiwibloggs please take this post down and do not publish betting odds articles

Jonas
Jonas
1 year ago
Reply to  Simon

I probably should have said that the gambling industry is the menace, not the actual gamblers. They’re just the victims.

BadWoolfGirl
BadWoolfGirl
1 year ago
Reply to  Jonas

I also personally don’t give a crap about the odds. I’m also not seeking out a winner until all the songs are all out and I could do a Ranking to see what comes out on top. Whoever ends up as my personal winner may or may not be the actual winner, but at least it’ll tell me which song I like the most out of all the lot.

Serbia_Boy
Serbia_Boy
1 year ago

How come Spain and Norway are not first? I guess Finland is so high because CHa Cha will probably win and honestly it is a bop. Also, Sweden is high probably because people expect Loreen to win and we all know she is a legend

Kiki
Kiki
1 year ago

If Ukraine wins this year, EBU will probably introduce an online voting system similar to the one used for JESC. At least something needs to be done about the voting to keep the contest at least somewhat credible.

Jamie
Jamie
1 year ago
Reply to  Kiki

Wasn’t it introduced this year? The online vote with credit card authentication or something?

Grogu
Grogu
1 year ago
Reply to  Kiki

They could introduce demoscopic jury (of let’s say 10000 fans) to count for 33% of voting, just like they have in Sanremo and Benidorm (different percentage though). I really think we deserve a louder voice

Benito Camelo
Benito Camelo
1 year ago

I agree with previous comments, I also think we haven’t heard the winning entries, at least not among the selected entries.
And I hope something great comes soon, because it’d suck to see Ukraine winning this year with such an average song :/
My bets are on Finland, Poland, Israel, Armenia, the UK, France, Switzerland, Australia and the Netherlands bringing something that’ll elevate this year.
I’ll count Sweden in in case Loreen delivers something better than what we’ve heard so far in the heats, and is ultimately chosen, too.

Mohamed
Mohamed
1 year ago
Reply to  Benito Camelo

You mean below average for Ukraine, but I pray you’re right or this will be an interesting competition

The Voice of Reason
The Voice of Reason
1 year ago

I’ve just heard reports from British newspapers and magazines that indicate FLEUR EAST is in the running for the UK’s entry. Strange!

yaremturkiye
yaremturkiye
1 year ago

For someone with the name “The Voice of Reason” you seem reasonably incapable of understanding these newspapers are historically unreliable. Tut tut

Frisian esc
Frisian esc
1 year ago

That rumor has returned every year since that sax song came out.

Benito Camelo
Benito Camelo
1 year ago

Not to say that probably many more countries will pull out next year as well, and some might not come back later even if Ukraine doesn’t win next time by then

Benito Camelo
Benito Camelo
1 year ago

Regarding Finland, Kuumaa’s Ylivoimainen dethroned Miley Cyrus’s Flowers this week on the local charts, becoming the first UMK23 entry to top the local charts! Also, their previous single “Tulipalo” came back to the local top 10 and hit a new peak.
https://www.ifpi.fi/lista/singlet/2023/6/

Miksu
Miksu
1 year ago
Reply to  Benito Camelo

Kuumaa’s “Ylivoimainen” ( overpowering, superior etc in english ;-)) is a superior tune but requires more than 2 times to open up, to become earworm. Also cant imagine a live spectacle stage show that would be consistent with the style of music.
It is my fav of UMK and most likely to get radioplay after few years but dont see it winning ESC if it can beat Cha cha cha in a weeks time.

Karl
Karl
1 year ago

I mean, we all know Ukraine is going to win, so…

Nicolas
Nicolas
1 year ago
Reply to  Karl

UKR will again win the televote by a landslide margin, the refugees diaspora all over Europe is now well established if we even exclude the sympathy vote still on.
To not win, UKR needs something like bottom 5 from the juries or a middle placement but #2 from televote being also #1 from juries far behind Ukraine.

Jamie
Jamie
1 year ago
Reply to  Karl

Televote – probably. Jury – don’t think so. “Heart of Steel” doesn’t strike as a jury winner.

