As three more countries have revealed their votes for the OGAE Poll 2017, Italy’s lead strengthens, with only Belgium looking like a potential contender to grab the top spot. It’s also good news for Latvia and Ireland — they each received their first lot of points, ensuring each a place on the scoreboard.
First was OGAE Netherlands, who mostly followed the status quo. Their 12 points went to fan favourite Italy, their ten points to Belgium and their eight points to Estonia. The Netherlands did break from convention by awarding Austria a point, making the Netherlands just the third country to give points to “Running on Air”.
Next was OGAE Spain. Their top scores again went to the big favourites. Twelve points to Italy, ten points to Belgium and eight points to Sweden. Spain was also feeling the Irish love and awarded Brendan Murray his first lot of points. It might just have been two points, but it’s enough to ensure a place for Ireland on the scoreboard.
And finally OGAE Lithuania also revealed their votes and things were a little different. While Lithuania’s 12 points went to Italy, their ten points went to Norway and their eight points went to neighbouring Latvia. This ensured that Triana Park also had a place on the scoreboard. Notably, Lithuania had no points to give to fan favourites France and Estonia.
The biggest change on the overall scoreboard is the jump of Norway from 18th to 13th place.
OGAE Poll 2017: Netherlands vote
- Italy – 12 points
- Belgium – 10 points
- Estonia – 8 points
- France – 7 points
- Sweden – 6 points
- Bulgaria – 5 points
- Finland – 4 points
- Portugal – 3 points
- FYR Macedonia – 2 points
- Austria – 1 point
OGAE Poll 2017: Spain vote
- Italy – 12 points
- Belgium – 10 points
- Sweden – 8 points
- Portugal – 7 points
- France – 6 points
- Estonia – 5 points
- FYR Macedonia – 4 points
- Israel – 3 points
- Ireland – 2 points
- Bulgaria – 1 point
OGAE Poll 2017: Lithuania vote
- Italy – 12 points
- Norway – 10 points
- Latvia – 8 points
- Bulgaria – 7 points
- Belgium – 6 points
- Denmark – 5 points
- Finland – 4 points
- Hungary – 3 points
- Portugal – 2 points
- Sweden – 1 point
OGAE Poll 2017: Total so far
- Italy – 169 points
- Belgium – 129 points
- Sweden – 103 points
- France – 87 points
- Estonia – 77 points
- Bulgaria – 38 points
- Portugal – 35 points
- Israel – 32 points
- FYR Macedonia – 31 points
- Finland – 25 points
- Switzerland – 20 points
- Hungary – 18 points
- Norway – 17 points
- Denmark – 15 points
- Romania – 11 points
- Belarus – 10 points
- Cyprus – 9 points
- Latvia – 8 points
- Azerbaijan – 8 points
- Austria – 7 points
- Croatia – 6 points
- Armenia – 5 points
- Ireland – 2 points
- Australia – 2 points
- Iceland – 2 points
- Montenegro – 2 points
- Georgia – 1 point
- United Kingdom – 1 point
These countries are yet to receive any points: Albania, Czech Republic, Germany, Greece, Lithuania, Malta, Moldova, Netherlands, Poland, Russia, San Marino, Serbia, Slovenia, Spain, Ukraine
What do you think of the OGAE poll 2017 vote? Are any countries being overlooked? Are the fan clubs overrating any tunes? Share your thoughts below!
Italy won’t win we are going to get a few dark horses fighting it out, I know your all going to jump on me because I think Italy is overrated and not my type of song but sorry I can’t help it as it totally doesn’t deserve all the hype it’s getting, why is it okay that those who love Italy are allowed to criticise other songs but no ones allowed to criticise Italy and like other songs, Austria, UK , Finland, Bulgaria, Belgium, Portugal, Romanian, Belarus, France or Ireland should win
Bulgaria and Belgium cant sing live. They are horrible.
Completely agree! On the first hear, i hated the Italian song.. But I feel like I’ve been forced to like it just because others mainly liked it and that I would get attacked for not liking it!
Esc Shane, you are the person who sprite hate…..If you dont liek Italy ok you must not like it. But your commrnt is so hatefull.
