We’re still only just about catching our breaths after another incredible national final weekend. After some huge shocks and with nine more songs confirmed, it’s time to check out where the odds lie for the overall Eurovision 2016 winner. With oddschecker.com as our guide once again, here’s what the bookmakers are saying right now about the Eurovision 2016 odds.

Eurovision 2016 Odds: March 8, 2016

eurovision 2016 odds 8th March

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Sweden move to the top

It’s never surprising to see Sweden towards the top of the odds, but the fact they’ve topped them before Melodifestivalen has even finished is a real move. Of course, as we discussed in our latest Melfest odds post, the real leader here is Frans. There’s a strong belief that “If I Were Sorry” is not only Sweden’s next song for Eurovision, but the next Eurovision winner too. Sweden’s odds have fallen from 7-1 last week to, at best, 5-2. Then again, we all saw what happened with the last favourite to win Eurovision on Saturday night. Could it happen again this weekend — and if it does, is there still enough confidence in the likes of Wiktoria and Robin Bengtsson to keep them there?

Russia hold second, Poland fall down

With the release of “You Are The Only One” getting a positive reaction from most Eurovision fans, it seems that Russia are set to stay in the top two for the time being. Sergey is already in the top three of our weekly poll and it seems that there’s a real belief Russia can win for a second time. Russia’s odds have mostly remained the same this week, with 9-2 available at this moment.

As previously mentioned, the big “loser” in the odds this week has been Poland. After Margaret was cast aside in Krajowe Eliminacje, the market does not seem to have the same confidence in Michal Szpak. Poland dropped like a stone, from 3-1 favourites and now sit outside the top five with best odds of 20-1. It could be worse, of course, but it’s likely that will drift further over the next few days.

https://youtu.be/9cDxkoKSg-M?list=PLuBPg3ImZOjYp-m0pc1JvKZsyhekfSd7g

Drifting odds across the board

Outside of Sweden and Russia though, it’s mostly been a week of bad news for everyone else’s odds. In fact, the only other countries who have seen their best odds shorten are the Czech Republic (down from 100-1 to 50-1) and Austria (with Zoe moving slightly less, from 100-1 to 80-1). It seems that the market is very much settling in on the top two at this moment.

Australia now seems to be the main source of competition. The reveal of Dami Im as their representative didn’t move their odds much, with either 12-1 or 14-1 available for the most part. If Dami can pull a strong song out for Eurovision, she could prove to be a worthy challenger. Also of note is the other female in the top five: Armenia’s Iveta Mukuchyan might not have won everyone over with “LoveWave” but with odds of 16-1 available, the bookmakers certainly seem to respect her chances.

The top five is completed by Latvia, with Justs dropping back, perhaps as a result of “You Are The Only One”‘s release. Similarly, Germany, France and Ukraine all have taken hits in the top ten – but perhaps of note, once again, is Cyprus doing very well for themselves at 25-1. The underdogs are still in it, y’all!

What do you think of the odds this week? Could Sweden really make it two wins in a row as the bookmakers are predicting? Let us know in the comments section or via our Twitter page.

You can follow all of our Eurovision Odds news here

109 Comments
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Mark
Mark
5 years ago

Agree, Spain is the top one favorite!!!

james
james
5 years ago

do you guys know what music means?
go read Spain!

Tony Memory
Tony Memory
5 years ago

all in the TOP: Left Side of the voting board: Azerbaijan. Cyprus, Australia, Russia, Italy, Czechoslovakia, Romania. France.
Top Three:

BUT for me very close among these songs.

1st ITALY,
2nd Cyprus.
3rd.Australia.
4th Russia,

Dom
Dom
5 years ago

I can’t decide if I like the emotional impact of Israel or the performance attributes by Serbia best. Amazingly brilliant performances.

Luka Stoji?evi?
Luka Stoji?evi?
5 years ago

I’m bored of Sweden. Maybe Serbia, Bosnia and Herzegovina? Australia? Maybe Croatia? I’m sick of Austria and Conchita and Sweden. They won second time in 3 years. That is very very sick.

