Now that Russia’s Tolmachevy Sisters have released their lackluster Eurovision song “Shine”, betting agencies across Europe have a full roster of entries to dissect. The first set of Eurovision odds to come out after Russia’s release suggest it’s a year for ballads and mid-tempo soul, with Armenia’s Aram Mp3 leading the way.

Of the 13 betting agencies we’ve consulted, the “Not Alone” singer is the favourite at every single one of them, with his odds as low as 1. His electro ballad, which includes some stirring instrumentals, has generated a lot of buzz on our web site. Some of you have worried openly that it’s too similar to “Running” by Hungary’s Kallay-Saunders. Others have suggested it has a similar vibe to the “Children of the Universe” by Britain’s Molly Smitten-Downes. The bookies clearly do not share your fears.

Aram’s closest competitor at the moment is Sweden’s Sanna Nielsen. The “Undo” singer—who may or may not have Seasonal Affective Disorder—has odds between 5 and 5.5 at most betting houses. If her ballad has you feeling low, don’t stress. You can remix your sad with the dance version.

Norway’s Carl Espen—the man with tattoos who knows how to do vulnerable—is in a deadlock with Sanna. He also has odds as low as 5.

After Norway, a gap opens up on the odds table. Hungary’s Kallay-Saunders, Belgium’s Axel Hirsoux, and Azerbaijan’s Dilara round out the top 6.

Host nation Denmark is currently seventh favourite. Apparently Bruno Mars goes down well with the bookies.

The United Kingdom has the honour of being the highest-rated Big 5 nation. Child of the Universe Molly Smitten-Downes sits in an impressive eighth. Looks like the BBC’s plan to get serious is being taken seriously.

I don’t know about y’all, but I’m putting an each-way bet down on Italy, Romania, Ukraine or Greece for a Top 4 finish. You can never count them out…and you stand to make some money honey.

What do you think of the current betting odds? The bookies always get some of the favourites wrong. (Hey Stella Mwangi! How you doin’ Amaury?) Which of these favourites is more likely to tank than to win? Let us know in the comments box below.

Eurovision 2014 Betting Odds

The following odds come from the following betting agencies, and in the same order: Bet 365, SkyBet, Boylesports, Betfred, BetVictor, PaddyPower, 888sport, Ladbrokes, William Hill, betway, bwin.com, unibet and betfair.