The Italy song is pretty popular it seems. It sounds almost exactly the same live and the staging elevates it.
Somebody is going to have to do something really special with their performance to prevent it from winning.
Regardless of the competition,
The Portuguese song will be universal, will continue to live for its timeless quality … It will survive all of us!
Actually, few can invoke this in the whole ESC history.
Watch Blanche slaying on Flemish radio MNM! Amazing performance! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h5BGfeZpZpM&list=WL&index=69&t=3s
Or try Qmusic 😉 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LscmL6ewOSc
I’m getting nervous about Italy. He’s favorite, leads OGAE, is seems to me TOO GOOD! He’s my winner and I should be happy, but I can’t. He absolutly deserve this trophy but I’m afraid that in the end jury (or televotes) will ruin him and he will not win 🙁
I think he has a damn good shot with both the jury and televote. It’s a well-written, radio-friendly song by a strong performer, and the public will love the gorilla.
Ufff… Argh… I’m supersticious too… It all seems so incredibly flawless that it can’t be true…
Greece are underrated.
People give way to much credit over OGAE voting and overanalyze it. It’s not prediction in any way, nor is it that complicated.
It’s just a bunch of fans voting for the songs they like. Doesn’t make it 100% sure the result will be like this. As we know rehersal do tend to change things up. And we also know majority of fans don’t vote in the actual contest.
So just because OGAE THINKS” this is the best doesnt mean IT WILL be the best
If it was your precious Sweden in first place you would be praising the OGAE groups and calling it “super realistic” but because it’s Italy all you know how to do is bash it. You truly are pathetic and hypocritical.
Unlike you I actually don’t give a thought to what OGAE thinks, nor do I go out of my way to defend such a trivial thing. I stopped caring somewhere around 2012. I never called it “super realistic”, nor will I ever call it that. Don’t make up words here..
Who wins wins, and that’s that. That’s the result that matters, not some fan voting As for Sweden, I sit, cheer at Robin, getting excited for every point we get, and accept the result.
Though I don’t think it will be a bad result this year..
OGEA give their votes based om the studioverdion!
When we have seen the live reversals ord possible to find out more. It was after the rehersals that france odds vevande higer and ukraines lower last year.
Whatsapp was that??
OGEA give their votes based om the studioversions!!
When we have seen the live rehersals it’s possible to find out more. It was after the rehersals that france odds become higer and ukraines lower last year
12 points – Italy
10 points – Estonia
8 points – Sweden
7 points – Belgium
6 points – FYR Macedonia
5 points – France
4 points – Denmark
3 points – Portugal
2 points – Finland
1 point – Azerbaijan
I was expecting Sweden or Belgium to get the 12 there.
The OGAE Australia votes have been released:
1 point goes to Azerbaijan
2 points go to Finland
3 points go to Portugal
4 points go to Denmark
5 points go to France
6 points go to FYR Macedonia
7 points go to Belgium
8 points go to Sweden
10 points go to Estonia
12 points go to Italy
Glad to see Portugal, FYR Macedonia and Finland there (3 of my personal favourites). And 12 more points to Italy!
Excuse me, dear wiwibloggs…
I can’t see my answers published… tried it several times, they don’t appear… I look miseducated by not answering…Just saying… maybe I’ll find them later and it’s a brief problem… Thanks a lot and congratulations for the blog 🙂
People tend to see what they want to see. They easily get distracted… 2016 is no year to compare with, it was a “political” year… Or agenda year that happens regularly on cycle (see Conchita…). This is much probably the “certainty” year, everything turns in its favour. The cycling wheel of esc strongly suggest this. Loreen 2012 and Rybak 2009 were already the undisputed winners from the first moment they put their feet on national finale stages. Just like Gabbani. This is a matter of fact, you like it or not I don’t care because I know I’m right and… Read more »
Do you have a source for any of your information?
