When we last checked in on the Eurovision 2016 betting odds on March 23, Russia’s Sergey Lazarev and Sweden’s Frans were the front-runners to win it all, with Russia slowly extending its lead over the Scandinavian hosts. Russia’s odds have been stable this week, while Sweden’s have drifted slightly, with SkyBET moving the “If I Were Sorry” singer from 6/1 to 7/1.
The stability at the very top is rather boring. More intriguing for us this week is the fact that Ukraine’s Jamala has gained a lot of momentum with the bookies.
The “1944” singer — who recently told us about the deeply personal inspiration behind her song — has jumped from eighth favourite to fourth, with her odds narrowing from 25/1 at both totesport and BetFred last week to just 16/1 today. She’s had similar drops at Bet365 and SportingBet who have her down at 14/1.
Although Jamala remains behind Australia’s Dami Im — who is holding tight to third position — she has jumped past Croatia, Malta, Latvia and France. Can her other-wordly, breaking beats song garner enough support to challenge in Stockholm?
Another mover is France’s Amir, who has jumped past Malta’s Ira Losco and Latvia’s Justs for the first time. He’s currently sixth favourite with odds as low as 12/1 at SkyBet. Bet 365 narrowed his odds from 18/1 on March 23 to 14/1 today.
The next closest Big Five nation is Spain. Barei currently has odds hovering around 33/1, making her 13th favourite to win.
Do you think Ukraine and France should continue to narrow? Do you think that either of them can legitimately contend for the title? Is the Russia-Sweden hype overblown or do you think the juries and televoters will get behind them? Let us know in the comments section below.
Eurovision odds: Who will win the grand final? (March 29 at 0:300 GMT)
A good song is one that could actually get into the radio, one that the average person would jump when it starts playing and it will sound great in 5 years time. Out of the top 15 only 3 satisfied those criteria.
The rest depends on the neighbours
MALTA 2017
dami im will win!
Honestly this is the best Eurovision since 2010 with almost 25 great songs which the best of them in my opinion are Malta, Hungary, France, Italy and Latvia. This contest will be ruined and I’m gonna boycott it if Australia wins between all of them. because not only they shouldn’t to be in this “Eurovision” contest, but in my opinion both songs they’ve sent until now are not good and overrated.
I’m really hoping for France or Croatia to win this time around, but we won’t really know until the live performances. The stage show can make or break the song!
We don’t care if Dami is known in Australia or internationally. We are judging a song which is what matters in Eurovision. Reality is SOS is not even charting in Australia. And as I said, Australia has potential to send a song much better than SOS.
I’m in South Africa & know Dami is the best voice so when she Sings Live it will be amazing. Dami’s Music is played here in S African clubs all the time, especially Super Love. S Africa loves you Dami.
Those of you who claim Dami isn’t known In Australia or Internationally think again, all her Songs have either been Platinum or Gold certified, she has performed in China, Singapore & Korea as well as special guest opening act for John Legends Australin tour concert, hand picked by Johh himself. Dami was the most requested Artist in the world at the Arias in 2014 to be interviewed, Dami has the biggest legion of Fans spread accross the globe & if you think being known means you need your Music being played on Australian radio, think again , the same reason… Read more »
Dami im is flopping so hard in Australia because of the song. It has zero personaity and chart potential. It will be the same in Eurovision with the public. A good voice it’s not enough to succeed. What it matters is the song. Australia is sooo much better than her.
I have been reading these comments and I am amazed at comments by supposed Australians negativity about SOS by Dami im, this is why SOS and Australia should win because Dami im has the most incredible voice, Australians don’t support there own artists, and these comments prove it that to make a living in Australia is very hard. Why because Australians think that unless it come from overseas it cant be good can it. Dami is new to the industry only about 2 years, and this will help to go global she is amazing and this Video proves it, has… Read more »
@Tele Dva “Sweden has found a good formula of borrowing other artists ideas and styles and that is how they are doing so well.”
Way to true! First David Guetta, now Ed Sheeran (minus the guitar). Who will it be next year?
