Photo: HRT

The betting odds for Semi-Final 1 of Eurovision 2024 have finally dropped, signalling that the song contest is well and truly around the corner. Fifteen acts will sing on Tuesday, 7 May, inside Malmö Arena. But only ten can qualify for the Saturday finale.

Eurovision 2024: Semi-Final 1 odds to qualify for the final

According to our friends at Oddschecker, the ten acts that will advance to the grand final are, in order of their chances…

Semi-Final 1 Qualifiers

🇭🇷 Croatia: Baby Lasagna with “Rim Tim Tagi Dim” (1/100)

🇺🇦 Ukraine: Jerry Heil & alyona alyona with “Teresa & Mari (1/100)

🇱🇹 Lithuania: Silvester Belt with “Luktelk” (1/40)

🇫🇮 Finland: Windows95man with “No Rules” (1/40)

🇱🇺 Luxembourg: Tali with “Fighter” (1/14)

🇨🇾 Cyprus: Silia Kapsis with “Liar” (1/5)

🇵🇱 Poland: Luna with “The Tower” (1/4)

🇷🇸 Serbia: Teya Dora with “Ramonda” (1/4)

🇵🇹 Portugal: Iolanda with “Grito” (11/20)

🇸🇮 Slovenia: Raiven with “Veronika” (3/5)

Semi-Final 1 Non-Qualifiers

🇦🇺 Australia: Electric Fields with “One Milkali (One Blood)” (3/4)

🇦🇿 Azerbaijan: FAHREE feat. Ilkin Dovlatov – Özünlə Apar (1/1)

🇮🇪 Ireland: Bambie Thug with “Doomsday Blue” (1/1)

🇲🇩 Moldova: Natalia Barbu with “In the MIddle” (3/1)

🇮🇸 Iceland: Hera Björk with “Scared of Heights” (3/1)

 

As ever, these odds come with the normal caveats. Neither the bookies nor the public have seen the actual stage shows that the artists will deliver in Malmö. As we know from the past, acts can really elevate with a bit of creativity. Remember DoReDos from Moldova back at Eurovision 2018? A lot of folks had them down as non-qualifiers. But owing to clever staging they ended up making the Top 10 in the final.

It’s just one of endless examples of how things can change when it matters most: live on stage at Eurovision.

Scrolling through the comments on our Instagram account, our users have taken issue with the bookies’ current picks. Here are some of their hot takes, sometimes paraphrased for clarity:

  • Luxembourg and Cyprus cannot both qualify (perhaps because they are both girl bops)
  • Ireland should be seen as a dead certain qualifier (perhaps owing to their eye-catching NF performance and the fact there is no jury to penalise them)
  • One user would be surprise if Ireland didn’t qualify because Bambie Thug “is drumming up such a cult following”
  • “Finland gonna be a surprise NQ. I would switch them with Azerbaijan”
  • “I’d say that Ireland and Australia will qualify; I don’t see Cyprus and Luxembourg making it.”
  • “Portugal or Serbia out, Ireland in”
  • “I would certainly remove Luxembourg and put Ireland in!! Cyprus and Azerbaijan can switch too”

Well, what do you think? Who is in and who is OUT? Let us know down below…

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Marlinken
Marlinken
1 month ago

Qs: Croatia, Cyprus, Ukraine, Ireland, Australia, Slovenia, Lithuania, Poland, Portugal, Azerbaijan.

Shock NQs: Serbia, Luxembourg, Finland.

Non shock NQs: Iceland, Moldova.

Marlinken
Marlinken
1 month ago
Reply to  Marlinken

OK, just heard Poland live. Replace Poland with Serbia, Luxembourg or Finland.

BiCHOTA
BiCHOTA
1 month ago

It’s more or less my qualifiers too, but I’d swap Poland for Ireland.
Ps: I’d really love Azerbaijan to make it through too 🙁

Owendy
Owendy
1 month ago

I think Ireland is going to be in a situation similar to Serbia last year, coincidently both are in my top 5, where it’s going to barely get into the final due to its artistic, out-there nature and divisive tone, but with voters from the UK and other nations I could see them scrape by.

