The first rehearsals for semi final 1 of Eurovision 2015 have come to an end. As Bojana Stamenov straightens her hair and as Nina Sublatti dry cleans her leather hot pants, all y’all with spare coins can now start thinking seriously about your bets. Following the rehearsals the bookmakers appear to have had a long, hard think about the betting odds for the grand final and semi final 1. A dolla makes us holla, so below we take you through some of the highlights of the ever-changing oddstable.

Eurovision odds: Who will win the grand final?

Russia’s Polina Gagarina delivered a flawless performance on Tuesday with her anthem to peace “A Million Voices”. The bookies were likely clapping along during the bridge, as Polina has stormed into the top 5 to win it all with all betting agencies shortening her odds. Last week, Russia sat as seventh favourite on 20-1. After Tuesday’s rehearsal, Polina has seen her odds drop to as low as 9-1 and she is threatening Estonia to become fourth favourite. Russia’s staging might be completely white, but their betting odds are all in blue! Do you think Miss Gagarina can keep on rising?

If Polina is rising, then someone’s falling, and that’s Finland’s PKN, who are now at their lowest place in the betting odds for the grand final — sixth. Finland were one of the big favourites to win immediately after PKN were picked at Uuden Musikiin Kilpailu, but the bookmakers seem to be losing interest after yesterday’s rehearsal. The Finns now sit at 16-1, but they’ll surely keep on rocking every rehearsal and every performance. That’s true punk style, y’all!

Finland and Russia’s neighbours Estonia are clinging to their fourth place position in the ranking – for now. That’s right: Tallinn needs to sound the alarm as Estonia’s odds are drifting at every betting agency. Elina & Stig won our hearts yesterday, but it seems that the bookies are not as impressed as we are. Some bookmakers now put Estonia on 10-1 or 12-1, while their peak had been 9-1 last week. Maybe they didn’t like all those shadows?

Estonians may sound the alarm, but if someone has to declare the state of emergency, it’s F.Y.R. Macedonia. Daniel Kajmakoski’s performance featuring MERJ seems to have horrified the bookies, who have pushed him down from 18th favourite to win to 30th. Panic! Daniel told us they were still making some changes to their performance the night before, so we understand why this rehearsal was a mess, but the bookmakers have shown him no mercy. It’s curious how some bookies had Daniel’s victory down at 50-1 last week and now they have him on 150-1. His chances are blowing away like the autumn leaves…

On the other hand, Greece’s Maria Elena Kyriakou has something to celebrate after her first rehearsal. She has jumped from 25th place last week to 19th today, and that’s the biggest rise for now. If any of you doubt her staging or vocals, give the bookies a call because they are seeing things clearly. Maria-Elena has far more than “One Last Breathe” to give us!

Captura (44)

 

Captura (45)

 

Captura (46)

Eurovision 2015: First semifinal odds

Things change a bit if we take a look at the betting odds for the first semifinal on its own. Russia is the favourite to win semifinal 1, with Estonia, Albania, Finland and Belgium following. It’s interesting to see how Albania’s betting odds jump from a mid-table result with all the competitors to a top 3 finish in the semifinal. Does this foretell a flop for Elhaida in the final? Let’s hope not!

Captura (43)

Georgia, Belarus, Romania, Armenia and Serbia round out the top 10.

Semifinal 1: Odds to qualify

Of course, we have to remember those are odds to win the semi-final, not odds to qualify. According to PaddyPower, the following 10 acts will make it through: Russia, Estonia, Belgium, Finland, Romania, Albania, Georgia, Armenia, Greece and Belarus. That means FYR Macedonia, Denmark, Hungary, Serbia, the Netherlands, and Moldova are out.

We’d fight them on several of these…particularly Hungary. Did they not see her amazing staging today?!

Screen Shot 2015-05-13 at 02.20.41

 

Follow the latest Eurovision betting odds here

Photo: Andres Putting (EBU)

 

46 Comments
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robin
robin
5 years ago

not real informacion. georgia leader semi final 1

Asteroidins
Asteroidins
5 years ago

MALTA SHOULD BE 1ST THE BEST SONG THIS YEAR!!!!!!

