We’re just a few hours away from Eurovision 2017, and Eurovision fans are combing through various polls, ratings and odds tables to divine the results. We’re still fairly confident that Portugal, Bulgaria and Italy will battle for the win. But we’re biting our nails anyway, and are now turning to Spotify to see if the charts offer any more clues.
We should note that Spotify use varies significantly by country and that some countries — including Ukraine, Belarus, Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, Azerbaijan, Israel, San Marino, Albania, Slovenia, Croatia, Serbia, FYR Macedonia and Montenegro — don’t have Spotify charts for us to include in our analysis. However, success in the countries that do may offer clues as to how the televote — particularly among young people — will go in the markets included.
Blanche’s “City lights” is the most streamed on Spotify
Spotify features two different charts — one for the most streams, and one for the most viral songs. The former takes a long-term view, whereas the latter suggests which songs are gaining momentum.
In terms of overall streams, Belgium‘s “City lights” takes the trophy.
Blanche’s electro entry progresses in a linear way, but remains dynamic owing to changing instrumentation and swells and dips in her emotions. It’s helped her chart in her home country (4), Iceland (12), Estonia (15), Lithuania (17), Latvia (43), Sweden (95) and Poland (123).
“City Lights” has charted in more countries than any other song, suggesting she stands a good chance of drawing points from across Europe.
Singing about their difficult mother-in-laws and thrusting alongside women dressed as brides, Moldova’s SunStroke Project have one of the most unhinged performances of the year. And their joyful abandon extends to their track, which is winning over fans across the continent.
“Hey, mamma!” has made the charts in five countries. Its highest position is in Iceland, where it sits at number 19. But the funky brides and grooms have also charted in Lithuania (36), Sweden (124), Belgium (163) and Poland (190).
Closing in on the top three, there’s Portugal’s Salvador Sobral.
He has made the charts in three countries: Portugal, Lithuania and Iceland.
“Amar pelos dois” is at number six in the Iberian nation, at 32 in Lithuania and at 43 in Iceland.
Equalling Salvador Sobral, there’s Sweden’s Robin Bengtsson, who has ditched the “F-bomb” that he used at the Swedish selection in favour of the word “frickin'”.
His funk-pop track “I Can’t Go On” has entered the charts in Sweden, Iceland and Lithuania, though it remains in a lower position than Portugal’s entry in both charts. The Swede’s song is at 25 in Iceland, at 34 in Lithuania and at 36 in Sweden.
Italy and Australia have both charted in two countries.
“Occidentali’s Karma” is at number 22 in Francesco’s homeland and at number 60 in Iceland, while Isaiah’s entry “Don’t Come Easy” sits at number 55 in Iceland and 130 in Sweden.
Romania’s “Yodel it!” — which combines Alpine yodelling with hip-hop —has also entered the chart in Iceland, where it sits at number 108.
Moreover, four other countries have charted on home soil. Those are Norway’s “Grab the moment” at 28; Iceland’s “Paper” at 39; Lithuania’s “Rain of Revolution” at 54 and Austria’s “Running on Air” at 179.
Portugal, Belgium and Moldova are the most viral entries on Spotify
Many more songs have entered the viral charts, suggesting a last-minute surge ahead of tonight’s show.
Moldova’s “Hey, mamma!” has made the charts in 21 countries, while Portugal’s “Amar pelos dois” is charting in 19 and Belgium’s”City Lights” in 18. Interestingly, those are the only three songs that have entered the global viral chart.
Despite being the country which has entered the most charts, “Hey, mamma!” isn’t topping any of them. Sunstroke Project’s highest peak is number three in Iceland, and number four in Poland and Lithuania. It has also cracked the top 10 in Sweden, Norway, Ireland and Belgium. They are also at number 29 in the Global chart.
Portugal is doing slightly better in the Global chart. Salvador’s entry is indeed the only one in the top 10, currently at nine. Out of the 19 countries where it’s charting, it has made the top 10 in 11 of them, and it’s at number one in Portugal and Iceland. It’s also at number two in Netherlands and Spain, and at number three in Lithuania.
Salvador’s “Amar pelos dois” is in the top 10 most viral songs in Sweden, Poland, Finland, Belgium, Germany and Estonia, and it has even managed to enter the charts in Luxembourg (which is not taking part) at 28. Interestingly, Salvador has three songs in the chart of his home country, and the instrumental version of “Amar pelos dois” is currently at number 25 in Portugal.