Alessio Gori
1 month ago

For me Luxembourg Is a sure Qualifiers. Ireland can make It but i’m not sure. Germany last year was demoniac but It arrive last in final, but i think Bambie can do it. Australia for me Is a big idk, but if Australia qualify It Is only because Is Australia because the Song Is so bad. For me Cyprus make It and the same Is for Portugal and Serbia. Poland for me can be out. I think Azerbaijan and Moldova are sure Nq. Iceland have small chanches because Hera Is so good, but i don’t think She qualify but never… Read more »

jackesc
jackesc
1 month ago

Personally I’m waiting until about a week before the first semi-final to get an accurate idea of who is going to qualify. That way, people will have maybe made their mind up on which one they like the most and the artists will have performed at all of the pre – parties, giving a slight idea of what to expect live on stage on the night.

Kappi
Kappi
1 month ago

My (controversial?) Qs and NQs

Qualifying: Ukraine, Croatia, Finland, Poland, Cyprus, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Serbia, Slovenia.

Not qualifying: Iceland, Australia, Ireland, Moldova, Portugal, Azerbaijan.

Note: If I pick a song for not qualifying, that doesn’t mean I dislike the song. And the other way around. For example I like Azerbaijan but I think it will not sadly make it to the Finals.

Despicable Annie
Despicable Annie
1 month ago

Ireland is clearly qualifying and comfortably so, but go off, bookies.

Glenn
Glenn
27 days ago

If Ireland qualify I’m giving up Eurovision for good!

Liutauras
Liutauras
1 month ago

Can some of you who love Croatia song explain to me what is good about it?
After listening to it 5-6 times it becomes annoying. I am really trying to understand – ok, it is energetic, but apart from that ? Cliche text, very poor vocal, no staging appearance, just chaos.
Now you can kill me, but seriously ? 🙂

Andrew
Andrew
1 month ago
Reply to  Liutauras

Consider yourself killed!!

Kor
Kor
1 month ago
Reply to  Liutauras

Cliche text? Seriously? Compared to most of other songs, there is nothing cliche in this one.
No staging appearance? Yeah it is chaotic, but but that goes with the song and the meaning.. anxeity and so on..
Vocals – yeah, could be better (but improved already), however, nobody should expect Slimane level of singing here (and I would be curious how he would sound with all the energetic performance like this)

Nobody will kill you, everyone hsa different taste

Suni
Suni
1 month ago
Reply to  Liutauras

so, what is the problem, if you don’t like it, just go to the next song you like

Mike
Mike
1 month ago

Ireland ?? Bambi ?? will most definitely qualify

Glenn
Glenn
27 days ago
Reply to  Mike

I really hope they don’t.

Dane
Dane
1 month ago

as long as Australia does not qualify

Andrew
Andrew
1 month ago
Reply to  Dane

Oh no Dane! I thought we were friends!! I rather love Australia’s entry… Are you still rooting for Saba? I still love her song but I wish she’d up the performance of it. What do you think?

Despicable Annie
Despicable Annie
1 month ago
Reply to  Dane

They’ll probably end last in the semi with those vocals and little budget lol

Everyone
Everyone
1 month ago

Surprisingly I mostly agree agree with this. However I would drop Finland and have Australia just squeak in.

Dida
Dida
1 month ago

I think Portugal, Slovenia and perhaps Serbia, too won’t qualify. Instead, I see Azerbaijan and Ireland, although I’m not a fan of the Irish act this year. Rooting for Azerbaijan to qualify, though…

Glenn
Glenn
27 days ago
Reply to  Dida

Ireland have had good songs in the past few years but failed to qualify. This year’s Irish entry is absolutely TERRIBLE!!! I really hope they don’t get through. For what it’s worth, I’m hoping Luxembourg qualify, not because I like the song but because it’s their first entry in thirty years, so it might make it interesting. I also want Poland through as it’s my second favourite after Croatia.

...
...
1 month ago

I’m nervous for Australia (love the song!) and Ireland (they deserve to qualify)… This semi is tough, so many good songs. I need to be prepared to lose some of them.

Glenn
Glenn
27 days ago
Reply to  ...

Ireland do NOT deserve to qualify, their song is TERRIBLE!!!

Doris
Doris
1 month ago

10 qualifiers out of 15. SFs are getting ridiculous. No wonder quality decreases if there is less competition. Only 8 qualifiers should be in the final in that case. A grand final with 22 songs would be better too.