Ana
Ana
5 years ago

The eurovision contest is the most unfair contest of all times! Jury doesn`t take serious our votes, we can send millions sms`s, we can vote on the internet before the contest, and winner always will be political winner! Really good songs are the last on the lists, really good singers are forgotten, because the winner is a man with beatuiful dress and disgusting beard on the face, or the winner is from the country that we MUST vote because of political issue. If EC would be fair many exellent people could be the winners because they simply deserve. This year… Read more »

Le blogeur gai
Le blogeur gai
5 years ago

Very disappointed with the result of Melodifestivalen this year.

“If I Were Sorry” is such an awful song.

Sweden won’t win.

The “cutesy, fake Brit” delivery has been done to death. We’ve heard that sort of delivery twice from Germany’s Lena.

jola
5 years ago

My ideal Eurovision 2016
:)) POLAND :))
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kj95aWw1T0E?

Ken
Ken
5 years ago

this scares me because the songs that are leading are not my favorite 🙁

rufus
rufus
5 years ago

i dont think sweden has the best song, its good, but it dont make you shiver.
russias song is even worse and fake.
more original is latvian song, more sensitive, very different from others, hope it will win

Random.sage2.6
Random.sage2.6
5 years ago

Btw. China “might” still be in. Remember how Australia was announced last year.

Random.sage2.6
Random.sage2.6
5 years ago

@fikri
The main political issue in Euro right now is about the Syrian refugees coming in. The political issues Jamala’s song talks about isn’t about arabs but ppl will spin it that way. Hell, even Greece announced their song is inspired by the Syian war going on right now.

Eurovision has and will be political & cultural in one way or another.

oxyk
oxyk
5 years ago

do you know good old song of Dee D Jackson “Thunder and Lightning”? it have “exciting” ending too 🙂 It’s OK to use the same words to put your rhyme?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pT2MbYkKtLw

when I listen to Russian song I Imagine Lazarev in a wig of Helena Paparizou shaking his goods like Dee and rolling his eyes like Philip Kirkorov (because the music itself is so pompous, so over dramatic, just like from pompous king Philip). do you really think that it can win? what kind of amnesia and bad taste one should have to make it happen?

Jasmine
Jasmine
5 years ago

When MGR is accountable for 25 % of the comments …… Just another ordinary day att Wiwibloggs.

europa
europa
5 years ago

Since bookies have not put bad odds on sweden or russia for some time the fact that they are favourites should be taken cautiously, and pre-hype around the two biases everyone’s opinions. Sweden and Russia were favourites before the season began. The bookies odds are becoming a hindrance to any real discussion of possible winners, and potentially to the entertainment of the show. Where’s the excitement if the bookies will say it’s all a foregone conclusion? Are we watching 8 hours of tv to find out who’ll be third? Sweden would be wise to play cautiously as hosts. If they… Read more »

MGR
MGR
5 years ago

I want “Flame” with four backing singers in the middle!!!!

Jack
Jack
5 years ago

My predictions in Eurovision 2016 as follows:

1. Poland
2. Hungary
3. Sweden

Thank you and goodbye

MGR
MGR
5 years ago

PLEASE NOT TO WASTE “FLAME”!!!!!!

MGR
MGR
5 years ago

I HAVE SOLUTION!!!!

ALEXEY GROSS FOR ESC 2016!!!!!!

IVAN FOR ESC 2017!!!!! (internally selected)

PLEASE BELARUS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

MGR
MGR
5 years ago

Of course Ivan also may be good if you look at all participants this year, but Alexey Gross was winner of ESC 2016!!!!!!!

MGR
MGR
5 years ago

I will hate Belarus if they will not change their crap Ivan for Alexey Gross!!!!!

MGR
MGR
5 years ago

Also Belarus has still time to change their participant, because Alexey Gross was the best from the beginning.