LAWL
LAWL
5 years ago

Russia is now on fifth place :S
But it doesn’t matter: Belgium or The Netherlands will win the first semi-final

per
per
5 years ago

I hope Russia not gonna win this year. I hope its be many contrys who not be in ESC 2016

Dan
Dan
5 years ago

Vadim, ?????? ??? ??????????? ????? ????????? ?????????, ??????? ???? ?? ???????????? ?????-???? ??????????????.

Per
Per
5 years ago

And Russia is always in the top. it dosent matter if they have a god or a bad song. They are popular every year. boo

bavarson
bavarson
5 years ago

OK, I was wrong with Russia. Now I see it, but i’m just starting my activity. Now I know that Russia has no chance for top 5. Denmark, Sweden, Norway, Poland and Azerbaijan look most certain at this moment.

Eugene ESC UK
5 years ago

Just to clarify for the less experienced :-

1) Good staging will not improve a bad song into a contender to win (Armenia, Georgia)
2) Bad staging can affect a good song’s chances of winning (Estonia.)
3) Good staging can turn a decent song into a wow song (Russia, Sweden)

The winners in the betting since Sunday by odds, (Bet365) :-
Italy
Russia
Azerbaijan
Norway
Romania
Greece

Losers :-
Sweden
Estonia
Slovenia

Per
Per
5 years ago

Bavarson: And a homophobiq its an idiot to, like you

bavarson
bavarson
5 years ago

It is hard for idiots to like good things, because if they like good things, then they are no longer idiots. This is a pure logic.

marinek
marinek
5 years ago

My top 5 from rehearsals semi 1
1.Greece
2.Russia
3.Estonia
4.Albania
5.Georgia

ESCaddict
ESCaddict
5 years ago

Hold on, Fatima. You read bavarson’s comments?

bavarson
bavarson
5 years ago

This my 1st serious Eurovision. Russia has good song, but now it’s time to talk about whole entries. Bad staging can completely destroy power of song.

Eris
Eris
5 years ago

Albania wasn’t hurt by the rehearsal on the bookies. Russia may win the 1st semi. It’s either them or Estonia.

Fatima
Fatima
5 years ago

Hang on bavarson, on April 2 you were saying that all the songs apart from Russia were ‘crap’ …

wozzeck
wozzeck
5 years ago

Dear Mario: This time Russia won’t get booed for its anti gay policies. They’ll get booed for sending a song about peace for the third year, being the most threatening country for peace in the continent. They’ll get booed for their hypocrisy until they shove their propaganda up their butt.

bavarson
bavarson
5 years ago

Many people are idiots and that’s why they understand and like idiotic craps such as Russia, Belgium, Albania or Georgia and they don’t understand and hate masterpiece from Denmark.

paco
5 years ago

Os voy a contar una bonita historia.Cuando era niño salia a la calle a jugar con mis amiguitos y algunos jugaban conmigo sin problema pero habian otros niños y niñas que no jugaban conmigo se reian de mi y me llamaban MARIQUITA,ahora me siento poderoso y seguro de mi y si me dicen eso por la calle me puedo defender solo ,asumir la ofensa que ya no me ofende o llamar a la policia pàra denunciar,POSDATA a quien hierro mata hierro muere

Guys please do NOT boo dear Polina GayGayRina!
Guys please do NOT boo dear Polina GayGayRina!
5 years ago

Polina Ga(y)Ga(y)rina must not get booed at all when she is about to perform live on stage of Vienner Stadhalle… Its not her fault & the blame should not go on her just because her country’s homophobic anti gay policy & because Russians are homophobic… You know that…There are Russians that are gay homosexuals… What if a gay Russian singer {like the hot russian babe Sergey Lazarev <3 } was about to represent Russia in our Vision?? He would not get booed 4 sure.. What if a singer that would be gay friendly & supporter of our rights was about… Read more »

Seán
Seán
5 years ago

I know there isn’t much favour out there for Denmark, but I suspect they will qualify. It’s a very catchy song and is completely different from the rest of the songs in this semi.