Darren
Darren
1 month ago
Reply to  Doris

Countries such as Romania, Turkey, Hungary, Slovakia, Andorra have left and of course Russia and Belarus where removed so that’s why there’s less countries that don’t Q.

Doris
Doris
1 month ago
Reply to  Darren

And what will happen the day we only have 12 countries per SF lol ? 2 big SFs just to kick off 2 songs per sf ?

Darren
Darren
1 month ago
Reply to  Doris

Probably just return to one semi like they used to do until 2008

Doris
Doris
1 month ago
Reply to  Darren

That will not change anything until they persist to have 26 songs in the grand final
So a big semi final of 24 countries with 20 qualifiers ? lol

Darren
Darren
1 month ago
Reply to  Doris

Pre-2008, the Top 10 from the previous year were automatic qualifiers alongside the Big 5.
So you’d have a semi of about 20 countries with 10 qualifiers

Glenn
Glenn
27 days ago
Reply to  Darren

Romania only pulled out this year because of financial reasons. They could be back next year.

Paul Sorenson
Paul Sorenson
1 month ago

Qualifying also depends on the countries in the same Semi that will vote.
Croatia, Slovenia and Serbia together.
Ireland, Iceland, Sweden, Finland.

jackesc
jackesc
1 month ago

I have just realised that this is the first time Luxembourg has had to perform in a semi – final since they were introduced in 2004, 10 years after Luxembourg left. It would be nice to see them get into the final in their first year back and I think it’s a pretty good contender.

Fatima
Fatima
1 month ago

Having UK-GER-SWE in the mix isn’t going to help the songs in places 1-2-3-4 because the memory of those will even more distant when it comes to voting. I think two or three of the first four won’t make it.

Sierri
1 month ago

This is how I rank it in my opinion (Taking out the big 5 performing)

1. Sweden
2. Serbia
3. Lithuania
4. Cyprus
5. Ukraine
6. Moldova
7. Azerbaijan
8. Finland
9. Iceland
10. Poland
11. Netherlands
12. Croatia
13. Portugal
14. Ireland
15. Australia

Sierri
1 month ago
Reply to  Sierri

Sweden aren’t ment to be there, let me redo it

1. Serbia
2. Lithuania
3. Cyprus
4. Ukraine
5. Luxembourg
6. Moldova
7. Azerbaijan
8. Finland
9. Iceland
10. Poland
11. Netherlands
12. Croatia
13. Portugal
14. Ireland
15. Australia

Fatima
Fatima
1 month ago
Reply to  Sierri

Netherlands in semi 2

Sierri
1 month ago
Reply to  Fatima

Oops

Anonymous91
Anonymous91
1 month ago
Reply to  Sierri

Netherlands that forgettable of a snoozefest you even don’t know which semi they’re in lol

jackesc
jackesc
1 month ago
Reply to  Sierri

what is it about moldovas song that appeals to you to place it 6th?

BadWoolfGirl
BadWoolfGirl
1 month ago

I just listened to the official semi final 1 playlist on the Eurovision youtube in the running order and this is how I ranked the songs (minus the UK, Germany and Sweden).

1.    Lithuania
2.    Ukraine
3.    Portugal
4.    Croatia
5.    Luxembourg
6.    Serbia
7.    Slovenia
8.    Cyprus
9.    Poland
10. Australia
11. Finland
12. Ireland
13. Azerbaijan
14. Iceland
15.Moldova

Now this is just my personal ranking, don’t read into it as a prediction.

Teddi
Teddi
1 month ago

Honestly I just can’t see Slovenia and/or Portugal appealing to audience in that amount that they vote for them, comparing to all other options they will have. Older folks will for sure go for Iceland, and I’m more than sure that Iceland will manage to qualify to shock to many. I also think Australia will manage to qualify. Iceland and Australia over Slovenia and Portugal. (Not what I want, just objectively thinking.)

Steven
Steven
1 month ago
Reply to  Teddi

Slovenian singer said she will be performing like in the music video, NUDE, with body paint. If naked body doesn’t help, nothing will lol

Everyone
Everyone
1 month ago
Reply to  Steven

When a singer goes to that much trouble to be ‘edgy’ or ‘shocking’ you just know the vocals are getting A LOT of help from the recording engineers and producers. Why else work so hard to distract us from the actual song?