Alex
Alex
1 year ago
Reply to  Jamie

It’s not a jury winner ofc but some juries will vote for it. Performance will probably look slick and well performed and it’s not a divisive song. They’ve done worse things

Jack Needham
Jack Needham
1 year ago
Reply to  Karl

Ukraine isn’t going to win this year. Just not this time.

paul
paul
1 year ago

Ukraine the “favourite” surprise surprise what a charade this event has now become. You would think the nations that pay money into this would think twice,who enters a competition with little chance of winning.Then again I miss the point what price to take part in an extreme left wing russia hating debacle,staged by one of the nations pushing and provoking this conflict to the brink of nuclear war. Its interesting the EBU didnt give a toss about politics,when the eurofans descended on Baku,Tel aviv and Istanbul,now its the UK hardly a clean history either….. And before everyone scrambles for there… Read more »

Benito Camelo
Benito Camelo
1 year ago
Reply to  paul

What do you mean by the last part? Let me remind you that P*tin himself opposes Ukraine’s existence

paul
paul
1 year ago
Reply to  Benito Camelo

Incorrect. Putin opposes Ukraine joing nato,and it had previously been agreed they would not,as a result of the minsk agreement. This invasion is to be condemmed but with goodwill and compromise on all sides it could have been avoided and even today could be brought to an end peacefully. You are typical of those with respect, who swallow hook line and sinker the propagnda that the west throw out “hes another hitler,he wants to take over the world,your country could be next” Thats how they fool and control peoples minds like yours,this time however its more dangerous as we are… Read more »

yaremturkiye
yaremturkiye
1 year ago
Reply to  paul

Ironic how you think others need a “reality check” when you clearly show you are far from reality yourself

paul
paul
1 year ago
Reply to  yaremturkiye

It is not being “far from reality” to point out the dangers of a nuclear conflict,or how this conflict could have been avoided.
I suspect from your username this has more to do with a certain nations “peace operation” in 1974

Mariia
1 year ago
Reply to  paul

Peace with terrorists is not possible, they will prepare and attack again better prepared.

paul
paul
1 year ago
Reply to  Mariia

more mass hysteria fed to braindead sheep like yourself.
There are many terrorists in this world,including the USA and UK who fed rubbish to simple minds just like yourself that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction,before invading and killing millions of innoncent people

Ritoli
Ritoli
1 year ago

Loreen’s song “Tattoo” leak! lyrics (sounds like “Euphoria”)

No (I don’t care about them AAAALLLL)
(Cause all I want is to be LOOOOVED)
(And all I care about is you ooh ooh)
(You’re stuck on me like a tattoo ooh ooh)

paul
paul
1 year ago
Reply to  Ritoli

people wont care its queen loreen,you saw the state they got themselves into when statements/the exorcist didnt make it to the melfest final a few years ago.
They managed to convince themselves it was “art”
For all that I like Loreen and I hope it is a good one this time,be good to see her try for a second win.theres a not a lot of competion (so far)

Nicolas
Nicolas
1 year ago
Reply to  Ritoli

Even Euphoria would have not win over Ukraine if there was a war back then.

Jess
Jess
1 year ago
Reply to  Nicolas

She nearly lost to the Russian Grannies .

BadWoolfGirl
BadWoolfGirl
1 year ago

Frankly, I’m not going to get bothered by the odds because we have 15 songs out of 37 out right now, and I don’t think it’s enough to make a judgement over who’s going to win or not.

Roy Moreno
Roy Moreno
1 year ago

Very early to even try and predict, but I’m feeling like this year’s winner will be an internally selected act – and one that we are yet to have heard
Of course, anything can change, especially with Sweden still not releasing all songs
I can say that if Ukraine somehow wins this year, the EBU will have to try hard to convince us why should we even try and send something good to Eurovision

Zach
Zach
1 year ago

like i get they might get some pity influence again, and i do like heart of steel but it is not winning material

Benito Camelo
Benito Camelo
1 year ago
Reply to  Zach

Indeed! Stefania at least resonated with the audience, something that I doubt Heart of Steel will do (at least to the same extent)

Ritoli
Ritoli
1 year ago

AND… We have our winner…
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q0F9cLmD_e4

Vicci
Vicci
1 year ago

If Portugal chooses Mimicat or Edmundo, it will jump immediately to my front runners

Mbappe
Mbappe
1 year ago
Reply to  Vicci

That FdC lineup is just miles ahead of the current ESC one, they’ve got like 10 entries which could easily be top 5 in my ranking.

TMay
TMay
1 year ago

Abysmal year, which could be saved by the remaining songs. I hope Georgia, Sweden, UK, France really deliver.