MGR
MGR
5 years ago

Look at “If I Were Sorry”. “Pioneer” or “Icebreaker”. They are really not that special. Ira Losco was my favorite from the beginning and first thought is often the best.

MGR
MGR
5 years ago

Ira Losco has really great song “Chameleon”! Why does she want to change it? Why Malta can not win the Eurovision Song Contest? Because organization is too expensive?

MGR
MGR
5 years ago

Frans has weak entry with some gimmicks. That’s all. For me this is clearly second “A Monster Like Me”.

MGR
MGR
5 years ago

Here is my final rating for Melodifestivalen 2016: Panetoz – Hall Om Mig Hart 5/10 Lisa Ajax – My Heart Wants Me Dead 5/10 David Lindgren – We Are Your Tomorrow 5/10 Saraha – Kizunguzungu 6/10 Oscar zia – Human 5/10 Ace Wilder – Don’t Worry 6/10 Robin Bengtsson – Constellation Prize 6/10 Molly Sanden – Youniverse 5/10 Boris Rene – Put Your Love On Me 6/10 Frans – If I Were Sorry 7/10 Wiktoria – Save Me 6/10 Samir & Viktor – Bada Nakna 10/10 The lowest points for weakest entries, highest points for strongest entry. It is so… Read more »

eurana
eurana
5 years ago

Poland is now in fifth place in bookmakers. Top 5. Color of your Life has more than half million views in just 3 days on Youtube. Also more than 10 thousand likes. Nobody there complain about Margaret anymore. They are talking how perfect is Michal singing and the songs message. 12 points are coming from the whole Europe on the comments.

Ariso Light
Ariso Light
5 years ago

Well Iceland still is my favourite and she is not copying Mans Zelmerlow as she is using real shadows and ink in water Mans Zelmerlow used animation! Her moves are nothing like Loreen either!
My top 3:
1. Iceland
2. Ukraine
3. Russia

fikri
fikri
5 years ago

@Random.sage2.6: uhhh what do arabs got to do with ukraine? jamala’s crimean tatar. also china will not debut this year. the participating countries already finalised. next year maybe. 😀

Random.sage2.6
Random.sage2.6
5 years ago

Who possibly will win: Sweden (simple performance, catchy, relaxed) Russia (Dima Bilan 2.0, well formulated, cheesy [but we like cheesy]) Ukraine (New, unique sound, ARABS!!! That’s the political theme this year, right?) Bosnia and Herzegovina (ALL THE BALKANS ARE BACK!) Australia (Fresh countries can’t go wrong! And they HAVE to face the semis now) Maybes & Dark Horses: Armenia Serbia The Netherlands Latvia China (If they get the green light) And no one else, so far. Sit and spin on a big one if you can’t get with it. And if you’re into that sort of thing then I hope… Read more »

fikri
fikri
5 years ago

i want eurovision to go east this time so i’m looking foward to azerbaijan. armenia and russia already has great songs and good odds.

tady
tady
5 years ago

Wait couple of days for the Czech entry, guys. It seems Czech Republic is getting ready something HUGE!

AurelianTamisan
AurelianTamisan
5 years ago

The odds at this moment have no importance. It’s still strange how Poland could still be on a first 3 favourites if they don’t have the song which put Poland that high. It should be a totally different rank now. Some possible winners, with no good odds so far, in my opinion: Iceland-If Sweden did it last year, this song is pretty similar, same style, strong message, good show. Romania-Maybe they doesn’t seem one of the favourites so far, but I’m pretty sure that in Stockholm it will be am unique performance, this entry will reach ovations. I see sth… Read more »

PP
PP
5 years ago

I think that we will have same situation as we had in 2001,2002,2011 suprise winner with no good betting odds few monts before contest and in day before and day final . Similar we had in 2014 with betting odds for Austria in the begging 1 month before contest.

