The final of Eurovision 2016 is now just a little over 24 hours away, but that just means things are getting even more exciting. With all 26 finalists now confirmed and the running order in place, there’s been another twist in the betting odds. Australia have now climbed from fourth place in the odds, with best odds as high as 16/1 as recently as Monday, to now being second favourite at 11/2.
EUROVISION 2016 ODDS: OVERALL WINNER
As of 11:00 CET, 13th May 2016
Dami Im’s performance in the second semi-final went down a storm not only in social media, but also the charts. She has now overtaken Russia’s Sergey Lazarev as the best selling ESC artist on iTunes, which is no doubt a strong sign of a good performance. The fact that Dami was also placed 13th in the running order – the best possible slot after drawing the first half of the final – is also likely a sign that she performed very well in the semi-final results. The bookmakers still have Russia as the overwhelming favourite at 4/6, but this late surge from Australia means Saturday’s final could be wide open.
Australia’s momentum has, however, pushed Ukraine further down. Jamala may still be a favourite to win for many in the Eurovision community, but after she performed “1944” in the semi-final, her odds drifted dramatically. 9/1 is the best odds now on a Ukraine victory. With a fairly good slot in the running order though, you cannot rule them out. Similarly, both France and Sweden drifted further after the semi-finals to 14/1 and 16/1 respectively.
The only other act whose odds have shortened across the board is Latvia. Justs, of course, was one of the many acts who was second favourite at one point. He’s nowhere near that mark now and whilst some bookmakers still have him as far as 100-1, the majority have cut his odds slightly following semi-final two. Could he still be on course to match Aminata’s sixth place last year?
What do you think of the Eurovision 2016 odds just ahead of the grand final? Can Australia win the contest after all, or is a Russian victory sewn up. Or could we see, as in 2000, a rank outsider surprise everyone and win the title on Saturday night? Let us know in the comments section below and also on our Twitter!
Hey MIKI, it seems you were running scared, you seem to mention Dami all the time, she is amazing isn’t she. your comments here were nasty and no one has agreed with you, you will be seeing Dami back in Europe in 2017. And by the way Damis 46 concerts are selling like hot cakes, having SOLD OUT 36 concerts so far. She will be releasing a new single very soon and a new Album in 2017 ready for her tours in Europe and Asia. just so you know Dami has sang at the biggest events in Australia at the… Read more »
@Fatima gurl, the juries are not ethnic Russians in those countries. If they vote him further down, that could cancel out the televoted from those Russians leaving in those countries, like how Lithuania (or one of the Baltic states) gave zero to Polina last year
Armenia,Spain ,Netherlands , my favourites , hope for big surprise tonight,YESSS WE CAN,good luck to all participants
Russia the best! Good luck , good will! Amen!
That still doesn’t make anyone expert. Not me, not you and not anybody. Nothing is certain n ESC, not even odds. Just because someone wants a country to win doesn’t mean it will win. It might win but but it might also not win I don’t go around pretending to be expert and knowing everything about ESC based on assumptions. ESC is about speculations, like other things you bet on. Russia’s win is based on speculations without knowing if all the juries will give them 12 points. Or without taking in consideration that some countries will undoubted refuse to give… Read more »
Go Laura, you deserve it!! The act is awesome, great dancers, bring the victory to Belgium!!???????? Tonight I will vote for our neighbours The Netherlands!! Australia, Russia and Latvia are my other favourites????
That moment when Justin Timberlake meets Frans! ????????
Pictures from the moment: Justin Timberlakes greeting to Frans: Did you write that song? I love that song! It’s a great song!
http://www.svt.se/melodifestivalen/justin-timberlake-till-frans-jeppsson-wall-i-eurovision-song-contest-2016-jag-alskar-din-lat
Lady Gaga “If politics will really come into play in the voting, I would foresee the Baltic states, Ukraine, Georgia & possibly Moldova voting down Russia.”
I can’t see that happening with or without ‘politics’. Because in those countries there are already millions of ethnic Russians who will vote for Sergey anyway
JUstin Timberlake went straight to Frans i greenroom in yesterdays rehearsals and said these words:
“– Did you write that song? I love that song, it’s a great song!”
IT was not planed and ofcours Frans and SVT was surprised!
Biggest cheers last night at the jury final were for Italy, Bulgaria and Spain. For Sweden as well but they are the hosts so that shows nothing.
If politics will really come into play in the voting, I would foresee the Baltic states, Ukraine, Georgia & possibly Moldova voting down Russia. It would seem the ex-soviet block vote will be split, and not in favor of Russia. Only their lackey countries like Belarus, Armenia & Azerbaijan might give them 12 points. If this is the scenario, it will spell disaster for Sergey. I’m kinda seeing a new emerging block of central european countries like Poland, Czechia, Hungary & Austria becoming like a mini-Scandinavia. Speaking of Scandinavia, if their votes combined with the Baltic votes result in 7… Read more »
Ooijer I heard this too. Frans got massive cheers, most of the night. And his performance went really great too, apparently. Could do extremely well!