Having said that given that they rejected Anne Gadegaard, I would love to see them punished….

SpirK
SpirK
5 years ago

After all the countries of the semi final 1 rehearsed, here is my top 16 of the rehearsals: 1. Hungary 2. Georgia 3. Greece 4. Estonia 5. Russia 6. Armenia 7. Belgium 8. Albania 9. Denmark 10. Romania 11. F.Y.R.O.M 12. Serbia 13. Finland 14. The Netherlands 15. Belarus 16. Moldova If things stay the way they are, I think that the top 16 will be like this: 1. Estonia 2. Russia 3. Greece 4. Armenia 5. Georgia 6. Hungary 7. Belgium 8. Albania 9. Romania 10. Denmark 11. Finland 12. Serbia 13. Belarus 14. F.Y.R.O.M 15. The Netherlands 16.… Read more »

bavarson
bavarson
5 years ago

I’m not from Denmark of course. Simply each man holding a brain should see the biggest potential in this entry.

bavarson
bavarson
5 years ago

Russia ruined their entry. Now Denmark is certain winner of 1st semi final.

1. Denmark
2. Russia
3. Estonia

Maarten
Maarten
5 years ago

The Netherlands is rising again. Thank god.

escfan702
escfan702
5 years ago

i prefer to listen to a good ballad song. There are good ballad singers from both sexes. However, sometimes i like to listen to other genres as well. i think that a ballad song is gonna be the winner of esc 2015.

Nicky
Nicky
5 years ago

Bojana’s charm or better say her extremely likeable personality and her charisma are a bit underrated. And her stage and screen presence (well, you can’t deny ”the presence”) make Greek and Russian girls faceless and fadable copies. I mean, she is like the gay icon of ESC 2015, while the others are, well, singers.

Mario
Mario
5 years ago

@ Well i strongly disagree about this gay thing that you claim really…

So to have us like a beautiful ballad song sang by a woman with beautiful voice does this means that we are too gay & we like the same formula…??
Well its the key 4 success only..

Ballads will always do well & have certain appeal to eurofans gay or STRAIGHT…Not only the homosexual eurofans love them of course..

I find your remark just idiotic..

DToes
DToes
5 years ago

I love how Greece starts to be liked

Nicky
Nicky
5 years ago

Am I the only one here who can see Bojana Stamenov in the final? You really think that the crowd will not vote for her after she comes out on the stage all like ”Diana Ross meets Aretha Franklin meets Cher” and drops the disco part?

escfan702
escfan702
5 years ago

I find it really odd, that yesterday everbody was in extacy about the Nina’s performance and yet her odds are basically nearly the same. she looked stunning on stage.

MTD
MTD
5 years ago

I dunno how every freakin year, you gay boys & girls are over your heads on power ballads sung by powerful women. I mean, really? Greece & Russia, both are the same in terms of women/power. I can’t understand you. It’s your usual “gay drama”.

Mario
Mario
5 years ago

Well everything play role in EuroVision… Not ONLY 100% the song.. If you have a great song BUT no any visuals/no gimmics,no lights,awful camera sights,bad hairstyle,bad clothes.. & there are others also really good songs that have all the above then you can guess about which songs will gonna do well & which won’t.. If only the songs mattered then we would rate them only on their studio version hearing their clips & we would not had to watch them getting performed live on stage of EuroVision.. It would be totally boring if we did not have all these visual… Read more »

Mario
Mario
5 years ago

@ Well if you think that Russia is overrated then what happens about Australia that is much more overrated..??
I might have Russia’s song as my 14th most liked/40 but i have Australia’s 37th/40 & it is way less good than Polina’s..