Baby Carbonara
Baby Carbonara
1 month ago

This year’s Ireland gives me last year’s Belgium vibe LOL

Marcin
Marcin
1 month ago

Iceland and Moldova will qualify. Both artists already have qualifying experience from much harder semi-finals. They will easily qualify in such a weak year.

Hopefully Azerbaijan and Poland joins them instead of crap from Croatia, Finland, Cyprus, Luxembourg, and Lithuania.

Definite non qualifiers Ireland and Australia

The rest are irrelevant and add no value to the contest.

Kor
Kor
1 month ago
Reply to  Marcin

These kind of crap comments do not add any value to this comment section

Marcin
Marcin
1 month ago
Reply to  Kor

O look, the salty baby lasagna fanboy who can’t deal with opinions that don’t align with his worldview. People like you are killing the contest for supporting trash like Baby Lasagna or that weirdo from Switzerland.

Hopefully both of them will be left in the semi-final, so Eurovision can start healing and rebound in 2025.

ja sam Veroniko
ja sam Veroniko
1 month ago
Reply to  Marcin

I’m not a fan of Croatia’s song this year (I think it’s just ok) and didn’t like your comment because you are rude and should not be calling other people’s work as “cr4p” just because you don’t like it. Every artist put a lot of effort in their song this year, and I’m sure they are putting effort in their performances as well. You should learn manners.

Mike Ahern
Mike Ahern
1 month ago
Reply to  Marcin

If you don’t like a particular song, that’s fine. But why are you criticizing someone as a “weirdo”? You might like Iceland and Moldova and that’s fine. But they’re very unlikely to qualify. If they do qualify, I wish them the best of luck.

Jay
Jay
1 month ago
Reply to  Marcin

Because Poland offers quality?

Jay
Jay
1 month ago
Reply to  Marcin

It is rude to call some songs crap just because YOU don’t like it. Be respectful to the artists and songwriters!

AMAAN STORM
AMAAN STORM
1 month ago

I never understood how people can make their mind up about what is and isn’t qualifying when they haven’t even seen the staging, or the live performances with the staging. That usually makes it pretty obvious who will and won’t go through.

I’ll reserve my judgements until I see the live semi final performances.

That said, I would love for there to be a handful of shocking results going in to the finals, with Ireland, Australia and Iceland all qualifying! That really would set the cat amongst the pigeons!

Leo M
Leo M
1 month ago

Definite qualifiers: Croatia, Lithuania, Ukraine, Finland

Likely qualifiers: Cyprus, Poland

Borderline qualifiers: Serbia, Slovenia, Australia, Ireland, Portugal, Luxembourg

Definite non qualifiers: Iceland, Azerbaijan, Moldova

Tino
Tino
1 month ago
Reply to  Leo M

I wouldn’t rule Azerbaijan out too early. If you look at the running order of SF1, the big favorites are all in the first half so the countries that are a bit “under” will probably suffer from this. I think of Poland. Azerbaijan is in the 2nd half between Moldova and Australia, 2 songs that will do very poorly imo. I wouldn’t be surprised if Azerbaijan finds a way to sneak in the final instead of Poland (or even Ireland but I hope not).

Réi
Réi
1 month ago

Ireland will obviously qualify

Another Proud Eurosimp
Another Proud Eurosimp
1 month ago

I can’t see how Ireland would NQ. The bookies have lost it. It’s a top 10 in final.

Unapologetic
Unapologetic
1 month ago

It’s too dark and aggressive for an average viewers I think

Darren
Darren
1 month ago
Reply to  Unapologetic

Iceland 2019 and Serbia 2023 say hi

Anhel
Anhel
1 month ago
Reply to  Darren

But those were good

Darren
Darren
1 month ago
Reply to  Anhel

In your opinion, just as in my opinion Serbia 2023 wasn’t good, but look what happened.

Dvj
Dvj
1 month ago

Bookies are basing their odds on this sites over all votes and YouTube watches…. Neither have as yet predicted a winner. Ireland will qualify

Erret2
Erret2
1 month ago

When was the last time we had a year so unpredictable! Seems ages ago and I’m loving it.

Héctor
Héctor
1 month ago

I don’t see Luxembourg and Cyprus making it either. Instead I’d go for Ireland and Australia. None of us are really great fans of the studio version of the Australian song but they are gonna kill it live on stage.

