The first semi-final of Eurovision is just two weeks away, and betting agencies are tweaking their Eurovision odds and favourites as the big day draws nearer.
Sweden’s Sanna Nielsen continues to move in on Armenia’s Aram Mp3. When we last checked on April 5, Sanna was sitting in second place at PaddyPower with odds of 3/1, and Aram was ahead at 2/5. Aram’s odds have not changed, but Sanna has narrowed to 5/2—a pattern similar to what we’ve seen with the grand final odds. Perhaps releasing footage of her music video shoot helped?
Hungary and Azerbaijan continue to sit side-by-side—and not just on the sofa of morning chat shows in Budapest. On April 5 the two were tied with the bookies as third-favourite with odds of 6/1. By April 21 the two were still in joint third, but their odds had widened to 7/1. Kallay-Saunders has now uploaded the footage of his cover of Dilara’s “Start a Fire”, connecting these two even more. Best friends forever?
Odds to Win the First Semifinal
San Marino 200
Winning isn’t everything, so the bookies have also updated their odds for who will qualify for the grand final from the first semi. At the moment the bookies predict that Armenia, Sweden, Azerbaijan, Hungary, Russia, Ukraine, and Belgium will have no trouble reaching the final. Estonia, Moldova and Montenegro are also seen as likely to advance.
The bookies believe that the Netherlands, Iceland, Albania, Latvia, San Marino and Portugal will struggle to make the final. This breaks our heart, as we love a lot of them.
Odds to Qualify from the First Semifinal
San Marino 7/4
It’s interesting to look at this in light of the various polls on wiwibloggs. Armenia is dominating each of them. But Azerbaijan is challenging. Dilara has emerged as a favourite not only to advance, but also to win the entire competition. Sweden is currently third in our poll to win the first semi-final, but only 10th in our poll to win the grand final.