Milla
Milla
5 years ago

I’m sorry but I can’t get over the fact that it’s Russia.. People seem blinded by all the lights 😀

Vadim
Vadim
5 years ago

Russians(87%) support Putler’s External Politics, therefore they deserve to be boowed… Even this singer is a member of his team. 10 000 YOUNG UKRAINIANS, who were killed since 2014 – Won’t be FORGOTTEN. MOLDOVA supports UKRAINE.

John
John
5 years ago

I hope people don’t boo Polina on stage just because she is representing Russia. It really annoys me how the LGBT crowd seem to want respect and love but feel the need to boo innocent artists, you aren’t excused.

Leo
Leo
5 years ago

Russia was the biggest possitive surprise:

Sometimes …………it just does not work in politics
Sometimes………….rarely they tell us the truth in politics
BUT FOR TODAY AT THE ESC REHEARSALS FOR THE 1 ST SEMI FINAL RUSSIA SHOWED US THE A WONDERFUL BRILLIANT STAGING WITH EXCELLENT PERFORMIMG AND THAT WAS A MASSIV POSSITIVE SURPRISE. Give to them a big applause!
Today it’s Russia’s day: DAVEI PRIVIET RUSSIA. PRIVIET ??????

Yoka
Yoka
5 years ago

12 points to Italy from Serbia!

Abraname
Abraname
5 years ago

Russia is overrated. Polina can’t get even in top-10.

Otna
Otna
5 years ago

Wouldn’t object to Polina storming home and winning it – she is incredible.

BunnyC
BunnyC
5 years ago

Estonia is still the best imo <3

lacrymea
lacrymea
5 years ago

I choose best song over pretty lights anytime. Estonia is still my solid number one, although i think the general negative vibe on the internet yesterday means they stand little chance of taking the trophey home. Why this happened? Beats me.

Mario My Vision of Gay Love
Mario My Vision of Gay Love
5 years ago

Here is my current ranking on the 1st SF 1) My Winner **Georgia** ~ 9/10 ~ My personal #1 favorite of this year’s Vision! <3 —————————————————————- 2) Holland ~ 7,5/10 ~ My 3rd/40 3) Serbia ~ 6,5/10 ~ My 6th/40 4) Hungary ~ 6,5/10 ~ My 7th/40 5) Armenia ~ 6/10 ~ My 11th/40 6) Russia ~ 6/10 ~ My 14th/40 7) Estonia ~ 6/10 ~ My 15th/40 8) Denmark ~ 6/10 ~ My 18th/40 9) Belarus ~ 6/10 ~ My 19th/40 10) Greece ~ 6/10 ~ My 20th/40 ——————————————————– 11) Albania ~ 6/10 ~ My 21st/40 12) FYR ~… Read more »

hurrizah
hurrizah
5 years ago

Italy will win, it has all the ingredients of an ESC-victory. Screaming refrain. Yupp thats it. 12p Italy from Sweden

Mario My Vision of Gay Love
Mario My Vision of Gay Love
5 years ago

Congratulations to dear Polina Ga(y)Ga(y)Rina 🙂 4 me she is the hot candidate 4 the trophy of Next Top Model {along with Marjetka of Slovenia } & i find Polina the best female vocalist in Vienna’s Vision <3 🙂 I really like her song *Million Voices* <3 Its my 14th most liked among the 40 & my 6th most liked song on the 1st SF.. Really great that Polina surpassed the horrible ''song'' of Finland & now sits on 5th place…Slovenia & Norway should climp higher on 6th & 7th place.. And Australia should go down as that song is… Read more »

Jeremiah
Jeremiah
5 years ago

Russia has a solid entry this year and deserves to be in the running for a win. People who focus on the politics of Russsia should take a look at internal and external issues elsewhere. No one is complaining in the Eurovision circle about Australia’s treatment of refugees…or about European treatment of the Roma people…or about the flagrant violations of international law committed by NATO members. Focus on the music, not politics. It’s Eurovision Song Contest, not Eurovision Political Contest.