Others I’ve stepped into I can’t recall right now…
Couldn’t agree more. People are underestimating Portugal more than it should. Just look at the ratio likes/dislikes in the official channel of Eurovision and you can see how praised and consecrated has been the song and the sincerity of Salvador. There’s already a solid fan base which definitely increases chances. Not to mention that people look at this song as a nostalgic return to a once more focused Eurovision on music and less on LEDs/pyrotechnics. For me, Portugal will be an underdog. I’ve been predicting a type of Gulazzi classification in the jury. Music experts are falling in love with… Read more »
Yes, you’re right.
Actually I love Raphael Gualazzi.
And I see many similarities in their interpretation (and minimalism) between Salvador Sobral and Mengoni… Love them.
You couldn’t say it better!
Perfect analysis with strong arguments!
It’s not my elaboration. I just collected various scenarios, re-thought them and realized the most convincing 🙂
Well, the staging has to be good and after the rehersals we will find out more about that!
Then if a coutry are in the first part of the show or last is also importent!
I think that Christer Björkman will place those who have got best results i semi, as late as possible in their half. The same for the big five!
Yes, you’re right. I’m waiting for the semifinals just to see which one of the two “ballads” is going to be the most beloved. I’m really curious about Portugal and Bulgaria…
Oh… And don’t we forget Finland… If the performance and staging turn out to be epical, then they can take the place of one of the other two slow tempos…
Very interesting analysis. As much I like my home country’s entry this year (for once!), I don’t think Portugal is a serious contender for victory. Apparently the staging will be super simple and minimalist, which will be a good contrast and they are trying to put the message of the song across. But the language barrier is too striking, it is not what you expect from Eurovision in our days, it has not a surprising factor, and most importantly, you need to have a helping hand from neighbourly and friendly voters and jury, which Portugal just doesn’t have much…
Are you so sure? 🙂 I’m starting to “worry” about Portugal (as an Italian)… You’re gonna have fellow voters, I’m quite sure. Checking forums, esc medias and my very own friends, I found out Italian people (as far as I know French and Spanish too, the latter pretending Sobral is their own singer instead of Navarro, ah ah) are very-very prone, for the most part, to like your entry (home country excluded). Spending a huge amount of good words for it. And I’ve noticed mediterranean countries (Portugal included) often spend their preference on Italy, so… Relative juries have nothing much… Read more »
Hi Elle. Thanks a lot for that info. That is great to know. That would be great, of course, for Portugal. Apparently in 1969 everybody thought Portugal would win and the story goes that every artist apologised to Simone d’Oliveira for their respective country not giving any points. And there other stories like that. I hope history won’t repeat itself. So we are being super cautious. I would super super happy if Italian wins. I wouldn’t miss ESC in Italy for anything in the world
Ah yes, and actually I also believe that Armenia could be a dark horse to win it if the staging and the performance is right.
Thanks for giving points to Alma OGAE The Netherlands and Spain :.-)
I recall that in the 2016 final result, the OGAE gave the 9th place to Ukraine:
1st França – 425 points
9th Ukraine – 88 points
True, but the live version can change everything and also during the live shows other people who didn’t hear the songs can form a first impression.
Italy’s song is nothing special. It’s just an average Italian pop song.
I have a ‘deja vu’ when I hear that song.
The same felling here. But it’s a strong song to fight for the TOP3.
People, can’t you understand this OGAE poll is useless? Let’s go back in the past and check some final OGAE awards from 2013-2016… OGAE 2013: 1. Denmark “Only Teardrops” Emmelie de Forest (374 points) = 2013 Eurovision Winner 2. San Marino “Crisalide (Vola)” Valentina Monetta (282 points) = Didn’t pass the semifinal 3. Norway “I Feed You My Love” Margaret Berger (269 points) = 4th in the Grand Final OGAE 2014: 1. Sweden “Undo” Sanna Nielsen (354 points) = 3rd in the Grand Final 2. Hungary “Running” András Kállay-Saunders (262 points) = 5ft in the Grand Final 3. Israel “Same… Read more »
This was not written by me. Someone is using my Nickname…
Although, I actually agree with that comment. I just wouldn’t put it so aggressively. OGAE reflect a particular taste, which does not seem very representative of the wider audience.
They aren’t asked to predict a winner.