Dawid
Dawid
1 month ago
Reply to  Héctor

Luxembourg has dream position and i believe girl singing for Cyprus is from Australia (and Australia votes here). Wouldn’t rule them out.

Devito
Devito
1 month ago

I was cleaning home today and had a full playlist of Eurovision 2024 playing in the background. Apparently, there were a few songs that I could not stand to listen to, so I ran to skip them. These skipped songs were from Croatia, Finland, Azerbaijan, Ireland, and Iceland as of SF1. Slovenia surprised me the most. I very much felt Veronika’s vibe while cleaning the windows. At the moment, my personal qualifiers for the Final are Ukraine, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Cyprus, Poland, Serbia, Portugal, Slovenia, Australia, and Moldova.

Jo.
Jo.
1 month ago
Reply to  Devito

i put youtube on autoplay while cleaning the house, veronika is always among the chosen ones

Vjera Brdar
Vjera Brdar
1 month ago
Reply to  Devito

I think your house woulda been spotless if you’ve put just Rim Tim Tagi Dim on repeat.

Devito
Devito
1 month ago
Reply to  Vjera Brdar

Are you sure? The riding on a horse dance move might make my windows all dirty. Jokes aside, I was just sharing that I’m not vibing with the song. It surprised me since, at first, I thought I cannot stand the song because of its resemblance to the mix of Maneskin and Kaarija (visual/thematic part), but I guess I’m not into this song generally speaking.

Fatima
Fatima
1 month ago
Reply to  Devito

I never skip until after the contest. Experience tells me that some songs just ‘click’ after multiple listens. And if they don’t, that makes the songs around them seem even better.

Vjera Brdar
Vjera Brdar
1 month ago

MARKO, BABY, YOU’RE A STAR!
STAY HUMBLE! STAY AWKWARD!
?

Paul Sorenson
Paul Sorenson
1 month ago

You also have to look at the fact that only the countries in the same Semifinal can vote.
I still dont get this voting rule… Why not everybody can vote for both Semifinals?

In the first semi also the UK, Sweden and Germany can vote, so more northern.
In the second semi it’s France, Italy and Spain.

With the countries in Semi 1, I think Ireland has a good chance to qualify.

Azerbedyan and Cyprus would have a hard time now, but would probably qualify if they were together with the countries in the second Semi.

ATLANTIC
ATLANTIC
1 month ago

Top 5: Ireland, Serbia, Luxembourg, Australia , Lithuania
Bottom 5: Croatia, Finland, Slovenia, Poland, Cypros

Im so fab
Im so fab
1 month ago

Australia is SO qualifying

Fatima
Fatima
1 month ago

“Finland gonna be a surprise NQ. I would switch them with Azerbaijan”
Whoever said that, I agree.

Mike Ahern
Mike Ahern
1 month ago
Reply to  Fatima

You might not like the song and that’s fine. It’s going to cruise into the final. Casual viewers will vote for it in huge numbers.

ISAAC
ISAAC
1 month ago

My 10 Qualifiers:

Lithuania
Croatia
Serbia
Ukraine
Slovenia
Portugal
Luxembourg
Poland
Finland
Ireland

My NQ:

Cyprus
Azerbaijan
Australia
Iceland
Moldova

jercle
jercle
1 month ago

I don’t understand why people are so quick to write off Moldova. It’s not a great song and I agree it shouldn’t go to the final, but Moldova has a knack of staging its songs well and getting the televotes in. Plus, with no Romanian entry this year, the Romanian diaspora will give their votes to Moldova.

And don’t forget, Natalia qualified from the 28-country “semi from hell” in 2007, also with a song that doesn’t deserve to qualify.

Max
Max
1 month ago
Reply to  jercle

Fight was fire. It was so worth qualifying. And it would still qualify today.

Erret2
Erret2
1 month ago
Reply to  jercle

The Romanian Diapsora will have to compete with the rest of the world which will regard other entries much more highly. The most Moldova can get is 4 points from them.

Dvj
Dvj
1 month ago
Reply to  jercle

I agree, her staging is prettt good actually she has five other people on stage with her who all look similar to her and are singing and playing violin and you don’t know which is the real Natalia until she walks out from among them at the end

jercle
jercle
1 month ago

Luxembourg’s average song certainly doesn’t deserve to qualify, but the closing slot in SF1 and a wave of nostalgia should see them safe.