I also heard Barei got cheers. I love her song so I hope it does well.
What else did you catch Ooijer? How were the favourites?
@Ooiher This is what I heard too. The hugest applause after Sweden was Spain! Despite the negative critics, it’s a fav among eurofans.
We are in Europe too obsed about visuals and the staging more than in music and the bivs we get through the songs. Even Americans are able to appreciate what it seems we are not capable to value in Europe.
The billboard was talking about her and her song a couple of days ago. It smells to big hit in America in short.
http://www.billboard.com/articles/columns/latin/7370284/barei-say-yay-spain-eurovision
Barei made a wise move not playing the visuals game and being confident about her talents and charisma as you said, but I think we are fully immersed in these visuals and gimmicks era that nobody will ever steal the victory in Lena’s fashion.
BTW, even years are for simple stagings Lena, Loreen, Conchita…2016?
OTOH, odd years are for overloaded/lots of moving people staging concepts Rybak,Azerbaijan, Emilie, Mans.
What a night! Proud of being present in the jury rehearsals. I have to say I was impressed of how most of the artists crumbled under pressure. Especially the polish one, he was really nervous, but most of them were out of pitch at some point. You could feel the competition and the uncertainty in some of them. Anything can happen this year! Loudest ovations of the night were for the home favorite (Frans) and surprisingly…for the spanish contestant! Could Barei pull another Lena Meyer-Landrut? Just her charm, positivity natural talent as an artist, connection with people… against all these… Read more »
I really hope it’s Australia! Even if I wasn’t from Australia, I’d still go Dami! Russia is extremely good but taking the technology away, I’m not sure if he’d be as high on the betting..I think he’d still do well but some people may be voting more on the staging/technology because that is the most impressive part.. I didn’t think Urkaine would be high on the best. She is definitely talented and can emotionally deliver the song…I guess it’s just my personal taste on the song/genre. I just haven’t gotten into the song but I think she’d be top 3.… Read more »
My prediction on youtube at the channel with the same name as mine here. If you wanna check and share your opinion, feel free to do it.
@David Who: OMG, I forgot ‘Keeping Up Appearances’ – brilliant :))
@David Who
Here’s a little help! ;))
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yIcDBqL0lf0
Regarding BBC’s choice…I never understood many of their choices, but since they produced some of my all time favorite sitcoms (The Vicar of Dibley, Faulty Towers and To the Manor Born) I won’t speak too unkindly of them :))
@Daniel E: Sounds amazing. It might interest you to know that the BBC didn’t even show the Interval act, as they were too busy with live “discussion” and with showing us comedic videos with Lynda Woodrfuff snd Joe & Jake.
But i’ll look fir it on YouTube now.
A little (or more?) off topic: am I the only one who was blown away and moved, almost to tears, by the interval act in semifinal 1 – The Grey People? I don’t pretend to know very much about dance, but that number was really powerful and certainly the best dance show I have ever seen! It might sound strange but, after all is said and commented about qualifiers / stage shows etc, ‘The Grey People’ act was the highlight of that semifinal for me, and I’m pretty sure it will remain the highlight of the whole contest! Best interval… Read more »
I agree with Loo about the favourites. I also believe that Austria might do very well.Zoe received a great applause in first semi final. People like loin dici.
Ok…Finally I have to say that Russia’s Song is really very overrated. At Thursday when I saw the second semifinal y was really totally amazed with Australia’s Dami I’m and Ukraine’s Jamala presentación and both are more powerful than Russia and Lazarev’s choreography so I hope that Australia or Ukraine win. Also France is very far to win the competición. Sorry Sergey, sorry Russia, but now I will support other coutries… ????
Why is Bulgaria so underrated. As for the odds I don’t think even a half of their top 10 will actually make it to there. Honestly I can see Poli easily in top 10 , why not top 5.
guys, we have an sensation here! do you trust to mirror.co.uk or it’s considered as yellow pages? it said-
“One Eurovision source explained: “The feeling is that the European Broadcasting Union know how unpopular a Russia win would be and will do everything possible to help the other favourites to victory.”
http://www.mirror.co.uk/tv/tv-news/eurovision-song-contest-pits-bitter-7964251
EBU won’t allow Russia to win? can it be true? or it’s just speculation?
But my top 3 of all countries in final (Song, voice, performance) in final right now is:
1. Italy (Good song)
2. The Netherlands (Good voice)
3. Georgia(Good performance, go psychadelic Beatles)
But Estonia could also have been there;(
We love stars,
if you want to name these countries you can call it Baltic states and East countries – everyone will understand it. things getting different after Russia set a clear signal to neighbors that it want to reconnect USSR 2.0 and when it started to grab Ukrainian land with slogan “Russian Ukraine Belarus is one country, let it be USSR 2.0”. after that any reminder about soviet time is awkward, because no one wants this monster to reappear on place of their own country.
