Estonia has been quite inconsistent at Eurovision over the last 12 years. Despite producing timeless top-ten classics such as “Rändajad”, “Kuula”, “Goodbye to Yesterday” and “La Forza”, they’ve also had their fair share of entries that sank to the bottom of the leaderboard.
But did you know that all the above mentioned top-ten ranking songs were entered into Eurovision three contests apart? Indeed, ever since they started to use Eesti Laul as their national final, Estonia have been yo-yoing back up to the top every three contests.
One could theorise that Estonia are stuck under a curse that only gives them such top-ten results every three contests. Don’t believe the theory? You’re welcome to sit back and let us convince you.
Estonia’s Eurovision record: 2009 to present
2009: Top-ten result
After the semi-finals were introduced in 2004, Estonia failed to qualify to the final for five consecutive years up to and including 2008. But in 2009, the Baltic country finally broke through. They revamped their national selection process and brought in Eesti Laul, which they’ve used every year since then.
The first act to win this new national final was Urban Symphony. At Eurovision in 2009 they came sixth with their haunting song “Rändajad”, Estonia’s best result since hosting the contest in 2002.
(Spoiler alert: the country hasn’t finished higher than sixth since then)
2010-2011: Bad results
Malcolm Lincoln’s “Siren” represented the nation at the 2010 contest, but didn’t make it through to the final.
In 2011, Getter Jaani’s “Rockefeller Street” did make it through, but placed second last. While it wasn’t received well at Eurovision, it did reach fame later, with the Nightcore version becoming a TikTok meme in 2018.
2012: Top-ten result
After finding the formula in 2009, Estonia finally replicated their actions again three years later.
“Kuula”, a moving Estonian-language track with strong vocals courtesy of Ott Lepland, led the country to another sixth place finish.
2013-2014: Bad results
With Birgit’s “Et uus saaks alguse” in 2013 , Estonia made it to the final, but ended up in 20th place.
In 2014, this result was not beaten, as “Amazing” and performer Tanja failed to reach the final.
2015: Top-ten result
An early favourite to win the whole thing, Estonia’s 2015 entry “Goodbye to Yesterday” once again brought pride to the nation.
Although Elina Born and Stig Rästa didn’t end up winning, they did reach a very respectable seventh place.
2016-2017: Bad results
Two unpleasant surprises followed. In 2016, Jüri Pootsmann sang “Play” and came last in his semi-final. This marked a new all-time low for Estonia, and remains their worst result at Eurovision.
This shock non-qualification was followed by…another one in 2017. Koit Toome and Laura’s “Verona” was expected to sail through to the grand final by fans. However, it flopped in the semi final due to a low jury score.
2018: Top-ten result
“La Forza” was another early contender to win during the Eurovision 2018 season.
A stunning live performance by Elina Nechayeva (and a lot of drama surrounding the dress) led the country all the way to eighth place.
2019 & 2021: Bad results
Victor Crone’s “Storm” fared well in the Spotify charts, as well as with the fans. Everything seemed to be going in the right direction. But despite a top-five placement in the semi final, Estonia finished 20th in the grand final.
Since Eurovision 2020 was cancelled due to Covid-19 precautions, the next official result came in 2021. Here, Uku Suviste brought “The Lucky One” to the competition. Unfortunately, he added another non-qualification to Estonia’s record and failed to make it to the grand final.
2022: Top-ten result?
With two bad results at the last two contests, the theory would suggest that Estonia are destined for another top-ten finish next year.
But, we can go further. The country’s last three good results saw them finish sixth, seventh and eighth in 2012, 2015 and 2018 respectively. Does this mean we should expect Estonia to finish ninth in 2022?
Time will tell.
Is the Estonian three-contest curse real? Will they earn another top-ten result in 2022? Let us know in the comment section!