The first rehearsals for semi final 1 of Eurovision 2015 have come to an end. As Bojana Stamenov straightens her hair and as Nina Sublatti dry cleans her leather hot pants, all y’all with spare coins can now start thinking seriously about your bets. Following the rehearsals the bookmakers appear to have had a long, hard think about the betting odds for the grand final and semi final 1. A dolla makes us holla, so below we take you through some of the highlights of the ever-changing oddstable.
Eurovision odds: Who will win the grand final?
Russia’s Polina Gagarina delivered a flawless performance on Tuesday with her anthem to peace “A Million Voices”. The bookies were likely clapping along during the bridge, as Polina has stormed into the top 5 to win it all with all betting agencies shortening her odds. Last week, Russia sat as seventh favourite on 20-1. After Tuesday’s rehearsal, Polina has seen her odds drop to as low as 9-1 and she is threatening Estonia to become fourth favourite. Russia’s staging might be completely white, but their betting odds are all in blue! Do you think Miss Gagarina can keep on rising?
If Polina is rising, then someone’s falling, and that’s Finland’s PKN, who are now at their lowest place in the betting odds for the grand final — sixth. Finland were one of the big favourites to win immediately after PKN were picked at Uuden Musikiin Kilpailu, but the bookmakers seem to be losing interest after yesterday’s rehearsal. The Finns now sit at 16-1, but they’ll surely keep on rocking every rehearsal and every performance. That’s true punk style, y’all!
Finland and Russia’s neighbours Estonia are clinging to their fourth place position in the ranking – for now. That’s right: Tallinn needs to sound the alarm as Estonia’s odds are drifting at every betting agency. Elina & Stig won our hearts yesterday, but it seems that the bookies are not as impressed as we are. Some bookmakers now put Estonia on 10-1 or 12-1, while their peak had been 9-1 last week. Maybe they didn’t like all those shadows?
Estonians may sound the alarm, but if someone has to declare the state of emergency, it’s F.Y.R. Macedonia. Daniel Kajmakoski’s performance featuring MERJ seems to have horrified the bookies, who have pushed him down from 18th favourite to win to 30th. Panic! Daniel told us they were still making some changes to their performance the night before, so we understand why this rehearsal was a mess, but the bookmakers have shown him no mercy. It’s curious how some bookies had Daniel’s victory down at 50-1 last week and now they have him on 150-1. His chances are blowing away like the autumn leaves…
On the other hand, Greece’s Maria Elena Kyriakou has something to celebrate after her first rehearsal. She has jumped from 25th place last week to 19th today, and that’s the biggest rise for now. If any of you doubt her staging or vocals, give the bookies a call because they are seeing things clearly. Maria-Elena has far more than “One Last Breathe” to give us!
Eurovision 2015: First semifinal odds
Things change a bit if we take a look at the betting odds for the first semifinal on its own. Russia is the favourite to win semifinal 1, with Estonia, Albania, Finland and Belgium following. It’s interesting to see how Albania’s betting odds jump from a mid-table result with all the competitors to a top 3 finish in the semifinal. Does this foretell a flop for Elhaida in the final? Let’s hope not!
Georgia, Belarus, Romania, Armenia and Serbia round out the top 10.
Semifinal 1: Odds to qualify
Of course, we have to remember those are odds to win the semi-final, not odds to qualify. According to PaddyPower, the following 10 acts will make it through: Russia, Estonia, Belgium, Finland, Romania, Albania, Georgia, Armenia, Greece and Belarus. That means FYR Macedonia, Denmark, Hungary, Serbia, the Netherlands, and Moldova are out.
We’d fight them on several of these…particularly Hungary. Did they not see her amazing staging today?!
Follow the latest Eurovision betting odds here
Photo: Andres Putting (EBU)