He’s trying to make a point, not to be taken as a model. They’re from usual Eurovision fans from all over Europe, but we all know in Eurovision things change (not all of them voting + there are also the juries involved)…
The Eurovision winner has been in the OGAE top 5 seven times in the last ten years (they only missed Dima Bilan, Azerbaijan and Jamala). So the OGAE top 5 is actually a pretty good indicator: there’s a good chance the winner is in there.
Of course the OGAE ranking is not the exact same as the Eurovision ranking but duh… Same for the bookies, the press awards, the online polls, the Wiwi jury, etc. Only Eurovision counts, that doesn’t mean other rankings are useless.
This year will prove OGAE to be pointless as it should be. Bulgaria is not ranked well in OGAE but it will win Eurovision! You will see… As for the others…
Italy – 2nd, maybe
Belgium – will hardly pass the semifinal
Sweden – top 10, between 7-10
France – top 5
Estonia – places 6-15
Even if the OGAE misses the Eurovision winner this year, they will still have spotted the winner 7 times out of 11 contests. I wouldn’t call that “pointless”. 😉
The poll should be taken as what it is: fan clubs all over Europe voting for the songs they like. Nothing more, nothing less.
The thing that annoys me is that people on here are taking it as fact that Italy will win just because OGAE say so, when most eurovision fans have a very specific taste in music plus I think every year it get increasingly harder to predict a winner when tastes change in the major public and generally become more varied.
I disagree, OGAE is made by Eurovision fans. During Eurovision song contest the televoters (the diaspora, particular) are not like the usual Eurovision fans. They vote for their countries, like it should be…. Look at Poland 2016, Turkey 2010 and so on… This OGAE chart is not like a trend, whoever is well ranked is necessary the winners. Amir of France ended up on #6 last year… San Marino and Israel didn’t pass the semifinal in 2013/2014… Same about Iceland (last year), she was well ranked (top 5) but missed the final. So I wouldn’t count on OGAE that much….… Read more »
Finger cross for Bulgaria
Bulgaria is overrated and very weak.Never won such a weak person.
RIP Estonia 2015, it was one of the best songs and the staging was perfect for the song.
Trumpet and saxophone should be used more in Eurovision songs.
I agree ????
Lithuania keeps canceling itself. First Fusedmarc, now 0 points to Estonia…whew. At least they gave 12 to Italy <3
why do you thunk that everyone should like Estonia? Its not that great !!!!
I like very much Estonian song, it’s great!
I mean, different people different tastes.
I detest Estonias song very much and I highly doubt it will qualify
For those who says “jury won’t vote for this”, you should know that many Europeans critics have said that Italy song is the best so far. So please, stop saying no nonsense things.
Oh, one more thing: for those who thinks that RAI doesn’t want to host eurovision next year: the RAI director have twitted yesterday “Gabbani, go to Kiev and win for us”.
So guys, we don’t have to discuss anymore, he has big chances!
And Italy is the country to beat.. that’s why some people just decided to start hating on it and saying stupid arguments to make this not happen xD
Funny thing is the most likely alternative is Portugal, and if it’s happen, it’s going to get even more hate XD
We fans are pathetic most of the times.
I actually love Portugal song!!
And btw, haters are saying stupid comments to make Italy less loved, but they actually can not see that they’re doing the very opposite!!!
Ahah thank you haters, please go on with this hate that you make people love this song more and more!! 😉 pathetic
Scalp them. The juries have no reason not to vote for Italy’s performance as it’s technically nearly perfect. For those who say he has weak vocals, let me remind you of Alexander Rybak and Lena, both jury winners.
Exctactly!!! He has the whole package and jury will notice it! Haters says these stupid comments just because deep inside of them know how strong Francesco is and they try to make him less loved. But they amctually can not see they are doing the exactly opposite!! Poor envious!! :’)
Exctactly!!! He has the whole package and jury will notice it! Haters says these stupid comments just because deep inside of them know how strong Francesco is and they try to make him less loved. But theyctually can not see they are doing the exactly opposite!! Poor envious!! :’)
And actually he’s great live. His voice fits the song perfectly and his vocals deliver.