  1. Armenia: 5/4, 6/4, 11/8, 1, 6/5, 5/4, 5/4, 5/4, 11/10, 3/2, 5/4, 5/4, 7/5
  2. Sweden: 5, 5, 5, 11/2, 5, 11/2, 4, 11/2, 11/2, 5, 6, 4, 37/5
  3. Norway: 11/2, 5, 5, 6, 11/2, 11/2, 5, 5, 11/2, 5, 8, 5, 38/5
  4. Hungary: 11, 10, 10, 11, 10, 10, 7, 12, 10, 9, 10, 7, 73/5
  5. Belgium: 11, 10, 14, 12, 11, 14, 11, 10, 12, 10, 12, 11, 21
  6. Azerbaijan: 11, 7, 9, 12, 10, 7, 11, 12, 12, 9, 16, 11, 37
  7. Denmark: 11, 12, 11, 14, 10, 14, 11, 16, 14, 10, 18, 11, 76/5
  8. United Kingdom: 16, 16, 20, 12, 16, 10, 10, 14, 14, 12, 14, 14, 20, 14, 22
  9. Romania: 14, 12, 14, 12, 12, 10, 17, 14, 16, 20, 20, 17, 45
  10. Ukraine: 18, 14, 20, 16, 16, 16, 14, 20, 16, 9, 22, 14, 20
  11. Russia: 10, 14, 16, 16, 25, 16, 14, 18, 29
  12. Germany: 33, 33, 33, 16, 14, 25, 21, 25, 33, 33, 33, 21, 180
  13. Italy: 40, 40, 40, 40, 40, 40, 17, 33, 40, 14, 33, 17, 66
  14. Austria: 33, 40, 40, 33, 33, 34, 33, 33, 40, 40, 34, 104
  15. Spain: 40, 40, 40, 28, 40, 25, 29, 25, 40, 40, 40, 29, 189
  16. Ireland: 40, 40, 40, 33, 40, 25, 33, 14, 25, 40, 40, 40, 40, 14, 237
  17. Israel: 25, 50, 50, 50, 40, 40, 29, 33, 40, 50, 40, 29, 56
  18. Finland: 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 29, 50, 50, 50, 33, 29, 151
  19. Poland: 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 34, 33, 40, 50, 50, 34, 189
  20. Greece: 50, 40, 40, 50, 40, 50, 24, 33, 40, 50, 50, 24, 246
  21. France: 66, 66, 50, 66, 66, 50, 59, 66, 66, 66, 50, 59, 246
  22. Moldova: 80, 66, 80, 40, 66, 66, 39, 66, 80, 66, 50, 39, 455
  23. Montenegro: 100, 100, 100, 100, 100, 100, 49, 100, 100, 100, 100, 49, 170
  24. Malta: 66, 66, 66, 66, 40, 50, 59, 50, 50, 66, 100, 59, 189
  25. Estonia: 66, 66, 66, 80, 66, 66, 74, 66, 66, 100, 50, 74, 265
  26. Albania: 66, 100, 100, 66, 66, 80, 74, 100, 100, 100, 100, 74, 436
  27. San Marino: 100, 100, 100, 100, 80, 100, 29, 66, 100, 100, 100, 29, 436
  28. Netherlands: 80, 80, 80, 66, 66, 66, 29, 50, 66, 66, 100, 29, 541
  29. FYR Macedonia: 100, 100, 100, 100, 100, 66, 49, 66, 100, 100, 50, 49, 588
  30. Georgia: 100, 50, 80, 50, 100, 80, 29, 66, 100, 100, 100, 29, 750
  31. Slovenia: 100, 80, 125, 66, 100, 100, 29, 66, 100, 100, 100, 29, 313
  32. Iceland: 100, 100, 100, 100, 100, 100, 149, 100, 100, 100, 100, 149, 598
  33. Lithuania: 125, 100, 125, 100, 100, 125, 149, 100, 100, 150, 100, 149, 683
  34. Latvia: 125, 125, 150, 100, 100, 100, 124, 100, 100, 150, 100, 124, 712
  35. Switzerland: 100, 125, 150, 100, 66, 100, 174, 100, 100, 150, 100, 174, 645
  36. Belarus: 100, 100, 150, 100, 100, 100, 174, 100, 100, 100, 100, 174, 845
  37. Portugal: 150, 100, 200, 100, 100, 100, 29, 50, 100, 100, 100, 29, 655

Willy Lee Adams contributed this report from London. You can keep up-to-date on the latest Eurovision news and gossip by following the team on Twitter @wiwibloggs and by liking our Facebook page.

Graphic: SINAN

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Ovraj Sidhu
Ovraj Sidhu
6 years ago

1 United Kingdom
2 Austria
3 Sweden
4 Ukraine
5 Russia

Emmss123
Emmss123
6 years ago

The thing is that Sweden couldn’t really win this year beacuse they won with Loreen 2 years ago, it would cost alot of money for Sweden to host Eurovision again in such a short period of time.

Melissa M.
Melissa M.
6 years ago

ARMENIA will win!!!! Great song and great singer 🙂

Gor
Gor
6 years ago

Goooooo Armenia>>>>> Gooooooo Aram MP3 >>>>>>>
1.Armenia
2.Sweden
3.Hungary
4.United Kingdom
5.Russia

Vitrix
Vitrix
6 years ago

I think that Sweden is going to win. This reminds me of year 2007. Ukraine was the biggest favorite and silently, Serbia won. Dubstep era is over. Sweden is QUEEN of ESC!