PhysalisFranchetti
5 years ago

I predict that the UK will win – well it’s as likely as jury votes not being fixed, televotes not being bought, and block voting and diaspora voting not heavily influencing the outcome. I am also dead certain that it’s going to snow in August.

MGR
MGR
5 years ago

Here is my final rating for Melodifestivalen 2016: Panetoz – Hall Om Mig Hart 5/10 Lisa Ajax – My Heart Wants Me Dead 5/10 David Lindgren – We Are Your Tomorrow 5/10 Saraha – Kizunguzungu 6/10 Oscar zia – Human 5/10 Ace Wilder – Don’t Worry 6/10 Robin Bengtsson – Constellation Prize 6/10 Molly Sanden – Youniverse 5/10 Boris Rene – Put Your Love On Me 7/10 Wiktoria – Save Me 7/10 Samir & Viktor – Bada Nakna 10/10 Frans – If I Were Sorry 8/10 Frans will check heads of Swedes. Weak heads will love him, strong heads will… Read more »

Adam
Adam
5 years ago

And for god’s sake, we just saw the #1 favorite Margaret fail to win a simple national selection. I don’t blame wiwibloggs for putting out these fun articles, my annoyance is directed at bookies and the numerous fans who take their words so early and seriously (I don’t listen to the bookies until May hits)

Adam
Adam
5 years ago

Frans will be a repeat of Christer Bjorkman of 1992

Adam
Adam
5 years ago

2015 Finland, Estonia, Slovenia, United Kingdom 2014 Israel, Denmark, United Kingdom, Norway, Azerbaijan 2013 Finland, Sweden, San Marino, Germany, Georgia 2012 Cyprus, Romania, Italy, Greece 2011 Norway, France, United Kingdom, Estonia, Ireland, Hungary 2010 Croatia, Iceland, Israel, Azerbaijan, Norway 2009 Greece, Ukraine, Malta 2008 Sweden, Portugal, Switzerland 2007 Switzerland, Belarus 2006 Belgium, Greece 2005 Belarus, Iceland 2004 Belgium 2003 & 2002 Spain 1999 Cyprus ————— 2015 Belgium, Latvia 2014 Netherlands, Austria 2013 Greece, Moldova, Malta 2012 Albania, Moldova, Estonia 2011 Greece, Italy, Moldova, Ukraine just to name a few….tell me again how the Bookies odds (especially 2 months before the… Read more »

David Who
David Who
5 years ago

Ooo. Thanks MMs – the Serbia snippet sounds incredible. Could Serbia be one to watch this year?

Laburnum
Laburnum
5 years ago

Sweden could win again with “If I Were Sorry”? P*ss off…

paranormal
paranormal
5 years ago

I hope Azerbaitzan, Australia and Greece will add something good in this contest

Jordan
Jordan
5 years ago

I genuinely don’t understand the hype surrounding Frans. The song is forgettable and the performance is dull. There’s nothing special. Remember Anna Bergendahl? Her song was “fresh” and “unique”, but she failed to qualify to the Final. I think Sweden should stick to being gender-even and send a female singer this year. After all, they’ve been at it since 2010.

Mar
Mar
5 years ago

lol remember last year when Finland was first/second in the odds before and after choosing PKN? Yeah, that happened

Mello
Mello
5 years ago

What would this competition be without Sweden… 😀

Loo
Loo
5 years ago

Frans could have been a Eurovision winner in any other year. This year I don’t think we will win because it’s very rare to win twice in a row and especially as we won twice in four years. The least we can do though is to send him because he’s the best choice out of the finalists. I can tell you that Frans singing for Sweden in Sweden will be a legendary TV moment, the audience will go nuts 😉

Österrike
Österrike
5 years ago

So nice! Eurovision would not be perfect without Sweden at 1 and Russia at 2.

MGR
MGR
5 years ago

Artificial politeness replaces sincerity and truth. It must lead to chaos, instability and tragedy.

MGR
MGR
5 years ago

Many people are skeptical for show. They just want be polite. Deep down, everyone knows the truth. It all has to fall.