I just hope Malta, Azerbaijan and Czech republic will qualify in semi final 1, really good songs, and also amazing singers
my vote will go to Malta, i do not want to see them not qualifying again, they were robbed of the final last year, when i couldn’t vote
Czech’s Gabriela has got a good voice
and Russia, well i liked them last year, with Polina ( a good singer) but this year very dated and boring 🙂
Placed the maximum $83.33 with William Hill for Australia (Dami Im) at $14.00. What most Eurovision fans don’t know is Dami is the “Best” LIVE singing Artist ever heard, 7th Heavan Re-Mix production crew has already agreed to a re-mix for Sounds Of Silence & when you combine her Vocal Artistry , Musical acumen (First Class Honours Graduate in Performing Arts/Music, Teenage & Child Pianist prodigy wining National Competitions, Music scholarship recipient from year 7 to University’, Masters in Modern Contemporary Vocals , Dean’s commendation Awards – 4 years consecutively for high performance you realise Dami is as Freakish as… Read more »
“Becouse yuuuuu”
France is 4th now.
And I think it will climb when we will discover the staging!
Potential winner and the surprise of the year.
@bella I agree. France will get 12 points from Belgium I believe though.
I still think France has no chances to be in Top-5. Just my opinion…
Ciara. Its Europe who wote for Sweden, not the Swedes. So dont blame on us
Last year Sweden took 12 points from:Denmark, Norway, Finland, Belgium, Switzerland, Uk, Italy, Latvia, Slovenia,Poland.
I think that France will be in top 5 because has a good song.Sweden will get 12 probably from Norway, Finland,Denmark, Estonia,Belgium, France, Switzerland, Uk and maybe from Germany and Netherlands.
Croatia song is so simillar for me with Zara Larsson – Uncover
@tele dva
This looks like a post from last year. Were you following the discussion about Austalia then? Your panic is unnecessary. Boring to go over it all again.
@ninakraljic
B&H are so low because the song sucks. I can’t decide if it is worse than San Marino.
In the televoting France will get 12 points from Sweden, Belgium and Israel guaranteed I believe and most likely Spain. I think the song will be a hit in Sweden, just like Guy Sebastian last year. He entered The Voice in France so he is famous in Belgium as well, the show is aired there. And from Israel for obvious reasons. Russia is guaranteed 12 points from Belarus, Azerbaijan, Armenia and most likely Greece. Sweden will get 12 points from the nordic countries and most likely Estonia. I think it’s going to be a three horse race once again. One… Read more »
@Loo
I agree about Douwe, I feel Netherlands will surprise again (Top 10 at least). I don’t know what to expect about Russia, but I think west will not buy him like Dima in 2008. And I guess Sweden like always will not give high votes for countries that has Swedes composers like Malta but who knows.
@Marc
It depends on who gets to the final but in the semi I bet Russia, Iceland and perhaps Malta will get high votes. Maybe Netherlands if Douwe Bob gets momentum like the Common Linnets did.
Croatia and Malta are so overrated this year on betting odds .
All west counties will vote high for France and Sweden I think (my country, Spain included, I expect we’ll give 12 and 10 to them. And like 2008 west will not give that much to Russia.
@Loo, Which other countries do you think Sweden will really like and vote?
Btw, If I know my country right, France will get Sweden’s 12 points in the public vote.
Hi everybody, I agree with Russia being a 1990s song, but it is very very possible that it will win. Sweden has found a good formula of borrowing other artists ideas and styles and that is how they are doing so well. But, has anyone noticed how Sweden was on the top op the odds list even before Melodifestival finished? Last year it was David Guetta for Sweden, this year it is Justin Bieber/ Ed Sheeran. This year is not the first time that Ukraine is playing a political card (although everybodys says it has nothing to do with Russia,… Read more »
@Ciara
Bitter huh? Of course Sweden have been doing well due to good songs. I agree on mostly anyone here that we deserved the win more in 2012 than last year, HOWEVER we won fair and square according to the rules so it’s not our fault. We maybe didn’t have the best song last year, but we had the best combination of artist/song and show.