Narek
Narek
6 years ago

1-Armenia
2-Sweden
3-Hungary
4-UK
5-Denmark
6-Norway
7-Germany
8-Spain
9-Greece
10Romania

ArmenianBluff
ArmenianBluff
6 years ago

Again, I do think that but Armenia and Azerbaijan are trying to manipulate the voting. One way to do it is by betting odds. Another way is buying the votes which Azerbaijan has already been found guilty….

Lolilly
Lolilly
6 years ago

@ NargizAZ, Actually, I agree. If Armenia wins, most likely Azerbaijan will withdraw. Armenia did not go to Baku, just because of the Azerbaijan’s president’s comment: when he said, “Armenia is our number 1 enemy…” And where was Europe and why didn’t any of the countries discuss the fact that a Eurovision is a song contest and not an opportunity to show political likes and dislikes. Why? This year everyone is bashing Aram mp3 for a lame rumor and calling him a homophobe and so on….which is so dumb, btw, since he us NOT. Where were you guys when the… Read more »

ENygma
ENygma
6 years ago

I’m cool with top 4. I’d only wish Switzerland defeats silly poll odds and passes into finals.

And yes, please make Azerbaijan and/or Russia stay in the semi for once. I know both will probably pass like always, since juries are bought and televoting is manipulated with, but I would be thrilled for them to be last and to learn a lesson.

Cheryl
Cheryl
6 years ago

Armenian song is absolutely amazing this year. Completely different than the others. Definitely a winner !! Greetings from the UK …

Rashad
Rashad
6 years ago

@Leon, 1) As I said earlier, you don’t need to prove me anything. You have your own right to introduce yourself as whoever you want to. 2) Good for you. 3) I actually didn’t use that term. I don’t really prefer using the name of a nationality with such a dirty propaganda. But that’s right, most of the propaganda, and the trolls come from this background because of the brainwashing media which is controlled by the anti-Azerbaijani Armenian government. 4) Then please stop introducing Armenia as a victim. Neither Azerbaijan nor Armenia is an angel, they both have their mistakes.… Read more »

Masha
Masha
6 years ago

@NargizAz,Armenia won the Junior Eurovision 2010

Leon
Leon
6 years ago

@Rashad, for the purposes of leaving politics out of this contest, this is going to be my last response to you. 1) I don’t hate Azerbaijan, in fact as I’ve told you before, I don’t judge people based on their nationality, I wish I could send you my birth certificate, but you can believe in what you want to believe in; 2) Yes, I know a lot about Caucasus, and Middle East because I’m studying International Relations with emphasis on that region; 3) Nothing in what I said was “brainwashed Armenian propaganda” ( I don’t even know what that is).… Read more »

NargizAZ.
NargizAZ.
6 years ago

@ Leon And what does make you feel sure that Azerbaijan will withdraw, if Armenia will be the host country of Eurovision 2015?? I don’t really think that it will happen anyways! It’s clear that ITV loves Eurovision very much, that is explanation of Azerbaijan’s successfull results in Eurovision, I think. They wouldn’t give up so easily! And also Azerbaijan took part in several sport editions which held in Armenia, why not Eurovision?? 🙂 But anyways, I don’t think that this year Armenia deserves to be winner, there are better songs (Norway, UK)!! Not like I wouldn’t be happy of… Read more »

cathal
cathal
6 years ago

how is ireland at only 17th? they mad.

Rashad
Rashad
6 years ago

@Leon, I’m sorry, I don’t believe what you’re telling about your ethnicity. Don’t get me wrong, I’m not xenophobic, and I don’t care where you are from. But there is plenty of fake accounts spreading anti-Azerbaijani propaganda all over the internet. I think you are one of them, you don’t need to prove me anything. I’m just expressing what I think. I don’t think BBC or other media organizations are trustful enough. They just need news, they usually don’t even make a research. I’ve watched them too, and they didn’t have any proofs. I was watching the show live on… Read more »

vangelis vt
vangelis vt
6 years ago

I agree about Italy, Romania, Ukraine and Greece. They will probably do pretty well this year. Ditto with Russia. I’ m not that sure about Armenia, Norway, Hungary or the UK. Perhaps they will get some votes here and there, but I don’t see much mass appeal in any of these entries. Perhaps I will change my mind during the live. I wasn’t that crazy about Denmark last year either until she came up on stage. I am afraid this year might be like 2011 when we had a winner by default with only two or three twleve points. Or… Read more »