Eurovision fan
Eurovision fan
1 year ago

Honestly, if Finland sends Kaarija, they could really win.

Ritoli
Ritoli
1 year ago
Reply to  Eurovision fan

NO.. You forget the judges… but maybe top 10

Benito Camelo
Benito Camelo
1 year ago
Reply to  Eurovision fan

Finland has something especial going on, I hope they choose Käärija or Kuumaa! 😀

GojoSatoru
GojoSatoru
1 year ago
Reply to  Eurovision fan

I love Cha Cha Cha, but Kaarija won’t win ESC. He’ll get somewhere in between 4th – 8th.

GojoSatoru
GojoSatoru
1 year ago
Reply to  GojoSatoru

And yes, I know it’s too early to tell, but still Cha Cha Cha just doesn’t seem like a song which would be able to reach the top 3.

Alfie28
Alfie28
1 year ago

At this point, yes, Ukraine and Sweden (assuming their acts are decent coming up, especially Loraine (please don’t be a repeat of statements)). But Croatia is my fun act. And WTH is going on this year? These songs are just not top notch.

Trocatroc
Trocatroc
1 year ago

Bookies didn’t overrate the UK last year though did they? Let’s see what UK sends…I’m quite optimistic for France as well. There’s an opportunity for some real quality acts to shine this year.

Dennis Kinghorn
Dennis Kinghorn
1 year ago
Reply to  Trocatroc

Not last year but historically they have.

John
John
1 year ago

Norway is peaking too early. She will be most compared to Noa from Israel and Noa will blow her out of the water in SF1.

Devito
1 year ago
Reply to  John

Can you minimize the hype regarding Israel before the song is even released? For all we know, Noa can easily flop. Somebody posted in the comments previously the so-called leaked version of Noa’s “Unicorn”. You know what? It sounds exactly like Merlyn’s “Unicorn Vibes” from Eesti Laul 2023. It’s pretty much a mediocre song with nothing extraordinary. All I’m trying to say is that such comparisons are invalid until the songs you can compare are released.

Devito
1 year ago
Reply to  Devito

The so-called leaked version: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N-o_IAaQp7Q

Devito
1 year ago
Reply to  Devito

I found one more snippet. It says it’s the demo of Noa’s “Unicorn”: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0eGdc1JU2qA It’s just terrible, I’m sorry. 😀

Ritoli
Ritoli
1 year ago
Reply to  Devito

BUT it’s not Noa’s leaked song, it is fake… it is Merlyn’s “Unicorn Vibes”. Noa’s song is the biggest secret in Israel these days… no one will leak it…

Benito Camelo
Benito Camelo
1 year ago
Reply to  Ritoli

I can confirm this, my friend who’s living in Israel told me that her song is a state secret there rn

Grft
Grft
1 year ago

Early bet for the results in May:
1. Finland
2. Norway
3. France
4. Sweden
5. Armenia

lasse braun
lasse braun
1 year ago
Reply to  Grft

no spain,no gain. 😀

Frisian esc
Frisian esc
1 year ago

I’m predicting it’s either going to be the UK, Poland or Armenia this year.

Benito Camelo
Benito Camelo
1 year ago
Reply to  Frisian esc

I wouldn’t count Finland out, but I agree with your frontrunners

Darren
1 year ago

Quite like Ukraine, Slovenia, Croatia and Italy so far, but I don’t feel any of them will win at this point.
Ukraine certainly won’t. But could see Sweden maybe pulling it out of the bag. Still waiting on that song that just grabs me though but it hasn’t happened yet.

Chupacabra
Chupacabra
1 year ago

Croatia rose in the polls, also Austria though entry not known, but i know, Salema can sing and perform very good,… Even for me, some entries R real growers. Malta and Romania kick us out of that “insta-world”, a lot of entries unerline a world of humanity without war and accepting vulnerability, not beeing perfect, finding bridges to each other inspite of our bad sides. Question, will this season b the big escape to party out ofin a bad world around or facing it? MY GROWERS: CROATIA and ROMANIA. Estonia gave me goosebumps, love Marco Mengoni´s presence, also got goosebumps… Read more »

John
John
1 year ago

Need to wait for Ukraine’s revamp

lasse braun
lasse braun
1 year ago
Reply to  John

can’t fix anything.