Honestly, how accurate are these? Anyway, this is what I’m guessing:
Hungary and Bulgaria will be in, at least, the top 15.
France, Sweden and Malta will NOT be in the top 10.
The UK and Lithuania will do better than people think.
I also think Czech Republic will do better than people expect.
Top 5 — Russia, Australia, Armenia, Ukraine and Hungary.
Oxana, my most sincere apologies. I didnt know it had such negative connotations. At least, it wasnt meant to offend, but as to englobe all the countries which were once in Urss as a historical fact, and not political regime. Once more, I hope they widen their voting to the South of Europe too. Take care!
Israel, Poland and Serbia are my favorites
@Lisa – I agree, Netherlands FTW 🙂
@Lisa – I agree, Net
Love to get surprised and seeing the Netherlands winning this. Still my favorite song of the contest.
Hovi Star from Israel is my winner.
I was Amazed by his astounding and inspiring performance.
@Globen, it reminds me new joke from social network. Under video of Jamala
– I’m Russian but I’ll vote for Jamala, will send 20 texts
-You can’t vote for Ukraine if you’re Russian
-I’m in Poland now
🙂
long name whatever,
calling various countries “ex Soviet” won’t add you votes. why don’t you call Germany or Italy “nazi Germany” or “nazi Italy” and ask them to vote for your favorite? in my country soviet symbols equal to nazi symbols and forbidden and considered as equal evil regimes.
you’re doing real disgrace to Barei now, I hope you’re not a paid troll to trash Spain this year?
@power b.
I’m from Sweden, and no I will not vote for Frans, but it’s a nice song which I think will finish just inside the top 10.
Globen, you can not vote for your own country
I see Laura Tesoro opens the running order tomorrow.
Adding Belgium to finish outside the Top 15 to my bold predictions.
Ooo Dai Mi Liubovta !! Bulgaria is my Winner ! The most positive singer i ever saw !
I almost feel sorry for russia, but I cannot vote on someone with the lyrics ‘thunder and lightning it`s getting exciting’. I feel a bit sick from his overly ambitious performance.
Instead i vote for a real mesmerizing drama, hopefully the winner: Jamala – Ukraine.
I never said Russia didn’t win semi one, I only said I am not sure they won. There’s a difference. I don’t pretend to be an expert knowing everything unlike others on this site. I stated reasons why the Russian song may not be as highly praised with the juries. Everything has to be taken in consideration with juries. There’s no evidence of Russia winning anything, until we see the final results. You’re not experts. This is as silly as saying “a song will win with a huge lead cause it tops polls and sites”. No it won’t. It’s not… Read more »
I’m attempting to make some bold predictions against the odds… I didn’t find Ira Losco’s Semi Final preformce that impressive. Bookies have her at 7th now, but she might not make the Top 10. I’m not sure if Austria can impress and surprise for the second time. Borderline Top 10 in the odds, my prediction: outside the Top 15. Bulgaria and Serbia are comfortable Top 15 for me. No Top 15 for the UK guys. Pioneer and Gabriela Guncikova in the bottom 3??? da fck are you smoking, bookies??? Although Gabriela G.’s performance was also a little bit disappointing for… Read more »
Russia is my number one. I really like Sergey`s song. “Thunder and lightning it`s getting exciting”;)
My top 6
1) Russia
2) Australia
3) Serbia
4) Ukraine
5) Georgia
And semi 2: https://escsongreviews.com/2016/05/13/semi-2-triumph-of-diversity/
Btw. for those interested, here are some reviews of the two semi finals.
Here semi 1: https://escsongreviews.com/2016/05/11/semi-1-triumph-of-the-mainstream/
Well, I prefer Australia to Russia song-wise, but I would like something a bit more edgy to win. Georgia for instance, though I know it is not realistic.
I think both the Australian and the Russian songs are promoting a tendency which I don’t approve of, namely that of an over-produced stage performance taking the focus from the music. As long as we call it a song contest, then the song itself should be the main focus.
Israel is a true winner, no matter what the outcome might be.
Arney, that’s called simplicity: song, vocals and know-how on the stage. Anyway, check Barei’s rehearshal for the Dress Rehershal this evening. She’s fierce! Most light and BV problems solved. Hope you like it hehe
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=HAikbftxzMw&feature=share
I just don’t get the hype with France. It’s a good song but not great. His voice is ok but nothing special (in fact in the semi final his vocals were really pitchy). His staging is also ok but nothing special. How he is so high up in the odds I just don’t understand.