It’s not that he has “weak vocals”, it’s that they are a bit grating to listen to and the timbre of his voice isn’t that smooth. In terms of hitting the notes and his pitch, that’s perfectly fine.
Obviously next to Lindita and Anja (as well as others like Lucie, Nathan, Isaiah etc, but Lindita and Anja especially) your vocals are going to be called into question, but Francesco holds his own. This year will actually be interesting in terms of the jury because the most hyped songs don’t necessarily have the best singers.
We don’t know how the juries vill vote. We haven’t seen any actual performance yet, so to say it’s technically near perfect is wrong. We won’t know how good it is until we actually see it and the rehersal. Then we get a clue as how good it will be. The juries base their voting on what they see then and there
I think Italy may be the France of 2016, really popular amongst people but falls flat with Juries. This will come down to staging and I don’t think Italy can do much more, your going to get what you’ve already been given (Dancing Ape and LED’s) and that will loose the “WOW” points.
Well, you should know many European critics already said that Italy had the best song so… we’ll see 🙂
And as much as I remember, neither Russia nor France 2016 had 95.000.000 views in yotube!
Il Volo – Grande amore had around 70. 000 000 in 2015.
1st place on the OGAE’s poll
3rd place on the Final.
Il Volo won the televote with 366 points, though.
Good watch dog again with always the same arguments, vinseya get a life
I agree with you but remember that Francesco is very famous in Italy so lots of Italian people watch his songs on Youtube. There are around 60.000.000 Italian people ! Amir on the contrary was not well-known in France in 2016 at the beginning so he couldn’t have a lot of views compared to Francesco. But I agree that Francesco is a clear winner this year !
Actually Francesco was not famous in Italy before February. And yes, in Italy there are 60.000.000 people but the majority are over 60 years old who can not even use computer. And 30% are children under 12…
so, of course, those views are not all from Italy! You have to remember this song has been transmitted by 34 European countries.
Which famous critics? Critics of what? What kind of critic is known all over Europe?
You can’t compare Francesco to Amir. We know Francesco is the most strong artist on stage this year. Amir wasn’t. Amir was based on the studio version, Francesco we know his live and how strong is the whole package to make an impact 🙂 And also your point saying Amir’s was people’s favourite when France was saved by juries :S France 2016 and Italy 2017 can’t be compare. You can compare it to Norway 2009 😀 We’ll see if EBU allow juries sabotage Italy again. I don’t think so. And “Il Volo” won the televote with the biggest rating ever.… Read more »
Totally agree!!! Thank you for this comment 😉
Amir was 3rd in jury vote and 9th in televote. Your comment CANCELED.
I stand corrected, but for what was a seemingly popular song across a lot of platforms, 109 televoting points and 148 jury points, isn’t exactly great… I just believe this will be the case for Italy, and they will undoubtedly reach the top 10. But the hype around it is too similar to last year. If anything a surprise winner will emerge again… just don’t know who… ????
I hope the juries judge staging on how harmonious it is with the song rather than on how flashy it is. This isn’t the Eurovision Special Effects Contest.
Italy have really catchy song , and the whole package , winner for sure , no doubts !
Italys song is so outdated and average…… OGEA are just voting weird….. Or they vote what they think they are expected to…..
Italys song will not be a hit with the jury at ESC
I’m super butthurt: the post
Well, I think that Belgium will get the points from boath the swedish jury and telewotes. The Italian song isn’t the type of song that the majority of us like. It wouldn’t even go to tha final in swedish national selection, the melfest!
Yes I agree its my 42nd (last)
Thank God Sweden is only one of the 42 participating countries then, or we’d have the same generic radio fodder winning every year
Tbh, I never expect Sweden to vote for Italy.
Out-dated a song who is a massive Hit in 2017. It makes no sense hahaha.
Use other words xD
Most stupid comment ever.
Did you read what you have just post?
Saying that majority don’t like Italy.. when Francesco is leading all the polls. Among Swedes as well xD. Sweden will likely give 10 or 12 to Italy xD
You should know “Occidenatali’s Karma” reach the Top 20 on Itunes on Sweden and Spotify Viral as well.
You are very funny.
