We’re still only just about catching our breaths after another incredible national final weekend. After some huge shocks and with nine more songs confirmed, it’s time to check out where the odds lie for the overall Eurovision 2016 winner. With oddschecker.com as our guide once again, here’s what the bookmakers are saying right now about the Eurovision 2016 odds.
Eurovision 2016 Odds: March 8, 2016
Sweden move to the top
It’s never surprising to see Sweden towards the top of the odds, but the fact they’ve topped them before Melodifestivalen has even finished is a real move. Of course, as we discussed in our latest Melfest odds post, the real leader here is Frans. There’s a strong belief that “If I Were Sorry” is not only Sweden’s next song for Eurovision, but the next Eurovision winner too. Sweden’s odds have fallen from 7-1 last week to, at best, 5-2. Then again, we all saw what happened with the last favourite to win Eurovision on Saturday night. Could it happen again this weekend — and if it does, is there still enough confidence in the likes of Wiktoria and Robin Bengtsson to keep them there?
Russia hold second, Poland fall down
With the release of “You Are The Only One” getting a positive reaction from most Eurovision fans, it seems that Russia are set to stay in the top two for the time being. Sergey is already in the top three of our weekly poll and it seems that there’s a real belief Russia can win for a second time. Russia’s odds have mostly remained the same this week, with 9-2 available at this moment.
As previously mentioned, the big “loser” in the odds this week has been Poland. After Margaret was cast aside in Krajowe Eliminacje, the market does not seem to have the same confidence in Michal Szpak. Poland dropped like a stone, from 3-1 favourites and now sit outside the top five with best odds of 20-1. It could be worse, of course, but it’s likely that will drift further over the next few days.
Drifting odds across the board
Outside of Sweden and Russia though, it’s mostly been a week of bad news for everyone else’s odds. In fact, the only other countries who have seen their best odds shorten are the Czech Republic (down from 100-1 to 50-1) and Austria (with Zoe moving slightly less, from 100-1 to 80-1). It seems that the market is very much settling in on the top two at this moment.
Australia now seems to be the main source of competition. The reveal of Dami Im as their representative didn’t move their odds much, with either 12-1 or 14-1 available for the most part. If Dami can pull a strong song out for Eurovision, she could prove to be a worthy challenger. Also of note is the other female in the top five: Armenia’s Iveta Mukuchyan might not have won everyone over with “LoveWave” but with odds of 16-1 available, the bookmakers certainly seem to respect her chances.
The top five is completed by Latvia, with Justs dropping back, perhaps as a result of “You Are The Only One”‘s release. Similarly, Germany, France and Ukraine all have taken hits in the top ten – but perhaps of note, once again, is Cyprus doing very well for themselves at 25-1. The underdogs are still in it, y’all!
What do you think of the odds this week? Could Sweden really make it two wins in a row as the bookmakers are predicting? Let us know in the comments section or via our Twitter page.