If Ireland doesn’t qualify, then they’ll revert back to the safest (by which I mean dull) songs possible. Prepare for years of Louis Walsh boybands singing dated ballads.

Alex
Alex
1 month ago

Ireland could go either way. I really don’t know.
If Ireland qualifies over Portugal or Slovenia, would mean all 7 acts from 1st half will advance

FizzPunk
FizzPunk
1 month ago

Both semi finals have each very unprdictable acts performing. In SF1, the Top 10 in the Odds is still wide open. I think Ireland will qualify as I expect their stage act will be One of a Kind!! From the dancy Girl-bops Cyprus and Luxembourg I only see one of them qualifing, not both. Both acts arent very strong imo. I think Poland might sneak in or not with 10 or 11th in the Televote?. Poland has a big support. And all depends on her live act in Malmö. Serbia and Slovenia might be in this same vibe? Who knows?… Read more »

Benji
Benji
1 month ago

I don’t see any single song from the 1st semi final as a 100% sure NQ.

Bandido
Bandido
1 month ago

Change Serbia – Luxemburg! Luxemburg is just too decent without any memorably thing, exept performing last. Might be even NQ.

Fatima
Fatima
1 month ago
Reply to  Bandido

No, I think the way Tali switches so seamlessly from French to English is memorable.

Anonymous91
Anonymous91
1 month ago

Croatia 2023 is like Switzerland 2009 a very easy qualifier, nothing can go wrong with Da Lasagna

Mike Ahern
Mike Ahern
1 month ago

I can’t see how Cyprus qualifies. Pretty poor song, it’s opening the show and the any love performances so far have been very poor.

Mike Ahern
Mike Ahern
1 month ago
Reply to  Mike Ahern

*the live performances

Fatima
Fatima
1 month ago
Reply to  Mike Ahern

I think you are right, Mike. If your vocals aren’t on point and you are in the first half, you won’t make it, no matter how flashy the video. Case in point, Reiley.

Anonymous91
Anonymous91
1 month ago

110% sure qualifier: Croatia (nothing can go wrong for them this year)

as for the rest i really have no idea

jercle
jercle
1 month ago
Reply to  Anonymous91

Nothing can go wrong, other than a singer who can’t sing and has no on-stage charisma.

Robert
Robert
1 month ago
Reply to  jercle

Literally the biggest charisma and stage presence this year. But you are just a little troll, trolling around.

jercle
jercle
1 month ago
Reply to  Robert

Of course you do…tell me, is “the biggest charisma and stage presence” in the room with you now? Do you hear voices?

Vjera Brdar
Vjera Brdar
1 month ago
Reply to  jercle

Oh, Jerkle, in your near future I see a much needed trip to a doctor’s office. It’s for your own good.

jercle
jercle
1 month ago
Reply to  Vjera Brdar

Cool, maybe don’t recommend your dr – you’re clearly suffering from delusions and your dr hasn’t been of much help to you.

PP77
PP77
1 month ago

I see Ireland instead Portugal in final

Robert
Robert
1 month ago

In which world is Portugal gonna qualify without juries?

Robert
Robert
1 month ago
Reply to  Robert

And also it doesn’t matter that Serbia is in 2nd spot. Rest of the world starts voting a day before and they have a huge diaspora. Plus voting starts at the beginning of the show. And Croatia and Slovenia are in their semi. Serbia is one of the most sure qualifiers.

Isabella
Isabella
1 month ago

My personal qualifiers (don’t really care about the rest of them tho)

#1 Croatia
#2 Ukraine
#3 Finland
#4 Cyprus
#5 Portugal
#6 Serbia
#7 Slovenia
#8 Lithuania
#9 Ireland
#10 Australia

Dvj
Dvj
1 month ago
Reply to  Isabella

Mine:- 1, Iceland:- it’s like the music for a tampon commercial, love Hera bjork and there is no way this is not finishing top ten. 2, croatia:- good song and addictive, singer can’t sing live and creepy staging but this is a song contest so have based it on the song. 3, Serbia:- stand out singer and vocals uplift the song. I don’t know anyone who doesn’t like this. Serbia had a amazing national final with so many awesome acts but they got it right. 4, Poland:- good song from Poland, doesn’t tick all of the boxes but will have… Read more »

alfie23
alfie23
1 month ago

I agree with the 5 selected that are probably out.