I do not want onother top 2 equal top 2015.
France climp up at the 4th place now 😉
@Olga from Latvia Yes! This is the year Sweden does deserve to win unlike last year. @Loo and @Bella I’m sick of you two saying how great Sweden is, I love Sweden this year, I hope they do well. But come on, Sweden won twice in the last 5 years, we get it, they’re doing well.People don’t hate Sweden because they are doing well. In fact, it’s because (what some people call a ‘copycat song’) Heroes won last year and they didn’t think it deserved it. And now they are top of the betting odds with a song that (in… Read more »
Russia is so overrated this year, good singer but it’s dated and dull
Only reason I am obsessed with Sweden is because of iamamiwhoami. I hope this year they get Jonna Lee to announce the points from To whom it may concern.’s offices in Stockholm!
That said NOTHING EVER will top Loreen. NOTHING. EVER. Don’t even try.
GermanQR, Björkman has also been very accurate with predicting other countries results as well. In 2014 he was one of very few who predicted The Netherlands would be a dark-horse and do well despite fans being sure it would flop. He said they offered something new and would therefore do well. As Loo said, in 2010 he said that Sweden should be prepared to not qualify since there were many ballads that year who were better but that he of course would do his very best to ensure success. Interestingly enough he said the actual opposite this year when guesting… Read more »
This is actually the only year when Sweden deserves the victory. Go FRANS! However, I also really like Justs song, I don’t see it as winner, but would love if it wins, because I’m living in Latvia. Next more realistic winner for me is Hungary. The guy has some power vocals and the song is nice. And an unpopular choice for victory – Georgia. I love the sound of british garage rock (at least I hear it in that way). Eurovision needs something fresh, not those annoying pop tracks and power ballads. This is a qualitative song. A lot of… Read more »
@Loo
Interesting! Did he post his predictions?
can’t be wrong*
In case that Russia or Sweden dont win Norway would be a good winner.
@GermanQR Because he knows. He gets it right almost every time. He even predicted that Anna Bergendahl wouldn’t pass the semi final in 2010 and he was right. I’m not saying he can be wrong, but he’s surely a man with knowledge.
@Loo
I’m sorry, why should we care about what this Björkman guy says?
My favorite songs are “1944” and “If I were sorry”.
@Bella
So Russia and Sweden deserve to win, because they are the Top 2 favourites according to the odds. If I remember right, Russia had the lowest odds even around january or february. I guess Lazarev deserved to win even before he released his song…
Same with Sweden. There was hype around both countries even before the entry or the song was known.
@Denis Yeeey! But yes, Björkman told in some interviews that he think that Frans stands a good chance 🙂
Russia and Sweden will be in top 5. Who will win though? That’s a bigger question imo.
Russia’s song would have been mediocre in 2006, where it belongs. In 2016 it’s just laughable. Yet there they are, topping the bookies’ predictions. Baffling. Before anyone starts crying foul, I’m talking about music, and music only. I must be one of the few Westerners to actually sympathize with Russia, one of the Great Nations of the world yet treated with contempt and disrespect in the West. Go Russia. But your song is ghastly, sorry. 1944’s lyrics are so rash and obvious, so deprived of poetic constructions I find them deplorable. And the music is average at best. Another mystery… Read more »
Loo and bella, I stick with you. Not enough Frans defenders on here, only us three? Anyway, the reason people hate Russia and Sweden is not the artists but rather the fact that they are always on top and always do well, and that rubs people the wrong way. Instead of complaining to their broadcasters to take it more seriously they find it easier to hate on those who do take it seriously. As for what Björkman said, I don’t think he said anything. Of course he won’t never say it’s a bad choice even if he might think so… Read more »
top 2 again wrong…every year the same….hope that will corect them
last 15 places again wrong Switzerland,Estonia,Greece and others are HIGHER!!
Fortunately there is a jury vote because boy Russia and Sweden?? Seriously, they don’t even deserve a top ten position. The bookies are obviously playing safe.
Croatia or Bulgaria should win this year!
We are proud of our NINA! No metter where she is on odds! ??????