Salvador Sobral interview at Eurovision 2017
Belgium’s Blanche is also cracking the viral charts. It’s at number one in Belgium and Lithuania, and at number two in Poland, Iceland and Estonia. “City lights” sits at number three in Sweden and Portugal as well. Blanche has also made the top 10 in the Netherlands, Norway and Latvia. The Belgian song sits at number 26 in the global viral chart.
A number of acts have also been doing really well in the viral charts. Namely Romania’s “Yodel it!”, which has entered 15 countries’ tops, including Belgium (where it’s at number five), Spain, United Kingdom, Australia and Sweden.
Sweden’s Robin Bengtsson, Bulgaria’s Kristian Kostov and Norway’s JOWST have charted in six participant countries. “Beautiful Mess” is at number two in Bulgaria, and “I Can’t Go On” has entered the top 10 in Estonia and Iceland. Moreover, the Swedish entry has also charted in Luxembourg (40).
Francesco Gabbani charts in eight countries, Lucie Jones in none
It’s relatively normal that the direct qualifiers — Italy, Spain, France, Germany, the United Kingdom and host country Ukraine — don’t do that well yet in the viral charts, given that they haven’t performed their full entry in a televised semi-final.
Nonetheless, Italy’s “Occidentali’s karma” has entered the charts in eight countries, including Iceland, where it sits at number four. And it’s also charting in countries like Spain, Sweden, Finland and Portugal.
Out of the rest of the big five, France’s Alma is charting in four countries, while Spain’s Manel Navarro has entered the charts in two other nations. Germany’s Levina has entered the Polish chart at 29 as well.
The big surprise comes from the United Kingdom. In recent days, Lucie Jones has been skyrocketting in the betting odds after her gorgeous staging caught us all by surprise in the first rehearsal. However, Spotify users don’t seem to be feeling the hype, as “Never Give Up On You” isn’t charting anywhere. Perhaps it’s best experienced as a stage show.
Slavko and Brendan are the highest charting non-qualifiers
They crashed out of the semi-finals. But Montenegro’s pony-tail is still spinning in the minds of many, and Ireland’s balloon appears to have taken flight in some markets.
Slavko Kalezic’s “Space” has entered the charts in Australia, Belgium, Germany and the Netherlands, while Brendan Murray’s “Dying to Try” has charted in Spain, Estonia and Norway, and it sits in a respectable fifth place on home soil.
Right after them, Estonia’s Koit Toome and Laura, Iceland’s Svala and, rather shockingly, Lithuania’s Fusedmarc, are currently charting in three countries each.
Surprisingly, several finalists haven’t charted in any country. That’s the case for Belarus, Ukraine, United Kingdom, Cyprus and the Netherlands.
Which countries stream Eurovision songs the most?
On a more nerdy note, the country with the most songs currently charting is Estonia, with 14 entries on their chart, followed by Belgium and Poland with 12, and the Netherlands and Norway with 11 each. The only participating country where no Eurovision entry has entered the chart is France.
Do you think the Spotify charts predict the televoting results in any way? Would you like to see this top three in the final? Tell us in the comments section below!
Full breakdown of the viral charts (I looked in Spotontrack):
Well, these 3 were in the top 4…
Armenians are not Gypsies. Borat is not Armenian but Kazakh. Armenians are not trolls they are a good diaspora. Armenians are Whites and Aryans. Armenia is the mother of Europe. Russians and Ukrainians are Mongols. Israel and Turkey are not Europe. Azerbaijan is Negroid and not Europe.
Armenians are 1st Genocide of 6,5 millions dead. Armenians are 1st Christians. You are all children of King Hayes Hayastan 5000 B.C. See Bible.
Borat is neither Kazakh or Armenian. It’s Romanian but made to say Kazakh.
Borat is Kazakh in the film and American in reality :)) The scene in the beginning of the film is filmed in Romania, that’s all.
Many rumours that Portugal won jury vote. And that’s for sure, Portugal won Best singer and Best melody of the Eurovision, it is confirmed..
Updated winning probabilities:
it will win Portugal or Italy. thsts for sure.
PORTUGAL will win Eurovision 2017. Deserves this year.
You know, still no words about who won press awards last night? or commentators award?
Or is it no longer in your interest to publish anything where Italy comes up on top?
You should have also noted the most streamed songs overall, this as an example
Portugal won on judges voting! Here are results! http://bit.ly/2qDzEcY
No, t think it’s already clear after you did your “Do Itunes predict success, Do YouTube predict success” and “Do Google predict success” that nothing in fact predicts success. Apart from showing which songs might live on after ESC. But then again most ESC entries don’t become hits either so..
I doubt Moldova would be a hit afterwards. or Portugal. Somehow I really doubt people in Stockholm or Berlin would hum the Portuguese tune.