We’ve yet to hear a single note from any of the songs. But that hasn’t stopped Sweden’s bookmakers from taking bets on who should win Melodifestivalen 2020.
And just days after the Tuesday 26 November line-up reveal, there is already a clear Mello favourite — FELIX SANDMAN.
Melodifestivalen 2020 Odds: FELIX SANDMAN favourite to win
The soon to be “Boys with Emotions” hitmaker is currently trading on Unibet at odds of 7/2 or 4.5.
Sandman was one of the major talking points during the Melfest 2020 launch, given that he was one of only a handful of artists that Aftonbladet had failed to definitively flag in advance.
Zara Larsson’s labelmate finished second upon his solo debut in 2018. Despite its runner-up status, “Every Single Day” was the most commercially successful entry that year.
Since then he’s released a slew of popular singles and an album that reached number three in the Swedish charts.
It’s little surprise that the oddsmakers are frothing at the mouth.
Melodifestivalen 2020: Other favourites
FELIX may have the shortest odds, but there are several more acts at the top end of the bookie rankings.
Closest is Hanna Ferm on 6/1 or 7.00. She finished third in 2018 with “Hold You”, a duet with LIAMOO.
Just behind is Victor Crone at 13/2 or 7.5. He previously competed in Melfest 2015, reaching the Andra Chansen second chance round. However, his stock has risen since he represented Estonia at Eurovision 2019. “Storm” became a summer radio hit in Sweden.
The top five is rounded out by two more Mello veterans. Mariette and Robin Bengtsson both have odds of 9/1 or 10.00. The former last competed in 2018 while the latter won the 2017 edition.
It’s important to note that we obviously haven’t heard any of the songs yet, and these odds are driven partly by hype.
That said, bookies and oddsmakers do keep their ears-to-the-ground and often have insight from songwriters and officials close to (and even inside) SVT. Sometimes their crystal balls are based on facts that the rest of us simply don’t know about. The only problem is it’s hard to know when they’re on it and when they’re not…
Melodifestivalen 2020 Bookmakers’ Odds
- Felix Sandman — 7/2
- Hanna Ferm — 6/1
- Victor Crone — 13/2
- Mariette — 9/1
- Robin Bengtsson — 9/1
- Mohombi — 11/1
- Anna Bergendahl — 13/1
- Mendez ft. Alvaro Estrel — 13/1
- Paul Rey — 15/1
- The Mamas — 15/1
- Dotter — 17/1
- Albin Johnsén — 25/1
- Ellen Benediktson & Simon Peyron — 25/1
- Klara Hammarström — 25/1
- Malou Prydz — 25/1
- William Strid — 25/1
- Anis don Demina — 35/1
- Faith Kakembo — 35/1
- Jakob Karlberg — 35/1
- Frida Öhrn — 50/1
- Thorsten Flinck — 50/1
- Amanda Aasa — 75/1
- Linda Bengtzing — 75/1
- Nanne Grönvall — 75/1
- Sonja Aldén — 75/1
- Suzi P –75/1
- Drängarna — 100/1
- OVÖ — 100/1
Odds correct as of 23:00 CET 27 November 2019, via Unibet
How the odds work
A “fractional betting odd” is when you see two numbers separated by a slash, e.g. 9/1. Such odds let you work out how much money you will win on your bet compared to your initial stake. The number on the left is how much you will win and the number on the right is the amount you need to stake in order to win that figure.
Taking the 9/1 example, for every €1.00 you bet, you will win €9.00. This can also be calculated as a “decimal odd” — 1/(9 + 1)*100 = 10.00. There is a 10% chance that this will be the outcome.
If you make a winning bet of €1.00 you would get back €10.00 — €9.00 in winnings plus your original €1.00
What do you think of the odds? Who is underrated? Let us know in the comments.