At the start of January, Eurovision 2021 Executive Producer Sietse Bakker revealed that we will know which scenario will be used for May’s contest in “4 to 5 weeks”. And now, as we enter February, the moment has arrived.
Dutch organisers are expected to make the official announcement on whether Eurovision will happen under Scenario A, B, C or D during a lunchtime press conference at 13:00 CET on Wednesday 3 February.
Eurovision 2021 scenario expected on Wednesday
The official Eurovision channels have yet to confirm if this is the case. However, media outlets have been invited to the press conference which will be conducted online. They have been briefed that it will be an update on Eurovision 2021. Our sources have confirmed that the chosen scenario will form part of the agenda.
The four Eurovision scenarios
In September 2020, the EBU and the Dutch producers revealed the four potential scenarios for Eurovision 2021.
Scenario A is a normal Eurovision Song Contest, with a packed audience of fans and delegations, activities around Rotterdam including the Eurovillage and Euroclub. However, with widespread uptake of the Covid vaccine being a long way off, this scenario seems very unlikely for 2021.
Scenario B is a socially distant Eurovision. It would still involve a live audience, but with a smaller and social distanced audience. There would also be limits on the size of delegations and on media numbers.
Scenario C is Eurovision with travel restrictions. This scenario is similar to Scenario B, but also includes delegations that are unable to travel to Rotterdam. Such acts would record their performance in their own country, which would be incorporated into the show.
Scenario D is Eurovision in lockdown. The show would still go ahead, but with no live audience. All delegations would participate via a pre-recorded performance that will be presented from the show at Ahoy Arena. This is very like the scenario used for Junior Eurovision 2020.
Regardless of which scenario is used, all delegations will record a “live-to-tape” performance of their entry that will ensure the show can go on even if last-minute changes are needed.
The chosen scenario does not have to be final
In an interview last month, Bakker revealed that the decision announced now will not necessarily be final. According to Sietse, Ahoy Rotterdam and the Dutch Eurovision team can still scale the contest up in the time between February and May. Looking back on his earlier press conferences, Sietse thinks that the announcement of the scenarios won’t be as vital as he first thought. He said:
“Last year, I saw a dramatic moment in which I, with a drum roll in the background, would announce the chosen scenario. I think that it won’t be that spectacular in the end. We will decide things in the first half of February. It will be realistic story. In April we will build the stage. The arrival of the artists will be in the second week of May. We will only do it when it’s responsible, and in collaboration with the municipality, the safety region and the responsible ministries.”