Masha
Masha
6 years ago

I think Armenia will win this year,song is really wonderful.Good luck Armenia.And Aram’s voice is really a good-one,@Azer,don’t you think you’re envy?!People like you must be stupid to say that his voice is not so good.Had you listened his “If I tried” or “Shine”?!Do you know that in Azerbaijan’s this year’s song you can listen ARMENIAN DUDUK?!

Kram
Kram
6 years ago

I do believe that Norway will tank in the ranks. I’ve watched a lot of people’s ‘top 37’ youtube videos and Norway is not at the top at all. Also based on youtube the winner would be the UK but with Armenia a very close second.

Leon
Leon
6 years ago

@Rashad, I’m actually not Armenian. I live in the United States and I’m half Italian, Greek and my other half is Persian. To reference back to your arguments: 2009: There are proofs from international media (BBC, even US news) discussing what Azerbaijan did in 2009. They in fact pulled the cable while the sisters were singing, then blurred their number line and whoever voted were interrogated by the national security administration. As for the monuments, Azerbaijan used a monument from Tabriz, Iran for both semi-final and final and they were not asked to remove it or take it down. So,… Read more »

Rashad
Rashad
6 years ago

@Leon, I’m sorry, but it really DOES sound anti-Azeri. I don’t mind you being pro-Armenian though. It’s your country anyway. 2009 – They didn’t pull the cable. They just hid the SMS number of the phone carrier during the recap of the performances. It’s actually not a big deal. The voters already knew the number from the previous performance. However I don’t appreciate what they did, and I’m glad that ITV had to pay a fine. It was probably a fault of an idiot. I HAVE voted for Armenia, but I’ve never been asked for an interrogation. It’s false. I’m… Read more »

lilla
lilla
6 years ago

the song of Aram mp3 (from Armenia)is amazing) i like it very much. 12 points from spain

Belgium
Belgium
6 years ago

I would really like to travel in 2015 in Yerevan this year Armenia has a great chance to win Eurovision, good luck +12

Lana
Lana
6 years ago

Armenia all the way!! I really think Aram’s song has a big chance of winning.!

Leon
Leon
6 years ago

I know this sounds mean and I’m not pro Armenian or anti-Azeri and their whole conflict is really none of my business, but one of the reasons why I really want Armenia to win is to see Azerbaijan withdraw for one year and for their aggressive fans to take the back seat. They have violated numerous EBU policies and have gone unpunished, for example: 2009: They pulled the cable when Armenian duo started singing, then the national security administration interrogated those who had voted for Armenia; 2011: The reports regarding Azerbaijan buying votes, which of course no one took seriously… Read more »

Alex
Alex
6 years ago

I really want my country to win (Romania) but i know we haven’t got so many chances, and I believe this will be UK’s year cause they have a great song (better than Armenia’s one) and they can make a marvelous show for the 60th anniversary, so I hope Armenia will not win. #Bucharest2015 or #London2015 😀 🙂

eurana
eurana
6 years ago

It’s about Armenia vs Hungary. Hungary song sound more popular and maybe get more points in televoting

koko
koko
6 years ago

the best song is #Miracle! Armenia has a nice song but do not see him winning but betting houses da da! Not married Armen gastiga for the language it will not always tell you … what? your money! still bet! fiinac ccastigaotrul will be someone else! If they win it would be nice if Sweden would win but Ireland would be happy if they earn romania I be excited and happy! spend your money but do it wisely!
listen a beautiful song and the winner esc 2014https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gFj0rA41Etc
#TeamMiracle

Melissa J
6 years ago

I’m feeling somewhere south for 2015. Budapest or Madrid? Don’t count out Hungary and Spain yet. Everyone’s crazy over Armenia but how will he perform it live? We already know that Ruth and Kallay-Saunders can kill it live–both gave strong vocal performances at their national finals. The UK, too, we’ve heard live, another strong voice. I think this will be another year similar to 2011–there’s tons of early favorites, but in the end, the winner will be a surprise.