And your comment about NF in Sweden is also hilarious hahaha
Occidentali’s Karma was literally top 50 on the Swedish iTunes lmao
Occidentali’s Karma peak at 17 on Swedish Itunes.
And the other song that managed to get into the Top 50 there is Amar pelos dois.
Blanche, Isaiah and Verona were top 100.
Funny thing, last year in the Swedish televote, we saw the bottom was: Malta, Azerbaijan or Czech Republic.. all manufactured Swedish songs. They were bottom everywhere xD
And Sweden gave 8 to Italy in 2015.
Italy will certainly win OGAE and hopefully ESC too! I am happy Ireland finally scores points. 😉
This is bad news for Greece. If the gays dont even like this song – then its going to flop in Kiev
OGAE are all gay? 😮
I didn’t know… 😀
I’m surprised the Netherlands and Greece still haven’t received a single point from the OGAE. Neither song are great but I was still expecting a couple of points here and there. That’s not a good sign for May 13!
Well how accurate is this OGAE prediction?
It shouldn’t be taken seriously. It doesn’t mean these songs will win, just that they have a good chance to do well and maybe win. It’s only Another way of pinpointing the favourites
Sometimes they nail it to a tee, like with Euphoria or Only Teardrops. Sometimes they are way off, like how 1944 got a 9th place with OGAE. However, I don’t think an entry placing low with OGAE has ever won. So, if UK (fingers crossed) or Iceland wins, it would be a precedant.
It’s not a prediction as far as I understand. They vote for what they like. Nordic countries seem to do exceedingly well in their polls. Winners (real result): 2007: Serbia (1st), 2008: Sweden (18th), 2009: Norway (1st), 2010: Denmark (4th), 2011: Hungary (22nd), 2012: Sweden (1st), 2013: Denmark (1st), 2014: Sweden (3rd), 2015: Italy (3rd), 2016: France (6th).
Netherlands (Douwe Bob) received ZERO points last year from OGAE and he still came 11th in the grand final with 153 points!
If Portugal and Finland are doing this great with this fans.. I can’t imagine how well they will do with a wider audience. It’s looking good for both 🙂
And it looks Baltics will love Norway at Esc cause it’s modern and cool.
I recall that in the final result, the OGAE gave the 9th place to Ukraine:
1st França – 425 points
9th Ukraine – 88 points
silly Netherlands with those pathetic scores, here in holland everyone is so arrogant about O’G3NE, and these girls are going to use Visuals of their sick mother in the staging, that’s really low and so disgusting yuk
This is all Avrotros fault. We knew this was going to happen. I would have never chosen these boring girls.
Dutch people deserve the best and not such a bad entry.
yeah i know, but seriously going to use your sick mom for sympathy, that is so pathetic
i would’ve chosen Maan, who i am a huge fan of, lovely voice with the ballads 🙂
Yes. That’s a dirty move.
I guess they are desperate cause they know they will struggle to qualify.
I don’t see it working tbh.
Maan was a better choice yes.
Where did you read or hear that Og3ne will use visuals from their sick mom?
Where is the source where i can read that?
And by the way Maan would be a terrible choice, no charisma no stage presence and no voice at all..
as much as i hate predictability, i hope italy wins in a landslide because we need a decisive winner for once to avoid any controversy.
Yes. I think the same. So does Ebu.. they don’t want more controversies for sure.
We need a winner that would win by any system (like Rybak, Lena, Loreen or Conchita)
This won’t be that year. I doubt Italy would win both juries and tele-voters, if they even win.
We have a top 5. The order of places 4 and 5 may change but it the current five countries will make up the final OGAE top five.
The point difference betweenness Estonia and Bulgaria is almost double. Realistically, there’s no chance anyone’s gonna catch up.
Italy looks unstoppable on this poll. The fans will absolutely love it in Kiev and the hall will become deafening when it comes to Nameste Ale!
Well we have been screaming for “one of the old countries” to win for years. Finally it happened to Germany in 2010 and now 7 years later it may happen again. Italy also deserves it in my opinion with winning televote and being so close. Rome would be super cool and noone would be upset. Go Italy 🙂