We’ve had a full week of Eurovision rehearsals, with intentional and accidental falls alongside plenty of holograms. Every country has now had both their first and second rehearsals, giving the bookmakers lots of opportunity to look at what’s on offer and adjust the Eurovision 2016 odds market accordingly. Unsurprisingly, given the overwhelmingly positive response to her rehearsals so far, it’s Ukraine’s Jamala who has come off the best. She’s now second favourite, displacing France in the odds.
The favourite, however, is still Russia. Sergey Lazarev recovered from his early setback last week to nail his second rehearsal and he’s moved back from 9/4 to being the 6/4 favourite to win Eurovision 2016. Jamala, now his closest competition, still has odds of 4/1 available — but that’s a far cry from last Monday, when the best odds on a Ukraine victory were 25/1!
Eurovision 2016 Odds: Overall Winner
As of 09:30 CET, 9th May 2016
It’s not been working out for France so far and Amir now looks like he’s got a lot of work to do. With a first half draw unlikely to help, France have dropped from around 3/1 odds last week to not being 7/1 third favourite. It’s still not bad, but a fall in the odds at the moment is not a good sign for any country.
Ukraine’s surge has mostly just knocked other songs back a slight amount. Sweden had their odds shorten slightly in the aftermath of the rehearsals, with most bookmakers taking Frans from odds of about 14/1 to 10/1 on average. Australia and Malta have also mostly held firm in their positions and look set to finish strongly in the Saturday night final.
Of course, it’s not just Jamala who has benefitted in the odds after her rehearsal. There’s been significant positive movement for Italy, Serbia, Israel, the Netherlands and perhaps most surprisingly, the United Kingdom. Joe and Jake have moved to 12th place in the odds and whilst 66/1 still hardly puts them in contention, it shows that in terms of rehearsals and staging, the boys and the BBC have done a good job. Could they do much better than many had predicted?
What do you think of the odds and how they’re now looking? Did you back Ukraine before the odds started to fall? Let us know in the comments section below.