NONA
6 years ago

THE WINNER Aram MP3 FROM ARMENIA ……

NONA
6 years ago

THE WINNER ARAM MP3 FROM ARMENIA ?

Diane
Diane
6 years ago

This is what I hate about Eurovision, the betting odds seems to be one of the determinants on people’s voting preference. Let the songs speak for themselves, y’all

Lucy
Lucy
6 years ago

my top 3
1. Sweden
2. Hungary
3. Armenia

good luck!! ))!!)))!!!!!))

Nick
Nick
6 years ago

For me Armenia is winner as Emellie was last year…
12 points from Sweden!?

good luck ARMENIAAAAAAA !!!

Martha
Martha
6 years ago

You are not alone Armenia !!! WESTERN EUROPE IS WITH YOU. GOOD LUCK. GREETINGS FROM UK.?

Serena
Serena
6 years ago

I hope Armenia wins. It’s THE BEST SONG,,, Aram mp3 is great singer, i love him.

my top 5
1. Armenia
2. Hungary
3. Spain
4. Sweden
5. Norway

Pastora Soler haha
Pastora Soler haha
6 years ago

In Spain we cant bet for Eurovision 🙁

But if I were you I would bet for Montenegro in top 10. Enjoy your money!

eurana
eurana
6 years ago

Norway favorite ? The odd are kidding me ? No way !

NargizAZ.
NargizAZ.
6 years ago

I don’t really think that Armenia or Sweden will win, it seems more like UK will take the trophy this year.. but my personal winner is Norway! :$ This is really interesting year of Eurovision.. It is so hard to predict anything.. I even imagine a total surprise winner at the end which nobody expected!! Anyways, let the best win! <3 🙂

AZER
6 years ago

Arman only armenians support aram and vote for him and you say thanks to armenians haaaaaaaaa ok you are so much wise 🙂

AZER
6 years ago

what armenia will win? it is true excuse me but who woted for armenia may be they have no good ears or they don’t hear another songs. i don’t think this year eurovision winning song is not alone it is not enough for winning. and his voice is not so good for winning. there is another good song belarus Denmark. Azerbaijan( her voice must better than aram mp3 ) Hungary ok it is my Opinion good luck for every country

Armond
Armond
6 years ago

I’m just so proud of Armenia regardless of what happens. If we don’t win, then please let it be Spain or Sweden.

Eugene UK
Eugene UK
6 years ago

My 4 to watch are ARMENIA, AZERBAIJAN, DENMARK and the UK

mickel
6 years ago

Aram mp3 …..N1 ,This year I’m predicting Armenia….

AVA
AVA
6 years ago

I hope Armenia wins, for two reasons. 1.the song is great and it deserves to win. second reason is if Armenia wins Azerbaijan will withdraw next year 🙂 looking forward to visit beautiful Armenia in 2015 …

Angel
6 years ago

1. Armenia 2. Sweden

Eugene UK
Eugene UK
6 years ago

Denmark are a good bet. Denmark singing 23rd is more than likely going to be surrounded by ballads. They have a massive chance to win again this year having a popular Bruno Mars style bouncy tune and excellent staging which is all difficult to ignore now. Denmark have the same problem as the UK, they don’t sing in the Semi’s, so the public will only hear it once but unlike the UK the impact of this song is instant. Yes it’s a mash-up, but I see them having a great chance. I hope they keep the staging exactly the same,… Read more »

Xaris
Xaris
6 years ago

Armenia will be very high but not win. Azerbaijan won’t win it ever again if they don’t withdraw. Uk is going to win. You’ll see it.