Liam Lindsay
Liam Lindsay
1 month ago

Take out Serbia, Finland & Poland for Moldova, Australia & Ireland. Reasons for NON- QUALIFIERS: Serbia – Very early in running order, death slot position in Semi-Final 1, very forgettable Billie Eilish wannabe, don’t expect much from staging. With Lithuania following them, will be massively overshadowed. Finland – Started off as a joke that was kinda funny and that you could get behind now with Croatia, Netherlands and Ireland all in the mix this now stops being funny and just becomes, plain embarrassing.  Poland – Diaspora or no Diaspora, this song is middling at best and given how stacked this… Read more »

Jofty
Jofty
1 month ago
Reply to  Liam Lindsay

You make very convincing arguments for the Qualifiers. Ireland certainly, Moldova possibly, Australia perhaps the shakiest of the three.

Liam Lindsay
Liam Lindsay
1 month ago
Reply to  Jofty

Don’t be concerned about Australia, as soon as rehearsals start, it will become a dead cert qualifier. 1000%.

Steven
Steven
1 month ago
Reply to  Liam Lindsay

You made 100% wrong predition and description of Serbian entry lol They are such a contender, song stands out so much, and Lithuania isn’t overshadowing it but the other way around. Cheers

Liam Lindsay
Liam Lindsay
1 month ago
Reply to  Steven

No it’s you who is entirely wrong. Serbia in the same Semi as Portugal, when it comes to the more ballad-y entries, Portugal eats Serbia for Breakfast, Lunch & Dinner. There is nothing about the staging that is impressive at all. The song, which I did find rather impactful for a day or 2 post National Final and after that it died and Portugal took Serbias spot not only as a cert qualifier but JURY Top 5 material in the Grand Final. Given the energy of both Lithuania and Cyprus sandwiching her, she has no room to impress people and… Read more »

Steven
Steven
1 month ago
Reply to  Liam Lindsay

Poor kiddo. You need some professional help. Get well soon. It must be difficult living in your sad, sad world, in your sad, sad head. Cheers

Sarah
Sarah
1 month ago
Reply to  Liam Lindsay

I think will be reverse. Serbia will eat Portugal. ?

Jofty
Jofty
1 month ago
Reply to  Liam Lindsay

Poland – will get at least 4 x 12 or 4 x 10 from Ireland, Norway, UK and Ukraine televote. The remaining points will go to Lithuania. Poland a certain qualifier whether you like the song or not. The 12 from Croatia and few other bits and pieces will see Serbia through just like last year.

Liam Lindsay
Liam Lindsay
1 month ago
Reply to  Jofty

Complete nonsense and fallacy. Diaspora votes only work when a song has impact or relevance and I’m sorry but, LUNA’s song has nothing aside from a cute music video and that’s it and representing a nation that has a spotty qualification record and a hit-or-miss staging record, my hopes aren’t high for Poland. Diaspora vote or no f-ing Diaspora vote. This ain’t getting through. Now, if this were in Semi Final 2, more of an argument to qualify but in this one. No chance. Poland has competed with far superior entries and got nothing. This won’t qualify. Period.

Fred
Fred
1 month ago

I agree, that Ireland probably won’t qualify. Yes, no jury to vote “against” it, but there are so many song looking to collect votes from the public, Croatia and Ukraine – and they are even just after Ireland in the running order. Ireland also don’t have a great running order as the first 7 songs are contenders + UK, and very rearly doesn’t many songs on a row qualify. It happens but 7 in a row seems unlikely. Poland could fall short as well, in that regard. Luxembourg and Cyprus could both qualify, fore sure. And I think will. No.… Read more »

Steven
Steven
1 month ago
Reply to  Fred

Very nice analysis. Sure, the ranking of yours might not be 100% accurate, but it is more or less what will probably happen. The only exception is Moldova, because I think they are always strong with the televote, always make a good staging, Natalia will not flop vocally, and both choreography and audio quality will be totaly different from what we have seen at their national final, so it might qualify as a result. Btw, I don’t like Moldovan song, I’m not a fan, just giving my 5 cents as an addition to this great analysis.

Fred
Fred
1 month ago
Reply to  Steven

Hey Steven, thanks for your input – and very kind and construtive way of giving your 5 cents. I for sure look forward to se what Moldova does, they can always surprise, especially when being counted out early.